Earnings Watch: August 7th - 8thInvestors, mark your calendars! A mix of high-profile companies are set to report their quarterly results on Wednesday and Thursday. Let's take a quick dive into what's expected:
Wednesday, August 7th
Dutch Bros (BROS ☕)
Expected to post an EPS of 0.13 and revenue of 316.8M, Dutch Bros holds a beat rate of 63%. Last year, they reported an EPS of 0.13 and revenue of 249.87M.
Robinhood (HOOD 📈)
The fintech company is set to announce an EPS of 0.15 and revenue of 643.33M. With a beat rate of 66%, can Robinhood exceed expectations? Last year, they reported an EPS of 0.03 and revenue of 486M.
Fastly (FSLY 🌐)
Expected to post an EPS of -0.08 and revenue of 131M, Fastly has a mixed outlook with a beat rate of 55%. Last year, they reported an EPS of -0.04 and revenue of 122.83M.
Bumble (BMBL 💕)
Bumble is anticipated to deliver an EPS of 0.13 and revenue of 273.12M. With a beat rate of 50%, can Bumble surpass these forecasts? Last year, they reported an EPS of 0.05 and revenue of 259.73M.
HubSpot (HUBS 💼)
The company is set to report an EPS of 1.63 and revenue of 619.43M. With a strong beat rate of 85%, will HubSpot impress the market? Last year, they delivered an EPS of 1.34 and revenue of 529.13M.
Beyond Meat (BYND 🍔)
Expected to post an EPS of -0.51 and revenue of 87.8M, Beyond Meat has a mixed outlook with a beat rate of 23%. Last year, they reported an EPS of -0.83 and revenue of 102.14M.
Monster Beverage (MNST 🥤)
The beverage company is anticipated to report an EPS of 0.45 and revenue of 2.01B. With a beat rate of 55%, will Monster manage to impress the market? Last year, they delivered an EPS of 0.39 and revenue of 1.87B.
AppLovin (APP 📱)
AppLovin is projected to deliver an EPS of 0.75 and revenue of 1.08B. Last year, they reported an EPS of 0.22 and revenue of 750.16M.
Thursday, August 8th
Eli Lilly (LLY 💊)
The healthcare giant is set to announce an EPS of 2.70 and revenue of 9.94B. With a beat rate of 71%, can Eli Lilly continue to exceed expectations? Last year, they reported an EPS of 2.11 and revenue of 8.31B.
Datadog (DDOG 🐶)
Expected to post an EPS of 0.37 and revenue of 624.88M, Datadog holds a beat rate of 78%. Last year, they reported an EPS of 0.36 and revenue of 509.46M.
Kohl's (KSS 🛒)
The retailer is anticipated to deliver an EPS of 0.48 and revenue of 3.62B. With a beat rate of 73%, will Kohl's surpass these forecasts? Last year, they reported an EPS of 0.52 and revenue of 3.89B.
Under Armour (UAA 👟)
Under Armour is projected to deliver an EPS of -0.08 and revenue of 1.14B. Last year, they reported an EPS of 0.02 and revenue of 1.31B.
SoundHound (SOUN 🎤)
The AI company is set to announce an EPS of -0.09 and revenue of 13.08M. With a beat rate of 55%, can SoundHound impress the market? Last year, they reported an EPS of -0.10 and revenue of 8.75M.
Unity (U 🎮)
Unity is expected to report an EPS of -0.42 and revenue of 439.45M. With a beat rate of 40%, will Unity manage to meet expectations? Last year, they delivered an EPS of -0.51 and revenue of 533.47M.
Dropbox (DBX 📦)
Dropbox is anticipated to deliver an EPS of 0.52 and revenue of 629.81M. With a beat rate of 84%, investors are keen to see if they can maintain their streak. Last year, they reported an EPS of 0.51 and revenue of 622.50M.
