SILVER SHORT via AG (WORST RUN MINER IN THE GAME) FUNDAMENTAL
- Price of Silver aside, AG is an incredibly poorly run miner. From mass share dilution to disastrous acquisitions I can not think of a more poorly run company. The stock price speaks for itself... sitting near the lows of the year despite silver at recent highs.
SILVER
- Silver has been behaving very weak in relation to Gold. Unless we break out above 31.50-32.50 I see Silver continuing to be range bound at best. There are many reasons for this. Mainly indications from strong correlations that I will not mention (secret sauce).
TECHNICALS
- The price is at a solid supply level (6.20) and has already began dramatic impulses to the downside at any hint of Silver rolling over. In addition we have divergence on the RSI.
DISCLAMER: No Neumeyers were hurt in the making of this post
F-XAU
GOLD Breaks Records,Overbought Signals Hint at Scalping ReversalGold surged to a new all-time high near $2,610 on Friday as expectations grew that global central banks will join the Federal Reserve (Fed) in easing monetary policy and cutting interest rates. Investors are increasingly turning to gold as a safe-haven asset, driven by the prospect of lower interest rates, which diminish the opportunity cost of holding non-interest-paying assets like gold. This surge in gold’s value is largely attributed to the growing consensus that central banks worldwide will follow the Fed's lead in slashing rates to stimulate economic growth.
Lower interest rates typically favor gold, as they make alternative interest-bearing investments less attractive. With fewer benefits from higher-yielding assets, gold becomes a more appealing choice for investors looking to protect their wealth in an environment of falling rates. However, as gold reaches new highs, there’s a caveat: when access to gold becomes easier, it reduces the perceived value of holding it, as the scarcity that once made the asset so desirable begins to wane.
Amid this record-breaking rally, we’ve noticed overbought conditions in the gold market, signaling a potential opportunity for scalpers. A short-term bearish setup is forming as gold nears a technical exhaustion point. The sharp rise in price has pushed gold into overbought territory, which often precedes a pullback or reversal. This presents a lucrative opportunity for traders looking to capitalize on a quick price correction.
From a technical standpoint, gold is showing signs of a potential reversal, as momentum indicators flash warning signals of an impending price downturn. Scalpers and short-term traders may find an attractive entry point for a bearish trade, particularly if gold fails to maintain its new record high and starts retreating toward key support levels.
While the long-term outlook for gold remains bullish due to global monetary easing, in the short term, market conditions may favor a pullback. Traders looking for a short-term bearish setup should monitor key resistance levels and momentum indicators for confirmation of a reversal. With gold hovering near its peak, the potential for a temporary correction is becoming increasingly likely, making it a prime target for short-term profit opportunities.
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HelenP. I Gold will rebound from trend line and continue move upHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. A few moments ago price declined to the trend line and then started to move up near this line to support 2, which coincided with the support zone. When the price reached this level, it broke it and rose a little more, but soon turned around and dropped, breaking support 2 and the trend line too. Soon, Gold turned around and continued to move up next, and later it broke the trend line with support 2 one more time. Next, the price rose to support 1, which coincided with one more support zone, and some time traded near this level, after which turned around and made a correction movement below the trend line. Gold some time rose near below this line and later broke support 1, after which in a short time broke the trend line too. Just now, the price trades close to this line and I expect that XAUUSD will rebound from the trend line and continue to move up. For this reason, I set my goal at 2620 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Bullish bounce off major pullback support?The Gold (XAU/USD) is falling towards the pivot which acts as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 2,531.45
1st Support: 2,500.49
1st Resistance: 2,588.56
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Is Gold Predicting a 50-Point Rate Cut? Gold surged to an all-time high before pulling back, as investors await the Federal Reserve’s first move to ease monetary policy in over four years.
Traders are pricing in a 67% chance of a 50-basis-point rate cut, according to CME’s FedWatch Tool. Yet, despite growing expectations of an aggressive start to the policy easing, gold has slipped 0.5%, paring last week’s gains to 2.9%.
Could we see more downside in gold if a 25-basis-point eventuates from the Fed? $2,530 could be a potential level of support in this scenario.
Technical indicators, including the Relative Strength Index (RSI), have eased from near-overbought levels but perhaps not enough to suggest a more significant decline in gold prices is imminent.
XAU - big short soon)My analysis is based on a classical pattern and there was a fake 4 top, which made an impulse upwards, or rather 4 top is a trap that collects liquidity upwards and then rolls strongly downwards to collect liquidity with a strong decline into the zones I indicated and this is still an optimistic scenario.
XAUUSD 16/09/24This week for gold, we are building on the overall outcome of last week's price action, which was a new all-time high—a move we’ve been anticipating for the past few weeks. Price action remains clearly bullish and continues to maintain its upward bias across both higher and lower timeframes.
