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Explanation

How to read mean returns (Expand the indicator)Mean returns is a trend detection and overextension indicator. It oscillates around the value of 0. The mean return line in reality is the orange one as well as the blue one. The difference is in the number of data points into the past that they consider. Since the value of those lines is the expected value of the returns in period t, then if it's over 0 the expectation is that returns will be positive, as previously the price has been trending higher. The opposite being true as well. Meanwhile, the red and green line represent the expected upwards and expected downwards returns. That means you only take the expected value for the days in which the return was positive or negative accordingly. Therefore, if the mean returns are over the expected upwards returns the price is likely to be overextended, and vice versa. Other adjustments were made to consider the current candle. This code will remain private, as it took a lot of effort to invent. I hope you are able to understand the math. If you can't, I hope this at least allowed you to read the meaning of the indicator through this.
CME_MINI:ES1!Education
by DarkMessiah777
1
💵THE WORLD IN DEBT💵 ☑️The fact that the whole world is in massive Debt that can not be repaid is a buzzphrase that was around for like 20 years already. 20 years passed and nothing bad has happened, so what to worry about? In fact an entire political and economic movement called MMT or a modern monetary theory emerged claiming that government debt does not matter and that we can, you guessed it, print as much as we need(kinda) ☑️But the size of the debt itself was never really and issue so long as the government or a big company could service the debts. That is if their cashflow was positive enough to cover the interest payments on the debt. Now however, as the FED is raising rates, this is an issue. ☑️And its not the USA who’s pile of debt we need to be worried about(they are borrowing in the currency they can print themselves, remember?) but rather the rest of the world and the companies. The majority of developing countries don’t have the internal capital required for development, so they need to borrow on the international financial markets in Dollars. And these counties are now facing a perfect storm of a higher cost of new borrowings in Dollars, lower revenues from foreign trade due to recession(and yes we are in a recession, Wake up) and the massive energy and food costs due to the war in Ukraine and the problems caused by the supply chain crisis. ☑️Most big public companies aren’t doing great either. The share of listed companies with the debt servicing costs higher than the profits is now more than 25% and if we exclude the accounting and financial engineering shenanigans, it is save to say that this share is close to 30%. ☑️So the third of the economy is outright insolvent. Multiple countries will either default soon or will at least be plunge into civil and economic unrest and go the way of Sri-Lanka, Pakistan and others… And Jerome Powell said that he aint stopping and that the Fed funds rate should go up by at least 2 percentage points more. So instead of the collapse of the USA, we are likely to see a chain reaction debt crisis In the rest of the world unless the FED changes its mind… I Hope you guys learned something new today✅ Wish you all Best Of Luck👍 😇And may the odds be always in your favor😇 Do you like this post? Do you want more articles like that?
Education
by ProSignalsFx
7
why is nokia in a hard timeStrengths Let’s start with the first part of SWOT analysis of Nokia which is strengths: The biggest strength of the company is their brand name. Many consumers often opt for Nokia more than any other brand because of the reliability, durability, and creativity their phones provide. Most of Nokia’s highly qualified personnel have teamed up with Microsoft’s experts as a part of the acquisition deal. The phones provided by Nokia have a much higher re-sale value compared to other mobile phone brands. Many of Nokia’s products are easy to use and are usually coupled with a variety of handy accessories. Products offered by the company are available in all price ranges. Weaknesses The next part of SWOT analysis of Nokia is their weaknesses: The company, though, is often criticized for poor after sales services. Took a long time to enter the highly productive and booming smartphone market. As a result the company lost a lot of its once huge market share. Some of Nokia’s products are not affordable for middle and lower class consumers, which often affects their searches negatively. The Finnish mobile company has made comparatively lower profits due to drop in sales that result from tough competition. According to statistics, the company’s profits have fallen by 7% in the second quarter of 2014. There are slumps in the company’s development with its Windows Lumia range of smartphones because of constant competition from rivals Android and iOS. Opportunities After discussing the internal factors of SWOT analysis of Nokia, let’s shift our focus towards external factors: The Microsoft-Nokia deal is a win-win situation for both companies. The deal possesses great opportunity if both utilize resources in a proper way. Opportunities to expand the range of products and their prices. Also bring in new features and applications on to Windows OS. Threats The final part of SWOT analysis for Nokia is the threats: Strong competition from other smartphone companies will make it hard for Nokia to maintain and expand their market share. Low-cost threats by China mobile companies and others can cause big problems. So, after proper analysis, we have come to the conclusion that Nokia is going through a tough time in the market due to a variety of factors. However, with Microsoft and Nokia personnel teamed up, there is no doubt in saying that many of these problems can be overcome if Nokia strategizes, plans and uses its resources properly.
