ExxonMobil: PullbackXOM stock has experienced a setback over the past two weeks. However, we maintain our view that turquoise wave 3 is still in progress and has further upside potential. Once a top is established, we expect a corrective movement before another rally completes the larger green wave (1). The recent decline brings our 35% alternative scenario into focus, which places the stock in green wave alt.(2). This scenario will activate if the price falls below the support level at $95.77.
Exxonmobil
Exxon's Make-or-Break Moment: $123 Resistance in FocusThe chart distinctly illustrates that the stock has been in a consolidation phase for over a year and is presently trading slightly below its resistance zone.
For a potential upward movement, the price must surpass the 123 level and maintain its position above this threshold.
At the same time, there is a significant likelihood that the stock price may encounter rejection once more, leading to a decline towards its trendline support level.
EXXON MOBIL Buy signal on the 1D MA200.Exxon Mobil (XOM) has turned sideways since the June 17 Low and yesterday hit and held and 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). Technically this calls for at least a Resistance 1 test on the short-term so we turn bullish, targeting 120.00 (marginally below that level).
If however it turns out that the dominant pattern is indeed now a Channel Up, on the long-term we can see prices as high as the 1.5 Fibonacci extension (131.50), which is where the previous Higher High was priced on April 12 2014.
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ExxonMobil projects stability in global oil demand through 2050ExxonMobil has released a report projecting that global oil demand will remain stable until 2050 despite the accelerating shift towards renewable energy sources. According to ExxonMobil, oil demand is expected to stabilise after 2030, maintaining levels above 100 million barrels per day, closely aligning with the current 102.2 million barrels per day. This forecast starkly contrasts with its competitor, BP, which anticipates a decline to 75 million barrels per day by 2050.
The report highlights that petroleum products will continue to play a critical role in industrial processes and heavy transportation sectors such as shipping, trucking, and aviation. Moreover, ExxonMobil notes that despite the increased adoption of electric vehicles and other renewable energy resources, oil and natural gas are projected to constitute over half of the global energy mix by 2050. This outlook supports an optimistic long-term scenario for ExxonMobil's core oil and gas operations.
Technical analysis of Exxon Mobil Corporation (NYSE: XOM)
Reviewing potential trading strategies based on the technical setup of ExxonMobil's stock:
Timeframe : Daily (D1)
Current trend : the stock is trending upward within an ascending channel, having recently rebounded from the support level at 114.00 USD and approaching a critical resistance at 120.00 USD
Short-term target : the immediate upside target lies at the resistance level of 123.65 USD
Medium-term target : a breach of the 123.65 USD resistance could pave the way for further gains towards 127.60 USD
Key support : positioned at 114.00 USD
Reversal indicator : if the stock breaks below the key support at 114.00 USD, it will negate the current bullish scenario, potentially driving prices down to 108.45 USD
ExxonMobil's shares currently benefit from positive momentum, having broken the upper boundary of a descending channel. A successful breach of the key resistance at 120.00 USD would signify an exit from a Triangle pattern, potentially strengthening the bullish momentum with a target at 127.60 USD, aligned with the pattern's projected outcome.
Investors should closely monitor ExxonMobil's movements, especially in light of its optimistic oil demand forecast and the potential impact on its stock price in the context of prevailing market dynamics and energy sector trends.
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ExxonMobil: RegenerationWe are primarily assuming that the ExxonMobil stock should rise again significantly as part of the final stage of the green wave (1). Once the high of this movement has been established, a sell-off should follow. However, our please note our alternative scenario (37% probable), which will be triggered on a fall below the support level of $95.77. This option sees the stock in the green wave-alt.(2) correction and will lead to an imminent sell-off.
XOM Exxon Mobil Corporation Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought the dip on XOM:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of XOM Exxon Mobil Corporation prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 120usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-1-17,
for a premium of approximately $10.05.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Exxon Mobil Is On The Way HigherExxon Mobil with ticker XOM is back in the uptrend after a completed (A)-(B)-(C) irregular flat correction for wave 4. It's in strong rally away from projected support for wave 4, so wave 5 can be now in progress, which should be completed by a five-wave cycle of the lower degree. It can easily send the price towards all-time highs, just be aware of subwave (4) pullback. At the same time Crude oil could be headed to 85-90, maybe even 100 area.
