Litecoin LTC75% of LTC miners are ready to support the MimbleWimble update. If nothing changes, then the network update may be activated in about 30-35 days - David Burkett, the engineer who works on the implementation of the MimbleWimble protocol (MWEB). MimbleWimble will increase fungibility and privacy.
Best regards,
EXCAVO
Excavo
Bitcoin started the next bull cycle Hello, I want to take a closer look at Bitcoin's price weekly logarithmic chart.
Firstly, the chart examines growth and fall cycles, sometimes referred to as economic cycles or trade cycles. As you can see in my analysis, the growth cycle usually lasts approximately 150 weeks and is always longer than the fall cycle that spans out over the course of approximately 51-60 weeks.
150 bars on Bitcoin's weekly price chart, mark the beginning of a next pulse of the growth cycle that we are currently in. Everything in our life is based on cyclical patterns, especially when it comes to financial markets.
If we analyze the rise and fall, we can conclude that the fall occurs faster than the growth of about three times.
Based on Kondratieff's scientific works on periodic waves theory, that refines up and down movements of the modern world economy, we can predict that Bitcoin is yet to go through another 3-4 annual cycles. As many already know, all theories that have worked effectively in traditional financial markets will be carried out into cryptocurrency markets. But until Bitcoin will cross $6,000 price mark, nothing is set in stone.
In this bear market that lasted 51 weeks, a lower channel was formed, which has been broken by a strong impulse movement and high volumes. But at the top, there is a serious mirror resistance level in the region of $5,800-$6,000. The MA50 and 100 also have to be broken in order to keep the momentum
An ascending triangle figure is also emerging on the Bitcoin price chart, which could potentially signal upward breakout. Since there are a lot of good news about cryptocurrency and, especially Bitcoin, this could be a unique investment opportunity for the next four years.
DAOs – The Next Big Trend in Crypto 2022What is DAO?
DAO (Decentralized Autonomous Organization) is a methodology for quickly organizing a large group of people to achieve specific goals and tasks.
In DAO, control is distributed among all team members, rather than one main figure. Most modern companies, or any kind of enterprise, have a strict, hierarchical, vertical management structure with bosses, presidents, and boards of directors. Decentralized organizations have a flatter management system, where each person has a voice and the ability to put forward a proposal to change or improve the organization.
The classic daily functioning of an autonomous organization implies the absence of intermediaries and full or partial automation. Everything is executed and written using smart contracts. The number of votes a DAO member has - can be measured by the number of governance tokens in his wallet. Also, an equal vote can be held, where everyone has one, equal vote, or a quadratic vote distribution scheme is applicable, etc. Blockchain and smart contracts guarantee transparency and no falsification.
Why do you need it?
Already, most of the crypto projects and investment funds are DAOs or are switching to this type of management. By understanding their structure, you will better understand the market. DAO is politics and democracy. Politics can be interesting too, especially when it is transparent, and your decisions influence something. DAOs bring money not only to their creators but also to ordinary members of the community. Organizations have their funds and grants. If you know various fields, organizations, and management skills, as well as a desire to take part in the development of web 3.0, then DAO is your chance for implementation.
How does DAO work?
Each organization has its own goals and objectives. The tasks that are assigned to the DAO are called mandates. For example: developing a network, attracting new supporters and users, mobilizing community activity, creating and maintaining content to promote projects and infrastructure in general. The direct execution of the mandates will be carried out by the Guardians.
The DAO is community-driven and it is the core principle it is built on. However, a structure is important for any community where each person takes on a specific role and understands his area of responsibility. To structure the community, custodians are elected by voting in the DAO for a certain period. During the selection period of the custodians, every member of the community can nominate himself by providing a small resume about himself. The main task of the custodians is to organize the voting process and carry out the decisions made. Each of the custodians has their competence and area of responsibility for the implementation of mandates. Custodians are also responsible for the DAO fund (treasury) - money that is spent to achieve the goals indicated in the mandates. To spend treasury money, you need at least six out of nine Guardian votes. For this, a multi-signature system was created in the blockchain wallet. Where treasury money will be invested is decided, like everything else, by voting.