Trade Desk (TTD 📊)
The Trade Desk is projected to deliver an EPS of 0.35 and revenue of 577.79M. With a beat rate of 60%, can they exceed expectations? Last year, they reported an EPS of 0.28 and revenue of 464.25M.
Expedia (EXPE 🌍)
Expected to post an EPS of 3.06 and revenue of 3.53B, Expedia has a beat rate of 55%. Last year, they reported an EPS of 2.89 and revenue of 3.35B.
Gilead Sciences (GILD 💉)
Gilead is set to announce an EPS of 1.60 and revenue of 6.71B. With a beat rate of 68%, can they continue to exceed expectations? Last year, they delivered an EPS of 1.34 and revenue of 6.59B.
🔍 As these giants reveal their financial health, it's not just about the numbers but also the story they tell about the consumer market and economic trends. Keep your portfolios ready for any surprises!
#EarningsSeason #StockMarket #InvestmentInsights
EXPE
Expedia's TurbulenceExpedia Group ( NASDAQ:EXPE ) has long been a dominant force, connecting millions of travelers with their dream destinations. However, recent turbulence in the travel industry has sent shockwaves through the company, leading to a sharp downturn in its stock value. Let's delve into the factors behind Expedia's ( NASDAQ:EXPE ) recent struggles and explore the implications for investors and the wider travel market.
Softening Air Fares and Revenue Warning:
Expedia's ( NASDAQ:EXPE ) shares plummeted by a staggering 19% following a sobering revenue warning for 2024. The culprit? Softening air fares, which have seen a downturn from the post-pandemic highs. This revelation came as a blow to investors, signaling a potential slowdown in the company's revenue growth rates. The impact was exacerbated by the grounding of Boeing's 737 Max 9 fleet, resulting in numerous cancellations that directly affected Expedia's ( NASDAQ:EXPE ) Vrbo brand.
Leadership Transition:
Adding to the uncertainty, Expedia ( NASDAQ:EXPE ) announced a leadership transition, with CEO Peter Kern stepping down from his position. Kern's departure, coupled with the appointment of company insider Ariane Gorin as his successor, raised questions about the company's strategic direction in the face of evolving market challenges.
Analyst Insights:
Industry analysts echoed investors' concerns, highlighting the decelerating growth trajectory and the near-term challenges ahead. Wells Fargo analysts characterized the situation as an "acceleration story" that is now decelerating, underscoring the complexity of the CEO transition amid turbulent market conditions.
Financial Performance:
Despite the bleak outlook, Expedia ( NASDAQ:EXPE ) managed to deliver better-than-expected adjusted profits, buoyed by resilient demand during the holiday season. This unexpected bright spot provided a glimmer of hope amidst the gloom, but questions lingered about the company's ability to sustain profitability in the face of mounting headwinds.
Investor Sentiment and Valuation:
Investor sentiment soured further as Expedia's ( NASDAQ:EXPE ) first-quarter guidance fell short of expectations, with revenue growth projected to be in the mid-single digits range compared to a consensus estimate of 9%. This discrepancy raised concerns about the company's ability to meet market expectations and fueled doubts about its valuation relative to competitors like Booking Holdings.
Conclusion:
Expedia ( NASDAQ:EXPE ) finds itself at a crossroads, grappling with a softening travel market, leadership transition, and investor skepticism. While the company has demonstrated resilience in the face of adversity, the road ahead remains fraught with challenges. Investors must carefully evaluate Expedia's strategy and execution amidst evolving market dynamics to navigate these uncertain times.
$EXPE Double Top PierceUnderstanding the Double Top Pierce in NASDAQ:EXPE
1. **Double Top Formation**: Typically, a double top pattern is identified by two consecutive peaks at approximately the same price level, signaling a potential bearish reversal. It indicates that the stock tried to surpass a high price point twice but faced resistance.
2. **Piercing the Top**: In the case of a 'Double Top Pierce,' NASDAQ:EXPE has not just reached but exceeded the peak level of the double top formation. This piercing action suggests a shift in market sentiment or underlying strength in the stock, potentially countering the bearish implications of a standard double top.
