AAPL:A Bearish Reversal Looms with Potential Downside of -9.22%?Hi Realistic Traders, let's delve into the technical analysis of NASDAQ:AAPL !
On the Daily timeframe, we've spotted a significant double-top pattern , suggesting a potential bearish reversal if the neckline is breached. Also, the price has fallen below the EMA200 line, indicating ongoing selling pressure. Despite two attempts, it hasn't managed to break above the EMA200 line, indicating strong resistance. This resistance could lead to a potential downturn in Apple's stock. Recently, there was a breakout below the neckline, confirming the bearish trend. Furthermore, MACD is showing bearish divergence in the negative zone, supporting the idea of a downward movement towards our target at 149.55."
It is essential to note that the analysis will no longer hold validity once the target/resistance area is reached.
Disclaimer:
"Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on AAPL."
Please support the channel by engaging with the content, using the rocket button, and sharing your opinions in the comments below
Faangstocks
Netflix Breaking Major Support Not a Good look Hi guys! This is an Update on Netflix (NFLX) on the 1 day chart.
We are currently at risk of a trend change in the makings due to a breakdown of Major Support.
This is a zoomed in look on the daily timeframe.
But if you look at my previous idea below, notice the Uptrend Channel that Netflix has been following since June 2022.
Todays candle is currently BELOW this Support trendline of the Channel.
Not a good look for Netflix.
But brings in opportunity for take a Short, once confirmation comes in.
Notie also that with the print of the Massive BEARISH Engulfing Candle, we are now below the 21 EMA.
Note the BEARISH Engulfing Candle indicates extreme selling pressure. It shows that the majority of the previous move up to the resistance was sold off by this 1 candle print.
With this daily candle & the engulfing candle it equates to the entirety of that move.
Being BELOW the 21 EMA, tells us declines are likely ahead of us. ALso if we are where we are with the close of our current daily candle, we will confirm BELOW 21 EMA.
Thus supporting probability of further declines.
Look to the Black Horizontal Line below us for our current target for this price decline.
BUT if we can somehow move back ABOVE the channel, by the end of the week before CONFIRMATION. This could support the probability of us resuming our Uptrend.
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Thank you for taking the time to read my analysis. Hope it helped keep you informed. Please do support my ideas by boosting, following me and commenting. Thanks again.
Stay tuned for more updates on NFLX in the near future.
If you have any questions, do reach out. Thank you again.
DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice, i am not a financial advisor. The thoughts expressed in the posts are my opinion and for educational purposes. Do not use my ideas for the basis of your trading strategy, make sure to work out your own strategy and when trading always spend majority of your time on risk management strategy.
Netflix Weekly Support Convergence Test so far so goodHi guys. This is a MACRO Technical Analysis on Netflix (NFLX) on the 1 Week TImeframe.
This week we have TESTED Support on the 21 EMA and the Support trendline of the UPTREND channel.
Netflix is heavily supported not only by these 2 mentioned SUPPORT lines but also a 3rd Support, the black horizontal support line as well.
Everytime we've touched the Support line of the Channel, we've bounced to the Top of the Channel.
EXCEPT our most recent touch, that took us only half way before printing a Topping Tail Candle and selling off.
Watch how we close this weeks candle. If we close around or above $428.
That would be the best case scenario, as that would indicate an Engulfing Bullish Candle.
This could invalidate the Topping Tail Bearish Momentum.
BUT for now we need to watch what happens. Keep in mind that the Topping Tails can cause further price DECLINES.
AND we absolutely don't want a UPPER WICK for our current weekly candle. This would imply selling pressure and may indicate continuation of the TOPPING TAIL.
Watch also the VOLUME -> From here we should see increasing volume and or SPIKE in volume so price can continue up the channel.
For whatever reason if we BREAK DOWN from this SUPPORT CONVERGENCE area, the next level would be the 50 SMA.
Also NOTE, along with Topping Tail Candle, indicators are showing BEARish signs.
MACD has crossed BEARISH
RSI Broke BELOW Support Trendline.
For us to continue our UPTREND
MACD needs to CROSS BUllish and print green bars
RSI cannot print below the Horizontal Black line, as that would indicate a Lower low. And Ideally, get back above the Support Trendline and or continue UP.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Thank you for taking the time to read my analysis. Hope it helped keep you informed. Please do support my ideas by boosting, following me and commenting. Thanks again.
Stay tuned for more updates on NFLX in the near future.
If you have any questions, do reach out. Thank you again.
DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice, i am not a financial advisor. The thoughts expressed in the posts are my opinion and for educational purposes. Do not use my ideas for the basis of your trading strategy, make sure to work out your own strategy and when trading always spend majority of your time on risk management strategy.
GOOGL: Closing The Gap Soon?Hello Fellow Stock Traders, Here's a Technical Analysis of GOOGL!
Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) has exhibited a notable price development by surpassing its Exponential Moving Average 50 (EMA50) and subsequently rebounding off the dynamic support level. This particular price action suggests a bullish trend in the stock. Moreover, there has been an identifiable formation of a descending broadening wedge, followed by a breakout of the upper trendline, accompanied by a bullish marubozu candlestick pattern. This breakout signifies the potential for an upward movement in the stock price.
Furthermore, the bullish outlook is reinforced by the emergence of a golden cross on the Stochastic indicator within the Neutral Area. The occurrence of a golden cross within this context typically indicates a higher probability of an upward movement toward the target area.
Taking these technical factors into consideration, the current price action and indicators point towards a positive outlook for GOOGL, suggesting the likelihood of an upward trajectory in the near term.
It is important to note that the roadmap will no longer be valid once the target/support area is reached.
Feel free to support the channel by clicking the rocket button and sharing your opinions in the comments below!
"Disclaimer: This analysis is intended solely for educational purposes and does not constitute a recommendation to take a long or short position on NASDAQ:GOOGL ".
Nasdaq: Time to Continue its Bull Run Again?Hello Fellow Stock Investor/Trader, Here's an Outlook for NASDAQ or NQ1!
Price Action Analysis
1. NASDAQ has rebound on the dynamic support (EMA200) and Multiple Rejection Area
2. Forming a Descending Broadening Wedge, the pattern indicates a bullish continuation pattern
3. Breakout of the pattern confirmed the possibility of the upside movement
4. The Momentum Indicator also made a golden cross, signifying the possible upside movement to the target area.
The roadmap will be invalid after reaching the target/support area.
Support the channel by smashing the rocket button and sharing your opinions in the comment below!
"Disclaimer: The outlook is only for educational purposes, not a recommendation to put a long or short position on the NASDAQ"
TESLA: Price drop of 30%, SELLJan 23 Prices Model M: USD 66,000
Mar 23 Prices Model M: USD 42,000
Drop of 30%, but sales increased by only 5%.
The EPS Estimates for March earnings per share is $0.85, a drop of 32%: that means price cuts directly ate into the bottomline.
The March '23 EPS would be its Biggest Drop in years.
Is that the reason of the ill timed price rise after a day of the annnouncement of Price Cut !!
Target USD 135
AAPL: No longer the apple of the eyes of the investors EPS: $1.88 vs. $1.94 estimated, down 10.9% year over year
Revenue: $117.15 billion vs. $121.10 billion estimated, down 5.49% year over year
iPhone revenue: $65.78 billion vs. $68.29 billion estimated, down 8.17% year over year
Mac revenue: $7.74 billion vs. $9.63 billion estimated, down 28.66% year over year
iPad revenue: $9.4 billion vs. $7.76 billion estimated, up 29.66% year over year
Other Products revenue: $13.48 billion vs. $15.23 billion estimated, down 8.3% year over year
Services revenue: $20.77 billion vs. $20.67 billion estimated, up 6.4% year over year
Gross margin: 42.96% vs. 42.95% estimated
CPIN: Poultry and Consumer Defensive Stocks Possible Bull Run?Hello Fellow Stock Global Trader/Investor! Here's Technical Outlook on CPIN
Chart Perspective
CPIN is moving in the bullish continuation. The breakout of the bearish trendline and bullish flag indicated a potential bullish bias ahead. Furthermore, the momentum indicator made a golden cross, indicating a possible upside movement to the target area.
All other explanations are presented on the chart.
The roadmap will be invalid after reaching the target/support area.
"Disclaimer: The outlook is only for educational purposes, not a recommendation to put a long or short position on the CPIN"
ARKK : The Innovation Fund. SELLCathie just published her Open letter for Fed. If a bottom stock picker tracks macro and starts advising the Central Bank about what to do, you know something is wrong in Paradise.
Technically speaking, the price chart has forming a H&S. Ten out of last 11 months have beeen negative months.It has grossly underperformed all the possible indices .
Fundamentally speaking the FAANGs & MAMAA's of the world are still grossly overvalued in the interest rate stabilising world, note it that I never said rising, because as one of the factors of production, the price of money should never have been negative.
Can you fathom a negative Salary for your monthly efforts ??
My Target for this overhyped overblown Fund is $29.30.