Only stakeholders have access to management and participation in voting. Voting takes place on the blockchain and is completely transparent. In a first ballot, nine curators were selected to organize the subsequent work of the DAO.
The community is the main and only governing body and driving force in the DAO. As with any organization, all community members who contribute to a common goal are fairly rewarded. DAO is the structure of the organization that is ideal for committed and committed people who are ready to invest in a common cause. All positions and employees are generously paid. You will find your role in the DAO, even if you are just ready to come up with bold ideas, answer questions in chat, or like politics. Any people interested in developing a common cause and forming a community will be able to realize their potential.
Trends 2022 - DAO
DAOs are one of the most important constructs in cryptocurrency, and they will change every aspect of economics, politics, and possibly
even your social life in the coming years. If 2020 was all about DeFi and 2021 was about NFT, then 2022 will be the year of the DAO.
The backbone of the Web3 economy and the wild world of the DAO is your wallets, which are like your personal data stores. Whether it's Metamask or Coinbase on Ethereum, Phantom on Solana, TerraStation on Terra, or something else. The tokens in these vaults give you access to cryptocurrency and will become more and more important in the coming years. In five years, people may be looking at the current wallet landscape and grinning at how primitive we were, but some solutions (eg Zapper, Zerion) show how we are getting closer to the time when our wallets can act as universal identifiers and data managers.
Will DAOs exacerbate poor workforce dynamics that are already a problem for other service providers in the gig economy? Perhaps, there are many more positive aspects than negative ones. Early contributors will at least participate in improving the performance of the platform they are helping to create, even if those platforms result in variable labor costs. In any case, Web3 tokens are impossible not to invent. You will be working in DAO someday. Better to start now, while the alpha is at its highest.
In some jurisdictions, it will become illegal to work for an unregistered DAO. On the other hand, other jurisdictions are likely to invite DAO employees with unique tax codes that take into account the difficulty of obtaining taxes without employer and bank oversight.
Providing better treasury analytics to communities can significantly improve governance decision-making. It's not just the best treasury management practices, but also in the absence of professional treasury managers. The arrival of qualified financial managers for the DAO opens up great market opportunities and will help protocols be prudently diversified to ensure they are well-capitalized under all market conditions.
The open and permissive nature of blockchain has led to a monumental shift that is redefining the relationship between protocols and their investors. Token Terminal (fundamental data), The Graph (on-net data), Nansen (fund flows), Dune Analytics (aggregated metrics), DeFiLlama (TVL), and Messari (market data and offline events) are essential tools today to help users get a complete picture of what is happening in the market.
Venture DAOs are already hot and by 2025 one of the most active and largest venture capital funds with a large volume of assets will become a DAO. We also began to see DAO mergers and acquisitions gain traction. The next frontier could be the acquisition of Web2 by Web3.
Most projects aspire to become DAOs, as this type of management brings money not only to the creators but also to ordinary members of the community. Possessing useful skills and knowledge, having the opportunity to influence DAO decisions regarding organization funds (funds, grants, etc.) and other issues within the framework of their transparent policy, everyone gets a chance to implement their ideas.
Best regards EXCAVO
Velas - VLXVelas is the Fastest EVM/eBPF Hybrid Chain of Solana and EVM, and this way inherited the best from both: Up to 75 000 TPS, 1.2 - second finality, extremely low fees and EVM/Solidity support. And surely, if Velas is a new promising platform for DeFi applications, then of course an analog of DAI is needed in this space, given what it is for DeFi on Ethereum. It is this niche that they are striving to fill with the VeleroDAO project and USDV stablecoin — an analog of DAI from MakerDAO. It will be the most serious infrastructure project for the Velas ecosystem that is in the spirit of the open Internet Web 3.0, completely decentralized.
