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EWZ

Opening (IRA): EWZ July 19th 31 Monied Covered Call... for a 30.31 debit. Comments: Decent 30-day IV at 34.0%, but I'm primarily looking to position myself to grab the June dividend. IV is skewed to the put side in this underlying, so the general go-to would be short put, but to grab the dividend, you have to be in stock. Because I want the extrinsic in the short call to exceed any dividend, I'm basically going at-the-money/slightly monied with the short call and will look to manage the position after the dividend drops. Unfortunately, the distribution has been wildly variant, so it's hard to tell how much extrinsic to keep in the short call to diminish the prospect of being called away early due to some dick exercising their long call early to grab the dividend. Metrics (Sans Dividend): Break Even/Buying Power Effect: 30.31 Max Profit: .69 ROC at Max: 2.28% ROC at 50% Max: 1.14%
AMEX:EWZLong
by NaughtyPines
Macro Monday 57 - Venezuela Update ( 5 charts)Macro Monday 57 - Venezuela Update I'll have more charts for you over the coming week but feel this is an important event that could help shape South America's economic trajectory over the coming 5 - 10 years Last week I shared the country that has the largest oil reserves in the world, Venezuela. I noted that Venezuela stands at a critical juncture, with the potential for a historic return to democracy by way of national election on 28th July 2024. Unfortunately, the authoritarian socialist incumbent President Nicolás Maduro appears to have "claimed" victory in the election, amidst many observations of election fraud and interference. At present the people of Venezuela have taken to the streets in protest, are toppling Maduro's statues and demanding him to leave office. Only an hour ago reports of counter forces apparently breached a barricade to Maduro's home. Many world leaders have called out Maduro on what they see as a false election victory. The international pressure is mounting on Maduro's régime. The world recognizes the violation of the peoples choice. The election might look like its a major loss for the people of Venezuela, however it appears to have invoked an incredible revolutionary type response from the people, it has captured the worlds attention, and the attention of the likes of Elon Musk and Javier Milei (Argentinian President) both calling for Maduro's exit. In response Maduro has called out Elon Musk, whom he calls his "arch-enemy" since his post earlier today. Clearly threatened, pressure is mounting on Maduro internally and from the International community. The election results could be the tipping point for the Venezuelans , it appears that change is in the air in and a new dawn is approaching with the world backing the Venezuelans who have clearly had enough. Lets hope for as peaceful a transition as possible. If successful, the country with the largest oil reserve in the world, that was once twice as rich as China, 4th ranked world economy (1st in Latin America), can return to its former glory. If such an event were to unfold, Venezuela, IMO, could lead South America out of a developing economy to a booming one within the decade. Charts in South America Please see South America and all its compressing pennant formations and ascending triangles. Few cup and handles too at present Peru is a clear leader with Argentina, however it does not hold the worlds largest oil reserve like Venezuela which appears to be about to make major political change. Chile - AMEX:ECH Brazil - AMEX:EWZ iShares Latin America ETF - AMEX:ILF MSCI Peru NTR Index (USD) - ICEEUR:MPU1! Argentina - AMEX:ARGT PUKA
ILong
by PukaCharts
Macro Monday 54~Chile & Peru - Worlds Largest Copper ProducersMacro Monday 54 Chile and Peru The Largest Copper Producers in the world A staggering 36% of the global supply of copper originates from Chile and Peru. With AI, semiconductors and big tech leading the furore in markets, isn’t it any wonder that both countries are demonstrating incredible growth. Being the largest producers of copper in the world during one of the biggest tech booms in history seems like a golden era may be upon them. The wind is hitting the Chilean and Peruvian market sails hard and as investors, we need to pay close attention to these well placed emerging markets leading the way in South America. Chile is responsible for 24% of global copper production producing 5 million tons of copper ore in 2023 and Peru was the 2nd largest producer contributing to 12% of the global supply at 2.75 million tons. Copper plays a crucial role in semiconductor manufacturing which is booming at present with the likes of NVIDIA’s stock price soaring by over 1000% since Oct 2022. Copper is used for the connecting components via patterns on the wafer chips, it is