Meta Platforms META - Expect lots of price actionBased on after-market price action META has already dropped from about $493 into the gap at about $420. There is room to fall further to the 200 day EMA that coincides with the previous all-time high. We would definitely expect some reaction at that point. There should be a lot of price action at this point since the gap is so large. This is a wait and see situation.
Meta Platforms - Watch the earnings!Hello Traders and Investors, today I will take a look at Meta Platforms.
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Explanation of my video analysis:
For more than five years Meta Platforms has been trading in a reverse symmetrical triangle formation. We saw the last retest of support back in the end of 2022 which was followed by a decent rally of +450% towards the upside. At the moment Meta Platforms is retesting the upper resistance of the triangle formation so it is quite likely that we will see at least a short term rejection towards the downside.
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Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Meta Platforms (META): Ready for a Correction?We initially set our maximum target at $510, and the price climbed to $531—a difference of only about 4%, which is quite close given the magnitude. We're satisfied with our analysis so far and want to stay within this timeframe.
While it's possible that Waves 3 and 4 haven't fully played out yet, we need to consider that Wave 5 in Meta often tends to be longer. This historical pattern suggests that the current Wave 5 might have extended similarly.
If Waves 5 and (1) are not yet complete, we would need to see the price rise significantly, surpassing $575. Such a move would indicate that the bullish cycle isn't finished, and we might see a further upward spike before a deeper correction.
However, the RSI shows a bearish divergence: lower lows on the RSI while the price chart shows higher lows. This divergence is typically a bearish signal and shouldn't be ignored, as it often leads to price corrections.
Even though we have closed the gap, we believe that a further decline is possible, potentially down to around $384 to complete Wave A. An ideal entry zone for us would be around $306, with a worst-case scenario down to $181. This analysis takes into account both historical price patterns and current indicators to inform our strategy moving forward. Keep in mind even though META seems to be a huge organisation we have seen some bigger pullbacks in the past.
META GAP AREAOn a 1-hour time frame, observing Meta's price action gap involves noting sudden shifts in opening and closing prices between consecutive candlesticks. This discontinuity signals significant changes in market sentiment and supply-demand dynamics. Traders interpret bullish gaps as positive sentiment and increased buying pressure, while bearish gaps signify negativity and heightened selling pressure. Volume confirmation strengthens the analysis, guiding traders in potential entry or exit points. Effective risk management, including stop-loss orders and proper position sizing, is crucial for mitigating losses.
META Platforms Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold META when ARK did that:
nor bought the META before the previous earnings:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of META Platforms prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 480usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-5-3,
for a premium of approximately $24.80.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
META: Is it the top or one more high leftTechnically META top could be in. Like NVDA, it can keep sliding until a critical support level breaks and waterfall ensues. However, the last wave 5 of 5 did not quite end in a blow off top type fashion; something you would expect from a major primary degree top. There was however, significant RSI bearish divergence on the daily timeframe, that tells us it was some kind of a top. I am not sure if it was a wave 5 of 5 top or a wave B or 4 type of top on the minor degree. One way to tell would be for $460 - $450 support to hold. If that does not hold and stock slides to fill the large gap, then that weakness would be very difficult to overcome and one thing would lead to another thing and next thing we know, price will be in the 200s. So, that is my line/zone on the sand. This is however, a bit scary to stay long and potential upside is limited at the moment. It is better to see how things play out and eventually not in a distant future, there will be a great opportunity like late 2022 to get in this stock for a really life changing growth.
Meta Surged to New Heights is there Room for Continued Growth Meta and Amazon stocks have risen following an increase in their price targets by a Wall Street analyst team. Jefferies, the analysts, reiterated a buy rating for Meta ( NASDAQ:META ) and raised their price target for the Facebook parent company to $585 from $550. Additionally, they raised their price target for Amazon stock to $225 from $190. Meta's stock has risen more than 3.5% to $525.62, and Amazon's stock is up more than 1% at $184.88, approaching an all-time high above $188 reached in July 2021.