Recently, Velas team designed a 100 mln grant program for developers and projects running on Velas.
The infrastructure of VELAS is now developing so rapidly:
BitOrbit - The first decentralized social media platform on Velas chain;
Velaspad - lauchpad for Velas ecosystem;
Wagyuswap - DEX;
Swapz - a cross-chain stablecoin swapping platform.
They have a strategic partner —Bluezilla Incubator which has shown incredible results over the past year. The incubates projects ATHs:
1290x - MetaVPad
630x - Velhalla
527x - AstroSwap
410x - KCCPad
380x - PulsePad
360x - ADAPad
329x - BSCPad
304x - WagyuSwap
276x - VELASPad
255x - TRONPad
214x - Bitorbit
212x - NFTLaunch
206x - GameZone
197x - CrossWallet
184x - Aioz
166x - ETHPad
121x - BSCStation
99x - CrossSwap
87x - BlindBoxes
38x - Swapz
I think they will give a boost to the Velas ecosystem.
Best regards,
EXCAVO
Crypto 2022
The 2021 year has passed.
In one picture, the results with the % growth of the year.
It is all behind us now - history. We are unlikely to see the same top-list next year. So we need to concentrate on the potential projects to get a comparable result.
I love my community. I'm sharing my top picks for 2022.
No Big Caps
Wallet
$TGT - twitter.com
$XDEFI - twitter.com
$BRD - twitter.com
Digital credentials
$KILT - twitter.com
$CHEQ - twitter.com
Privacy
$SCRT - twitter.com
$NYM - twitter.com
$ZKP - twitter.com
$KMA - twitter.com
$CCX - twitter.com
$BEAM & $BEAMX - twitter.com
AMM & DEX
$GNS - twitter.com
$SPHRI - twitter.com
$XFIT - twitter.com
$HFT - twitter.com
$WANNA - twitter.com
Cross-chain bridge
$RELAY - twitter.com
$ABR - twitter.com
NO TOKEN yet live twitter.com
DeFi Investment Banking & Savings
$NORD - twitter.com
$UMEE - twitter.com
$YEL - twitter.com
$ICE - twitter.com
$TIME - twitter.com
$FOX - twitter.com
$PARA - twitter.com
$SKU - twitter.com
$KAR - twitter.com
Liquidity
$ROSE twitter.com
$RUNE twitter.com
$VADER twitter.com
$SIS twitter.com
$BSX twitter.com
$BFC twitter.com
Lending & Borrowing
$GEIST twitter.com
$MPL twitter.com
$SCREAM twitter.com
$OXY twitter.com
$WARP twitter.com
$SWING twitter.com
Yield Aggregator
$QUARTZ twitter.com
$IDLE twitter.com
$RVF twitter.com
$RBN twitter.com
$CHESS twitter.com
$STF twitter.com
Derivatives
$dYdX twitter.com
$VEGA twitter.com
twitter.com
twitter.com
Tokenization
$CFG & $AIR twitter.com
$COVAL twitter.com
$NAOS twitter.com
Coding
$ISP twitter.com
$CTSI twitter.com
$RAD twitter.com
$BEPRO twitter.com
$ASTR twitter.com
$XRD twitter.com
#Agoric
twitter.com
EVM
$AURORA twitter.com
$VLX twitter.com
$MOVR twitter.com
$SDN twitter.com
$GLMR twitter.com
$ACALA twitter.com
$CLV twitter.com
Layer 1
$MTRG twitter.com
$SAITO twitter.com
$QANX twitter.com
$TARA twitter.com
$CSPR twitter.com
$XRD twitter.com
$HTR twitter.com
$DUSK twitter.com
Layer 2
$BOBA twitter.com
$METIS twitter.com
$IMX twitter.com
$MUTE twitter.com
Stablecoins
$FXS twitter.com
$FLX twitter.com
$SILK twitter.com
$UXD twitter.com
$DJED twitter.com
$USDV twitter.com
Oracle
$LINK twitter.com
$API3 twitter.com
$KYL twitter.com
$UMB twitter.com
$LITH twitter.com
DATA
$OCEAN twitter.com
$MDT twitter.com
$SWASH twitter.com
$KYVE twitter.com
Storage & Computing
$FLUX twitter.com
$STACK twitter.com
$AKASH twitter.com
$ZCN twitter.com
$EPK twitter.com
$KHALA & $PHA twitter.com
AI services
$AGIX twitter.com
$SDAO twitter.com
$CQT twitter.com
$VAI twitter.com
Media Content
$COS twitter.com
$MLT twitter.com
$VRA twitter.com
$NUM twitter.com
Metaverse
$GF twitter.com
$MC twitter.com
$REAL twitter.com
$VR twitter.com
$MONA twitter.com
CEX
$WOO twitter.com
$LCX twitter.com
Best regards EXCAVO
Basic Attention Token (BAT)Basic Attention Token (BAT) - the crypto asset for the Internet economy.