very conductive minimizing energy and speed loss during signal transmission, its malleable for intricate wiring, and it manages/dissipates heat very well. Copper is also combined with other materials like silicon dioxide to create complex structures like transistors, capacitors and resistors. All these components are absolutely essential for semiconductors, technology hardware and general computing, meaning the demand for copper from both these countries is likely to continue. Chile is also the 2nd largest Lithium producer in the world giving it an additional advantage in the battery market. Chile GDP Growth According to the Chilean Central Bank GDP growth rate of up to 3% can be expected in 2024. The central bank in the world's largest copper producer also estimated copper prices to average $3.85 per pound in 2024, up from a previous forecast of $3.80 per pound. Copper is currently at $4.64 per pound and looks to be rising (previously having hit $5.19. This may suggest the Central Banks assertions have been modest across the board. Main Produce/Exports Chile plays a significant role on the global stage in several key areas: Copper: Chile is the world’s largest copper producer. Its abundant copper mines contribute significantly to global supply. ▫️ Lithium: As the second largest lithium producer, Chile benefits from the growing demand for lithium used in batteries for energy storage. This mineral has become an important source of exports and fiscal revenue for the country. ▫️ Renewable Energy: Chile is richly endowed with solar and wind resources. It has a comparative advantage in renewable energy production, with solar and wind costs lower than fossil fuels. The country’s shift toward renewable energy could boost economic activity and contribute to the global green transition. ▫️ Cobalt (Emerging): While not currently the largest producer, Chile aims to become one of the top three cobalt producing nations. This ambitious plan aligns with its efforts to boost copper output. Cobalt is primarily used in lithium-ion batteries, powering devices like smartphones, laptops, and electric vehicles. These contributions position Chile as a dynamic player in global markets now and into the future. Population Chile has a population of 19.6 million people of which c. 68% are between the age of 15 - 64 years of age. c.19% of the population are under the age of 14. Chile’s population growth has been decreasing since 1990 due to a declining birth rate a thus this would be a long term concern for the sustainability of the workforce. Demographic and History Chile was colonized by the Spanish and the main language spoken here is Spanish. White non-indigenous now make up almost 90% of the population with the native Mapuche makes up most of the remaining 10%. However, a genetic study found that the average Chilean’s genes are approximately 35% Amerindian (native) and 64% Caucasian. Many Chileans self-identify as white, while others identify as mestizo or indigenous The Spanish colonization of Chile began in the 16th century when Spanish conquistadors started to explore and settle the region. Chile remained a colony until 1818, when it gained independence from Spain. During this period, the settlers focused on agriculture due to limited precious metal resources. The colony’s economic development was marked by exports of agricultural produce, saltpeter (potassium nitrate), and later, as we are aware copper. Peru GDP Growth Rate According to the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD), Peru’s GDP will rise to 2.3% in 2024 and 2.8% in 2025. These increases are supported by more favorable financial conditions and reduced inflation that will bolster domestic demand. Main Produce/Exports Peru has made significant strides in various sectors, becoming a major player on the global stage. Here are some notable areas where Peru stands out: Blueberries: In just a decade, Peru has transformed from having virtually zero blueberry plantations to becoming the world’s largest exporter of blueberries. With more than $1.36 billion worth of blueberries sold overseas last year, it ranks third in global production, behind only China and the US – however is the lead exporter. Copper: Peru is a significant copper producer, with major mines like Cerro Verde leading the way. Peru achieved a steady production of 2.75 million metric tons, surpassing the Democratic Republic of Congo and securing its position as the world’s second largest copper producer. Natural Gas: Pluspetrol Resources Corp, Hunt Consolidated, and Repsol are the largest producers of natural gas in Peru, contributing to the country’s energy sector. Agricultural Exports: While not the largest producer, Peru is a major exporter of agricultural products. For instance, it supplies a significant portion of the world’s asparagus