OMXHEX:NOKIAShort
by stanbolle12
7
Detailed explanation of the harmonic model 5-05-0 pattern discovered by Scott Carney and published in his book “Harmonic Trading, Volume Two” It is a unique model that has precise corrections of the Vibonachi ratio to check the health of the model. Although the 5-0 pattern is a reflective pattern, because the 50% recovery level is the most important in the possible reflection area, and the correction ratio is slightly different from the Bat or Gartley pattern. The 5-0 category falls within a family of 5 point harmonious reflection models and is essentially defined by the B point, which is mandatory for all compatible patterns. The basic pattern assumption is to determine reactions after finishing the opposite direction, and 5-0 patterns usually represent the first retreat to reflect the large direction. In many cases, the AB rib of structure is the final failing wave of direction. “The buying pattern” -Rib 0X beginning of formation of model structure. XA rib does not require a certain correction, but provided it does not break the top of the rib 0X. - AB rib between fibonachi extensions 1.13 to 1,618 from XA rib. -C point between fibonachi extensions 1.618 to 2,224 from AB rib. -Dot D from here we need to see one lower final comeback complete at the BC Correction Level 50. - CD rib should D be equal in AB rib length. “The Selling pattern” -Rib 0X starting to be the model structure. The XA rib does not require a certain correction, but provided that the bottom of the rib is not broken. - AB rib between fibonachi extensions 1.13 to 1,618 from XA rib. -C point between fibonachi extensions 1.618 to 2,224 from AB rib. -Dot D from here we need to see one lower final comeback complete at the BC Correction Level 50. - CD rib should be equal in AB rib length. Take a look at some of our previous analyzes with this analysis And don't forget to hit like so we can continue to publish such useful posts
CME:6C1!
by Elrouby
Flag breakout: A practicalFlag breakout is seen where a sudden spike in prices is seen and after this sudden increase bulls who have entered earlier start exiting thier existing position and as such a consolidation occurs as can be seen in the shown chart. This Spike ( POLE ) and the consolidation ( FLAG ) gives rise to a fresh spike in prices once the consolidation in finished and fresh investors start entry in the stock. This pattern is a logical explanation to consolidation theory. Happy Trading :)
NSE:TIMETECHNOEducation
by Shantanuupe
📚EDUCATION: THE BASICS OF TRADING EXPLAINED📚 Hello, Traders! The basics of what it takes to be a successful trader are simple and obvious Yet daily, I see traders who fail at one or multiple KEY points that sink their performance and they keep losing accounts even though these people do have the understanding of the market that would have been sufficient enough for them to be profitable if they followed the basic rules. Trading is as much about pattern recognition and capacity for abstract thinking as it is about the personality type, self-discipline, and specific mindset. The lucky few are born fit for trading, but others might train themselves. Below, is the breakdown of the basics behind the day trading! ✅ TRADING IS A BUSINESS NOT GAMBLING 99% of the new traders have unrealistic expectations of the kind of returns trading might deliver. To make matters worse, they do not realize that it will take years of trial and error before they can make trading Their only source of income. These delusions make the newbies treat trading like gambling. To AVOID this, please follow these 4 easy steps: 🔥SET AND KEEP YOUR RISK-REWARD. I recommend risking no more than 1% of the deposit per each trade, which also implies using a variable lot size for every trade, so that no matter the SL size in pips, or the pair you are trading, the dollar value of the RIKS remains the same with each trade. That way, you are in full control of the risks you are taking. 🔥DO NOT GO ALL IN. Sounds obvious, but I’ve seen it so many times. New traders, who lost 70% of the account, GO ALL IN on one trade that they think might help them recover the balance. That is NEITHER a way to trade, nor a way to learn. Slowly losing your account while learning how to trade, is simply a fee that you are paying the market for your education. Accept it or fail. 