EURO showing strong downside against ZAR to R17.85M Formation has formed over the last few months with the EUR/ZAR.
The price broke below the support which has become the resistance. ANd the price has been coming down on a trajectory to the psychological level of R19.00.
Now, if it breaks down further, I might be too optimistic but it looks like the next target could hit is R17.85.
What are your thoughts?
Eurzar!
EUR/ZAR: A New Currency Pair for Trading on FXOpenEUR/ZAR: A New Currency Pair for Trading on FXOpen
Traders using FXOpen can now incorporate the EUR/ZAR currency pair into their strategies.
The EUR/ZAR pair is known for its volatility, making it suitable for trend trading within a single day. On the other hand, as the daily chart (below) shows, the exchange rate remains within a range, which supports swing trading around key support and resistance levels.
What Influences the EUR/ZAR Exchange Rate?
Key factors affecting the value of the South African rand (ZAR) in 2024 include:
→ High Inflation: In January, inflation was 5.4%, but by July it had decreased to 4.6% due to high interest rates set by the South African Reserve Bank, which strengthen the rand.
→ Prices of Exported Commodities: Gold, platinum, and diamonds.
→ Political Instability: Domestic political events and reforms can trigger spikes in volatility.
Technical Analysis of EUR/ZAR
Analysis of the EUR/ZAR chart for 2024 reveals that:
→ The price is moving in a weak downtrend, as indicated by the grey linear regression channel.
→ At the end of 2023, the price was supported by a trendline (in red), but after a bearish breakout in March 2024, the breakout zone (around 20.4) started to show signs of resistance.
→ Conversely, the level of 19.4 appears as significant support. It is possible that the price may test this level for resilience later this year. Currently, bearish pressure is held at the support level of 19.57.
EUR/ZAR Forecasts
Using global macroeconomic forecasting models, Trading Economics analysts predict that the EUR/ZAR rate could be 19.9468 in one year.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
GO LONG EURZARGiven the current weakness in the South African economy coupled with the robust economic growth in Europe, this presents a great buying opportunity to gain in the Euro (EUR). Taking advantage of this economic disparity can yield favorable returns as the EUR strengthens relative to the South African rand (ZAR).
EUR/ZAR showing strong upside to come - OUCH!This analysis hurts my pocket.
Travelling around and living in Europe means we pay in Euros. Hotels, flights, costs, etc...
And I unpleasantly am doing an analysis showing how the Euro looks like more upside is to come.
It's this kind of analysis I really hope I am 100% wrong.
Anyway, upside is to come bease on the Reverse Cup and Handle.
The price bounced on the 200MA and said, nope we are going up. Let's go euros!
And now, it looks like the next target is to a gloomy R22.44
EURZAR continuation to the upsideSince last week, EURZAR has been in a strong uptrend from the 19.40000 level. Recently, we have broken out of the descending channel that was maintening it inside a bearish structure. What we are seeing now in my opinion in simply a re-test of the 20.6500 level that was a resistance and is about to turn into a support to continue higher up to 21.3000 probably next week.
EURZAR still in a bearish structureEURZAR has been in a bearish market structure for the past few days. The pair created lower than previous highs and lower than previous lows confirming the trend all the way. Right now we have been testing a key support which if broken will accelerate the new bearish leg. More details in the video...
EUR/ZAR C&H to R17.32 - with a warningCup and Handle has formed over the last few months with EUR/ZAR.
We got a break down below R19.65.
Now it looks like there is further downside to come for the EUR which is good for the rand.
21>7
Price >200
RSI<50
Target R17.32
The big warning technically is that the EUR/ZAR is flirting with the 200MA. Until the price breaks down, then I'll feel more comfortable with this analysis.
Bullish Momentum Building on EUR/ZARStarting with the price structure, EUR/ZAR has been forming a series of higher highs and higher lows, indicating an uptrend in progress. This pattern suggests that buyers have been gaining strength, consistently pushing the price higher after each pullback. This type of price action often reflects a shift in market sentiment towards bullishness.
Adding to the bullish case is the presence of a trend line, which acts as a dynamic support level for the price. This trend line connects the higher lows and confirms the upward trajectory. As long as the price remains above this trend line, the bullish bias remains intact.
Furthermore, the recent breakout above a significant resistance level adds further weight to the bullish scenario. A break above resistance signifies that buyers have overwhelmed sellers, potentially opening the door for further upward movement. This breakout could also attract additional market participants who were waiting on the sidelines, thereby amplifying the buying pressure.
TARGET 1 : 20.9321
TARGET 2 : 212674
EURZAR H1 Bearish Cypher EURZAR is currently in a Weekly order block. We have vector candles showing a decisive three pushes to the current low. RSi and TDI should read lows and Shark Fins in this region. Look for a Head and shoulder pattern to enter long toward the 70.7Fib retracement of the XC leg. Usually pattern failure may occur around the Fib level around the 19.5100 level. If failure occurs then we look to go short at this region until an ABCD pattern is formed as shown. If price manages to breakthrough to complete the cypher pattern then we are looking at minimum two pins to this region before we enter short. M15 may show significant divergence and a close ofprice below EMA 13 would signal a good entry.
EURZAR Bearish CypherA bearish Cypher on the Weekly timeframe is near completion. Price is currently within a Weekly order block and we will most likely see a lot of trapping behavior in this region. This area is arrived at after a very long bullish trend and so as a result we will most likely find a build-up of both institutional volume as well as day-trader volumes. On the daily time frame, the final bearish trend will only be signaled by a noticeable pattern such as a double top, head, and shoulder pattern with significant confirmations around the AoI- Area of Interest. Please note this is a long-term projection and positions for holding long can only be held after the Daily time frame shows the noticeable pattern.