GOOG will reach 88.80 fast unless it recovers 102 this week.GOOG, after doing a bear flag, was since rejected by 102 volume profile zone. It has entered into a low volume space & the next volume support level at 88.80 will be fast unless GOOG recovers 102 after Thursday’s CPI data. Some earnings report from banks this week are also catalysts. A small oversold bounce expected this week but may not last.
Not trading advice
NASDAQ: Core CPI Jumped to 6.3%, Bearish Outlook Ahead?Hello Fellow Investor/Trader, Here's a Technical outlook of NASDAQ!
NASDAQ has broken out of Ascending Broadening Wedge and retested the previous support area. Furthermore, The Stochastic indicator also made a Death Cross, indicating potential bearish movement ahead.
All other explanations are presented on the chart.
The roadmap will be invalid after reaching the target/resistance area.
"Disclaimer: The outlook is only for educational purposes, not a recommendation to put a long or short position on the NASDAQ"
NIKE: Continuation of Bearish Movement Ahead, Short Opportunity?Hello Fellow Global Stock Investor/Trader, Here's a Technical outlook of NIKE!
NIKE has broken out of Ascending Broadening Wedge. Furthermore, The MACD indicator created a Death cross, indicating potential bearish movement ahead.
All other explanations are presented on the chart.
The roadmap will be invalid after reaching the target/Resistance area.
"Disclaimer: The outlook is only for educational purposes, not a recommendation to put a long or short position on the Stock"
AMZN targets the 92-82 pandemic D.bottom low & Vol Profile zone?AMZN has been making an ABC correction since the 188 ATH. The decline was very fast once it failed
to hold the 150 volume profile zone. It has retraced exactly to 101, the 0.854 FIB of the 82 pandemic low to ATH. There was a little bounce but AMZN basically is just hovering around the 2016 TL while consolidating inside my red box without breaking the downtrend line.
LOOKING BEARISH. I think AMZN will target the pandemic low at 82 to make a double bottom ending hew
ABC correction. 82 is also the 0.618 FIB retracement from 14.20 (2015 low) to ATH. 82 is also the 1.618
Fib Extention of the ABC correction, making it a very strong support.
WARNING: There may still be a 20% downside from latest low at 101 as consumer discretionary will be the
first to suffer during an economic downturn.
Not trading advice
AAPL new low broke 133 Fib 0.618 & weekly cloud; next stop @120AAPL failed to hold 133 the Fib 0.618 level. It also closed slightly below its recent low & the weekly cloud.
This turns the 133 from support to resistance if AAPL does not reclaim it quickly. The next support zone will be the 120 to 117 green box, very near wma 150. Coincidentally, 120 will also be a 200% retracement of the last rally from 150 to the high of 179.35.
The capitulation started last week from 152 may not be over yet, with AAPL forming a steeper down channel targeting 120 instead of the previous channel targeting only 133.
A big M-pattern may be forming making wave 4 a running flat.
Not trading advice
GOOGL WARNING: If 2025 is lost, 1786 will be very fastGoogle is still in a big red channel downtrend sine the ATH at 3042 failing to hold even the median line last week. The lower red channel at 2025 will be tested.
If Google loses the 0.50 Fibo retracement, there will be a totally blank space (green box) until the next Fibo 0.618 at
1786. The decline will be very very quick. This capitulation most likely to happen after some impt catalyst
event. Then a reversal will follow after 1786 holds.
BULLISH CASE: if the black VWAP from pandemic low holds (also near 2025), Google will most probably just bounce off the lower red channel making a divergence with a slightly lower low before rally.
Not trading advice
AAPL broke wma50/channel w/ LHLL; may retest 138-135 zone + TLAAPL is the last big tech to break, pulling down QQQ & SPY with it.
In this weekly chart, it just broke the green WMA50 line & also the upchannel. It seems to be making a M-pattern already with a lower high & a lower low thus confirming the downtrend. Despite a big relief rally bouncing from 140 zone last Friday, I think AAPL may still go down to my green 138-135 support zone. Any big relief rally will still be rejected by my yellow 155 Alert zone.
In the next few weeks, AAPL may want to retest the violet TL since 2017. Reaching either 135 or 120 will end the ABC correction & start a true rally.
AAPL at the 140 to 120 zone is already an attractive place to accumulate.
Pls note that 135 is a 0.618 retracement & 120 is a 0.786 Fib.
Not trading advice
Defaanged by bondsThe rush to bonds by the big funds will be breathtaking. As you may or not know I have been extremely bearish on big tech for a few months, now we are seeing that come to fruition.
