Buying in the $20sEXPI has a solid business model and will likely be a solid growth stock. I think the price is right now for those who buy and hold for the long term. For those who are short-to-medium term swing traders, I think EXPI will dip further. I'll be looking to get back in when it hits the high $20s.
EXPI
Upside Potential Outweighs DownsideSo, I nailed my last EXPI idea. Holy smokes, it went right to $27-28 and I loaded up. Now, which way does EXPI go? RE stocks will likely suck for a while longer but can EXPI really drop into the teens? That'd be borderline absurd. I think a $5B market cap is a fine resting place for EXPI for a while. I don't expect the price to drop much further...its down nearly 70% from its high. I think the price will linger around from the mid $20s to mid $30s until Spring. Then, I expect it to come back to life a little. I don't see EXPI hitting new highs in 2022 but my expectation is a rebound to at least the $40s.
Near-Term Pain turns to Long-Term GainI think EXPI is done for the year! I image a lot of holders will sell some of their position to offset 2021 gains. I was bullish on EXPI up until recently and thought that some of the indicators would flip but there's too much negative sentiment in macro and RE specifically. I think EXPI will dip into the $20s and rebound from there. EXP is a promising company and is poaching high-performing RE talent from other brands. The company is expanding domestically and internationally and also moving into adjacent services which bode well for top-line growth.
Is this the next EXP? Looking at some interesting accumulation here. REAX business model in the Real Estate market could hit in a low interest rate market here in 2021.
Thoughts?
Not financial advice, just a guy looking at some trends.
Thoughts below please.
EXp World Holdings This is my take on what I see, technically.
Confluence (3 or more):
1. H.T.F. continuation order block formed. Bull's favor.
2. P.A. heading towards order block after B.M.S.
3. P.A. breached previous LHs. Precursor.
4. Bullish Wedge currently forming from H.T.F. perspective.
5. P.A. rallied after O.B's 1st test.
I would look for price to break lower before a B.A.R. occur with the diagonal resistance. If the bears were to breakthrough barriers then I would wait for a B.A.R. of the $32.50 down to the $19.72 level since there's a nice potential profit margin within that range that can be seen from a bird's eye view. We shall see...
Fundamentals:
"EXp World posted revenues of $564.02 million for the quarter ended September 2020, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 37.73%." -Yahoo Finance
2 Long Scenarios for EXPIWeekly Chart :
After 2.5 Years of Solid and Technical Bullish trend NASDAQ:EXPI got into Consolidation in form of Rectangle Pattern.
Note the free range between each Top and the Bottom which follow that top - Strong Momentum.
Note the Clear defined Recatngle Boundaries.
Note the attempts to Attack The Resistance level of the Rectangle, Compare to the Attemps to hit The Support level - 5 Points for the Buyers, 2 Points for the Sellers.
Note the Mid bottom which failed to reach the Support - Weaknes of Sellers.
In Technical Anaylsis Theory, Rectangle Formation have a probability of 75% to continue the previous trend.
The Trading Plan:
Trade 1 - LONG : 11.8 To 19.5:
Wait for a Clear Minor Long Signal on 11.8 Level
1. Strong Daily Buying Candle.
2. Retest of 11.8 and buying Candle confirmation.
3. New Bottom Bellow 11.8 and then strong penetration of 11.8.
Trade 2 - LONG :6.66 To 19.5
If the rectangle Pattern will stay active, and the price will go to check the support level (6.66),
We will Initiate the trade from there - Less Likly to happen.
If so, The same Signal term applied on 6.66 Level.