Jefferies' report stated that Meta ( NASDAQ:META ) has too many advantages to count compared to competitors in the digital advertising market. Meta's revenue is mostly driven by ads, and the company has been investing in artificial intelligence tools to help drive more engagement and ad sales on its applications. They include Facebook, Instagram, Reels, WhatsApp, and Threads. As a result of these investments, Meta ( NASDAQ:META ) has developed several strategic advantages over peers, such as a strong artificial intelligence-based recommendation engine for its Reels short-video product that is driving more time spent on Facebook and Instagram.
Meta ( NASDAQ:META ) is set to report its first-quarter earnings on April 24 and has seen a 47% increase in its stock price this year. In addition, Meta Platforms Inc. ( NASDAQ:META ) is reintroducing cash bonuses for content creators on its social media apps. The company is testing the "Spring Bonus" initiative in the United States, South Korea, and Japan, rewarding creators on Instagram for engagement not just on videos and reels, but pictures as well. The maximum creators can earn in thirty days is $30,000. The company will also similarly reward select creators for engagement on Threads, its Twitter-like social app, and content labeled as "collaboration" or "branded" will not be eligible for monetization.
Technical Outlook
Meta ( NASDAQ:META ) for 20 weeks now has been trading above the 200, 100 and 50-day Moving Averages respectively with a Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 63 indicating strong bullish sentiment.
META to $455Overview
META is approaching a possible landslide that may take the share price to around $455. An influx of insider liquidation paired with healthy market skepticism supports the possible correction.
Fundamentals
Overall the company appears healthy according to their 2023 Annual Report. The only filings that I found concerning was the abundance of 144s that indicate insider liquidation. As of late, insider liquidation has been heavily present amongst most of the Magnificent Seven companies (GOOGL, AMZN, NVDA, and TSLA)
Technicals
A bear flag is forming after the rally momentum rounded out and is now beginning to develop a descending triangle. The oscillators don't support a breakdown at the current time so a possible bounce back to the triangle's resistance line around $505-510 is possible as the pattern continues to develop.
EU Launches Probe Into Meta, Apple and GoogleIn a landmark move under the newly enacted Digital Markets Act (DMA), the European Union has initiated a comprehensive investigation into tech behemoths Apple, Alphabet (Google's parent company), and Meta (formerly Facebook). The probe, which marks the EU's first under the DMA, aims to scrutinize potential anti-competitive practices and ensure fair competition within the digital ecosystem.
The investigation, announced on Monday, encompasses a range of issues spanning from Apple's App Store policies to Google's search engine practices and Meta's advertising model. At the core of the probe are concerns regarding anti-steering rules, self-preferencing, and the implications of Meta's "pay or consent" model on user privacy and choice.
Apple and Alphabet, in particular, face scrutiny over their implementation of anti-steering rules, which prevent businesses from informing users about cheaper alternatives outside of their app stores. This investigation underscores the EU's commitment to fostering a level playing field for businesses and consumers alike, amidst growing concerns about the dominance of tech giants in shaping digital markets.
Notably, Apple's recent run-ins with the EU, including a hefty 1.8 billion euro fine for anti-competitive practices related to music subscription services, underscore the regulatory pressure facing tech giants operating within the European market. The probe into Apple's App Store policies and Safari browser further highlights the EU's focus on ensuring user choice and fair competition within the iOS ecosystem.
Meanwhile, Alphabet faces scrutiny over potential self-preferencing in Google search results, raising questions about the company's adherence to fair competition principles. With the EU probing whether Google's display of search results favors its own services over rivals', the investigation sheds light on the complex dynamics of digital markets and the challenges of regulating tech giants with vast influence over online ecosystems.
In the case of Meta, the investigation centers on the company's ad-free subscription model and its impact on user consent and data privacy. The EU's scrutiny of Meta's "pay or consent" model reflects broader concerns about the accumulation of personal data by tech gatekeepers and the need to provide users with meaningful alternatives.