With this in mind, we need to wait for a clear high to form within the hourly to daily timeframes in order to determine where we expect the price to pull back to until the high of our range is established. For now, we are simply anticipating price action to continue moving upwards. Please refer to the chart for potential short-term price pullbacks if the current high is maintained.
We have a straightforward trajectory of institutional price action heading to the upside. There is a clear area of demand that broke the previous all-time high, so a pullback to these areas is possible. However, until a new high is established, we can’t form a solid short-term pullback bias.
Remember, when prices are reaching new all-time highs, the last thing you want to do is short the market. Therefore, our bias remains long, as it has been for the past several months.
Trade safely, stick to your risk management, and always follow your plan.
Gold price analysis in 30 minutes#Gold in the 30-minute time frame, the price ceiling is $2531. From every angle I look at it, all the sell orders have been cleared and the price is being corrected to take the right place and move sharply upward again to break the price ceiling of 2531.
The possible forecast is drawn on the chart, but trading is done only with setup in the desired areas.
Currently, gold is offered to spot and physical gold buyers to buy and hold gold in any price correction. Initial Targen $2531.706.
Gold will make downward movement to support levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. Looking at the chart, we can see how the price trades in the range, where it long time trading near the current support level, which coincided with the support area and top part of the range. After this, the price turned around and made a small movement up, after which rose back to the support area and soon started to decline to the bottom part of the range. When Gold fell to this part, it broke the 2485 level and declined a little below, thereby exiting from the range. Then the price started to an upward channel, where it broke the 2485 level one more time and in a short time rose to the resistance line of the channel and then made a correction to the support line. Next price continued to move up inside the channel and soon reached the 2525 level, after which made small correction to the support line of the channel. After this, Gold made a strong upward impulse, thereby breaking the 2525 level, and later exited from the channel. At the moment, the price continues to move up, so, in my opinion, Gold can make a downward movement to the support level. For this case, I set two TP, first at the 2550 points, and second at the 2525 level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
GOLD MASSIVE SWING BREAKOUT|LONG|
✅GOLD is trading in an
Epic uptrend and now we
Are seeing a massive bullish
Breakout of the key horizontal
Level of 2530$ which was an
All-time-high too and the breakout
Is confirmed which reinforces our
Bullish bias and after a pullback
And a retest of the new support
Below we will be expecting a
Further bullish swing move up
LONG🚀
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Gold Consolidates as Market Awaits Breakout Amid Inflation DataGold Technical Analysis - 12 Sep. 2024
Gold is currently consolidating between the 2516 and 2526 levels, awaiting a decisive break.
To establish a bullish trend, gold must stabilize above 2526, potentially advancing towards 2543 and 2557.
On the contrary, a stable move below 2516 would favor a bearish shift, with the price likely declining to 2500 and possibly extending down to 2475.
Key Levels:
- Pivot Point: 2516
- Resistance: 2526, 2543, 2557
- Support: 2500, 2484, 2475
Trend:
- Consolidation: 2516 - 2526
- Bullish: Above 2526
- Bearish: Below 2516
Gold's next movement hinges on its ability to break out of this consolidation range.
GOLD 1h Reversion Zone Fill ExpectedReturn and fill into the reversion zone range is expected.
Reversion zone range: 2.522 - 2.513
Key Resistance level: 2.527
Key Support level: 2.502
Key Support level 2: 2.488
⚠️ Reversion Zone is an area on the chart where the price often returns after deviating. Some zones will be covered by nearby candlesticks, while others may take more time. Also the zone may never be filled, be careful.
Gold Poised for Bullish Move Amid CPI Expectations & Softer US.DGold Technical Analysis - 11 Sep. 2024:
Gold Poised for Bullish Move Amid CPI Expectations and Softer U.S. Dollar
Gold has reached the previously mentioned target of 2526, moving up from 2500. For today, market volatility is expected, but the outlook leans bullish if the CPI comes in at 2.5% or lower, which could drive the price higher toward 2543 and 2557. However, if the CPI is released at 2.8% or higher, it could trigger a bearish move, pushing gold back toward 2500 and potentially down to 2475.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 2516
Resistance Levels: 2526, 2543, 2557
Support Levels: 2500, 2484, 2475
Expected Trading Range: 2500 - 2557
Trend: Bullish as long as the price remains above 2516. A break above 2526 would confirm strong bullish momentum.
Previous idea:
GOLD Strong Resistance Ahead! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD keeps growing from
The horizontal support
Of 2473$ just as I predicted
But the price will soon hit a
Horizontal resistance of 2532$
From where a local bearish
Correction is to be expected
Sell!
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Check out other forecasts below too!
Could the Gold reverse from here?The price is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 2,525.81
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Stop loss: 2,541.92
Why we like it:
There is a resistance level at the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 2,478.10
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
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Sell Gold (Xau/Usd) H4 ChannelThe XAU/USD pair on the H4 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a Formation of well-defined Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Days.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 2500, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 2440
2nd Support – 2400
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