and avocados. Peru supplies approximately 10% of the world’s avocados and around 20% of the global asparagus supply. Peru is the 2nd largest Avocado producer in the world. These achievements highlight Peru’s diverse contributions to the global economy. Population Peru has a population of 34.4 million people of which c.66% are between the age of 15 – 64 years of age. c.25% of the population are under the age of 14. . Peru’s population growth is driven by factors such as a historically higher birth rate than the death rate, urbanization, improved life expectancy, and immigration (people from Bolivia, Ecuador, and Colombia have moved to Peru for work and other reasons). The latter suggests that Peru is turning into a country of opportunity for many South Americans. Demographic and History Peru is a multiethnic country formed by the amalgamation of different cultures and ethnicities over thousands of years. The Spanish conquest of the Inca Empire was a pivotal campaign during the Spanish colonization of the Americas. In 1532, conquistador Francisco Pizarro and his allies captured the Inca emperor Atahualpa, marking the first step in a long campaign. Over decades of fighting, the Spanish ultimately triumphed in 1572, leading to the colonization of the region as the Viceroyalty of Peru. The conquest had far-reaching effects, including spin-off campaigns in present-day Chile and Colombia, as well as expeditions into the Amazon Basin. The Inca Empire, once spanning vast territories, was assimilated into the Spanish Empire Approximately 60% of Peruvians self-identify as Mestizos, representing mixed Spanish and Amerindian ancestry. Around 20% of the population identifies with Quechua heritage, while about 5% have European ancestry. Additionally, 3% of Peruvians have African roots, and 2% identify as Aymara’s. This rich ethnic diversity contributes to Peru’s unique culture and multicultural identity. Peruvians exhibit a fascinating genetic diversity shaped by their complex history. Let's explore some key findings: 1. Chachapoyas Resilience: Contrary to historical accounts, genetic and linguistic research suggests that the ancient Chachapoya people (referred to as "Warriors of the Clouds") fared better than previously believed. Despite Inca conquests and colonial rule, their cultural and genetic traces endured. The Chachapoyas' fortresses and sarcophagi in the Amazonian cloud forests remain a testament to their resilience. 2. Amerindian Ancestry: Modern Peruvians have predominantly Amerindian genetic ancestry. This includes indigenous populations from the Andean, Amazonian, and Coastal regions of Peru. 3. European Influence: Many Peruvians are descendants of Spanish settlers from the colonial era. Additionally, European ethnic groups (such as Italians, Germans, British, French, Irish, Dutch, Portuguese, Polish, and Croats) arrived in the 19th and 20th centuries, contributing to the genetic mix. 4. High-Altitude Adaptation: A genetic mutation in the EPAS1 gene helps Andean highlanders thrive at high altitudes by lowering haemoglobin levels in their blood. This adaptation allows them to cope with the challenges of living in mountainous regions. In summary, Peruvian genetics reflect a rich tapestry of indigenous heritage, European influence, and adaptations to diverse environments. Peru has the 2nd largest city in South America Its worth noting that the largest city in Peru, Lima (the capital) is the 2nd most populated city in the whole of South America with 10 million people after São Paulo in Brazil which has 22.8 million people. Founded in 1535 as the Ciudad de los Reyes (Spanish for “City of Kings”), it is situated in the valleys of the Chillón, Rímac, and Lurín Rivers, overlooking the Pacific Ocean. Lima serves as the political, cultural, financial, and commercial centre of the country. Now for some great charts for both Chile and Peru which suggest these countries indexed ETF’s will soar in coming months and years. 📈CHARTS iShares MSCI Chile ETF- AMEX:ECH The iShares MSCI Chile ETF (ECH) seeks to track the investment results of a broad-based index composed of the largest market cap weighted Chilean equities. As of the most recent data available, its top holdings include: 1.Sociedad Quimica Y Minera De Chile: A major chemical and mining company. 2.Banco De Chile: One of Chile’s largest banks. 3.Banco Santander Chile: Another prominent bank. 4.Empresas CMPC SA: A diversified company with interests in forestry, paper, and packaging. 5.Empresas COPEC SA: Involved in energy, forestry, and retail. 6.Enel Americas SA: A utility company. 7.Banco de Credito e Inversiones SA: A financial institution. 8.LATAM Airlines Group SA: A major airline. 