As the EU's investigations unfold, tech giants are bracing for potential fines of up to 10% of their total worldwide turnover, highlighting the significant financial implications of regulatory non-compliance. Moreover, the probes underscore the evolving regulatory landscape facing tech companies, as policymakers seek to address concerns about market concentration, data privacy, and consumer welfare in the digital age.
Short Meta updateThe recent top is our first pivot point, we will anchor short entries below the 472 level with target 1 at the previous top 384. This is the first test trade against a pivot top and a tight stop range should be set.
There is a massive short coming which will be a steep fall, a crash fractal unless the cycle alters in an unlikely event.
Trade safe, stay connected..... good luck
META/ Facebook Analysis - Continuous, Just as the Markets !This is a Thread, so Follow for Technical Analysis performed with TrapZone Pro & UMVD Indicators.
* Trend is Based on TrapZone Color
* Bar Colors give us Momentum Green from strong Up Moves. Red Bars point to strong Down Moves.
* Red UMVD = Selling Pressure & Green UMVD = Buying Pressure. Purple is for Divergence = Battle of Supply & Demand
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1-17-2024
RED UMVD pulling the price DOWN deep into Green TrapZone. Lets see if GREEN UMVD shows up and buyers rescue this retrace !
Meta Platforms:From Struggle to Surge - 2024 Investment OutlookIn 2022, Meta Platforms faced turbulent market conditions amid doubts surrounding CEO Mark Zuckerberg's metaverse ambitions, resulting in a significant 64% decline in share prices. However, the company's trajectory has undergone a remarkable transformation since hitting rock bottom, with shares soaring by 321% since the close of 2022.
Despite this impressive rebound, Meta's shares continue to present an attractive investment opportunity, supported by several compelling factors.
Meta stands out as one of the top-performing stocks in 2023, trading at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 25.6, representing a discount compared to the Nasdaq-100 index's average forward P/E of 30.4. Wall Street analysts anticipate significant growth for the company, with projected compound annual rates of 14% for revenue and 21.3% for earnings per share over the next three years.
Moreover, Meta's unparalleled dominance in the social media landscape is a key driver of its appeal. With Facebook, WhatsApp, Instagram, and Messenger boasting over 4 billion monthly active users collectively, Meta's reach is unmatched, engaging nearly half of the global population.
The company benefits from formidable competitive advantages, including powerful network effects and a substantial data advantage, positioning it as a leader in digital advertising. With $132 billion in revenue in 2023, Meta has become the preferred platform for advertisers seeking targeted advertising and value for their spending.
Meta's robust financial performance further enhances its investment appeal, with a 2023 operating margin of 35% and $43 billion in free cash flow. The company's strong finances enable it to return capital to shareholders through stock buybacks and dividends, reflecting its commitment to delivering value to investors.
In conclusion, Meta Platforms emerges as a compelling investment opportunity in 2024, offering an appealing valuation, unparalleled social media reach, and robust financial performance. With its leadership position in the digital landscape and strategic investments in the metaverse, Meta is poised for continued growth and success in the years to come.
Meta Stock Surges Above $500 As It Touts AI-Powered GainsMeta Platforms ( NASDAQ:META ) experiences a remarkable surge, surpassing the $500 mark once again, as the company unveils its pioneering advancements in generative artificial intelligence (AI), signaling a new era of innovation and engagement within the social media landscape.
Meta's Outlook:
Meta's adoption of powerful generative AI models for video recommendations across its ecosystem marks a significant strategic move to enhance user engagement. Facebook head Tom Alison reveals positive results from utilizing large language models to optimize video recommendations, showcasing an 8%-10% increase in watch time for Reels on Facebook. ( NASDAQ:META ) company outlines its technology roadmap, highlighting plans to scale AI-driven enhancements across its platforms through 2026, aiming for more engaging and responsive user experiences.
