Who is buying this? I do not trade stocks because they do not live in the real world. They live in lala land where PE no longer matters. Reality has taken a back seat to FED jawboning and flagrantly cooked up jobs numbers. That being said, there are some opportunities that are too tempting to pass up!
I do not even know where to start...
This one really smells... from insiders dumping to the basic fundamentals around Airbnb. Airbnb has no moat! Assigning the majority of the vacation rental market to its market cap is lunacy. Competitors have already begun to take back market share offering the same exact listings with more competitive fee structures.
Personally as a former Super host and and avid traveller I can state first hand that my experiences with Airbnb have gone from bad to worse. The percentage fees they charge both the host and the guest are outrageous when you consider what you actually receive from the platform... Nothing!
In addition to user experience, the general view on STRs has shifted. This has created a difficult landscape for hosts and the platform as governments have regulated and outright banned the platform.
Fundamentals of the business aside, the macro back drop for travel are bleak. The S&P is at all time highs but if you pop the hood the reality of the real economy is bleak. Savings are almost at record lows while credit card debt is at record highs. I can go on....
Personally, I am salivating at the prospect that some poor soul will continue to buy Airbnb and let me borrow their shares at the 140 level.
If you are a believer in a "soft landing " I would approach this as a pair trade
Historically 50 basis point cuts are BEARISH. They are a sign of panic by the fed. If the US does enter a recession travel will be one of the hardest hit sectors.
$140-$155 is the zone in which I will build my short position.
Expedia
Expedia's TurbulenceExpedia Group ( NASDAQ:EXPE ) has long been a dominant force, connecting millions of travelers with their dream destinations. However, recent turbulence in the travel industry has sent shockwaves through the company, leading to a sharp downturn in its stock value. Let's delve into the factors behind Expedia's ( NASDAQ:EXPE ) recent struggles and explore the implications for investors and the wider travel market.
Softening Air Fares and Revenue Warning:
Expedia's ( NASDAQ:EXPE ) shares plummeted by a staggering 19% following a sobering revenue warning for 2024. The culprit? Softening air fares, which have seen a downturn from the post-pandemic highs. This revelation came as a blow to investors, signaling a potential slowdown in the company's revenue growth rates. The impact was exacerbated by the grounding of Boeing's 737 Max 9 fleet, resulting in numerous cancellations that directly affected Expedia's ( NASDAQ:EXPE ) Vrbo brand.
Leadership Transition:
Adding to the uncertainty, Expedia ( NASDAQ:EXPE ) announced a leadership transition, with CEO Peter Kern stepping down from his position. Kern's departure, coupled with the appointment of company insider Ariane Gorin as his successor, raised questions about the company's strategic direction in the face of evolving market challenges.
Analyst Insights:
Industry analysts echoed investors' concerns, highlighting the decelerating growth trajectory and the near-term challenges ahead. Wells Fargo analysts characterized the situation as an "acceleration story" that is now decelerating, underscoring the complexity of the CEO transition amid turbulent market conditions.
Financial Performance:
Despite the bleak outlook, Expedia ( NASDAQ:EXPE ) managed to deliver better-than-expected adjusted profits, buoyed by resilient demand during the holiday season. This unexpected bright spot provided a glimmer of hope amidst the gloom, but questions lingered about the company's ability to sustain profitability in the face of mounting headwinds.
Investor Sentiment and Valuation:
Investor sentiment soured further as Expedia's ( NASDAQ:EXPE ) first-quarter guidance fell short of expectations, with revenue growth projected to be in the mid-single digits range compared to a consensus estimate of 9%. This discrepancy raised concerns about the company's ability to meet market expectations and fueled doubts about its valuation relative to competitors like Booking Holdings.
Conclusion:
Expedia ( NASDAQ:EXPE ) finds itself at a crossroads, grappling with a softening travel market, leadership transition, and investor skepticism. While the company has demonstrated resilience in the face of adversity, the road ahead remains fraught with challenges. Investors must carefully evaluate Expedia's strategy and execution amidst evolving market dynamics to navigate these uncertain times.
