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S&P 500 (SPX) - May 6th Week Ahead (Bullish Harami!)S&P 500 (SPX) - May 6th Week Ahead Bullish Forecast This week, we've observed a bullish signal with a weekly harami candlestick pattern, indicating potential upward momentum. Here's the forecast for the week ahead: Short-term Outlook (May 6th Week): We anticipate the S&P 500 to continue its bullish momentum, aiming for new highs. The weekly harami bullish close suggests a reversal of previous downward sentiment, setting the stage for upward movement. Our short-term target is 5665 for the S&P 500. VIX Analysis: The VIX, currently around $12, may test lower levels this week, possibly dipping below $12. However, we may see temporary bounces around the $12 mark, possibly occurring a few more times before sustained downward movement. In the short term, expect fluctuations in the VIX, with potential tests around $12. Intermediate to Long-term Outlook (Most Likely Q4): Looking ahead to the intermediate to long term, particularly in Q4, we forecast further decline in VIX values. We anticipate sub-$12 levels, possibly down to $11.50 or lower, with multiple daily closes supporting this trend. Upon reaching these levels, we'll position ourselves for ultra-long UVIX/UVXY trades, employing laddered expirations ranging from one week to multiple weeks/months. We'll maintain directly held positions in anticipation of increased volatility, capitalizing on the VIX's movement. Summary: Short-term bullish sentiment prevails, with a target of 5665 for the S&P 500. VIX may test lower levels, potentially dipping below $12, with short-term fluctuations and possible bounces around this mark. In the intermediate to long term, expect a decline in VIX values towards sub-$12 levels, where we'll position ourselves for ultra-long trades.
SP:SPXLong
by candlestickninja
💨 Elliott Wave Pattern: Triangle 🌊●●● 𝙏𝙧𝙞𝙖𝙣𝙜𝙡𝙚 (T) __________________________ ❗️❗️ 𝙂𝙚𝙣𝙚𝙧𝙖𝙡 𝙧𝙪𝙡𝙚𝙨 ● A triangle always subdivides into five waves. ● At least four waves among waves A , B , C , D and E are subdivided into a single zigzag . ● A triangle never has more than one complex subwave, in which case it is always a multiple zigzag or a triangle. ❗️ 𝙂𝙚𝙣𝙚𝙧𝙖𝙡 𝙜𝙪𝙞𝙙𝙚𝙡𝙞𝙣𝙚𝙨 ● Usually, wave C subdivides into a "multiple zigzag" that is longer lasting and contains deeper percentage retracements than each of the other subwaves. ● Usually, wave D subdivides into a "multiple zigzag" that is longer lasting and contains deeper percentage retracements than each of the other subwaves. ● Alternating waves of a triangle may be in Fibonacci proportion to each other by a ratio of 0.618 for contracting triangles and 1.618 for expanding triangles. For example, in a contracting triangle, look for wave C to equal 0.618 of wave A . ● A triangle can be wave 4 impuls, wave B of a zigzag , wave X of a double or second wave of an X of a triple zigzag , sub-wave C , D or E of a triangle and the last structure of a combination. __________________________ ●● 𝘾𝙤𝙣𝙩𝙧𝙖𝙘𝙩𝙞𝙣𝙜 𝙏𝙧𝙞𝙖𝙣𝙜𝙡𝙚 (Contr.T — CT) ❗️❗️ 𝙍𝙪𝙡𝙚𝙨 ● Wave C never moves beyond the end of wave A , wave D never moves beyond the end of wave B , and wave E never moves beyond the end of wave C . The result is that going forward in time, a line connecting the ends of waves B and D converges with a line connecting the ends of waves A and C . ● Waves A and B never subdivide into a triangle. ● In a running triangle, wave B should be no more than twice as long as wave A . (Q&A EWI) ❗️ 𝙂𝙪𝙞𝙙𝙚𝙡𝙞𝙣𝙚𝙨 ● Sometimes one of the waves, usually wave C , D or E , subdivides into a contracting or barrier triangle. Often the effect is as if the entire triangle consisted of nine zigzags. ● About 60% of the time, wave B goes beyond the beyond the start of wave A . When this happens, the triangle is called a running triangle. __________________________ ●● 𝘽𝙖𝙧𝙧𝙞𝙚𝙧 𝙏𝙧𝙞𝙖𝙣𝙜𝙡𝙚 (Barr.T — BT) ❗️❗️ 𝙍𝙪𝙡𝙚𝙨 ● Wave C never moves beyond the end of wave A , wave D never moves beyond the end of wave B , and wave E never moves beyond the end of wave C . The result is that going forward in time, a line connecting the ends of waves B and D converges with a line connecting the ends of waves A and C . ● Waves B and D end at essentially the same level. ● In a running triangle, wave B should be no more than twice as long as wave A . (Q&A EWI) ❗️ 𝙂𝙪𝙞𝙙𝙚𝙡𝙞𝙣𝙚𝙨 ● About 60% of the time, wave B goes beyond the beyond the start of wave A . When this happens, the triangle is called a running barrier triangle. ● When wave 5 follows a triangle, it is typically either a brief, rapid movement or an exceptionally long extension. ☝️ 𝙉𝙤𝙩𝙚𝙨 ● We have yet to observe a 9-wave barrier triangle, implying that this form may not extend. __________________________ ●● 𝙀𝙭𝙥𝙖𝙣𝙙𝙞𝙣𝙜 𝙏𝙧𝙞𝙖𝙣𝙜𝙡𝙚 (Exp .T — ET) ❗️❗️ 𝙍𝙪𝙡𝙚𝙨 ● Wave C , D and E each moves beyond the end of the preceding same-directional subwave. (The result is that going forward in time, a line connecting the ends of waves B and D diverges from a line connecting the ends of waves A and C .) ● Subwaves B , C and D each retrace at least 100 percent but no more than 150 percent of the preceding subwave. ❗️ 𝙂𝙪𝙞𝙙𝙚𝙡𝙞𝙣𝙚𝙨 ● Subwaves B , C and D usually retrace 105 to 125 percent of the preceding subwave. ☝️ 𝙉𝙤𝙩𝙚𝙨 ● No subwave has yet been observed to subdivide into a triangle. __________________________ 🔗 References: Elliott Wave Principal 2005 RSWA: Q&A EWI
