Evmakers
Crypto, EV, SPAC Bubble are related!Most Cryptocurrency believers justify their investment by bragging about how decentralized cryptocurrencies are.
But I believe it is very centralized because Elon Musk's tweets can cause a new wave in this market, any minute.
I believe Elon Musk and all other legendary investors like Ray Dalio, Carl Icahn, or whoever tweets or conduct interviews to support Bitcoin or the cryptocurrency market made a big miscalculation.
What is the most important miscalculation Cryptocurrency investors made?
Whenever any asset class reaches a high level of population penetration in a short timeframe, a bubble will be created.
As soon as this rate slows down a little the bubble will burst and the deflation process begins, and the cryptocurrency market is no exception..!
Cheatsheet to avoid the deflation phase of any bubble:
In most cases, average investors do not analyze data and invest based on their instinct and feeling of missing out (FOMO). But there is a simple trick that can save you and your investment just before any bubble burst!
What is that simple Trick???
Whenever you see an asset experience a parabolic price pattern and everyone talks about it, if you see it slows down a little it is the best time to sell..! Don't wait for the bearish trend, it will act so fast that makes you quadriplegic!
Sounds crazy, but works..!
Now I would like to teach Elon Musk who thinks he has "Diamond Hands" some physics..!
Diamonds can't withstand crushing pressures above 600 gigapascals (6 million atmospheres).
How this is related to the Cryptocurrency market???
Let's review the physics behind it:
Pressure is the force applied perpendicular to the surface of an object per unit area over which that force is distributed.
P= F / A
P: pressure
F: Force
A: Area
In physics, a force is any interaction that, when unopposed, will change the motion of an object. A force can cause an object with mass to change its velocity, i.e., to accelerate. Force can also be described intuitively as a push or a pull. A force has both magnitude and direction, making it a vector quantity
F = m a (kg·m/s2)
m: mass
a: acceleration
The force on an object is equal to the mass of the object multiplied by its acceleration: F=m*a.
The acceleration due to gravity is more or less assumed to be constant for surface-of-the-Earth calculations: a=g, so F=m*g.
In our study, the mean hand area in adult male was 146.50 cm2,
In our study, the mean hand area in adult males was 146.50 cm2. (Area)
Total Cryptocurrency Market Cap: at its max was 2.577 Trillion.
United States one-hundred-dollar bill = 1g
We have all the data we need to build a model (Fantasy):
Total Cryptocurrency Market Cap: at its max was 2.577 Trillion
2,577,000,000,000 = 25,770,000,000 United States one-hundred-dollar bills
United States one-hundred-dollar bill = 1g
2.577 T= 25.77 B 100$ USD = 25,770,000 kg
Value of g (m/s2) at Earth's surface 6.38 x 106 m =9.8
F = 25,770,000 * 9.8 = 252,546,000
Mean hand area in adult male was 146.50 cm2,
146.5+146.5 = 293 cm2, = 0.0293 m2 (estimated surface for hands of Elon Musk)
A: 0.0293 m2
P=252,546,000/0.0293= 8,619,317,406.143345 kg/m2
1 kg/m2 = 9.81 Pascals
Crypto currency market Bubble pressure just before burst: 84,555,503,754.26621 Pa
Diamonds can't withstand crushing pressures above 600 gigapascals (6 million atmospheres).
How many diamond hands (pairs) are needed to tolerate the pressure???
84,555,503,754.26621/600,000,000 = 140.9258395904437
This means we need almost 141 Elon Musk and we are 140 Elon Musk shy.
This false feeling of having "Diamonds hands" is related to the 56.1 million followers he has on Twitter.
To tolerate this level of pressure his diamond hands need 7.9 Billion followers..!
I believe the EV, SPACs, and crypto Frenzy in the past year directed by a team of 3 major players:
Elon Musk
Cathie Wood (Catherine Duddy Wood is the founder, CEO, and CIO of Ark Invest, an investment management firm.)
Chamath Palihapitiya (venture capitalist, engineer, SPAC sponsor, and the founder and CEO of Social Capital. Former Facebook's vice president of operations )
Fortunately, they are trapped in a self-created bubble, and 10 years from now you will see how trustworthy these people are in the financial world.
