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EWG

Coronavirus Regional Long/Short Japan (EWJ) outperforms as Coronavirus cases are low (due to low testing), but country now on the verge of a massive virus outbreak, in line w/ EU & US. Italy (EWI) lags DM, seen as new epicenter of Coronavirus. Country on lockdown, virus priced in (relative to Japan). Italy also has sov debt & banking crisis overhang- but Japan also has massive sov debt & banking crisis, just not as widely publicized. Banking/debt crisis aside, strictly from coming Coronavirus data reaction, RELATIVE pair trade: Short EWJ (Japan) / Long EWI (Italy) ETFs are FX hedged to mitigate some of USD vol interference.
AMEX:SPYShort
by acrossthespread
THE MONTH AHEAD (IRA): EX. CANADA/U.S. ETF'S FOR DIVIDENDSIt shouldn't come as a massive shocker to anyone that the U.S. market has been and has gotten even more expensive. For an investor that is just starting out, it is enormously frustrating, since virtually everything is at the top of a very long term trajectory with the broad market yet again knocking at the door of all-time-highs. Here are a few acquisition ideas for ex. U.S./Canada exchange-traded funds that pay in excess of SPY (1.90%), IWM (1.33%), QQQ (.84%), and DIA (2.21%) and TLT (average 20-year maturity treasuries) (2.22%). To put things in some additional context: HYG (High Yield Corporate Bonds) is paying 5.29% (paid monthly), EMB (Emerging Market Bonds) -- 5.45%, XLU (Utilities) -- 2.93% (paid quarterly), and IYR (REIT) -- 2.63%.* EEM: Emerging Market. It gets huge volume (79 million 90-day) and is extremely liquid on the options side of things. The downside is that you get about TLT is currently paying in yield -- 2.22%, paid out quarterly, and fund managers had to muck it up by sticking a whole bunch of China in there. If I wanted to play a Chinese exchange-traded fund, I'd play one (e.g., FXI). EFA: Behind the funky acronym (MSCI EAFE), this is basically a world excluding the U.S. and Canada exchange-traded fund. Sporting a 3.18% yield, it pays dividends every six months, trades healthy share volume (90-day average 18.3 million), and has good options expiry availability and liquidity, a must for investors looking to go short put/acquire/cover. EWA: Australia. Granted, the share volume isn't great (1.7 million 90-day), but the yield is 5.54%. Expiry availability isn't fantastic and neither is option liquidity. Dividends pay out twice a year. 21.82/share as of Friday close. EWG: Germany. 90-day 1.98 million shares average. 2.83% paid once a year. Decent expiry availability/liquidity. 26.44/share as of Friday close. EWI: Italy. 90-day 1.90 million shares on average. 4.63% paid out once every six months. Expiry availability/liquidity isn't great, with the general solution being to be "fill picky." 26.95 as of Friday close. EWW: Mexico. 90-day 3.20 million shares traded on average. 4.17% paid out twice a year. Good expiry availability and option liquidity. 43.64 as of Friday close. EWT: Taiwan. 90-day 5.80 million shares traded. 2.74% paid out once a year. Expiry availability isn't great and neither is options liquidity. 36.71 as of Friday close. EWZ: Brazil. 90-day 21.58 million shares traded. 2.71% paid out every six months. Excellent expiry availability/options liquidity. 42.11 as of Friday close. RSX: Russia. 90-day 5.58 million shares traded. 4.31% yield paid out once a year. Expiry availability/options liquidity decent and decent. 22.51 as of Friday close. The general play on these would be short put, acquire, then cover. Naturally, you'll probably want to drill into the charts on each of these to determine which ones might be trading at a discount. * -- IYR, XLU, and EMB have ripped higher recently, so are kind of out of range of prices at which I'd like to acquire. Forever the optimist, however, I've got a couple "not a penny more" short puts hanging out there in XLU and HYG. (See Posts Below).
AMEX:EFA
by NaughtyPines
US outperforms EU in absolute terms when $ rises against €Thesis: US markets outperform EU markets in absolute terms when $ rises against €. EWG/SPY (Germany ETF/SPY both in $) vs EURUSD (red line) I've read many opinions on what happens to US stocks (versus EU stocks) when the dollar rises. Usually people say a strong dollar is bad for US exporters as their revenues will fall and labour costs will rise. Similarly they say a weak euro is good for EU exporters as their foreign revenues rise and labour costs fall. And comparisons are often made between national indexes, which take no account of currency, and are thus pointless IMHO. So this chart shows that the common sense view is completely wrong. It compares EWG (Germany ETF in US$) divided by SPY - which I'm using as a proxy for EU outperformance over US - and EURUSD. As you can see, they are very strongly correlated. In other words when the $ started strengthening in 2008, the US indices started outperforming the EU indices. And in the previous cycle, when the dollar started weakening around 2002, and the euro strengthened, the EWG outperformed the SPY. And in the cycle before that, which ended around 2001/2003, € weakness again correlated very well with EWG weakness.
AMEX:EWG
by gwcharts
3
Short book: Dax - Down from ECB key level, next: 10257,9745,9226Today we added a couple shorts, I'm posting the trades we currently have open but not providing entry/stop suggestions. Only trade them if you have a trading strategy, or, ask me if you're interested in learning more about the one we use (Tim West's 'Key Hidden Levels' and 'Time at mode'). We have some worrying bearish signals, so it's a good idea to have a market neutral position, picking stocks to short, while still looking for longs in undervalued companies. See related ideas for the rest of the trades we took. You may still be able to join them or wait for a secondary entry when/if we decide to add to them. Good luck, Ivan Labrie.
TVC:DEU40Short
by IvanLabrie
5
Germany: 43 cent per share risk shortThis is a very, very tight stop loss short setup in the monthly EWG chart. If it confirms (which it might, due to the Deutsche Bank impending collapse), we could get confirmation during October. We'd need price to stay clear from the 26.10 mark for the whole month, so we could use a stop at 26.11 without a problem here, or just trade it with options instead and exit if 26.11 is breached. Interestingly enough, the SPX chart has a big uptrend that confirms if during October, we don't retest 2100, so, maybe we have a huge pair trade there: one fires an uptrend, the other a downtrend? That would be a tremendous trade... Good luck, hopefully they sort this DB problem without triggering a systemic crash, and if they do, we will be prepared. Ivan Labrie.
AMEX:EWGShort
by IvanLabrie
Sticking To Dax Bull CaseYesterday's candle was actually bullish. Long-legged candles signal reversals, even if the intraday selloff may have suggested otherwise. The key message: breakout levels ~10490 were tested (violated), but held. Index is off to a fresh swing higher, which could target 10860 (late December high) and 10981 (cycle fibo level). With that in mind, yesterday's mini reversal in Gold, and GBP strengthening vs. USD, are short-term technicals suggesting we are getting a dovish Yellen at JH?
TVC:DEU40Long
by gorillacharts