$EXPE Double Top PierceUnderstanding the Double Top Pierce in NASDAQ:EXPE
1. **Double Top Formation**: Typically, a double top pattern is identified by two consecutive peaks at approximately the same price level, signaling a potential bearish reversal. It indicates that the stock tried to surpass a high price point twice but faced resistance.
2. **Piercing the Top**: In the case of a 'Double Top Pierce,' NASDAQ:EXPE has not just reached but exceeded the peak level of the double top formation. This piercing action suggests a shift in market sentiment or underlying strength in the stock, potentially countering the bearish implications of a standard double top.
### Implications for NASDAQ:EXPE
- **Bullish Indication**: The pierce through the double top can be interpreted as a bullish sign, indicating that buyers are in control and pushing the prices beyond previous resistance levels.
- **Need for Confirmation**: It’s crucial to look for confirmation of this pattern. Confirmation could come in the form of sustained trading above the double top level, increased volume, or other bullish technical indicators.
- **Watch for Retests**: After breaking through the double top level, it’s common for the stock to retest this level, now acting as a support. How the stock reacts to this retest can give further insights into its future direction.
### Trading Considerations
- **Entry Points**: For traders considering entering a position in NASDAQ:EXPE , the piercing of the double top might offer a potential entry point, especially if other indicators align bullishly.
- **Risk Management**: It's important to set stop-loss orders below the newly established support level (the former double top peak) to mitigate potential losses should the trend reverse.
The Double Top Pierce in NASDAQ:EXPE ’s chart is a noteworthy development, indicating a possible bullish shift. However, traders and investors should closely monitor the stock for confirmation and consider this pattern in conjunction with broader market analysis and individual risk tolerance.
EXPE Expedia Group Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of EXPE Expedia Group prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 120usd strike price at the money Calls with
an expiration date of 2023-8-18,
for a premium of approximately $5.70.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
$EXPE Reported Earnings And The Stock Sold OffNASDAQ:EXPE Reported Earnings And The Stock Sold Off. The company beat analyst expectations for earnings per share, but missed expectations for revenue. Revenue: EXPE reported revenue of $3.36 billion, missing analyst expectations of $3.42 billion. Support price is at the double bottom around $87 we are going to wait until hits that level before buying.
Expedia is undervaluedExpedia is undervalued, high quality, financially healthy and expects decent growth in the future. Expected ER first week of August. Several indicators and machine learning scripts suggest, that NASDAQ:EXPE could get to $108.47 soon.
*Disclaimer*
The information is purely for *entertainment* purposes, and is not meant to be, and does not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations. Do Your Own Due Diligence (DYODD)
Unchanged YearThe month of May was brutal for EXPE with the stock loosing over $100 worth of price value going from $200 down to around $90 a share. Since July of 2022 we have seen some slight range bound movement with price making its way right back to around the $92 price point as of today. With earnings coming out negatively for the last the quarters, revenues continue to roll in. I'd be curious to see how EXPE performs in the coming years as AI begins to play a larger part in the way that people travel.
Expedia Group Stock: A Hidden Gem for Long-term InvestorsAre you looking to invest in the travel industry but don’t know where to start? Look no further than Expedia Group! This hidden gem of a stock is an excellent opportunity for investors interested in the growing and ever-evolving world of travel. With its impressive history, innovative technology, and strategic partnerships, Expedia Group has cemented itself as a leader in the industry. So why not join the journey? In this blog post, we’ll explore why investing in Expedia Group can be a smart move for your portfolio. Get ready to pack your bags and come along for the ride because there is a new and strong imbalance created at HKEX:89 per share. This is going to be a long ride, hopefully.
EXPE - Descending Triangle - BearishOn the chart of Expedia (EXPE), we can see a descending triangle. A descending triangle is a bearish formation.
The price has already broken the support and is now retesting the support. When the support turns into a resistance a short position can be taken. The price is likely to drop more until it has reached its target.
All further details are shown on the chart.
Goodluck!