This chart is qqq divided by bonds (bnd etf). As this comes down, it indicates that bonds will retain or gain value vs tech. This may be the most important financial rotation in our lifetime.
Extreme Selling Event May Nearly Be Over. This chart shows how the extreme selling over the past few weeks has deleveraged/revalued the US/Global stock markets to near extreme lows.
Historically, once this indicator falls below 25, the markets appear to be near extreme capitulation of any selling event.
Obviously, extreme market trends could push this level below 25 for longer periods of time, but this is getting fairly over-extended in terms of selling after a moderate Fed rate increase and a moderate consumer pullback.
Follow my research. My longer-term models are STILL BULLISH.
Watch Crude Oil. A big breakdown in Crude would coincide with the end of a price decline - representing a devaluation of overvalued energy costs.
Pay attention.
AAPL HHHL b/w wma 20 & 50; last tech to fall? ; 3 crucial zonesDid AAPL just made a higher low? It is the only major tech stock that is preventing the index from falling. Will it hold the blue upchannel or be the last one to break down after this FED BULLTRAP?
AAPL is now trading between WMA 20 & the green WMA 50 in this weekly chart. Monitor carefully these 3 impt zones:
1) Yellow Alert Zone: If AAPL holds 155 the WMA 50 & bounces up to break above WMA20 & all the VWAP
resistances, The higher high higher low will be confirmed & the blue uptrend channel will continue.
(Just maybe ABC wave 4 was completed & wave 5 has started?)
2) Red Warning Zone: If AAPL fails 155 the green WMA 50, it has greater chance of breaking below the
upchannel & fall into my 150 to145 Warning Zone.
3) Green BUY ZONE: If AAPL fails both 155 & 145, it will go down to retest 138. This will fall under my
BUY ZONE between 138 to 135 levels.
Note also that in case of a prolonged downturn & consolidation, AAPL may retest the red uptrend line from 2017.
Note that 138 is also the top of a previous wave 1 & the OCT 2021 bottom. If this plays out, the big revised ABC corrective wave will end in a double bottom near 138 & THEN THE FINAL WAVE 5 SHALL START.
Note that the 2022 ABC wave 4 consolidation is a running flat.
Not trading advice. Hope this analysis may help someone make porifit or simply prevent big losses.
Pls like, follow & share for me to make more analysis.
FAANG stocks have reverted to StdDev center - finding supportFAANG stocks have reverted more than 15% recently - attempting to find support.
My predictive modeling systems are suggesting the markets are still holding a long-term bullish price trend (for now).
Even though the short-term price trend is bearish, pay attention to how this "revaluation" process is playout out and how the strength of the US Dollar results in a determined "Capital Shift" related to US assets.
We may see some surprising price moves over the next few weeks and months ahead. If you are skilled enough, there may be some great opportunities for 5 to 10+ day trades over the rest of 2022.
Look for support near $13,050 on the NQ to hold (briefly).
FAANG met H&S target@0.786; Earnings week scenariosFAANG reached its H&S target move exactly at the 0.786 Fib Retracement level around12.50. This is also
The bottom of my slanted pink FIB CHANNEL.
Most of the stocks in FAANG are still profit machines despite rising rates & inflation, maybe except FB & Netflix which recently pulled FAANG down a lot. If earnings come out A LOT BETTER than analysts’ projections, this 12.50 level may already be very much near the bottom of wave 4. Then wave 5 starts with
the different impt FIB levels on the chart as TP areas until the H&S neckline. Wave 5 may peaked sometime in 2023 before a potential recession.
But if earnings disappoint, we may see lower prices in the green box around 9.25 which is also FIB 0.854 level. From there a consolidation follows until it bounce from the bottom of grey slanted FIB CHANNEL.
Not trading advice
GOOGLE: FALLING WEDGE, NEW ALL-TIME HIGH ON FAANG STOCKS?Hello Enthusiast Stock Traders! Here's Long-Term Outlook for GOOGL, Support the Channel by Smashing Follow & Like Button, also Share your opinion on the comment section below!
GOOGL has rejected the bullish trendline and kept moving above the ema90, the price action indicated a continuation of bullish trend. Furthermore, GOOGL formed the falling wedge pattern, We should wait for a breakout as a confirmation of entry point and bullish bias. MACD Indicator already crossed above the zero level area, indicating a potential stronger momentum or bullish bias ahead.
The roadmap will be invalid after exceeding the support/target level.
*DISCLAIMER:
This isn't a recommendation to buy or sell stock and only an Outlook from technical perspective.