EUSTX50
Re-testing Time? 12th Sep 2022🖼 Daily Technical Picture 📈
➤ Equity markets continued to bounce and bounce hard from the support level. It is looking very orderly, VIX is dipping in concert. It is seeking to re-test the 4200 level once again.
➤ It is unclear to me if prices will take a detour prior to the re-test in terms of a short-term reversal or the Bears are happy to wait to apply pressure only at the key resistance level.
➤ I halved my DAX and EUSTX50 positions. My overall exposure is +40%. This is a low conviction level. The maximum exposure is +/- 200%, the level of highest conviction.
➤ Conclusion: Bulls in control. Re-test imminent. Will the Bears re-assert themselves and break the confidence of the Bulls?
Royal Dutch Shell - Selling into the gap for more downsideRoyal Dutch Shell 'A' - Short Term - We look to Sell at 19.49 (stop at 20.37)
Short term momentum is bearish. This is negative for short term sentiment and we look to set shorts at good risk/reward levels for a further correction lower. We have a Gap open at 19.49 from 25/11/2021 to 26/11/2021. We expect a move lower in a corrective sequence, targeting Fibonacci retracement levels. Preferred trade is to sell into rallies. Expect trading to remain mixed and volatile.
Our profit targets will be 16.84 and 16.00
Resistance: 19.49 / 20.30 / 21.15
Support: 18.14 / 17.80 / 16.82
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis, like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis, as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing toa trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
Breakout in Euro Stoxx 50 with Target of 4320Trend Analysis
The main view of this trade idea is on the 4-Hour Chart. EU Stoxx 50 tested support around the 4080 price level and is currently testing the downward trendline off the 4240 high and the 4210 lower high. Expectations are for a breakout of the downward trendline towards the 4320 price level. This target was derived as there is a symmetrical triangle setup on the 4-hour timeframe. Indicative stop loss is set around the 4065 price level.
Technical Indicators
The Index recently tested support around the 200 fractal moving average and held. This support level is key to the bullish view of the Euro Stoxx 50. The Index currently crossed above the short (25-MA) and medium (75-MA) term fractal moving averages, which around the same zone of the downward trendline. The RSI is also above the 50 price level and there has been a positive crossover on the KST. These indicators complement the bullish view of the Index.
Recommendation
The recommendation will be to go long at market. Stop loss will be set around the 4065 price level and a target of 4320. This produces a risk-reward ratio of 1.41.
Disclaimer
The views expressed are mine and do not represent the views of my employers and business partners. Persons acting on these recommendations are doing so at their own risk. These recommendations are not a solicitation to buy or to sell but are for purely discussion purposes. At the time publishing, I have a position in Euro Stoxx 50 .
Potential Reversal upon Closing Above EMA(5)I can see a potential Long setup for EUSTX50 index. Couple of things that I observed:
1. Price is currently retesting EMA(200) and this is also a resistance-turned-support zone (back in April 2017).
2. A divergence observed between the chart and RSI(14), as chart is making lower low, whereas RSI(14) is making higher low.
If price can close around 3530 (which I roughly calculate should be when it close above EMA(50)), then I may open a Long position. Otherwise, no trade on this index.
Just an observation regarding markets. A Return to fundamentals.Ideas:
-Buying high to sell higher may work, but chances for corrections in the next years are likely.
-Selling or shorting may be unadvisable. Despite the chance of corrections, shorting behavior is similar to bubble behavior. As always, there is a likely chance there are shorters who will have losses.
-Selling actual stock positions that have been bought lower, here, is generally a good idea. Not having exposure, or having small exposure, at this moment in time, is likely good.
Despite the chart idea to buy above 2700 and sell at 2900, with a stop loss at 2650, there is a chance of a correction as soon as it reaches 2730-2740 levels.
A move towards 2400 for DOWG is likely this year and possible in the next years.
The 'where and when' spots to short are generally harder to guess.
If it closes at year end below 2450, the next years are likely to be negative.
Any down move below 2350 can send DOWG to 2250 and 2200 respectively.
Corrections touching 2000 and below in the next 5-10 years can happen, though unlikely.
What the white background says:
---To quote:
Lows and restructuring in the year 2018 and the next couple of years.
Two potential years with negative corrections on the market.
A correction in 2017 is possible, more frequent corrections are likely to happen in the years ahead.
Corrections will continue to happen until there is a just system in place.
The alternative is delays and further bubbles.
Changes from within big companies are highly improbable, only companies with hedging and wisdom will stay.
Companies that built themselves on bubbles will very likely pop themselves, just as they bubbled themselves.
---End quote.
Between Currencies versus Commodities, there may be a temporary safe haven in Commodities.
Lack of liquidity, medium of exchange, bartering can be troublesome obstacles in commodity area, if some currencies fail, due to some government defaults(if they happen).
People that actively participate in 'governments' will be actively influenced by 'government dogma', that is, 'intentional ignorance of fundamental facts'. Ideologies not backed by good fundamentals ultimately fail(when even belief is strong), because lack of fundamentals to sustain 'believers' that have forgot fundamental logic on how one lives and thus, simply, experience forced awareness to fundamental facts. Fundamental facts are that living is done by practicing agriculture(sometimes systems that are immune to harsh environments, see aquaponics), and not using derivative means to live(getting a job in companies built on bubbles) and by practicing wisdom, through studying, (and not sins that pushes one away from fundamental facts), and then after that, practicing what one has learned, but under God's Law(Noahide Laws).
en.wikipedia.org
World Stock MarketA Trump victory meant a rally for the global dow of 76.5 points(+3.2%) 4 days before the elections for the next 21 days.
By end of the year, it might reach the yearly high, close to 2490. Maybe next year we'll see 2500 and above it.
Global Dow is an index with top 150 companies around the world.
More on wikipedia:
en.wikipedia.org
More upside for DOWG if it stays above 2500.
If by the end of 2015, the index goes below 2389, it's a start of a downtrend for the global stock market .
It is expected for the Dow to stay at current levels or go for more upside. The first months of the next year will decide the future of the stock market for a good period of time.
Trade idea is on the chart.
Chart of DOWG since 2015:
Eurostoxx50 OutlookGood morning traders,
EUSTX50 seems ready for bullish continuation after double bottom and looking at Ichimoku supports the idea.
So Long with SL @ 2850
US Stocks and German DAX also bullish.
Good luck, comments welcome !
You can subscribe to my mailing list for FX Alerts : eepurl.com
6 Trading Rules :
1. Never add to a losing position .
2. Don´t be the first to buy low and sell high ., and don´t be the last one to exit
3. Think like a fundamentalist, trade like a technician .
4. Keep your analysis simple
5. Start small and increase exposure when trend is confirming your analysis
6. The hard trade is the right trade
Josep Pocalles
$EUSTX50 at an important confluece point!Here are two possible scenarios:
If the price "respect" the trendline and the support it's a BUY.
If it breaks the trendline it's a Sell.
Either way we have a nice Risk/Reward ratio!
You can follow other indexes (such as DAX and S&P 500) as they are with a strong correlation this days.
Please leave your thoughts on the comments!