$EXPE Swing trade idea - Risk OnNASDAQ:EXPE
This is a simple TA and swing trade that could be placed with options or shares to the upside. Hoping the have Expedia retake some lost ground in from recent gap down. Risk is that there is also a small gap below as well that the stock found itself in but hit resistance. With travel booming this seem like a good play but tomorrow's meeting in Jackson Hole may weigh heavily on this trade. Enjoy!
EXPEDIA should hold 177 midbox & TL or 150 will be nextEXPEDIA, another re-opening stock is looking better than ABNB & still above major DMAs. It is now exactly at 177, a 50% Fib level & also the middle of my consolidation box.
Holding 177 will see a retest of upper box. Losing 177 will see 150 next.
Not trading advice
EXPE long ideaSeeing active call buying in the 210 strike at ask,
technically a nice cup and handle breakout with a retest, now lets see if we get a bounce , I assume that's what the whale trader is speculating on.
I can see 220 as upside target next few weeks so long as the 9ema holds (purple line)
I went long APR 210 calls
12/26/21 EXPEExpedia Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:EXPE )
Sector: Consumer Services (Other Consumer Services)
Market Capitalization: 27.848B
Current Price: $183.78
Breakout price: $188.00
Buy Zone (Top/Bottom Range): $180.25-$168.75
Price Target: $219.20-$222.00
Estimated Duration to Target: 105-112d
Contract of Interest: $EXPE 3/18/22 185c
Trade price as of publish date: $15.10/contract
Shorting ExpediaWith implied volatility at an all-time high, it seemed safer and more straight forward to short stocks instead of buying put options. I've been monitoring Expedia for abit and it seems like while there has been price retracements upwards the volume has been decreasing. The move up, in my opinion is driven by the stimulus measures.
The stimulus measures are targetted to halt/slowdown the economic fall out due to the virus and as such it is very domestic driven. Without a proper vaccination, countries will continue to limit and discourage foreign travel especially for holidays which are non-essential. Furthermore, with the economic uncertainty, people will be tightening their belts at least for 2020.
TLDR
- Dying volume limiting upside movement
- new RSI highs but price still below previous high
- Travel as a key at-risk industry
Expedis Group INC (EXPE), Good instrument for making money!))The price bounced off the levels many times and most of them can make a profit for the traders.
All we need to have a patience and trading strategy, also we should trade with predictable money-management.
Push like if you think this is a useful idea!
Before to trade my ideas make your own analysis.
Write your comments and questions here!
Thanks for your support!
Expedia gap fill potential via Wave 3!Both Expedia and Trip Advisor had a rough 2019. Expedia’s shares were down ~10% in 2019 while TripAdvisor’s shares were down around 40%. Expedia fired their CEO and CFO which was seen favorable by shareholders. A successor will be found soon, and the announcement alone could fill the gap, with professionals from the likes of Uber and Zillow being tossed around. Risky play, but fat, fat reward. I am long the stock via call options (late January expiration).
Expedia group stock supply and demand analysisEver wondered how to trade stocks without using any kind of indicators, fundamental analysis or volume analysis? You don’t need any special tools to learn how to trade stocks.
As a beginner, it shouldn’t be that difficult to place a high probability trade on stocks, you don’t need a university career either. When trading stocks using a supply and demand strategy, you don’t need to pay attention to anything else but price action and the strength of the imbalance.
How to trade Expedia Group stock using a supply and demand strategy
On Expedia Group american stock #EXPE we have located a super strong supply imbalance around $135 per share. That’s the kind of imbalance we are looking for and where we are interested in selling Expedia Group stock. You don’t need to pay attention to fundamentals or earnings announcements, why should we?
Clear short bias on Expedia Group, price action analysis is also telling us that selling is the way, but not now, we need to wait for the retracement.
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Expedia DistributionWyckoff Distribution on Expedia, probably the worst company for customer service on earth besides Comcast.
Low volume on the ups, large volume on selloffs.
H&S Shape with matching volume profile (low volume climbing, high volume dropping)
The chart looks good and I also hope this company ceases to exist so lets all hope I'm right!