🔥PROTECT CAPITAL=USE SL I can’t stress this enough and I BEG YOU to use SL. Do NOT enter the trade thinking that if the SL level that you had in mind is hit you will close manually. You will NOT close the position, and the longer you hold it the more is the temptation to wait a bit more because it seems that the reversal is coming soon. 🔥CUT LOSSES Set a daily loss limit. For example, you can Ban yourself from trading for the rest of the day if you lost more than 3 trades in a row. You will enter what is called a tilt most likely, and you will NOT be productive that day. The same goes for a week. Lost more than 10% of the account in a week? Next week NO TRADING for you. Watch the market passively, or trade on the demo! By the way, That can be helpful even for professional traders too! ✅KEEPING A COOL HEAD IS KEY The ideal trader is the one who can set all emotions aside as a robot would, while simultaneously keeping the versatility of the human mind and the intuition, that the machines lack(yet). It is of utmost importance for the new traders to understand that being right about the direction but entering too early or too late is the same as being WRONG because the result will be a LOSS. Here is how to keep cool: 🔥CONTROL YOUR EMOTIONS. Both euphoria and a panic attack are your enemies so the more detached you are, the better. Emotions are for the casino, and we are doing business here, remember? 🔥AVOID FOMO( FEAR OF MISSING OUT) That one applies mostly to the trades that you are not so sure about, but still want to take them, in fear of not making money. And the early entries are determined by FOMO too( what if the price does not reach my limit order, and the trade plays out well, but without ME?) FOMO is Incredibly counterproductive, don't let it control you! 🔥DON’T FOLLOW OTHERS Avoid herd mentality! 99% of traders lose money, so doing what everyone does inevitably lands you in the 99% category. 🔥BUILD A WATCH LIST A LOT of the beginners try to PREDICT behavior of the particular instrument that they decided to trade for some reason, instead of going through the pairs looking for a ready setup that you KNOW works. The former approach leads to finding patterns, key levels, and setups that just aren’t there. Naturally, the result of trading these is an inevitable LOSS.You should Build a watchlist big enough for your to have a choice, and go through it at regular intervals, looking for opportunities but NOT INVENTING them. ✅ CONSISTENCY OVER BOOM-BUST STYLE Consistent trading is the only way to make trading a reliable source of income. Slow but steady gains always beat leap-like boom-bust performance. The psychological pressure of the latter will most likely break you sooner or later, and who needs gray hair in their 30es anyway? That is how you achieve consistency: 🔥FIND A STRATEGY Do the research on multiple trading strategies and pick those that you understand and that are compatible with your personality. 🔥USE PAPER TRADING AND BACKTESTING To select which strategy is right for you, use backtesting to see how the strategy performed in the past. And use paper trading to see how the strategy works in real-time.Once you chose the strategy, go back to paper trading and backtesting to polish it. 🔥TRACK YOUR TRADES Keeping track of your trading! Working with that data is an invaluable tule for the trader, that helps identify your strengths and weaknesses, while also helping you notice patterns in your trading that would have been left unrecognized otherwise. 🔥FORMALIZE YOUR RULES Objectivity is KEY for consistent trading because during the rough patches of the market, being sure of your rules helps you stay in the market, waiting for the tailwind, instead of questioning your strategy or your implementation of it. Create a strict ALGORITHM and follow it step by step. In order to do that, you need to define every element of your strategy as precisely as possible. For example, a level for you is a daily horizontal level with at least 3 touchpoints, a breakout is valid only if the 4H candle closed above the level, etc... The less vague the terms, the fewer emotions will be involved in deciding whether to enter the trade or not. ❗️ IN CONCLUSION: If you want to become a trader, remember: 1- It will take YEARS to learn how to trade. 2- You will lose a TON of money in the process 3- You will FAIL with 95% probability. 4-Realistic returns from trading are WAY lower than you think 5-BUT when you succeed, you will set yourself free! Please SUPPORT This Idea By A LIKE and COMMENT!
