EXXON MOBIL: This strong rally won't end any time soon.Exxon Mobil is about to turn overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 67.390, MACD = 2.260, ADX = 52.087) as for the 4th straigh week it is posting gains. This rally started on the first week of March when the stock almost touched the bottom of the 2 year Channel Up. This is a similar bullish wave to the one that started after the January 2024 bottom, which eventually reached the 1.236 Fibonacci extension. Aim for a bit under the top of the Channel Up (TP = 128.00.
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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Exxonmobiltrading
ExxonMobil: Toward the ResistanceExxonMobil: Toward the Resistance
As planned, XOM recently continued to rise with the magenta wave . We give this movement a bit more room, but another smaller corrective movement of wave should start below the resistance line at $126.34 before XOM ultimately surpasses this mark. Once the upward movement stalls below $126.34, it is important that the price doesn't fall too deeply afterward. After all, there is a 40% probability for our alternative scenario, where not wave in magenta but wave alt.2 in turquoise would develop its high – confirming an already established top of the overarching wave alt.(B) and, thus, a generally corrective scenario.
ExxonMobil: Final Pullback ExpectedExxonMobil should soon resolve the ongoing sideways phase, allowing the turquoise wave 2 to establish its corrective low below $104.84. This final pullback is still needed before the next impulsive rally unfolds. Alternatively, there is a 32% chance that the key low was already settled by the turquoise wave alt. 2. A break above $123.74 would confirm this scenario.
EXXON MOBIL: Strong buy at the bottom of a 1 year Rectangle.XOM has been trading inside a Rectangle pattern since the October 11th 2022 low and just last week the 1D RSI got oversold below 30.000. Now the 1D technical outlook is neutral (RSI = 46.595, MACD = -1.790, ADX = 43.208) but that oversold level was the first buy signal as it took place very close to the Rectangle's bottom.
The second and final validation buy signal will be when the stock closes a 1D candle over the LH trendline. Yesterday it crossed over it but closed on it. We will take this opportunity to target the 0.786 Fibonacci level (TP = 115.00) as this was the minimum target that the previous three rallies hit.
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EXXON MOBIL: Another choppy month. Rally near Christmas.Exxon Mobil got rejected last Friday on the 1D MA200 and after the 1D MA50 rejection the week before, enters a dangerous territory of LL until it forms the bottom. The long term pattern is a Channel Up, who's rebounds and rejections are accuretelly depicted by the Fibonacci levels. Naturall the 1D timeframe is bearish (RSI = 36.689, MACD = 2.316, ADX = 38.647) and until we see HLows on the 1D RSI, we are not willing to turn bullish long term. We expect the rally to start close to Christmas, aiming at the top of the Channel (TP = 122.00).
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