Trading is execution - USD/JPY Live trading exampleThis is a short mentoring/educational session.
The USD/JPY is the pair we are trading this evening, I analyse this based on the mtf wave structure.
I explained the importance of the secondary trend, as a determinant tool or information for what may happen in the future.
I also shared one of my waves of success strategy using the DMI and the VMP for trade execution.
Finally, after taking the trade, I explained late Mark Douglas probabilistic principles which acts as a solid foundation of our behaviour and interaction with the market.
Execution
Greater Long PositionKing W. Harbmayg's Journal Entry #27
Greater Position
1. Pair & Position:
EURUSD— 1:8 RR
Long—
according to the Harbmayg Schematic, the market has successfully:
a. aligned with the weekly template
b. presented the interday trade setup
c. printed confirmation structure
2. Performance: (1 out of 5)
Confidence— 5
Discipline— 3
Execution— 5
Strong Revenue Growth, Outstanding Execution!Morning*'s valuation implies 2024 EV/Sales multiple of 5.5x.
Forecasted Revenue growth 24% annualized rate over next five years!
TTM Rev Growth YoY was 43%; 206% above sector median! Rev FWD growth is 26% or 142% above sector median.
Expected to become profitable on adjusted OpMargin basis next year and GAAP profitable in 2027 in line with current models as long as Okta continues to execute its growth strategy via investing in sales and research divisions.
The purple area target is my own personal target within time frame expected based on probabilities.
Ace Trading Academy - AUDJPY Top Down Analysis Recap Last WeekThis video consists of potential moves for the upcoming week and a recap of what we saw happen last week.
I went in-depth about certain trading moves and potential plays.
Look in the related link section for a deeper explanation and real-time thought process.
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Daily forecast on a WC daily forecast on a WC!
i see this as a good risk to take given the confluences of the higher time frame not breaking that high, so their is a likelihood of price moving back to the upside. given the structure and the price action on the higher time frame i can see a last leg forming to an ascending structure. an entry can be made out on the 4H in the form of a larger flag, its just a matter of pulling that trigger at the right moment for me now. a risk of 1% will be executed if the criteria is met to my trading plan, if im stopped out im happy with the position in this frame of mind - given the potential this move has to the upside.
Ace Trading Academy - AUDUSD Precise Trading PlanAUDUSD is currently at a deciding point. The price has been bouncing from the .72000 to .73000 major points. It has recently pushed down from the .73000 back to .72000 and is now rising back towards .73000. As of right now we want to see an hourly candle close above the support zone and show confirmation towards the upside. Shown on the chart there is a 1 hour breakthrough zone marked out, we want to see price breakthrough that point and that will be confirmation for a buy going up.
If price doesn't close above the support zone its at right now we could see a retest to the retest zone shown on the chart or a retest back to .72000 then a bounce up from there.
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Will Keep You Updated With Future Trades
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Ace Trading Academy - AUDUSD Full BreakdownWatch this video! This video has everything you need to trade AUDUSD successfully this week. Video explains a top down analysis monthly to 1 Hour with all the trading zones, patterns and tools to use. This is a trading plan so use this video to your advantage throughout this week!
Daily - Purple
4 Hour - Light Blue
1 Hour - Gold
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US30 CREEPING SLOWLY TO DUMP SOON. On The Daily Time Frame..... USGang we could see fire DIVERGENCE happening on US30 what could this mean well this is why the government is saying that with the stimulus checks and all the help it has built inflation gap that they want to close out and thats great and all but i see price collapsing at any moment and i see what theyre talking about im gonna keep trailing us30 but it looks valid for a sell in the foreseeable future.
📚 Creating A Trading Plan and Executing A Trade 📚As with all great trades, we require a trading plan. This is a perfect example of how to analyse, execute and manage your trade. See linked chart for the initial trade idea.
See below for a step by step guide on how we entered this trade and what we looked for.
Goodluck and trade safe!
BEAUTIFUL INTRADAY setup on $BA BOEING today - using daily chartGreat example of using the daily chart to find major levels, 10m (or your preferred shorter time frame to find intermediary levels) and then a low time frame to pinpoint your entry.
I wish I traded this one better - I took it off way to soon but the market has just not given me follow through past my first target this week except for one big trade I had in AAPL (I trade with 2-3 targets in my normal execution routine).
xeenos trading - sending positive energy to all those watching
USDTRY Long Idea This is an active trade i have going on. I think that this pair may push up to higher highs pretty soon as long as price pushes out of this triangle shape that it seems to be respecting. The reason why I am expecting this pair to push up is because this pair has had a TK bullish cross on the 1hr level as well as the 4hr level. My entry was at 6.0639, three periods after this pair had its bullish TK cross and it is in profit. What I want price to do is for it to crush the 4hr flat kumo level and break the resistance line of the triangle. Once this happens, I fully expect the USD to go past the $7 level. If these events happen then this pair could also push out of the kumo cloud on the daily level. If price is rejected at the 4hr kumo cloud, setup may still be valid as long as the ascending support line is not broken.