### Implications for NASDAQ:EXPE
- **Bullish Indication**: The pierce through the double top can be interpreted as a bullish sign, indicating that buyers are in control and pushing the prices beyond previous resistance levels.
- **Need for Confirmation**: It’s crucial to look for confirmation of this pattern. Confirmation could come in the form of sustained trading above the double top level, increased volume, or other bullish technical indicators.
- **Watch for Retests**: After breaking through the double top level, it’s common for the stock to retest this level, now acting as a support. How the stock reacts to this retest can give further insights into its future direction.
### Trading Considerations
- **Entry Points**: For traders considering entering a position in NASDAQ:EXPE , the piercing of the double top might offer a potential entry point, especially if other indicators align bullishly.
- **Risk Management**: It's important to set stop-loss orders below the newly established support level (the former double top peak) to mitigate potential losses should the trend reverse.
The Double Top Pierce in NASDAQ:EXPE ’s chart is a noteworthy development, indicating a possible bullish shift. However, traders and investors should closely monitor the stock for confirmation and consider this pattern in conjunction with broader market analysis and individual risk tolerance.
EXPE Expedia Group Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of EXPE Expedia Group prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 92usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2023-11-3,
for a premium of approximately $3.30.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
BKNG - Rising Trend Channel [MID -TERM]🔹Breakout the ceiling of rising trend channel in the medium long term.
🔹Supports 2770 in negative reaction.
🔹Technically POSTIIVE for medium-term long-term.
Chart Pattern;
🔹DT - Double Top | BEARISH | 🔴
🔹DB - Double Bottom | BULLISH | 🟢
🔹HNS - Head & Shoulder | BEARISH | 🔴
🔹REC - Rectangle | 🔵
🔹iHNS - inverse head & Shoulder | BULLISH | 🟢
Verify it first and believe later.
WavePoint ❤️
EXPE Expedia Group Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of EXPE Expedia Group prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 120usd strike price at the money Calls with
an expiration date of 2023-8-18,
for a premium of approximately $5.70.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
$EXPE Reported Earnings And The Stock Sold OffNASDAQ:EXPE Reported Earnings And The Stock Sold Off. The company beat analyst expectations for earnings per share, but missed expectations for revenue. Revenue: EXPE reported revenue of $3.36 billion, missing analyst expectations of $3.42 billion. Support price is at the double bottom around $87 we are going to wait until hits that level before buying.
EXPE - Descending Triangle - BearishOn the chart of Expedia (EXPE), we can see a descending triangle. A descending triangle is a bearish formation.
The price has already broken the support and is now retesting the support. When the support turns into a resistance a short position can be taken. The price is likely to drop more until it has reached its target.
All further details are shown on the chart.
Goodluck!
EXPE long ideaSeeing active call buying in the 210 strike at ask,
technically a nice cup and handle breakout with a retest, now lets see if we get a bounce , I assume that's what the whale trader is speculating on.
I can see 220 as upside target next few weeks so long as the 9ema holds (purple line)
I went long APR 210 calls
12/26/21 EXPEExpedia Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:EXPE )
Sector: Consumer Services (Other Consumer Services)
Market Capitalization: 27.848B
Current Price: $183.78
Breakout price: $188.00
Buy Zone (Top/Bottom Range): $180.25-$168.75
Price Target: $219.20-$222.00
Estimated Duration to Target: 105-112d
Contract of Interest: $EXPE 3/18/22 185c
Trade price as of publish date: $15.10/contract
$EXPE Expedia LT Bull Flag$EXPE Expedia - Long term bull flag on the weekly chart, appears to be holding $160 support from Jul'17. Once we see a weekly close over $180, the move to $200 will likely be swift.