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by TradeWaves-EWA
3
EWP help wanted - could TSLA see 810, 840 by Friday?The chart shows my rudimentary understanding of Elliott wave patterns, and I am aware that wrongly applying EWP will ruin trade ideas. Thus I am inviting EWP experts to offer their insight here. Feel free to read my view below and support or correct it with your expertise. Thank you! My blue line shows a 5-wave impulse pattern down, while the gray line shows a 3-wave countertrend move. Within this countertrend, wave 3 (C) should end higher than wave 1 (A). Therefore I have further subdivided wave 3 to show price going up over the next few days (to C), which could be 810 or higher to 830-840.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by OptionsRising
3
Bull case for NIO using EWP Since the start of November of 2020 NIO has traded in an uptrend as pointed out by other traders interested in NIO. More recently it has been moving in a descending wedge pattern as it trades to the lower range of its uptrend to find support. On the daily chart, NIO is also finding support on the 25 day SMMA (and support on the 50 day SMMA on the 4hr) this seems to be converging with the lower support of the uptrend,an imminent MACD buy signal and the plotting of the EWP. The convergences of which may be a strong buy signal.
NYSE:NIOLong
by Yoimdop3
4
MICROSOFT to bleed more than half its value: wave 3 completionThis is a W1 chart of Microsoft. The purpose of this post is to follow major companies whose share price affect the general financial market in order to anticipate the depression/recession that is to come. This analysis is based on EWP in combination with fibonacci levels, and some reversal candle stick formation in the end. After the correction of 2008-2009, MSFT began to develop wave 3 of a larger degree (Starting from Sep2019). All wave count is on the chart and we now have a completed 5 wave structure to make wave 3. This wave three structure took approximately 9 years to build, and it fits fibonacci levels perfectly! Wave 2 is .5 ret of wave 1. Wave 4 is .382 ret of wave 3. Wave 3 is a 1.618 ext of wave 1-2. Wave 5 is a 2.618 ext of wave 3-4. Although fifth wave extension is uncommon in equity market, we cannot discard the possibility of this scenario with clear wave structures. Wave 5 extension personality: it often retraces to the wave 2 region of the extended fifth wave (labelled with blue dotted lines.) ***This region coincides with .618 retracement of the entire wave 3 structure of one larger degree. Candlestick: Reversal pattern is in print with: a spinning top (2 weeks ago as I am writing this); a shooting star (last week as I am writing this, with its upper wick landing right on the 2.618 ext of wave 3-4!!). And now, we have a hanging man in print (Have to wait for week to close). In summary, all the stars are in line for MSFT to suffer a correction. Using knowledge of wave personalities, it is extremely possible that MSFT may lose more than half of its current share value within the coming years.
NASDAQ:MSFTShort
by someone514
5
Crude oil is in a good position to make a rally.The main idea is to buy oil futures. This conclusion was based on Elliott wave principle. I hope you know basics of this type of techical analysis, if not i suggest you to read elliott wave principle by Robert Prechter. Lets come back to chart. Overall I suspect that we will see strong impulse move, that will end 4th wave and than we will see new bottom near 15 usd. The timing is always hard to predict, but depends on wave relations, its should take 2-3 years before we will see 15 usd per barrel. Yeah its a long run, but we have nice opportunity to enter a nice trade now, in the last move upside. I think that 4th wave of a big move down that started from 2011, will take form of a combination: zigzag - flat. We have already seen zigzag and AB of flat, now i hope to see a good impulse move labeled C that will end 4th wave.
NYMEX:CL2!Long
by Ag_12
USDCAD - Weekly Forecast!Hello Traders! The weekly forecasts prepared at the personal request of the Trader - AdeOluseun! Dear traders, we ask you to be careful with USDCAD currency pair, as the market is currently highly overbought on daily chart and we see by means of EWA/EWP, Volume, Cluster&Delta, Market Profile analysis, that major market participants lose interest in the growth of USDCAD. But if the price decline to the Last Friday's support 1.43628, you can (with the little money) carefully buy with the hedging target 1.45014. We thank you for the positive feedback of our market analysis! Best refards, Powerful Traders.
Long
by POWERFUL_TRADERS
3
6E (eurusd) - JANUARY INTRADAY FORECAST!Hello! Happy New Year! We would like to present, intraday forecast - 6E (eurusd) on january 2016y. Methods of price analysis: EWA/EWP, Market Profile, Delta&Cluster, Volume, Fibonacci. Suppose that this week (close to wednesday), the price gradually decreases to strong support 1.07580, next we will see the creation process of cumulative delta and then expected bulish impulse! All the important prices you can see on a chart. (please pay your attention to the three variations of EWA/EWP) We wish you all the best in New Year! Sincerely your's Powerful Traders!
Long
by POWERFUL_TRADERS