Editors' picks
Education
by TopTradingSignals
110
Be like Jake *educational material* *This is not financial advice, so trade at your own risks* *My team digs deep and finds stocks that are expected to perform well based off multiple confluences* *Experienced traders understand the uphill battle in timing the market, so instead my team focuses mainly on risk management* My team has decided to use a recent failed trade as an example of the importance of stop losses. Here @SimplyShowMeTheMoney you may have noticed that we place stop losses and stop profit losses on the majority of our trades. If we ever post a trade without a stop loss please understand that we're waiting for further information and that we have long-term confidence in the trade and are not worried about the short-term price action in-between. To demonstrate the importance of stop losses we must first introduce you to a successful retail trader by the name of Jake. Our friend Jake has been trading for the past 5 years. Jakes trading strategy is simple: he finds a company that he likes, and he invests his money into it. Jake hits roughly 6 out of 10 of the trades that he places. Jakes 60 percent winning average may sound 'okay' at first but lets say Jake is consistent about managing his take profits and stop-losses. Jake may be losing 40 percent of his trades, but he is able to mitigate most of the risks due to his insane stop-loss precision. But if you've been in the market long enough and have ever used stop-losses then you can probably recall a time where your trade broke through your stop-loss and then the worst thing possible happens...it shoots off to the moon without you while you watch in disbelief with your jaw dropped down to the floor. Jake knows this feeling very well. So to lower this risk, Jake locates key price areas on the chart where the stock may be at its weakest and places his stop losses. Doing this helps prevents scenarios like the one above from occuring. Jake cares about the roof over his head and keeping food in his belly. He cares about the amount of sleep he gets every night. Jake wants to be able to enjoy quality time with his girlfriend without feeling anxious about a trade that was supposed to buy her a ring, but is now worth as little as a ring-pop. That's why Jake uses stop-losses. Be like Jake. If you would like to see more, please please like and follow us @SimplyShowMeTheMoney
TEducation
by SimplyShowMeTheMoney
GOLD Scalp breakdownRisking 1%, one winning scalp a day is all you need. Enjoy the rest of the day! Keeps you from overtrading, revenge trading, and minimizes losses. If you start with 200$ account , and make 1% profit each day, your equity will be approx. 45M$ 5 years later! Two trades a day. If the first one is a loser, another trade can fix that. 2 losers, end of day. 1L and 1W, you are the winner. End your day. A third trade is allowable under certain circumstances. Like market conditions, reduced position size (risking only the day's profit), and the like. "How do I control my greed?" Here you go....
OANDA:XAUUSD
by RT_Money
So you wanna SHORT NZD/JPY? Here is why it could get tricky!Hey tradomaniacs, since Jerome Powell stated that "there is no inflation" the market keeps betting against the FED and tries to poke Jeromes nerves with rising YIELDs. This is obviously bad for equities, because higher returns provides a great alternative to Stocks, which is causing a strenght for the US-Dollar. So why could a short NZD/JPY be choppy? NZD/USD currently reacts so sensitive because stocks are falling. NZD/USD is a risk-on-currency and since correlations have changed in the market almost all majors against USD having very huge standard deviations. This is basically because the economy improves when US-DOLLAR falls, due to the fact that the provided liquidity, or inflation, boost consume and investments -> Higher grow expectations -> Good for stocks. Now we got these correlations in the market: YIELDS and US-DOLLAR rise -> Equities fall Equities fall -> NZD falls YIELDS rise -> JPY falls When NZD and JPY both tend to fall due to the current correlations, NZD/JPY could be the worst NZD-pair to short, or generally to trade. The best JPY-Pair to trade is currently USD/JPY, as DXY moves up while JPY falls as long as the inflation-worries continues. Non the less, we could see stop-losses getting triggered and so a fall of NZD/JPY. Compare NZD/USD to NZD/JPY, and you will se what I mean. :-) LEAVE A LIKE AND A COMMENT - I appreciate every support! =) Peace and good trades Irasor Wanna see more? Don`t forget to follow me
Short
by Trading2ez
6