9.Falabella SA: A retail conglomerate. These holdings represent a diverse mix of sectors within the Chilean economy. Lets look at the chart. Monthly Candlestick Chart ▫️ You can clearly see a pennant forming and compressing price. Bollinger bands are also very tight on this monthly chart suggesting a break out is looming. ▫️ You can observe a series of higher lows with wicks pressing up price which is major positive. ▫️ There is a great Risk to Reward trade structure which is essentially a 10:1 reward to risk trade. ▫️ A break above the Point of Control (the red line) would be a positive signal. The wind at our back in this trade As discussed above, factoring in that Chile is projected to have a 3% GDP growth in 2024 and holds a significant strategic mining position in providing 24% of the worlds copper during a tech boom, the country is likely to continue to perform, as will its major mining and agriculture companies in the coming years. Being the 2nd largest producer of Lithium globally (critical to the battery market) and aiming to be the 3rd largest producer of cobalt (critical to lithium-ion batteries) will further enrich and contribute to this budding economy. MSCI Peru NTR Index - $MPU! The MSCI Peru NTR Index is designed to measure the performance of the large and mid-cap segments of the Peruvian market. It covers approximately 85% of the Peruvian equity universe and consists of 3 main constituents. Here are the top three components of the index: 1.Credicorp: A major financial institution in Peru. 2.Southern Copper Corporation: A significant player in the mining industry, particularly in copper. 3.Buenaventura Minas ADR: A company engaged in mining and exploration activities. These constituents collectively are the main contribution to the index’s representation of the Peruvian equity market. •NTR: Net Total Return. This means the index accounts for dividends (income generated by holding the stocks) and adjusts for withholding taxes. ▫️ We can clearly observe an ascending triangle that has broken out to new all-time highs. ▫️ There is a stricter trade (only allowing for 4.5% downside) as it is only a 3:1 reward to risk but the trade has potential to be a 6:1 if the 1.618 fib ext level is reached. ▫️ Price could bounce at the recent lows at approx. $3,160 however that would be reaching towards an 8 ▫️ 10% loss that we cannot entertain on this trade as it only 3:1 reward to risk in lessor case scenario. It is worth noting that iShares also have Peru ETF Index which appears to suggest a breakout from a larger first forming pennant has occurred. The components for the index differ from the above. iShares MSCI Peru and Global Exposure ETF - AMEX:EPU This index has not performed as well as the above MSCI Peru NTR Index - $MPU!, however it provides a lower denomination at $51.43 a share and does suggests that a major breakout might be on the horizon, similar to the breakout on the NTR index. Could it just be following its tracks? The structure of the EPU is different to the MPU! In summary the difference between them is that the EPU generally only invests 80% of its assets into the component securities of the MSCI Peru All Capped Index whilst the remaining 20% (and this is main difference) can be, if warranted, more actively managed and utilised in futures, options, swap contracts, cash equivalents and securities not included but are believed to track or outperform the index. The chart looks very interesting: ▫️ We have a first formed long term pennant. What is so interesting is that the some other South American Countries like Brazil in the iShares Brazil Index AMEX:EWZ chart and the iShares Latin America 40 , all have similar pennant patterns forming but seem to be lagging and have not broken out. Could this suggest that Peru and Chile are leading all these pennants which will eventually lead to a Latin America Emerging Market major opportunity? Time will tell…but its looking promising. ▫️ The above chart has a short term 4:1 Reward to Risk with long term major upside potential. The wind at our back in this trade Peru is projected to have a to 2.3% GDP growth rate in 2024 increasing to 2.8% by 2025. Similar to Chile, Peru is a global leader in copper production coming in as the 2nd largest producer in the world after Chile. This means Peru will benefit from providing copper for the tech, AI and semiconductor boom much like Chile. Peru is also the largest exporter in the world of Blueberries and is the 2nd largest exporter of avocados. Peru hosts the 2nd most populous city in the whole of South America, Lima which has 10 million people, coming 2nd only to Sao Paulo in Brazil with 22.8 million people. Peru has population growth is considered to be increasing and people from Bolivia, Ecuador, and Colombia have been increasingly moving to Peru for work and other reasons. The latter suggests that Peru is turning into a country of opportunity for many South Americans. From a review of all of the above, Peru appears to be firmly in growth mode and is attracting people from neighbouring countries as one of the new burgeoning hubs of South America. Gold Production: Chile vs Peru. I am aware that copper is a by product of gold mining so I was curious was gold mining major in either countries, and was a copper, essentially just by product. Copper is more likely to be a byproduct of gold mining rather than the other way around. What I found was surprising. Chile is ranked 25th in the world for gold production whilst Peru is the world’s 9th largest gold producer accounting for approx. 