BAT is the token that powers a new blockchain-based digital advertising platform designed to fairly reward users for their attention, while providing advertisers with a better return on their ad spend.
Overview
⦁ Brendan Eich, founder and CEO of BAT, is an American technologist and creator of the JavaScript programming language. He co-founded the Mozilla project and served as the Mozilla Corporation's chief technical and executive officer. He is the CEO of Brave Software that developed the Brave (web browser).
⦁ Brave provides a way for users to send cryptocurrency contributions in the form of Basic Attention Tokens (BAT) to websites and content creators along with the ability to keep the cryptocurrency they earned. At the same time the BAT technology can be integrated into any other browser.
⦁ BAT’s mission is to monetize user attention and remove all the other needless expenditure related to ad networks. It connects advertisers, publishers, and users, creating a new, efficient marketplace. The token is derived from or denominated by user attention. Attention is really just focused mental engagement on an advertisement.
⦁ According to a Bloomberg report published on 17 March 2021, U.S.-based digital assets titan Grayscale has launched a BAT crypto-based trust.
⦁ On 18 March 2021 Brave announced that BAT, explores multiple blockchains as a part of its Themis initiative and is now also available on Binance Smart Chain (BSC) as wrapped BAT. BAT holders can use numerous bridges that connect Ethereum and Binance Smart Chain to participate in the DeFi ecosystem on BSC.
Features:
⦁ BAT system is integrated in Brave which has 29M monthly active users and 9.8M daily active users . It is also extremely fast. On your computer, Brave loads pages 3x as fast as Google Chrome .
⦁ Brave DEX Aggregator: Brave brings DeFi to everyone through a new decentralized exchange aggregator to enable token swaps with distinct advantages and added value for Brave/BAT users.
⦁ Privacy : The user’s browsing data is kept completely private. All the information that one would need for ad-matching will, as a result, be unavailable. Third-party trackers are also blocked automatically.
⦁ BAT is traded on multiple markets, including Coinbase PRO that allows all U.S. based residents to legally obtain this coin. This gives institutional investors a direct access to BAT.
⦁ BAT also includes:
⦁ DeFi token swaps, lending, saving token swaps, liquidity pools etc;
⦁ Gaming event utility, NFTs, gameplay;
⦁ Philanthropy donations on-chain to over +100 causes;
⦁ E-commerce shop with BAT.
Exchanges:
Coinbase Pro, Binance, Huobi Global, Uniswap, Bithumb, Kraken, Kucoin, Gemini, Bittrex, Gate.io, etc.