Exxon Mobil Exxon Mobil is going up strong to the all time high,
Expecting strong reaction from that area,
Volume is going down in the last 2 3 weeks witch means bulls are getting weaker,
If we look into the valuation ratios , the company is getting overvalued,
If we look at the 10 Ma on weekly we can see that price is getting away from MA fast witch indicates that the company is getting overvalued quickly,
It will be interesting to see how price will react from that area when it goes up, But overall trend is bullish,
EXXON MOBIL This sell signal will take it to $105.00 minimum.Exxon Mobil (XOM) has been on a tremendous since the January 18 bottom and even more so since the start of this month (March). We are about to form a Golden Cross on the 1D time-frame and last time this pattern emerged (September 20 2023), the market top was formed a week after.
In fact all Tops since November 2022 where formed on a Higher High sequence, confirmed by a 1D MACD Bearish Cross. As a result, we are waiting for the ideal sell opportunity on Exxon's next High and we will enter it after the MACD forms a Bearish Cross. All previous 3 corrective waves have hit at least the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level. That gives us a medium-term Target of $105.00.
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XOM Exxon Mobil Corporation Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought XOM ahead of the previous earnings:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of XOM Exxon Mobil Corporation prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 105usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-3-15,
for a premium of approximately $2.37.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
EXXON MOBIL on the 1 year Support but on bearish bias.The Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) is again testing Support 1 (97.85), which is holding since the March 13 2023 Low but on a bearish note as it recently broke below the October 2020 Higher Lows trend-line (was the long-term Support) and remains below the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) for the 12th week in a row.
This is obviously a long-term analysis on the 1W time-frame, but the chart can provide a clear view of the trend depending on the break-out. If the stock closes a 1W candle above the 1W MA50, we will turn bullish targeting $120.00 (just below Resistance 1). If it closes below Support 1, we will turn bearish targeting 84.50, just above Support 2 and the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line).
Note that the 1W RSI has been on a huge Bearish Divergence (Channel Down) since January 2022.
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EXXON MOBIL: Strong buy at the bottom of a 1 year Rectangle.XOM has been trading inside a Rectangle pattern since the October 11th 2022 low and just last week the 1D RSI got oversold below 30.000. Now the 1D technical outlook is neutral (RSI = 46.595, MACD = -1.790, ADX = 43.208) but that oversold level was the first buy signal as it took place very close to the Rectangle's bottom.
The second and final validation buy signal will be when the stock closes a 1D candle over the LH trendline. Yesterday it crossed over it but closed on it. We will take this opportunity to target the 0.786 Fibonacci level (TP = 115.00) as this was the minimum target that the previous three rallies hit.
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EXXON MOBIL: Another choppy month. Rally near Christmas.Exxon Mobil got rejected last Friday on the 1D MA200 and after the 1D MA50 rejection the week before, enters a dangerous territory of LL until it forms the bottom. The long term pattern is a Channel Up, who's rebounds and rejections are accuretelly depicted by the Fibonacci levels. Naturall the 1D timeframe is bearish (RSI = 36.689, MACD = 2.316, ADX = 38.647) and until we see HLows on the 1D RSI, we are not willing to turn bullish long term. We expect the rally to start close to Christmas, aiming at the top of the Channel (TP = 122.00).
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XOM Exxon Mobil Corporation Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought XOM when they made "more money than God" here:
or ahead of the previous earnings:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of XOM Exxon Mobil Corporation prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 110usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2023-10-27,
for a premium of approximately $1.43.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
EXXON MOBIL Buy opportunity lower.Exxon Mobil is trading between the MA50 and MA200 (1d) which is approximately the 0.618 - 0.5 Fibonacci range.