3% of the global supply of gold. Leading gold producers in Peru include companies like Newmont, Pan American Silver, Hochschild Mining, Gold Fields, Compania De Minas Buenaventura SAA, and the infamous Glencore. This gives Peru quite the edge over Chile in terms of commodity diversity and quality. Notwithstanding this, Chile is undergoing promising exploration ventures at present and might in years to come become a notable gold miner/producer. We cant close off this Macro Monday without a review of the main commodity offered by Chile and Peru. Copper Futures - COMEX:HG1! Chart speaks for itself: ▫️ 10:1 reward to risk ▫️ Long term ascending triangle with 112% target ▫️ Pennant currently forming which when it breaks up or down will inform us whether to sit on our hands or pull out. ▫️ Limited 10% downside risk to a 100% potential return. ▫️ Beautiful chart demonstrating a series of higher lows with what appears to be congestion ahead of a breakout or…. Breakdown. And that’s it for this week folks, we have the wind at our backs for all of the above trades. All these charts are available on my TradingView Page and you can go to them at any stage over the next few years press play and you'll get the chart updated with the easy visual guide to see how Chile, Peru and the Copper Futures market are performing. I hope its helpful. PUKA
AMEX:ECH
by PukaCharts
Opening (IRA): EWZ Sept 20th 25 Short Put... for a .53 credit. Comments: In for a penny ... . In for a pound. With the July 19th 28 short put looking ripe for assignment (it's still got time, so you never know), adding a rung here out in Sept (there is no August monthly yet). The current position is a Dec 20th 29 Covered Call with a 28.44 break even, a July 19th 28 short put, and a Sept 20th 25 short put. I'll look to add a rung in August once it becomes available, assuming I can get in at strikes better than what I currently have on ... .
AMEX:EWZLong
by NaughtyPines
Macro Monday 46 - South America Indexes Signaling Major Trend Macro Monday 46 Emerging Chart Trend in South America and Brazil Brazil is the largest economy in South America, followed by Argentina, Chile, Colombia, and Peru. These 5 countries together hold a huge 90% share of the South American economy. Today we will look at index charts for South America and Brazil to get an overall initial technical picture from a price standpoint of the aggregate in these regions. IShares Latin America 40 ETF - AMEX:ILF The iShares Latin America 40 ETF (ILF) is a collection of the 40 largest Latin American equities by market cap. The index is heavily weighted in Financial Services which makes up 33% of the Index. Basic materials form 19% and Energy makes up 15% of the Index allocation. Interestingly NUBank NYSE:NUS has a large c.6% holding within the index. This is a stock I hold that has performed incredibly well and I have shared many bullish charts on NU. Incredible that a relatively New Bank has grown large enough to make it into the top 5 holdings here. The Top 5 companies in the ILF Index are: 1. Vale S.A. NYSE:VALE : 9.3% Allocation. This company is a global leader in iron ore production and the second-largest nickel producer (Basic Materials). 2. Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras NYSE:PBR : 7.6% Allocation. Known as Petrobras, this is a multinational corporation in the petroleum industry (Energy). 3. Itaú Unibanco Holding S.A. $ITUB. 6.5% Allocation. Itaú Unibanco is one of the largest banks in Brazil, providing a range of financial products and services (Financial Services). 4. Nu Holdings Ltd. NYSE:NU : 5.84% Allocation. Nu Holdings is a financial technology company that offers banking services and is known for its digital banking platform, Nubank (Financial Services). 