Market Performance:
Meta's ( NASDAQ:META ) stock experiences a notable uptick, climbing nearly 4% amidst investor optimism surrounding the company's AI initiatives. With shares surging nearly 180% over the past year, Meta solidifies its position as a frontrunner in the AI landscape.
Meta's Open-Source AI Approach:
Meta's ( NASDAQ:META ) commitment to an open-source approach to AI, exemplified by the availability of its large language model Llama to developers and researchers, underscores its dedication to fostering innovation and collaboration within the AI community.
Strategic Implications:
Meta's AI advancements not only drive user engagement but also hold the potential for increased monetization opportunities through enhanced ad targeting and user interaction. CEO Mark Zuckerberg emphasizes the importance of unifying recommendation systems across various content formats, highlighting the company's focus on delivering personalized and compelling user experiences.
Catering to the Next Generation:
Tom Alison underscores Meta's efforts to cater to the evolving preferences of Gen Z users, emphasizing the importance of social media as a platform for personal expression and exploration of diverse interests.
Expansion in E-commerce Advertising:
In addition to its AI endeavors, Meta garners attention for its growing presence in e-commerce advertising, with the Wall Street Journal reporting substantial investments from Chinese e-commerce platform Temu, highlighting Meta's increasing role in facilitating global commerce.
Conclusion:
Meta Platforms' ( NASDAQ:META ) relentless pursuit of innovation and its strategic embrace of AI-driven technologies position it at the forefront of the social media landscape. With continued advancements in AI and expansion into new avenues of advertising and engagement, Meta reaffirms its commitment to shaping the future of social media and digital interaction.
Facebook, Instagram & Threads Back Online After OutageMeta Platforms. (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:META ), the parent company of popular social media platforms like Facebook and Instagram, faced a brief outage on Tuesday morning, disrupting services for users worldwide. Despite the outage lasting approximately two hours, Meta swiftly restored access to its platforms, alleviating concerns among users and investors alike.
Key Outage Details:
The outage primarily impacted Facebook and Threads, with users reporting difficulties accessing the platforms as early as 10 a.m. ET. Instagram users also faced issues, including feed refreshing problems. However, Meta spokesperson Andy Stone reassured users, stating that the technical issue was promptly resolved, attributing it to a temporary glitch.
Impact on Presidential Primaries and Social Media Campaigns:
The timing of the outage coincided with Super Tuesday presidential primaries in the U.S., raising concerns for political campaigns reliant on social media platforms for voter engagement. The disruption underscored the critical role platforms like Facebook and Instagram play in modern political communication strategies.
Market Reaction and Tech Disruptions:
The outage prompted a flurry of activity on social media, with hashtags like "#instagramdown" and "#facebookoutage" trending on X. Meta's stock saw a slight dip, reflecting investor sentiment amidst the temporary service disruption. Additionally, Meta acknowledged "major disruptions" across its business products, including Meta Admin Center and Facebook Login.
Broader Tech Landscape:
Google's YouTube also experienced technical difficulties on the same day, further highlighting the interconnected nature of tech platforms. While Meta's outage was swiftly resolved, disruptions in other services like Gmail raised questions about potential underlying infrastructure issues in the tech ecosystem.
Conclusion:
Despite occasional setbacks like the recent outage, Meta ( NASDAQ:META ) continues to be a dominant force in the social media landscape. As users and investors navigate occasional disruptions, Meta's ability to swiftly address technical challenges reaffirms its commitment to ensuring seamless user experiences.
Meta Faces Legal Hurdles in Brazil Over Name DisputeMeta Platforms ( NASDAQ:META ), the parent company of Facebook, Instagram, and WhatsApp, has been ordered by a Sao Paulo court to cease using its name in Brazil within 30 days. This decision comes after a local computer services provider, Meta Servicos, filed a lawsuit claiming damages due to confusion between the two entities.
The lawsuit, filed by Meta Servicos, alleges that since Meta's name change in 2021, it has suffered significant harm, including being wrongly implicated in over 100 lawsuits and having Instagram profiles disabled for alleged impersonation. Meta Servicos, based in Barueri, Brazil, registered its brand with Brazil's National Institute for Intellectual Property in the late 2000s, establishing prior rights to the name.
