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$TM 220 - 240 - 25O AFTER EARNINGS ?NYSE:TM 220 - 240 - 25O AFTER EARNINGS ? 6 REASONS !! Strong Quarterly Earnings: Toyota has shown strong financial performance in the recent past, with its profit in the latest quarter jumping nearly threefold from a year ago as vehicle sales grew globally. This indicates a strong demand for Toyota's vehicles and the company's ability to capitalize on this demand, which could positively impact its stock price. Increased Net Profit Forecast: Toyota ramped up its annual net profit forecast to $26.1 billion after reporting it more than doubled in the first six months of the year. This indicates the company's confidence in its future performance, which could boost investor confidence and drive up the stock price. Record High Stock Price: Toyota's shares hit a record high after reporting strong earnings and raising its fiscal-year earnings forecast. This shows that the market responds positively to Toyota's financial performance, and further strong earnings could lead to a higher stock price. Year-on-Year Earnings Growth: Despite a recent decline in earnings quarter-on-quarter, Toyota's earnings are up +97% year-on-year. This indicates a strong recovery and growth trajectory, which could lead to a higher stock price in the future. Positive Market Sentiment: The market's response to Toyota's earnings reports has generally been positive, with the stock price rising after strong earnings reports. This suggests that if Toyota continues to report strong earnings, the market could respond positively, potentially pushing the stock price towards $250. Dividend Yield: Toyota pays an annual dividend of $5.10 per share and currently has a dividend yield of 2.38%. This could attract investors looking for stable returns, potentially driving up the stock price.
NYSE:TMLong
by NYRUNSGLOBAL
Euro/USD Weekly Outlook | Fundamentally & TechnicallyShortThe euro fell further to $0.97 during the second week of October, closing close on a 20-year low of $0.95 set on September 27th after a positive US employment report boosted the currency and supported Federal Reserve interest rate increases. This occurred after a positive US employment report boosted the currency and supported Federal Reserve interest rate increases. The persistent concerns over an imminent recession in the Eurozone continue to put pressure on the euro, which makes it more difficult for the European Central Bank (ECB) to tighten monetary policy. The financial markets are expecting the European Central Bank (ECB) to raise interest rates significantly at its meetings in October and December, despite the possibility that the rate-hike cycle could slow down in 2019. According to the most current economic figures, August was the third month in a row in which retail sales in the bloc fell. The most recent PMI readings were consistent with the idea that GDP was falling, and that the rate of decline accelerated during the third quarter. If the energy situation continues to deteriorate, the outlook for winter is most likely going to grow even more dire. The Euro-Dollar Exchange Rate (EUR/USD) is expected to be trading around 0.96 by the time the current quarter comes to a close, according to global economic models and the estimates of industry experts. In a year's time, we think it will trade at $0.92, which is our prediction for the future. In July of 1973, the Euro-Dollar Exchange Rate (EUR/USD) reached an all-time high of 1.87. This was the highest level it had ever reached in its history. On January 1, 1999, the euro was officially recognized as a currency across the European Union. However, if we use the weighted average of the previous currencies, we may produce fictional historical values for many older time periods. This is because the weighted average takes into account more recent values.
Short
by TayFx
Uncertainty Grips Markets as Optimism WanesMarket sentiment has deteriorated since earlier this year amid still elevated financial vulnerabilities and mounting concerns about risks to inflation. Amid the prolonged and painful pandemic, risks to global financial stability have remained contained—so far. But with economic optimism fading, and with financial vulnerabilities intensifying, this is a time for careful policy calibration. To an unprecedented degree, the world’s central banks, finance ministries, and international financial institutions have asserted—for a year and a half—policy support for economic growth. Now they must craft strategies that safely approach the next stage of monetary and fiscal policy action. The sense of optimism that had propelled markets in the first half of the year is at risk of fading. The world’s systemically important central banks know that any unintended consequences of their actions could put growth at risk—and could, conceivably, lead to abrupt adjustments in the world’s financial markets. Uncertainty is especially intense because of the persistent pandemic-stricken atmosphere where society confronts the challenges inherent in “the three Cs”: COVID-19, crypto, and climate change, as discussed in our latest Global Financial Stability Report. Fading optimism Massive monetary and fiscal policy support for the economy in 2020 and 2021 helped limit the economic contraction that began at the start of the pandemic and that—for much of this year—supported a strong economic rebound. In many advanced economies, financial conditions have eased since the initial months of the pandemic. Nonetheless, the sense of optimism that had propelled markets in the first half of the year is at risk of fading. Investors have become increasingly worried about the economic outlook, amid ever-greater uncertainty about the strength of the recovery. Uneven vaccine access, along with the mutations of the COVID-19 virus, have led to a resurgence of infections—fueling concerns about more divergent economic prospects across countries. Inflation readings have been above expectations in many countries. And new uncertainties in some major economies have put markets on alert. Those uncertainties are triggered by financial vulnerabilities that could increase downside risks, surging commodity prices, and policy uncertainty. The deterioration in market sentiment since the April 2021 Global Financial Stability Report resulted in a significant decline in global long-term nominal yields in the summer, driven by falling real rates, reflecting concerns about long-term-growth prospects. In late September, however, investor anxiety about inflationary pressures pushed yields higher as price pressures then started to be seen as potentially