Get started

EV

NIO triggered a probable upward move NIO is about to violate the major broken support around $34.25 after the rebound from the lower boundary of the downward channel on the 1hr time frame. NIO could target $36.80 and $39.00 consecutively on the short term; with a bullish signals triggered on both the RSI and the momentum indicators. From a fundamental perspective, Nio's financial condition is improving after debt and liquidity fears slammed shares. Nio's international expansion promises more runway for growth.
NYSE:NIOLong
by AlyaAkram
2
Tesla - Out of Battery 🔋-Tesla is not just another automaker and has several distinctive factors that will make it a global leader over the long term. -Its strong growth will last several more years and the company should be viewed as an early-stage growth company at least until 2025/26. -This implies a lower multiple and compared to its current valuation, the upside in the next 5 years is not great right now. -Its current market capitalization is about $550 billion, dwarfing the value of any other carmaker globally by this measure. -Despite the fact that Tesla still has some advantages over its peers, this position is poised to change in the next 3-5 years, given that due to its own success Tesla’s business model is being rapidly copied by both legacy carmakers and new startups. For instance, this can be seen by XPeng’s (XPEV) business model in China that is clearly inspired by Tesla, or Volkswagen’s (OTCPK: VWAGY) plans to develop a recharging network in the U.S., Europe, and China over the coming years. Moreover, regarding autonomous driving, Tesla is probably nowadays the most advanced company in this field, but XPeng has achieved good progress in China, and technology companies such as Intel (INTC), Google (GOOG), and Apple (AAPL) are also investing in this technology and therefore it doesn’t think that Full Self-Driving (FSD) will be a competitive advantage for Tesla over the long-term. -Furthermore, most likely, Tesla will be only able to monetize its investments in FSD through selling its own cars, which means that customers have to choose FSD as an option, while other carmakers are most likely to choose technology from a company like Intel than from a direct competitor. This means that automakers that are currently behind in the development of autonomous driving capabilities, such as Stellantis (STLA) for example, will be reluctant to finance a direct competitor and may decide to choose Mobileye’s technology, or any other that may enter the marketplace, even if it may be inferior to Tesla’s FSD. -Taking this background into account, batteries may be the only area where Tesla can develop a competitive advantage over competitors in the long-term, which may be key to become one of the largest automakers in the world. Tesla is investing significantly in the development of batteries and wants to include them in the car’s structure in the coming years, aiming to reduce costs and improve efficiency. -According to IEA, sales of EV’s amounted to about 3.2 million units in 2020 and about 4.6 million units when considering also plug-in hybrid vehicles, an increase of almost 50% from the previous year, with China and Europe being the regions that represented the vast majority of EV sales last year. The market share of EVs was still quite low, at only 4.4% of global car sales, but is increasing quite rapidly (it was only 2.5% in 2019 and near zero in 2010) and this trend is only expected to accelerate in the next decade. -Indeed, global sales projections for the next years is for compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) of about 30%, with IEA projecting sales of 14 million EV units by 2025 and 25 million in 2030, representing a market share of around 22% and 39% respectively, assuming a flat global auto market during this period. -Tesla delivered close to 500,000 units during 2020, thus despite its leadership position from a technological point of view in the EV industry, its global market share was only about 16%. This is explained by the fact that Tesla has a very large market share in the U.S., being the leading EV manufacturer by far, but in Europe and China, its market share is much lower. This is important because these two regions are ahead in the adoption of EVs and competition is stronger than in the U.S., showing that even in its domestic market Tesla is not expected to be dominant in the future. -Tesla’s annual production capacity is currently about 1 million cars and with the two new factories, this may well double. Moreover, Tesla may also expand its factories in the future if needed, thus the company’s annual production capacity should not constrain its growth path at least for the next 3-4 years. -Tesla delivered nearly 500,000 vehicles (from 367,000 in 2019), which was the main reason why its revenues increased by 28% YoY to $31 billion. The automotive gross margin was 25.6%, a much higher level than in 2019 (21.2%), showing that Tesla has been able to achieve economies of scale with increased production and has reduced costs by producing in China. -Its net income was positive for the first year, based on GAAP, reaching $732 million and its free cash flow was nearly $2 billion, which is a very good achievement for an early-stage growth company like Tesla. Its capex more than doubled from the previous year to $3.1 billion, as the company is investing significantly in its future growth by building new factories. -In Q1 2021, total revenues amounted to $10.4 billion, up by 74% YoY, and its gross profit increased to $2.2 billion (+79% YoY). Its net income was $438 million, compared to just $16 million in Q1 2020. From a financial standpoint, this quarter was somewhat messy as the company invested in bitcoin and had a $101 million positive impact, making differences with previous quarters less comparable. Conclusion: -Tesla is currently trading at an enterprise value multiple of about 11x based on its expected 2021 revenues, hardly a bargain! -Indeed, its business profile is more similar to Apple for instance, given that both businesses have a strong brand in the consumer market and are based on both hardware (cars and the iPhone) and software (FSD and the App store). Apple is a well-established company that is still growing at very good levels, possibly giving some perspective about Tesla’s valuation in a few years. -Tesla will only be considered a more mature company by 2025/26, when its revenue growth will start to decline to more ‘normal’ levels. Tesla is expected to have revenues of about $114 billion by 2025, according to analysts’ estimates, and I assume that Tesla’s EV/sales multiple will decline gradually to a level more similar to other mega cap companies, such as Apple. -This means that a more reasonable EV/revenue multiple in 5 years from now will be about 5-6x annual revenues, which imply an enterprise value of around $630 billion at the middle of the range. Given that Tesla’s current enterprise value is about $560 billion, much of its future growth seems to be priced-in at its current share price, which is not exactly surprising considering the fantastic run it had over the past year. Credits: Seeking Alpha Our Opinion: We keep our target @ 380.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by caldooninvestment