Meta's failure to comply with the court's decision could result in significant financial penalties, with the appeals court in Sao Paulo ruling that Meta ( NASDAQ:META ) must pay 100,000 reais ($20,201) per day for non-compliance.
This legal dispute highlights the importance of brand protection and the potential consequences of overlooking intellectual property rights. Meta's rebranding efforts, which aimed to focus on the development of the "metaverse," a virtual environment seen as the future of the internet, now face significant challenges in Brazil.
While Meta ( NASDAQ:META ) has not yet responded to the court's decision, the implications of this ruling extend beyond the immediate name change. It underscores the complexities of navigating international legal systems and the need for multinational corporations to conduct thorough due diligence when rebranding or expanding into new markets.
Furthermore, this case serves as a cautionary tale for companies operating in the digital age, where the boundaries between virtual and physical assets are increasingly blurred. As the metaverse gains traction as a new frontier for innovation and commerce, ensuring clear and distinct branding becomes even more critical to avoid confusion and potential legal entanglements.
META Is it finally time to correct?Meta Platforms (META) has been among the biggest winners in 2023 and of course is having a great start to 2024 as well. Those who follow us know that we have been big bulls on META even right on its 2022 bottom (see charts below), when most of the market had lost faith in the company's operations, business model and its ability to generate profit.
We even mapped to perfections its V-shaped recovery to new All Time Highs (ATH)
As the company had one of its best 1W candles in history last week following the dividends announcement, we are starting to consider a short/ medium-term pull-back for the stock. This is also justified by historic price action. Since the current large Megaphone pattern started in mid 2018, META has corrected to or below its 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level within a -16.00% to -19.77% decline range, 5 times. On all cases except for the initial 2023 recovery, the 1W RSI was overbought above the 70.00 mark. Right now the 1W RSI is on its most overbought state in history.
As a result, we have a growing belief that it is time for the social media giant to start correcting again. A minimum of -16.00% decline will deliver a $410.00 Target level for META, just below the 0.236 Fibonacci level. Note that during all such declines, the 1W MA5 (blue trend-line) provided support, closing all candles above it.
Do you think it is time for a 4 - 6 week correction?
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META- Undervalued & Oversold. Market Cap - 426 Billion
META has been on a 9 year bull run, in that period, it has firmly cemented itself as a digital marketing juggernaut.
When it reached its all time high of $384.33 back in September 2021, it had an enormous market cap of 1.064 trillion dollars.
At the time, it was only the fifth U.S. company to hit the milestone , joining Apple , Microsoft , Amazon and Google-parent company Alphabet .
However the last 12 months have been somewhat brutal for Zuckerberg & co, the share price has dropped a staggering 60% to date,
making this the biggest correction Meta has ever endured.
Economic uncertainty, regulatory pressure and more recently, a first ever earnings miss, investors were quick to hit the panic button & add to the selling pressure.
In February, Meta went down in history for the biggest one-day crash in the stock market. The company’s stock lost about $230 billion in market value in a single day.
Meta revenue slipped to $28.8 billion in the second quarter, missing the $28.9 billion analyst estimate. Gross profit was $23.6 billion, down 0.5% from the equivalent quarter last year.
In April, Apple introduced a change to its privacy policy that requires apps to ask users if they want to be tracked, this made META's ad selling business less affective, with only a reported 16% of users agreeing to be tracked.
The privacy crackdown is set to cost Meta at least $10 billion in lost sales in 2022 alone.
As a result of the data drought, Meta shifted their ad spending to Google because its flagship search-ad business relies on customer intent—users’ search terms immediately reveal what they are interested in—rather than data collected from app and web tracking.
Google , the world’s largest digital-ad company by revenue, generated its highest sales growth in more than a decade in the third quarter.
The sensational rise of short-video sharing app TikTok, has seen many users defect with approximately 1.4 billion monthly active users now on the popular platform.