Entry: 6.0639
SL: 5.895
TP1: 6.458
TP2: 6.8
TP3: Past $7 level
Trading Psychology 5 Edge ExecutionEdge Execution
Trading is a numbers game, and markets are based on the mathematics of the traders equation. However, understanding this alone will not guarantee profits. The ability to apply and conform to the math of the current market context is what leads to consistent profits. Beginners often have a misconecption that they need to know what is going to happen over the period of the next X number of bars in order to make a profit. They believe they must enter at the exact right time and price in order to win on a trade. This could not be further from the truth, and anyone consistenly making money from the markets knows the reality. The reality is a trader does not need to know what is going to happen next in order to make a profit. In fact, a professional trader knows that any given trade is irrelevant to the bigger picture, and an income is generated over a series of trades; not any single trade. This menatlity is past the duality of winning and losing, which are simply accepted as part of the job. This can be called the "probability mindset."
Profits are generated over a series of trades, not any single trade. Therefore, it is not necessary to make money on every trade, every day, or even every month to be a succesful trader. It takes time to build confidence, believe this is true and fully understand this concept. Perhaps this is why most traders fail, by giving up before coming to this realization. It has been said that professional traders have "Won the game before they started playing." (Jack Swagger). This confidence can only come from the probability mindset, when a trader accepts he may lose on this trade, the day, or even this year. But he accepts his risk, and trusts the math that over time he will generate a profit. Even if he takes a large loss, or several, it does not matter; he knows he will make it back up. The overall point of this is that losses are part of the trading process. If a trade is a loser, it does not matter; move on to the next trade. Dwelling on losses or a drawdown does not bring the money back, but continuing to trade does. In this sense it can be said that a successful trader "trades his way out of a drawdown."
It is helpful to think of losses as the "cost of doing business" just like any other business would incur expenses while conducting its operations. There are very few (if any) businesses that do not require heavy start up costs, or capital to continue the business while generating profits. Ever heard the saying "It takes money to make money?" Trading is no different, although most traders fail to realize this, and focus solely on profits. In trading, our costs are commissions and losses, which are offset by gains, resulting in a net profit.
Employing your Edge
So what does this have to do with exeucting an edge? Well, it is necessary to understand not every trade is a guranteed success, and there is a random distribution between wins and losses, with any edge. Even the best setup or edge will result in a loss 30-40% of the time. It is virtually impossible to know in advance, which trade will win and which will lose. Therefore it is absolutely imperative to take every trade that meets a traders edge, regardless of how the trader feels, thinks, or any other variables unrelated to the edge. With this said, here are the basic steps to exeucting and employing an edge.
1). Identify edge. Pick a setup (second entry, wedge reversal, follow through bar, ect.) It is a good idea to start with one until familiar with reading prices.
2). Ask yourself at the close of every bar "Is my edge present?" If no, wait. If yes, enter the trade.
3). Execute the edge with a series of 10 or 20 trades, document every trade. At the end of the series analyze results and tweak.
Wishing you the best of luck on your trading journey
-Josh Ridenour
Fulfilling a promise to share my trading Part 1. (Education)This will be a relatively shorter post and is a follow up on Part 1 (phew.... Good for me and you LOL)
So, i got this situation where there was a breakout on the 4 hour, mark with a dash line on the 1 hour.
The first thing that came to my mind will be:
A) I want to long
B) I will not short even if there is a reversal (Unless 7700 is broken)
C) Where will i long? What is my initial risk to reward?
So, instead of chasing price action, i'd use a very simple method for a certain completion of the latest low.
The key part to succeed here is you have to start watching the market and wait for a classical higher high
higher low formation usually in the form of 2 candles.
You might be asking "Don't you use some sort of indicator"? As a matter of fact, i rarely use it because i find
it too troublesome. I'm watching a lot of markets and i'm not going to throw all my eggs in one trade.
But if you want, i could use an ATR (for stop distance placement) or RSI (below 80 or above 20). That's it.
So, after the formation of "higher high, higher low", my entry is 2 pips above its last high, and 3-5 pips below
the swing low. Don't worry about it because my first target is usually conservative at 1:1 risk to reward and
likely i'd take half or one third. No right or wrong but try to fix at predetermine amount to exit.
The position size i take is never more then 2 percent of my equity but the actual size depend on the stop
placement.
Once this is achieved, i simply move my stop to break even and target 1:2 risk to reward. I may have exited fully
or still have one third of position left. I'd simply trail it with swing highs and low. Remember the golden rule that
stop can only move when it is meant to lock more profits then before.
I felt this is a very simple way to trade and is easily executable by anyone although it does take a lot of practise to
do so. Why rush anyway? Trading is a marathon and the longer you are in the race, the more you are likely to succeed!
I hope this simple method helps you. Free free to drop me any questions i'd try to answer as much as possible!