5. Grupo Financiero Banorte, S.A.B. de C.V. SKILLING:GFNORTEO.MX : 5.36% Allocation. Banorte is one of the largest and most prominent financial institutions in Mexico (Financial Services) The Latin America 40 ILF Char SUBJECT CHART ABOVE What jumps from this chart? ▫️ Firstly we appear to forming a long term pennant style flag from which a break up is more likely than a break down. ▫️ We have been rejected from the upper diagonal line repeatedly and if we break above this line it would be a very good indication of an initial trend change. ▫️ We have dashed underside diagonal support line warns of lower prices if broken (historically has been useful). ▫️ We are above the 200 week SMA at present and we are challenging the PointOfControl (POC) Line. Summary South America 40 Index As this is a long term pennant style flag from a major increase in price action in the early 2000’s, a break above the long term diagonal resistance line would be a major signal of the beginning of a new bullish trend, keep in mind that such a price move would also demonstrate a break above POC (strong trading range to hold as support). We need to watch the diagonal underside support line (dashed line) for a break lower which would be an indication of significant weakness. Either direction will give us a good signal of how the largest companies in Latin America are performing and by extension South America. Now lets look at the largest performing country in South America, Brazil. Brazil Brazil is the 8th largest economy in the world and the only country in South America to make it into the top 10 world’s economies. Brazil is the top contributor to South American nominal GDP accounting for 61% of the increase in the South American economy (Int. $264 bn). In 2nd and 3rd place are Colombia (Int. $50 bn) and Peru (Int. $25 bn) with much lower contributions. Brazil’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the year 2023 grew 2.9% and is expected to grow by c. 2% in 2024, lower is anticipated mainly as a result of the delayed effects of monetary tightening. Brazil is considered a key financial center for South America. It has the largest economy in the region and is home to a number of significant financial institutions and stock exchanges. São Paulo, in particular, is recognized as the financial capital of Brazil and is a primary hub for international business activity in the country. Brazil is also a leading producer of a host of minerals, including iron ore, tin, bauxite (the ore of aluminum), manganese, gold, quartz, and diamonds and other gems, and it exports vast quantities of steel, automobiles, electronics, and consumer goods. iShares MSCI Brazil ETF - AMEX:EWZ The iShares Brazil ETF (EWZ) seeks to track the investment results of an index composed of Brazilian equities. The ETF tracks a free float-adjusted market capitalization-weighted index designed to measure the performance of the large- and mid-capitalization segments of the equity market in Brazil. All this means is that Larger companies have a bigger impact on the index’s performance. The index is heavily weighted in Financial Services which makes up 25% of the Index. Energy at 22% and Basic materials at 16.6% of the Index allocation are 2nd and 3rd after Financial Services. The Top 5 companies in the ILF Index are: 1. Vale S.A. NYSE:VALE 3.SA : 11.3% Allocation. This is a mining company and one of the largest producers of iron ore and nickel in the world (Basic Materials) 2. Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras $PETR4.SA & $PETR3.SA: 10.1% Allocation. Commonly known as Petrobras, this state-controlled company is involved in the energy sector, primarily focusing on the exploration, production, and distribution of oil and gas (Energy). 3. Itaú Unibanco Holding S.A. $ITUB4.SA: 8.3% Allocation. Itaú Unibanco is one of the largest financial conglomerates in the Southern Hemisphere (Financial Services) 4. Banco Bradesco S.A. $BBDC4.SA: 8.0% Allocation. This is another major player in the Brazilian financial market, offering a wide range of banking and financial services (Financial Services) 5. WEG S.A. $WEGE3.SA: 3.5% Allocation. WEG is an industrial company that operates globally in the electric engineering, power, and automation technology areas (Industrials). The EWZ Chart What jumps from this chart? ▫️ Firstly we appear to forming a long term pennant from which a break up is more likely than a break down IMO. ▫️ We have been rejected from the upper diagonal line repeatedly and if we break above this line it would be a very good indication of an initial trend change. ▫️ We have dashed underside diagonal support line warns of lower prices if broken (historically has been useful). ▫️ We have yet to break above the 200 week SMA and we are challenging the PointOfControl (POC) Line. Summary Brazil Index A break above the long term diagonal resistance line would be a major signal of the beginning of a new bullish trend, keep in mind that such a price move would also demonstrate a break above POC (strong trading range to hold as support). We need to watch the diagonal underside support line (dashed line) for a break lower which would be an indication of significant weakness. Either direction will give us a good signal of how the largest companies in