Technically the most usual buy opportunity is on the 0.236 Fibonacci level.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy when the 0.236 Fibonacci level breaks.
Targets:
1. 119.00 (the High on 3 separate occasions).
Tips:
1. When the RSI (1d) is on a downtrend and reverses to cross over the MA trend line, it is an action that validates the buy. Use this as an additional tool.
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Double top form of ExxonMobil's stock has been completedDouble top form of ExxonMobil's stock has been completed
This chart shows the weekly candle chart of ExxonMobil's stocks over the past 4 years. The graph overlays the bottom to top golden section at the beginning of 2020. As shown in the figure, the small-scale double top form of ExxonMobil's stock has been completed. Now, there is a long short competition at the bottom of the figure against the 3.000 and 3.272 positions in the golden section, and it is likely to break down in the future! For a period of time to come, just use the long start level of ExxonMobil's stock in late March this year at $99.63 as the long short divide!
XOM Exxon Mobil Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought XOM here:
Or when they made more money than God:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of XOM Exxon Mobil prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 105usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2023-8-18,
for a premium of approximately $2.16.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Exxon Mobil is on an Important Key Level inside the ChannelXOM is currently displaying a significant key level on the weekly timeframe. Anticipating a bounce from this key level, the expectation is for the price to move towards the highs around $120. This would mark the fifth impulse within the established channel.
Is Exxon Mobil prime for a trend reversal after 280% rally?On 8th November 2022, shares of Exxon Mobil reached a high of 114.66$, marking over a 280% increase since their lows in March 2020. The company has enjoyed this two-year lasting rally thanks to the growing prices of oil, which translated into growing corporate earnings during this period. However, with oil prices peaking in the first half of 2022 and worsening economic conditions around the globe, shares of XOM might be positioning themselves for a trend reversal. In addition to that, the U.S. government seeking to increase taxes on oil producers also does not help the situation. Therefore, we will closely monitor the price action. We want to see the price break below the immediate support/resistance level and a pick-up in volume to support our thesis. With that outlined, we want to set a price target for XOM at 90$ per share.
Illustration 1.01
Illustration 1.01 displays the weekly chart of XOM. Volume can be seen declining for the past eight months while the price kept rising. That hints at fewer investors willing to buy the stock at elevated levels.
Technical analysis
Daily time frame = Bearish
Weekly time frame = Bullish but losing momentum
Illustration 1.02
Illustration 1.02 shows the daily chart of XOM and 200-day SMA.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
Exxon Mobil Analysis 28.12.2022Hello Traders,
welcome to this free and educational analysis.
I am going to explain where I think this asset is going to go over the next few days and weeks and where I would look for trading opportunities.
If you have any questions or suggestions which asset I should analyse tomorrow, please leave a comment below.
I will personally reply to every single comment!
If you enjoyed this analysis, I would definitely appreciate it, if you smash that like button and maybe consider following my channel.
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
You can also check out my previous analysis of this asset:
Exxon's short term bias has turned negative.Exxon Mobile - 30d expiry - We look to Sell a break of 102.28 (stop at 105.22)
We are trading at overbought extremes.
Bearish divergence can be seen on the weekly (the chart makes a higher high while the oscillator makes a lower high), often a signal of exhausted bullish momentum, or at least a correction lower.
Short term bias has turned negative.
Short term MACD has turned negative.
There is no clear indication that the downward move is coming to an end.
A break of the recent low at 102.37 should result in a further move lower.
Our profit targets will be 95.15 and 94.15
Resistance: 106.20 / 108.54 / 112.00
Support: 102.37 / 99.00 / 96.75
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group.
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Exxon Mobil Analysis 10.12.2022Hello Traders,
welcome to this free and educational analysis.
I am going to explain where I think this asset is going to go over the next few days and weeks and where I would look for trading opportunities.
If you have any questions or suggestions which asset I should analyse tomorrow, please leave a comment below.
I will personally reply to every single comment!
If you enjoyed this analysis, I would definitely appreciate it, if you smash that like button and maybe consider following my channel.
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!