BAT/BTC
From coinmarketcap:
Max: 1,500,000,000 BAT
Circulating Supply: 1,492,816,441 BAT (99.5%)
Thank you Angel $AAA
Best regards EXCAVO
Dfinity -ICP Internet ComputerInternet Computer is a third-generation blockchain developed by Dfinity. One of the goals of which is the creation of a decentralized Internet. Internet Computer is based on the new programming language Motoko. It is open-source that supports advanced work with smart contracts and the creation of scalable, high-performance decentralized applications and services.
At the moment, the Dfinity team has more than 200 employees. There are a lot of famous personalities. ICP aims to create a "blockchain singularity" in which every system and service is rebuilt and reimagined using smart contracts and runs entirely on the public blockchain without the need for traditional IT. Project management is largely under the control of the Internet Computer community. In addition, Internet Computer will use its so-called chain key cryptography to integrate with Bitcoin, paving the way for smart contracts with native BTC addresses to be hosted on Internet Computer.
What is an ICP token?
The ICP token provides gas to the network and allows holders to vote on proposals that will shape the future of Internet Computer. Users create "voting neurons" that allow them to vote either manually or automatically by tuning their neurons to follow other neurons.
You can read more about neurons in the article.
www.dfinitycommunity.com
Also, you can lock your ICPs for a period of 6 months to 8 years and receive profitability for participating in voting.
Back in 2018, people were given 28 ICPs for registering on Coinlist and verification, and 120 ICPs fell for testing the system. For three years people have been waiting for their drop, looking after their cars, thinking about the comfortable future that the ICP drop will bring them. The reality turned out to be not as colorful as dreams. Instead of hundreds of thousands of dollars, people received annual vesting for tokens, and the ICP price quickly rolled away from $500 to $50.
Projects on ICP:
Plug Wallet - the convenient wallet, a browser extension;
Stoic Wallet - another wallet for the ICP ecosystem;
Fleek - the product that includes hosting web resources and applications, cloud storage;
District - the fully decentralized, community-built professional social network;
DSCVR - the decentralized version of Reddit on ICP;
OpenChat - the decentralized messenger;
IC Drive - Decentralized Data Warehouse;
ICmoji Origins, Texas Holdem, Mission is Possible, Reversi - ICP games;
Enterot - NFT marketplace;
DFinance, ICPSwap - DeFi projects (swaps, farms, etc);
More projects here:
dfinity.org
ICPSquad:
twitter.com
In short - by having an NFT personage and performing any interactions within the ICP ecosystem, you get a chance to earn tokens and accessories for your personages. If you missed it - you can still take an avatar in pre-order. If you plan to dive into the ICP ecosystem - it will be much interesting with an avatar.
I don't see anything original in the ecosystem. Decentralized social networks and versions of the tools we're used to are good, but speculators can't make money here. We look forward to our pre-order avatars and the emergence of serious DeFi products. We plan to use ICP in all applications where it will be possible to obtain ICPSquad accessories.
ICP ranks 27th in terms of capitalization, with a cap around $7.61 billion.
Is it worth buying an ICP token now? I think this is a good idea for a small percentage of your deposit in the long run. Reasons for growth:
1) The chart since June represents accumulation in the range of $30-80. Blockchain hype can reach the Internet Computer sooner or later, and we will see a good way out of accumulation.
2) Fork Badlands - BDL tokens will be issued to ICP holders.
3) Launch of smart contracts on the bitcoin network.
Best regards,
EXCAVO
Unity TechnologiesA spike in consumer spending in the online gaming industry is expected to have driven Unity’s real-time 3D technology adoption among gaming companies.
Unity has been developing its platform by introducing product capabilities, which are likely to have been a major growth driver.
The constant demand for interactive, real-time 2D and 3D content for mobile phones, tablets, PCs, and virtual reality devices is likely to have aided the company’s top line.
I like the U chart. We wait for the growth to the pointed Fibonacci levels above.
Best regards,
EXCAVO
NEAR NEAR has more potential than Solana.
