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Altcoin Market Cap in BTC - Long-Term ViewLet me just start by saying that I do realize that my methods are quite unorthodox, but I'm sure you'll find them convincing nonetheless. Thank you for reading, and please show your support by hitting the "Like" / "Follow" button now. The chart you're seeing here is the market cap of all altcoins combined in BTC (not USD). The formula used is TOTAL2/BTCUSD. It is my opinion that looking at it in USD just taints one's view, and it's very difficult to draw conclusions from that data. As you can see here, the data is very clean, reliable, and tells a really good story. In this weekly chart, you can see that the altcoin market established a support in Feb 2017 (lower yellow line), which it has not broken till date. It then established another support during the crypto Christmas of Dec '17 (upper yellow line), which was tested in May '19, and broken in June '19. So we're back to our original support, which has now been tested 3 times, and held. There are also two resistance lines shown (in blue). Our solid support helped break the first resistance line in Jan '20, and we are at this moment getting squeezed between the solid support and the next resistance line. You'll also notice that the 50 Week EMA (orange line) is forming a confluence with the resistance line overhead, which has historically also acted as a support/resistance. Another thing to look at is the Volume Flow Indicator (VFI) at the bottom of the screen, which I believe is indicating a bullish divergence in the weekly timeframe. If you want to know why I'm looking at this indicator, see my tutorial linked below. When I think of all these factors combined: strong support underneath, 50 Week EMA overhead that has been pierced twice recently, and squeeze between support and resistance, combined with the fact that the support didn't break even during the COVID crash, and the general positive energy in the altcoin market right now, I can't help but feel bullish about the altcoin market. The squeeze seems to be terminating in the third week of July, so I think we will have a decision by then. The wildcard is the impending potential stock market crash, but seeing as the last crash (Mar '20) actually gave the altcoin market a pump, I'm not worried about that at all. Keep in mind though that I'm talking about prices in BTC, not USD, so if you're trading altcoins in USD then you have to take the price of BTC in USD into account... forewarned is forearmed. This is my idea on how the altcoin market might behave in the coming weeks. If you find it helpful, please Like the idea. Also would be great to Follow me so you can be notified of my future ideas. Do you agree or disagree with me? Do you have any feedback? Let me know in the comments. Disclaimer No Investment Advice Provided Any opinions, chats, messages, news, research, analyses, prices, or other information contained in this Post/Idea or in connection with it are provided as general market information for educational and entertainment purposes only, and do not constitute investment advice. This Post/Idea should not be relied upon as a substitute for extensive independent market research before making your actual trading decisions. Opinions, market data, recommendations or any other content is subject to change at any time without notice. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information. I do not recommend the use of technical analysis as a sole means of trading decisions. I do not recommend making hurried trading decisions. You should always understand that PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2Long
by kkarmayogi
How To Trade Moving Averages In a Volatile MarketCryptohopper Newsletter Chart Bitcoincash has made a swift recovery of over 70% from its lows this year on the 13th of March. The markets have been very volatile over the past month, and Bitcoincash is no exception. Over the past days however, the price has entered in a consolidation phase between $180 and $225. Trend following indicators tend to work very well in volatile markets. Moving averages are a good example of a trend following indicator. Let’s dive into how you could have used moving averages to trade this volatile market! Different Types of Moving Averages As you probably know there are many types of moving averages, but what are the best ones, and how to use them? This is what we will explore in this week’s technical analysis. Generally the slower and longer moving averages are used in order to catch the bigger moves in the markets. The slower and longer a moving average is, the more reliable its signal is considered. The disadvantage however is that you may enter positions too late, or that you exit positions too late as well giving back most of your profits. The slowest moving average usually used by traders is the SMA (simple moving average) . This moving average gives the same weight to all of the past closing prices. Faster and shorter moving averages are then used in order to catch every movement of the price. The advantage of the faster and shorter moving averages is that you will be able to capture all of the market moves early on; at least earlier than the slower moving averages. However the disadvantage to these is that they give a lot of fake signals, so a trader may enter positions on trades that never comes to fruition. The fastest-moving average that is generally used by traders is the TEMA (triple exponential moving average) . This moving average reacts faster to price movements as it gives a lot more weight to the most recent data. So, how can we create a trading system based only on moving averages, that works? This is what we will explore in the next section. Moving Average trading system As slower moving averages tend to give fewer and more reliable signals we can use one in order to time our entries in the market. This way we will limit the number of fake signals and as such our % of winning trades should increase. We can thus use the cross between the 10 EMA and the 30 EMA for this purpose. The EMA is slightly faster than the simple moving average as it gives more weight to the most recent data. We can then use the TEMA in order to time our exits in the market. A TEMA can be useful as a sell signal, as it reacts faster than the other moving averages and will thus take the profit sooner. The advantage of using a TEMA is that you will exit the trade sooner, and as such you will not be giving as much profit back. Both the EMA and the TEMA are available at Cryptohopper, along with many other different types of moving averages. Create your fully automated trading system with moving averages today, by joining us on Cryptohopper!