This is quickly approaching Instagram, which has approximately 2 billion monthly active users.
This year, TikTok is on track to triple worldwide ad revenues, to $11.6bn, more than the $10.44bn for Snapchat and Twitter combined.
This forced META to focus more on short-videos in the form of "Reels". Reels recently reached $1 billion in annualized revenue for the first time, Reels now has a higher revenue run rate than Facebook /Instagram Stories at identical times post-launch.
Mark Zuckerberg is betting his company’s future on the metaverse — a virtual space in which people interact with each other using avatars and developing AR / VR technology.
He said that he plans to invest heavily in his company’s metaverse ambitions & that will mean losing significant amounts of money on the project in the next three to five years.
This massive shift has shaken up already nervous investors, however should one of its Reality Labs products change the world, it would be the jolt this company needs to continue funding its ambitions.
The company once suffered a colossal 19% drop in 2018 after posting disappointing revenue and user figures for the second quarter of that year, however it bounced back before going on to make all time highs.
Facebook has 2.74 billion monthly active users, No other platform offers this kind of reach.
Facebook is the world’s third-most visited website- outranked only by Google and YouTube. It’s also the top Google search query.
Facebook is the second-most downloaded free app in the App Store.
63% of the U.S. population over age 12 uses Facebook .
32.4% of Facebook’s audience is aged 25-34.
Seniors are the fastest-growing group of Facebook users. More than 37% of people born in 1945 or earlier are on Facebook , up from 26% a year earlier.
74% of high-income earners use Facebook For those earning $75,000 or more, Facebook is the preferred social network.
Facebook is also the most popular social network (besides YouTube) for college graduates, with 74% of them using the platform. LinkedIn again comes second with this group, at 51%.
Facebook users spend 34 minutes per day using the platform.
36% of people get news from Facebook .
79.9% of Facebook users only access the platform on a mobile device.
An average Facebook user clicks on 12 ads per month.
Facebook has an advertising audience of 2.14 billion.
Meta's balance sheet includes $40 billion in cash, equivalents and short term investments, with $16 billion in total debt (although some of this may include operating liabilities).
The firm's free cash flow generation is very strong, with $8.5 billion generated in the quarter, up 8.9% year over year.
$5 billion worth of stock was approved for purchase in the second quarter. In addition, the company authorized another $24.32 billion for stock repurchases.
Meta further reduced its full-year operating expense during its latest earnings update. Its current operating expense guidance sits at $85.0-$87.0 billion for 2022
From a TA point of view, there are a number of reasons to be bullish which include-
- A very strong oversold signal (not shown due to limitations using invite-only scripts on public ideas)
- 9 + 5 oscillators recently printing divergence -look left,
- RSI / MFI / Stochastic are all oversold & sit @ record lows,
- Pulling a fib from the 2018 lows, we could see that price currently sits @ the 0.786 Fibonacci level,
- Decreasing selling volume,
- Support trendline being tested.
Should the 0.786 / support trendline not hold, long-term bulls should look for buys @ 2018/2020 lows.
Can price drop further? Sure! Timing tops or bottoms is not my thing.
Will Zuckerberg's metaverse gamble pay off? Only time will tell.
As it stands, Meta remains in a strong position with enormous reach, should the massive investment in metaverse pay off, there is no doubt that Meta will go on to make new highs.
Speculative Setup, DYOR. Strictly a long term play. Allow 24-72 Months for this idea.
META Platforms Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought the dip on META:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of META Platforms prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 395usd strike price in the money Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-2-9,
for a premium of approximately $19.15.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
#META This is my view 🤔I expect that the stock has reached the bottom, and we will see the beginning of a rise and a recovery from these areas
The chart is on the 6-month frame
I expect that the coming years we will see a wonderful growth of the company
Of course, this is not investment advice. This is just an idea I wanted to share with you
Please support the idea by pressing the like button and writing your opinion in the comment box
Good luck 🌹