These people used the power of social media like Twitter and Youtube to their benefit and left many in tears..!
Could you imagine Fisker $2.5 ?cypher harmonic pattern:
AB=0.61 XA
BC=1.41 AB
tp1=0.78 XA=$6.8
tp2=1.27 BC=$5.88
tp3=2 BC=$2.35
$Nikola reversal possibility with cypher harmonic patterncrab harmonic pattern:
3-4=0.61 X-3
4-5=0.38 3-4
tp1=2.6 4-5=$10
It could be a sufficient target because it makes a reversal cypher at this price with a high volume
tp2=3.6 4-5=$5.27
tp3=1.6 X-3=$4.33
cypher reversal:
AB=0.38 3-A
BC=1.41 AB
tp1=1.27 BC=$41
tp2=0.78 XA=$62
tp3=2 BC=$94
$Ride shark reversalshark harmonic pattern:
AB=0.38 XA=$12
BC=1.6 AB=$4.61
tp1=0.78 BC=$9.77
tp2=1.6 BC=$21.75
tp3=0.88 XA=$26.38
tp4=1.13 XA=$38.61
tp5=2.24 BC=$39
Learn From tesla Experiencewhat do you think is more important?
moving average itself or moving average slope?
your answer to this question will save your capital in the market and will change the game forever..!
while moving average is a delayed indicator, I believe its slope is a predictive indicator!
Don't believe me, check how I predicted the market crash in EV makers before everyone else!
While everyone fools themselves about the EV makers' stock price and talking about 7000 USD tesla price and for NIO, I was the one who predicted the crash in EV makers as early as February 18th, when tesla was 800 and NIO was 56. I predicted 32 for NIO and it slipped to 31.91.
(please check the related links for evidence)
Please review my Bitcoin analysis as well:
1st: Sep 12, 2020: Bitcoin could technically soar to 100k ( Bitcoin price 10457)
2nd: Oct 21, 2020: Do not trade Bitcoin invest in Bitcoin for the next 2 years. ( Bitcoin price: 12441)
3rd: Nov 10, 2020: short term in contrast with long-term ( Bitcoin price: 15186
4th: Nov 11, 2020: fresh out of consolidation: Bitcoin price 15861
5th: Nov 25, 2020: Next 10-12 months of Bitcoin: Bitcoin price: 19090 (target 50k-72k in less than 1 year)
6th: Nov 26, 2020: Should we panic? Bitcoin price 16508
7th: Jan 10, 2021: It May sounds crazy, but this is an opportunity to buy Bitcoin: bitcoin price 35565
8th: Jan 27, 2021: the more it consolidated the further it goes. Bitcoin price 31262
In conclusion, I believe the 100K scenario is less likely to happen soon!
What is the main reason behind a rally???Many people justified their claim for Tesla's share price with stories about its future! They are right, Tesla technology is unbeatable..!
I believe Elon Musk is one of a kind Super Human..!
But when I looking at trade volume, I see money started getting out of Tesla, and it started weeks ago!
Look at the trading volume, 20 days average trading volume 2021 is 1/4 of 2020..!
It shows me there is no money influx, not any more..! and it has changed to outflux!
The real reason behind any share price movement is not how good a company is, but it is MONEY..!
Money rules..!and if you think otherwise, sooner or later you will be washed out ..!
Do not try swimming against the current, soon you will be exhausted and drown easily.
In any market, your first obligation is to find the most emerging current..!
look at my analysis of EV makers in February.
Correlation study of EV makers!When I compare the EV maker stocks, I noticed 2 companies have different behavior in comparison to others and interestingly the have positive correlation to each other while having negative correlation with other EV makers!
These two companies are Fisker (FSR) and Canoo (GOEV). While most EV makers experienced more than 30% price correction in the last 3 weeks, FSR (28.50) is almost 90% above the last 3 weeks close(15.40)!
The important point is everything happens 2-4 weeks sooner in FSR in comparison to Canoo (GOEV). 2-4 wks delayed time cycle!
We should wait and see if such a move is going to happen in GOEV as well, or it is going to follow the EV makers group!