more persistent than initially anticipated in some countries—entirely reversing the earlier declines. If investors, at some point, reassess abruptly the economic and policy outlook, financial markets could endure a sudden repricing of risk—and that repricing, if sustained, could interact with underlying vulnerabilities, leading to a tightening of financial conditions. This could put economic growth at risk. Risks also bear close monitoring in other key areas. Crypto asset markets are growing rapidly and crypto asset prices remain highly volatile. Financial stability risks are not yet systemic in the crypto ecosystem, but risks should be closely monitored, given the global monetary implications and the inadequate operational and regulatory frameworks in most jurisdictions—especially in emerging market and developing economies. Likewise, as the world continues to seek ways to speed up the transition to a low-greenhouse-gas economy in order to avoid the negative economic and financial stability outcomes associated with climate change, a promising opportunity is emerging in the financial sector. While assets under management in climate-themed investment funds remain relatively small, inflows have surged, and there is a promise of cheaper funding costs for climate-friendly firms, as well as greater climate stewardship by funds. A not-so-easy trade-off Amid still easy financial conditions overall, our analysis finds that financial vulnerabilities continue to be elevated in several sectors—but are masked, in part, by the massive policy stimulus. Policymakers are now confronted with a challenging trade-off: They must continue to provide near-term support to the global economy, even as they must simultaneously try to avoid the buildup of medium-term financial-stability risks. Managing this trade-off is a key challenge confronting policymakers. A prolonged period of extremely easy financial conditions during the pandemic—which certainly has been needed to sustain the economic recovery—has allowed overly stretched asset valuations to persist. If that overstretch continues, it may, in turn, intensify financial vulnerabilities. Some warning signs—for example, increased financial risk-taking, as well as rising fragilities in the nonbank financial institutions sector—point to a deterioration in the underlying foundations of financial stability. If left unchecked, such vulnerabilities may persist into the longer term and become structural issues. Policy action Policymakers will need action plans that guard against unintended consequences. Monetary and fiscal policy support should be more targeted and tailored to country-specific circumstances, given the varying pace of the recovery across countries. Central banks will need to provide clear guidance about their future approach to monetary policy, aiming to avoid an unwarranted or abrupt tightening of financial conditions. Monetary authorities should remain vigilant, and if price pressures turn out to be more persistent than anticipated, act decisively to avoid an unmooring of inflation expectations. Fiscal support can appropriately shift toward more targeted measures and be tailored to country-specific characteristics. Policymakers should take early action and tighten selected macroprudential tools to target pockets of elevated vulnerabilities. This is critical for addressing the potential unintended consequences of their unprecedented measures, given the possible need for prolonged policy support to ensure a sustainable recovery. Policymakers in emerging and frontier markets should, where possible, begin to rebuild fiscal buffers and implement structural reforms. While facing several domestic challenges (higher inflation and fiscal concerns), some of those economies remain exposed to the risk of a sudden tightening in external financial conditions. In a context of higher price pressures, investors are now pricing in a rapid and fairly sharp tightening cycle for many emerging markets, although the increase in inflation is expected to be temporary. Rebuilding buffers and implementing enduring reforms to boost economic growth prospects will be pivotal to protect against the risk of capital-flow reversals and an abrupt increase in financing costs. IMF - blogs.imf.org
ICEUS:DX1!
by HK_L61
4
Mastering the dividend cycleECA Marcellus Trust is an example of an extremely high-dividend stock. Because of its high dividend that comes every three months, the stock moves in predictable cycles. The stock gets bought by dividend miners during the lead-up to a dividend, and then it sells off afterward. There are about 61 trading days between ex-dividends. The low typically comes sometime between day 21 and day 41 after the ex-dividend date, and the high comes on day 60. This cycle offers an excellent opportunity to make a fairly predictable profit. Even this last, relatively small upswing was worth nearly 35% if you bought at the halfway point between dividend dates and sold the day before ex-dividend. It's usually a good idea not to actually take the dividend, because the stock will lose more share price overnight than the dividend is worth. (To take the dividend, you have to own the stock at the start of pre-market trading on the ex-dividend date.) It's worth pointing out that ECA Marcellus Trust is a risky stock. Its dividend distributions vary depending on the price of natural gas and the output of the wells. The output of the wells declines about 8% per year, and the Trust itself expires in July 2021, at which point the stock becomes worthless. So you can expect the swings to get smaller over time, and the stock's average share price to decline at an accelerating rate. Still, there's an opportunity here for a well-timed play, and its predictability makes it pretty attractive.
E
by ChristopherCarrollSmith
Time to buy BMW? Day before ex-dividend dateBMW entered a bullish trend back in 13 May 2016, when it paid the dividend of 2016. Yesterday was at minimums of 2013 if we do not take into account Brexit effect on 2016. Today is the day before the ex-dividend date of 2019 and it offers a dividend yield of 5.12%. Nonetheless, it's worth reminding that BMW's 2018 Earnings where -16.9% YoY so in case you happen to buy shares today, do not hold them for long. A positive point for the auto sector is that Trump will delay tariffs on autos 6 months from now. Therefore, we might expierence some volatility with BMW stock and it could have a trend reversal right from today up to levels of 74-75€. So the final conclusion would be: Buy today, seize the dividend this month and sell in 5-6 months time depending on market news.
XETR:BMWLong
by alexinve
1