Brazil are performing and by extension South America (as Brazil is thee major contributor to South America. Overall Overall IF the Latin America ETF and the Brazil ETF break out of their respective pennants to higher levels and find support prior diagonal resistance lines, the 200 weekly SMA, and the POC, this could indicate a bullish trend in South America for years to come. It would then be worthwhile to then look at companies within Brazil and South America for trading and investing opportunities. All these charts are available on my Tradingview Page and you can go to them at any stage over the next few years press play and you'll get the chart updated with the easy visual guide to see how the South America market has performed. I hope its helpful. PUKA
AMEX:ILFLong
by PukaCharts
The Day Ahead: GDXJ, FXI, EWZ, GDX Premium SellingIt's Friday, and the last trading day of September ... . Here's what's at the top of my IV screener in the exchange-traded fund space: TQQQ, IVR/IV 23.3/64.2% GDXJ, 22.7/36.4% (2.52% yield) FXI, 12.5/33.4% (2.26% yield) EWZ, 11.1/31.9% (10.9% yield) GDX, 26.0/31.5% (2.23% yield) You'll notice that everything is still pretty much in the lower one-quarter of the IV range over the past 52 weeks, but there are a few instruments have popped above 30% 30-day. If you're big on divvies, EWZ stands out, but one potential drawback for some may be that it only distributes biannually in June and December. In the broad market exchange-traded fund space: QQQ, IVR/IV 22.2/22.3% with the shortest duration <16 delta strike that pays 1% of the strike price in the December 15th (the 321, paying 3.30 at the mid) IWM, 21.6/20.8%, with the shortest duration <16 delta strike that pays 1% of the strike price in the December 15th (the 162, paying 1.72) SPY, 22.1/17.1%, with the shortest duration <16 delta strike that pays 1% of the strike price in the January 19th contract (the 385, paying 3.91). You can naturally opt for shorter duration and be more aggressive with your delta, with the trade-off being that you may end up being assigned shares more frequently or have to manage in-the-money's via roll, which is not the funnest way to manage a tested short put, depending how deep in-the-money it is. (I'm talking mostly about what I do strategically in my retirement account, which is short put/acquire/cover or "wheel"). Me Personally ... . I pretty much mechanically put on the shortest duration <16 delta strikes paying around 1% in broad market (IWM, QQQ, SPY) on a weekly basis, so am going to do that today, assuming I don't already have rungs camped out where I'd want to pitch my tent with a secondary consideration being whether the contract represents a better strike than what I've currently got on. And, in spite of the short term pain I'm experiencing in my attempt to acquire TLT shares at these levels, I'll probably also add in a rung (or two), since I have a maximal buying power that I want to devote to that position, and I'm not there yet. The probable result at the moment is that I will be assigned various lots at various strikes and will have to cover (i.e., sell call against) at various durations, some of which may be quite long-dated with my current highest strike at the 94 (in the November 17th) and the lowest at the 84 (in the December 15th). Naturally, were I to have followed my initial plan as to when I wanted to start picking up shares, (See Post Below), I would be "less red" ... .
NASDAQ:TLTLong
by NaughtyPines
EWZ Brazil, a commodities proxy is now in Wave 3 of IIIWith the current fear of recession & rising inflation in the US, a lot of funds will be flowing outside into emerging markets, China & also Brazil which is rich in commodities especially now that the dollar seems to be peaking out as foreign markets slowly becomes more attractive to invest in. EWZ may retrace down first to fill the gap at 33.65 green line. A bounce from here will enable a near 20% rally to the 0.618 red zone at 40 to 42.43. 42.43 will be a strong pivot point since it is the intersection of the 0.50 red dotted FIB level of my slanted FIB CHANNEL with 1.272 FIB of the recent wave 2. EWZ is currently in the wave 3 of 3 of a larger wave III. Not trading advice
AMEX:EWZLong
by xtremerider8
EWZ Long Term PlayOne of my followers asked me for a long term play, here's one. EWZ (Brazil) is still at the same level as 2008. It's in a pennant and looks like it will break upward. Why? What does 2022 and 2007 have in common? High oil and commodity prices. Materials and Energy is 40% of EWZ plus the currency is rallying because of oil. I suppose you can play DBC (commodity index fund) instead if you prefer or both. DBC is now finally back to 2007 levels. Now that I think about it, it probably makes sense to park my money in DBC as an inflation hedge.
AMEX:EWZ
by hungry_hippo