47
TSLA ROCKET OR #2 YAHOO?TSLA is the most discussed Stock of the year. Its valuation is out of every measure there is. Its overvalued. And yes people are very protective of this, especially with Tesla. But its the truth. I don't think it will crash, but in the future, not specifically at S&P 500 index inclusion, the money will shift. So far TSLA doesn't have any proper competitors that currently would be equal or better than TSLA. But when it happens, people will shift the money to other stocks. Because in my mind TSLA valuation is not Tesla's, but the EV's + Solar + Battery + Insurance + Self Driving valuation in total that is just currently alocated to the best spot there is: TSLA. That money will belong to some competitors in the future. Not saying China will crush USA, although I can't deny its growing power. The agreements and steps the new president will make will impact the whole decade. A 20% China Securities / 60% US Securities / 20% Crypto is one of my favorite portfolio allocations for a larger portfolio.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by erikagigye
11
comparison between PSTG (pure storage) and NIO (nio).on the right we have nio, trying today to break over the MA 50 dynamic resistance, and on the left we have pure storage, trying to bounce off the MA 200. as you can see, both of them bounced off the MA 200, but while nio did jump high today, pure storage didn't yet. because of that, I believe we will see a jump within 2 weeks in pure storage too, not a big %, but yet not a trash can. anyway, rejecting the MA 200 4 times is an amazing thing, and if the price can start to climb again, we may see it reaching a new high in both nio and pstg. lastly, I would suggest you to check nio and compare it to pstg whenever it is possible, as long as the correlation between the 2 remains. logarithmic chart basic chart
NYSE:NIO
by camelot0707
TESLA in 2020 vs APPLE in 2000, what if..I tried to compare the 2020 Telsa bull run vs apple during the dot com crisis what if we are in an EV bubble that is comparable to the dot bubble? could we predict how it will go this time? as we saw in 2000, the internet was intended to become a great thing, but not yet. what if the EV is intended to become a great thing, but not today? maybe in 20 years from now? I suggest you look for other stocks related to EV, green energy, and all the trendis right now, and by comparing those with the FAANG in the dot com bubble.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by camelot0707
1
$TSLA Looking for easy 10-15% gainIn the short term, TSLA will likely bounce upward off its trend line, making this play an easy 10% gain. Long term, I'm guessing that the production quality of updated Model S and X cars will be much higher than previous cars, sending the stock back into the 800-900 range, if not higher. Having said that, if TSLA didn't fix its production quality issues while retooling its production lines, then this company is ran by a bunch of buffoons and its stock deserves to crash.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by Shouldabeenabillionaire
3
Stocks - FordIdea for Ford Motor Company: - We believe that a macro turn is here. - As the global economy moves toward Stagflation, and perhaps Deflation, investors will decrease their risk appetite appropriate for a Goldilocks economy, and will rotate from Momentum and Consumer Discretionary stocks to Quality, Consumer Staples, Utilities, Dividend Yields, and Defensives stocks. - We believe that Ford is an excellent defensive stock, traditionally being a dividend yielding stock and having being in operation for over 100 years. - Ford is a good pick even before moving into a Stagflation economy, because they have exposure to the Tech and Industrials sector, with their introduction of EVs, and their 13.9% US market share of the automobile industry, coming second only to GM. - Ford transitioned away from sedans, and announced that almost 90% of its North American model selection will consist of trucks and commercial vehicles. We believe that this is a most excellent choice, and are impressed by this decision making. - We foresee a ravenous appetite in the supply chain sector, due to (a) COVID shipping backlog, which will only increase should COVID mutate and cause further lockdowns, (b) nations moving toward domestic production, which will increase intranational logistics and infrastructure demands, and (c) a shift from a software-oriented tech boom to a boom in the industrials and capital goods sector, from what we perceive is being attempted with the US stimulus packages. - The price is technically in what appears to be a Wyckoff Accumulation Cycle, and is showing signs of strength. - We believe that a better entry is possible, as it tests support levels during market volatility which we expect, but still it is a good entry point for a longer time-frame. GLHF, DPT Disclaimer: We absolutely do not provide financial advice in any shape or form. We do not recommend investing based on our opinions and strongly cautions that securities trading and investment involves high risk and that you can lose a lot of money. Loss of principal is possible. We do not recommend risking money you cannot afford to lose. We do not guarantee future performance nor accuracy in historical analyses. We are not registered investment advisors. Our ideas, opinions and statements are not a substitute for professional investment advice. We provide ideas containing impersonal market observations and our opinions. Our speculations may be used in preparation to form your own ideas.