COINBASE:BCHUSD
by cryptohopper
Double top?The trade is simple. - We have a nasty rejection wick on the 4hr. - We are printing out a potential double top formation. - We are pushing against 100EMA If we can get a convincing close below the 100EMA we are off and running for a nice short. If we bounce here, I will look for longs on the 15m and 1hr (PA and a break in structure). For now I wait to see which way we break. Stop for short will be 7,000. Stop for long around 6,630 (depending on pump+retrace into my limit). Not really focussed on long right now. Position well. Always set stops.
BITMEX:BTCUSD.PShort
by Pillarstric
New realm of Support and Resistance for $BTCWe have pumped above what was the watched support and resistance at the 200-week EMA and the 200-week SMA. The new realm to watch is on the daily chart between the 233-EMA and the 377-EMA with a leaning for a break above the 377-EMA and a move to $6000 where the 377-EMA then becomes support and 6500 becomes the next critical resistance target. Staying long the buys from Dec, Feb, and the recent trend line break. A break of the first red bullish trend line would trigger sells for me. Happy Trading!
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by FiboSwanny
XPloRR S&P500 Stock Market Crash Alert GeneratorXPloRR S&P500 Stock Market Crash Alert Generator Long-Term Trailing-Stop study detecting S&P500 Stock Market Crashes/Corrections and showing Volatility as warning signal for upcoming crashes Detecting or avoiding stock market crashes seems to be the 'Holy Grail' of strategies/studies. This study detects all major S&P500 stock market crashes and corrections since 1980 depending on the Trailing Stop Smoothness parameter. The 5 crashes/corrections of 1987, 1990, 2001, 2008 and 2010 were successfully detected with the default parameters. With the default parameters this study generates 5954% profit, with 6 closed trades, 100% profitable, while the Buy&Hold strategy only generates 2427% profit, so this strategy beats the Buy&Hold strategy by 2.45 times! The script shows a lot of graphical information: the green area shows a trading period (between buy and sell) the close value is shown in light-green. When the close value is temporarily lower than the buy value, the close value is shown in light-red. This way it is possible to evaluate the virtual losses during the trade. the trailing stop value is shown in dark-green. the EMA and SMA values for both buy and sell signals are shown as colored curves the Volatility is show below in green and red. The alert threshold (red) is default set to 200 (see Volatility Warning Threshold parameter below) Trailing Stop Smoothness value: Adjust the Trailing Stop Smoothness parameter to hide/show smaller corrections/crashes: 96: 6 trades, 100% profit, 5954% profit, detected crashes: 1987, 1990, 2001, 2008, 2010 90: 8 trades, 100% profit, 5347% profit, detected crashes: 1984, 1987, 1990, 2001, 2008, 2010, 2011 74: 9 trades, 100% profit, 4964% profit, detected crashes: 1984, 1987, 1990, 2001, 2008, 2010, 2011, 2015 41: 10 trades, 100% profit, 4886% profit, detected crashes: 1984, 1987, 1990, 1998, 2001, 2008, 2010, 2011, 2015 How to use this alert generator? Add to your alerts to get an automatic warning (via e-mail) of an upcoming stock market crash Optimize parameters using the strategy settings icon, you can increase/decrease the parameters More trades don't necessarily generate more overall profit. It is important to detect only the major crashes and avoid closing trades on the smaller corrections. Bearing the smaller corrections generates a higher profit. Watch out for the volatility alerts generated at the bottom (red). Threshold can by changed by the Volatility Warning Threshold parameter (default 2% ATR). In almost all crashes/corrections there is an alert ahead of the crash. Although the signal doesn't predict the exact timing of the crash/correction, it is a clear warning signal that bearish times are ahead! The current correction in march 2018 is not yet a major crash but there was already a red volatility warning alert. If the volatility alert repeats the next weeks/months, chances are higher that a bigger crash or correction is near. As can be seen in the graphic, the deeper the crash is, the higher and wider the red volatility signal goes. So keep an eye on the red flag! Information about the parameters: see below If you are interested in buying this S&P500 Stock Market Crash Alert Generator, please drop me a message to receive the code (Price 99$).
SP:SPXShort
by XPl0RR
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