Infrastructure projects are now being created in the NEAR ecosystem. The active phase of the project's development has begun. My opinion is that we will see the price for 1 NEAR above $50 in the long run. NEAR is close to updating the ATH. The nearest strong resistance is around $20. NEAR has a strong team that is focused on cooperation in the market, not competition.
NEAR is used to pay for transaction fees and storage. NEAR tokens can also be staked by token holders who participate in achieving network consensus as transaction validators. NEAR Protocol is focused on creating a user-friendly platform.
The NEAR ecosystem announced a monumental $800 million in funding initiatives targeted at accelerating growth.
The announcement, which includes the $350 million in funding announced by Proximity Labs is designed to build on the momentum in the NEAR ecosystem over the last 12 months.
While NEAR is giving all communities access to this record amount of funding, it will be focusing on Decentralized Finance (DeFi) teams who are actively revolutionizing and reimagining the way we interact with money.
There are now more than 1.3 million active accounts on the network,
according to the statement. DeFi projects on NEAR have already hit a significant milestone of more than $150M Total Value Locked (TVL). NEAR has an ambitious goal to grow that number quickly and securely. NEAR is also actively looking for projects focused on NFTs, DAOs, and gaming.
NEAR’s next chapter is all about fostering growth by helping developers access best-in-class support and providing users with a frictionless experience using and navigating the web3 world. New funding helps accelerate this process.
Of the $800 million in funding, $100 million will be allocated to Startup Grant Pools. More than 20 startups will be identified and given $5M each in funding to redistribute to key stakeholders – the ecosystem ultimately decides who gets funding.
Some $250 million will be allocated to ecosystem grants helping existing projects further develop and scale. The remaining $100M will be allocated to Regional Funds: money allocated to foster the development of NEAR’s largest community regions in Asia, Europe, and the US.
It’s backed by venture-capital firms such as Andreessen Horowitz’s AI6Z, Pantera Capital, Electric Capital, Dragonfly Capital, Coinbase Ventures, Blockchain.com, and Baidu Ventures.
Coming soon, Aurora IDO is an EVM built on the NEAR protocol that provides developers with a turnkey solution for running applications on an Ethereum-compatible, high-performance, scalable, and future-safe platform with low fees.
Stay tuned for future news, updates, and more.
Best regards,
EXCAVO
DYDX DYDX moves in a big ascending channel. We have recently tested the ex-resistance zone and trendline. I expect a rebound to the resistance zone of the small channel inside. DYDXBTC in the accumulation zone. Also, I think we will see an upward reversal trend soon.
The dYdX Layer 2 protocol has become the leading DEX exchange in terms of the trading volume. It surpassed Coinbase. Volumes exceed $10 billion per day.
Best regards,
EXCAVO
Bella ProtocolBella Protocol is a Beijing-based decentralized finance (DeFi) project. Bella Protocol is building different DeFi products, including 1-Click savings account, lending protocol and automated yield farming tool, to increase DeFi user base.
Rank #436 by Coinmarketcap !!
Marketcap 86M !! - small cap
Traded on binance futures
Resistance level 2.77
RSI -ovesold
Looks like a good project for a pump
Best regards EXCAVO
Apple Apple has announced a presentation date.
Apple will showcase the next generation of iPhones and other gadgets at its traditional September launch on September 14th.
This year is expected to show four new iPhone 13 models, third-generation AirPods, updated iPad and iPad mini, and the announcement of the Apple Watch Series 7.
Most likely, the event will also reveal the exact release date of the new iOS 15 and macOS Monterey.
Technically, AAPL moves in the uptrend channel. Besides, there are a volume decrease and an ascending wedge formation. Many indicators show the bearish divergence at the moment.
Best regards, EXCAVO
Bitcoin key levels, price actionHello everybody! I expect an upward movement in the short term, but $47150 is an excellent entry point for a sell (short) position based on: price action, premium Fibonacci levels, falling wedge targets. The first strong resistance is near $46200.