NYSE:FLong
by UnknownUnicorn1043646
5
$FSR PT 24Fisker Inc. (NYSE: FSR) (Fisker) – passionate creator of the world’s most sustainable electric vehicles and advanced mobility solutions – marked World Earth Day with a call to action regarding federally funded clean vehicle incentives: a new program termed "75 And More For 55 And Less," which encourages adoption of clean energy mobility powered by sophisticated automotive technology developed in America for use around the world. This press release features multimedia. View the full release here: www.businesswire.com Fisker Inc. (NYSE: FSR) (Fisker) – passionate creator of the world’s most sustainable electric vehicles and advanced mobility solutions – marked World Earth Day with a call to action regarding federally funded clean vehicle incentives: a new program termed "75 And More For 55 And Less," which encourages adoption of clean energy mobility powered by sophisticated automotive technology developed in America for use around the world. Related to the current U.S. administration’s policy initiatives, Fisker is calling upon the federal government to implement "75 And More for 55 And Less": a rebate of $7,500 plus $10.00 per mile of certified driving range for BEVs priced at $55,000 and less. All rebates would be applied at the time of sale, instead of waiting for a tax credit. "We are at an inflection point in our transition to low-carbon mobility," said Fisker Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Henrik Fisker. "Just as the federal highways program in the 1940s and 1950s enabled a new era for the private car, we now have the opportunity, between the government and business, to accelerate adoption of electric vehicles and ensure the United States is at the forefront of this global shift." Under the Fisker proposal, an electric vehicle priced at $45,000, powered by a certified 300-mile range battery, would receive a point-of-sale rebate of $7,500 – and an additional $3,000 for the battery range for a total of $10,500, lowering the transaction price to $34,500. This is significantly less than the current average cost of a new car at $40,000.
FLong
by UnknownUnicorn19246015
WKHS Long (trade in play)A strong breakout has finally happened. A pattern something like this will be ideal. I've been watching WKHS since $13 and the company might finally be turning some profits soon. Some reasons for a rally. 1.) They received an order for 6300 vehicles. (January 4th 2021 -> minify.link) 2.) Big EV names (NIO, TSLA, PLUG etc.) have made insane moves while WKHS has been standing. 3.) Earnings is coming up (March , and with the big orders there might be a big run up with expectations of positive earnings. 4.) The open short float on January 26, 2021 was 30.99%. That is massive and if price action starts to pan out there might be a short squeeze (kind of like a sympathy play for GME, just on a way smaller scale). I am just a small retail trader, but the idea is for the EV and Short squeeze hype to transfer to WKHS. I am willing to risk some good money on this trade, and I am not responsible for anyone elses trades. Please criticize this play! Pick it apart, I wanna know why you think it's bad! We can all learn.
NASDAQ:WKHSLong
by tradir
3
$MP - correction finished?On the technical side, the first 5 wave move from SPAC merger to march 2nd high has retraced more than 50% and bounced off the 150d SMA and EMA....the pattern off the high is a perfect 3 move correction hitting the 78.6% on wave b and the -0.5% on wave c.....on the financial side, they're the only fully integrated rare earth mining and processing facility the western hemisphere, and are looking to cut off north American dependency on Chinese rare earth metals. Looking for 34 > 41 > 45 as wave 1/3/5 targets.
NYSE:MPLong
by ir-rizzle
1