Unusual Bullish Options Activity Today:
$18.5M of November $165 calls traded (62X open interest)
$9.0M of October $160 calls traded (19X open interest)
Medium term target: $200-$215 range by December
Note: This is NOT investment advice. Educational only.
Airbnb (ABNB): Everything You Need to Know for the IPOAirbnb is an online rental marketplace for lodging, home stays, and tourism experiences.
The company does not own any real estate listings, but offers a platform through which people can take part in the sharing economy.
Airbnb announced its filing for an initial public offering (IPO) in August.
In this analysis, we’ll be going over everything investors need to know about the IPO, and my own insight on whether this is a golden opportunity.
Most of the information provided below is based on the S1 Airbnb Submitted to the SEC.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. This is meant for educational and entertainment purposes only.
Business Model
- Airbnb connects hosts who are willing to provide room, with guests
- Airbnb profits from charging a service fee to both the host and the guest
- While it initially started off as hosts providing bedrooms, the company has managed to find and expand on different types of lodges.
- Airbnb is well known for its systematic operations; they have a unique guest/host review system, rules regarding cancellations and deposits, and is oriented and focused on building a community.
Counterparts Cases
- Airbnb’s counterparts include companies like Expedia group (EXPE) and Booking Holdings (BKNG)
- It’s important to take into consideration the growing competitiveness within the booking market.
- Unlike Airbnb, both Expedia group and Booking Holdings are reporting solid earnings as their operating profits increase yoy.
- TripAdvisor (TRIP), which reported $156m in revenue for 2019 and an operating profit of $18.7m, while small, is another example of companies competing against Airbnb
- However, to be fair, these companies also all fell victim to the Covid-19 pandemic.
IPO Information
- The company will be listed on the NASDAQ exchange under the ticker ABNB
- The specific date of the IPO and price per share is yet to be officially announced.
Financials
- Due to Covid-19, the company’s revenue and profitability plummeted in 2020.
- Q2 2020 revenue was $350m, which is a 67% compared to Q2 2019, which recorded a quarterly revenue of over a billion.
- These numbers are less than half of the reported revenue for Q1 2020, of $842m
- As a result, the company’s valuation dropped from $31b to $18b.
- The fact that the company is not profitable yet is also quite fatal.
- In 2017 and 2018, there was a lot of hype around the company as they showed positive numbers for their EBITDA (earnings before interests, taxes, depreciation, and amortization)
- But, the company has been reporting inconsistent revenue ever since, and their sales and marketing
- As of September 30 2020, the company has $2.6b in cash, which is more than numbers reported for cash and cash equivalents in 2019 and 2018.
- Nonetheless, this is way below their short term net liabilities of $4.38b, which is considered a warning sign in terms of financial stability.
- Additionally, they have $1.8b in long term debt as well.
- Taking all of this into consideration, we could make an educated guess that Airbnb is trying to seek for funds through this IPO.
- It has already undergone its Series F investments, and is a unicorn company (a private company with a valuation over $1b), which makes it difficult to receive any further meaningful investments.
Covid-19 Impact
- Airbnb is part of the industry that was arguably most heavily affected by the Covid-19 pandemic
- They had a net 4.1m cancellations in March, when fear regarding Covid-19 peaked.
- I’ve mentioned this in a previous analysis, but Covid-19 has fundamentally changed the way we live forever
- As a result, Airbnb’s goal of creating a community of hosts and guests has faced a huge obstacle, as people prefer to stay at hotels, which involve lower risk of Covid-19 infections.
- Thus, whether people would want to travel via Airbnb after the pandemic is solved still remains extremely murky, as clear solutions to the current situation are yet to be proposed.
- Unlike other large tech companies, Airbnb lacks the cash to endure a long phase of hardship.
- Due to the impact of Covid-19, the company has laid off over 1,900 employees to cut costs.
Historical Cases
- We have seen other companies within the sphere of the sharing economy take part in IPOs that have failed miserably
- Companies such as Uber Technologies (UBER) and Lyft (LYFT) are prime examples. (Refer to the charts on the right)
- They were provided multiples way above their actual value, and their stock prices eventually fell way below the IPO price.