GME long TP 2000$ and much more up. The reason why stock plumbed, why I think is going to go up so much and more find below: After some stocks weren't able to buy from retail traders, AMC,GME dropped. The reason is that the fund sold their shares to other funds, which made the stock algorithm think the stock is being sold —> price goes down —> the found that bought sells those shares again to the fund that sold them in the first place —> price drops even more —> they keep doing that —> price drops lower every time —> but as long as the retailers hold them buys they weren’t able to exit any positions!!! Shorts are still up 120% percent. As long as we hold the squeeze is inevitable!! And if you don’t believe me, look at the GME after hour stock price!Furthermore don’t sell at 1000$ tomorrow or next week!!! It can be way fucking higher! I‘m talking about numbers around 10/20k per share! Compared to the VW squeeze in 2008 GME would need to be valued at 34000$ per share!!! First, we need to understand what is "Days to Cover" or "Short Ratio" .Official definition (Days to cover, also called short ratio, measures the expected number of days to close out a company's issued shares that have been shorted. Days to cover is calculated by taking the number of currently shorted shares and dividing that amount by the average daily trading volume for the company in question). A high 'days to cover' ratio can often signal a potential short squeeze.Imagine you're Melvin Capital and you have 1 million shorts up. How long will it take to get all those shorts out of your portfolio? If the volume of short removing is 1 per day, then it'll take 1 million days to remove 1 million short from your hands. If it's 50,000 shorts a day, then it's 20 days. Same thing with covering short positions. How long will it take Melvin Capital and other shorters to cover their short positions? You take alllll the shorted shares, divided by the average volume of share movement per day, and you get something called "Days to Cover" Now you know what day's to cover means, you can check many websites to see what is the days to cover for GME. So you can see, even if Melvin Capital wants to cover their shorts, it's gonna take them DAYS, and right now it's gonna take them an entire trading week to cover their position.So what does that mean for us? Well, we're just waiting for the day when Melvin Capital starts covering their position. When is that day? VERY VERY VERY SOON. They're are bleeding out with the insane interest rate they're paying for their position, and a lot of puts are expiring on Friday, plus a lot of ITM (in the money) calls expire Friday and can be exercised to get shares. Friday might be the day where Melvin Capital have no choice BUT to start covering. Now, IF this happens, then it's not gonna take Melvin Capital 1 hour to cover all their shorts, but DAYS. Meaning if Melvin capital starts covering FRIDAY, it will take them at LEAST 5 DAYS to fully cover, which means ALL of next week, the price will keep increasing and increasing! So realistically I'd say Wednesday or Thursday next week might be peak sell time, IF the covering starts Friday. No need to panic sell. No need to worry about a top that lasts for minutes. It will LAST FOR DAYS!!!!!Now, CNBC and all of the MM's and corrupt media will fool you into thinking Melvin Capital has already covered their positions... Don't be fooled.
NYSE:GMELong
by Arnau_fx
5
WHY IS FOREX not moving? Here is the answer!Hey tradomaniacs, As you may have noticed the market is not moving as it should looking at fundamentals and news which is why I`m still staying aside. A positive newsflow of economic data and very good earning reports plus a rising stockmarket are not really driving currencies as they should due to the fact possible stimulus could continue to boost US-YIELDS, which is currently in favour of the US-Dollar . In this case we got two intermarket-correlations which are contrary making it harder for forex-pairs to move smooth and clear (especially risk-on-pairs such as AUD/USD and NZD/USD ). Another example is USD/CAD as the market does not really know where to go as CRUDE OIL currently rises with the US-Dollar . DXY (US-DOLLAR-INDEX) is by the way creating its first divergences looking at Momentum and indicators such as MAC-D and RSI and I`m waiting for the market either to break through the key-resistance or to create a double-top. Bond prices and yield are by the way inversely related. So what shall we look at? As long as YIELDS continue to be strong with risk-on in the stockmarket we might see currencies stuck in major trend-areas. This means we either wanna see risk-off in stocks for a bullish USD or falling YIELDS with rsik-on in the stockmarket for a bearish USD! LEAVE A LIKE AND A COMMENT - I appreciate every support! =) Peace and good trades Irasor Wanna see more? Don`t forget to follow me! #Patience
TVC:DXY
by Trading2ez
8
USDJPY sell trade explained, structure, reasons, SL and TP Short trade of USDJPY detected after a formation of a bearish triangle, our automatic indicators draw the fibonacci levels and the trend lines. We can see the green middle line of the trend line, that's a important zone that if its rejected together with the Moving Average it means big sell pressure. We see in the setup how clearly a reject was made to the moving average indicator and also to the trend lines. After we spot the reject we immediately start with next step to make a short trade execution. Before that we place our Sl and our Tp zones. SL is going to be placed above the 0% fibonacci level and our TP is going to be placed at the 50% fibonacci level, the reason is that both zones act as a high resistance & support level so we place the sl above the resistance area and the TP at the support area. The result is a nice scalp of 30 pips with no draw down, thanks to a good consistent trading strategy. Thanks!