Be careful, and don't forget about capital & risk management.
Stay tuned for my future updates and more.
Best regards EXCAVO
Bitcoin update 20.09.2021For the mid - term (1-3 months), I think the Bitcoin price will move in the descending channel . BTCUSD had reached the premium zone by Fibonacci for bears and felt impulsively by 20%. Following my global vision, which you can see in the previous publication, I assume a planned decline to 39-40K in the short term(till 1 month). Then there will probably be some rebound. Stay tuned for future updates.
Best regards EXCAVO
The Bitcoin outlook for the next 4-5 yearsLet's start with the fact I started making forecasts on TradingView a long time ago. Quite quickly (in a year and a half), I became the TOP-1 in the TradingView authors' ranking. This rating was removed in yearly 2021. They promised to do something more interesting. We've been waiting for a half year. The details are in this article:
www.tradingview.com
This chart that you are looking at, I hope it will be the most legendary chart I have ever made.
You've seen a lot of logarithmic charts like this one:
It is something different.
This is the Bitcoin outlook for the next 4-5 years.
For now, I remain number one on this platform, with the most reputations and subscribers. I'm here for the long haul and will continue to do top-quality analytics. So please subscribe. I'm the kind of person who remembers the built-in Bitcoin donations on the TradingView platform.
The fundamental reasons for growth:
- Limited issuance (some of which is lost);
- Taking a large portion of Bitcoin out of circulation (huge demand - no supply = growth);
- Acceptance of Bitcoin at the state levels;
- Accumulation of a large portion of Bitcoins in the large fund's hands (Bitcoin is a very interesting asset for them);
- Continuous dollar issuance (a variant of the fact that it's not bitcoin that's growing, but the dollar that's depreciating);
Feel free to write other factors of the crypto market growth in the comments section.
I can't write my thoughts in this post about the creator of Bitcoin, its purposes. TradingView has moderation, and this information won't pass it:)
In the plans of changing the current financial system of the world: the Bitcoin price raising to the goals, I have shown in this chart.
Best regards EXCAVO
BTC still some hope for the 52k mark in less than 20hBTC is struggling to cross above 50k. I size the time of the previous wave and found some similarities that can bring hope for the bull run to continue.
There is a lot of down pressure at the moment and the price action is going down. there is a strong resistance just below 47k. I presume it will be reached very soon and let's hope it bounces hard one more time.
Happy trading
Bitcoin The maturation cycle has four stages of an asset’s life.
Stage 1: Basing Area (Consolidation)
S1 is when nothing noteworthy is happening. It can last for an extended period, from months to years, and is caused by a poor overall market environment.
Stage 2: Advancing Phase (Accumulation)
The transition from S1 to S2 may begin with little or no warning. There are no major announcements or news. However, one thing is certain: a proper S2 will show significant volume as the asset is in strong demand on big up days, and volume will be relatively light during pullbacks.
Stage 3: Top Area (Distribution)
During S3, the asset is no longer under extreme accumulation. Instead, it is changing hands from strong buyers to weaker ones. Smart money that was bought early when the asset emerged onto the scene is now taking profits, selling into final signs of price strength. As that occurs, buyers on the other side of the transaction are weaker players who know about the asset because it has made such a dramatic run and captured headlines. In other words, the long trade in the asset has become crowded and too obvious.
Stage 4: Declining Phase (Capitulation)
During S4, earnings models are generally revised downward, which puts more selling pressure on the asset. The S4 selling phase may continue for an extended period until it's finally exhausted, and the asset enters another period of neglect. There are more down days and weeks on above-average volume than up days and up weeks on above-average volume.
What should be expected at Stage 4? A Bear Trap may occur that leads to continuing declining phase up to the consolidation area. Another option, after approximately 50% of the asset correction - a new growth cycle will begin, updating the previous high.
These are two book scenarios.
What scenario do you expect? Write in the comments below!
Best regards, EXCAVO