- WeWork, once valued at $47b, failed its IPO due to massive debt and shaky corporate structures, and is now valued at $2.9b
- Given past cases of other tech companies within the realm of the sharing economy having undergone failed IPOs due to overvalued multiples, it’s important to consider why Airbnb might be exempt from this case.
Mike’s Insight
In summary, while Airbnb’s listing is arguably the most important IPO of 2020, investors need to consider all possible factors before participating in the IPO. Its growing number of users suggest that the business is on the right track over the long run, but is faced with a serious external risk that the company has no control over. As this risk extends throughout time, the more damaging it is to the fundamentals of the business, thus providing room for investors to reconsider the proper valuation of the company. In my humble opinion, given that the company goes public at a $30b valuation, I think we’d see prices drop sharply after the IPO. Nonetheless, I could consider adding it to my portfolio as we see clearer signs of the world recovering from the coronavirus.
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EXPE, price moved above its 50-day Moving Average on Oct 22, 20This price move could indicate a change in the trend, and may be a buy signal for investors. Tickeron A.I.dvisor found 41 similar cases, and 31 were successful. Based on this data, the odds of success are 76%. Current price $102.80 crossed the support line at $100.65 and is trading between $106.65 resistance and $100.65 support lines. Throughout the month of 09/22/20 - 10/22/20, the price experienced a +8% Uptrend. During the week of 10/15/20 - 10/22/20, the stock enjoyed a +12% Uptrend growth.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Indicator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 41 of 56 cases where EXPE's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 73%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 22, 2020. You may want to consider a long position or call options on EXPE as a result. Tickeron A.I. detected that in 61 of 90 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 68%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for EXPE just turned positive on October 22, 2020. Looking at past instances where EXPE's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 30 of 42 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.
The 50-day Moving Average for EXPE moved above the 200-day moving average on September 08, 2020. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.
Following a +2.48% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where EXPE advanced for three days, in 245 of 339 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 72%.
EXPE - 14.97% Potential Profit - Ascending TriangleAscending Triangle formed into an Uptrend Corridor and new support confirmed multiple times on the 5-min chart on 25th Aug.
About the entry, you have two options. Chasing the price entering with a Buy Stop order or waiting for a better entry with a Buy Limit. It comes down to your appetite for risk and current trade situation - I will most likely go ahead with a safer Limit order.
Note that the success of this trade highly depends on COVID19-related news, and to AZN's vaccine development.
Target price set at resistance line bounce.
- Historical Uptrend
- RSI and STOCH above 50
- MACD above Signal
Suggested Entry $96.86 (Stop) or $95.72 (Limit)
Suggested Stop Loss $92.42
Target price $111.36
Note that I tend to adjust stop losses in order to secure profits early and preserve capital. This means that the target price is going to be achieved as long as there are no strong pullbacks that trigger my new adjusted stop loss.
$EXPE BreakoutLooking at some travel & leisure related names -MAR HLT BKNG CZR- and like the way this $EXPE chart looks. Have a 3 month consolidation in channel with a triangle forming at the end. Looking for us to hold $91 this week to fill the gap at $92 and potentially push higher. If we retest $90 or $90.50 and hold could be a great place to enter into 9/18 $95 calls. If we break below $90 it is likely our trend line will be retested which we will look to hold if we are to maintain pattern.
Another interesting thing here is the daily squeeze momentum pushing up, from red to white dots but not yet releasing. Potentially a setup for a release & multi-day run.
Expedis Group INC (EXPE), Good instrument for making money!))The price bounced off the levels many times and most of them can make a profit for the traders.
All we need to have a patience and trading strategy, also we should trade with predictable money-management.
Push like if you think this is a useful idea!
Before to trade my ideas make your own analysis.
Write your comments and questions here!
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