by Arnau_fx
FISHY moves in the STOCKMARKETHey tradomaniacs, Current markets mood is harder to indentify as we see the same cashflow like we`ve seen with the first vaccine-wave this year. Comparing RUSSELL 2000 and SPX500 it looks like we see a flow out of big companies into the small-cap-section. This is very weird as the small businesses were those who suffered the most during the COVID-Lockdown in the USA. Does the market expect a BOOM of these companies with the upcoming vaccine? There is one fact: More than 50% of these companies listed in RUSSELL are not making any profit 👉 They are the "zombies" of the market who are only able to survive due to financial injections by the central bank. These odd moves are forcing me to trade a bit less as I don`t think that institutional traders are willing to buy stocks of companies that only just able to buoy up. Sell off coming soon? LEAVE A LIKE AND A COMMENT - I appreciate every support! =) Peace and good trades Irasor Wanna see more? Don`t forget to follow me. Any questions? PM me. :-)
TVC:RUT
by Trading2ez
2
NASDAQ100 drops WHILE SPX500 goes up? Here is WHY!Hey tradomaniacs, the current sell-off in NASDAQ100 and climb indicies such as SPX500 can be a bit confusing. The pump is basically caused by news from Pfizer (PFE) and Biontech (BTNX) saying that the vaccine is 90% effective in combating COVID-19! It`s kinda hard to evaluate the situation now as NASDAQ100 drops while growth-stocks go up. This is kinda tricky for the US-DOLLAR which is very volatile for now. FAANG-Stocks are suffering by the outlook t hat Corona is done with an upcoming vaccine. Why is that? Because FAANG -Stocks ( Facebook (FB), Amazon (AMZN), Apple (AAPL), Netflix (NFLX); and Alphabet (GOOG) had their benefits from Corona as everyone was stuck at home, means people order a lot, watch Netflix and check social-medias. Last week Jeff Bezos has sold is own Amazon-Stocks aswell so there might be more potential to the downside. The TEC-HYPE could be over as prices are partially way too high. ❗️BE CAREFULL trading now as cashflow can be very chaotic❗️ LEAVE A LIKE AND A COMMENT - I appreciate every support! =) Peace and good trades Irasor Wanna see more? Don`t forget to follow me. Any questions? PM me. :-)
OANDA:NAS100USD
by Trading2ez
1
EURCAD SHARK HARMONIC EXPLANATION EURCAD Shark Harmonic Pattern explained. - This is a explanation video on how to identify the Shark Pattern along with the target points and stop loss - Targets range from 30-60 PIPS As always if you found this idea helpful, please let me know by hitting that like button and/or leaving me a comment below. Also feel free to share your opinion on this setup, or other setups that you have on your radar for the EURCAD. The more ideas we can generate the more informative these ideas become for newer traders. ~T$
Education
by OkayTrev
HOW does a Moving Average work? #EZ-Learning by EXPLANATIONHey tradomaniacs and becoming traders, here some more education for you and especially for those who started trading and heared about that weird thing called Moving Average. I hope you enjoy it and learn something. If you need more education just check my videos and posts tagged as education. Peace and happy learning Irasor Trading2ez Wanna see more? Don`t forget to follow me. Any questions? Need more? PM me. :-)
BITFINEX:XRPUSDEducation
by Trading2ez
1