Facebook will LeadFacebook should be strong in the coming weeks . expect these resistance lvls below to be taken out or reached.
R LVLS
330
337
355
367
Making moves into the Metaverse and publicly rebranding the name to focus on the METAVERSE is a big step for FB as it'll now be a whole different monster.
The Facebook Effect MANAUSDMaybe I am correlating two unrelated things, but
Facebooks recent announcement about pursuing the metaverse future gives a project like Decentraland a lot of exposure
Regardless,
The TA on this timeframe (1Hr) shows an inverted ascending scallop, these breakout to the upside after reaching a certain point of stability
Coinbase 2021 DPO = Facebook 2012 IPOIdea: Coinbase = Facebook
The first 6 months after Coinbase’s DPO reminds me of Facebook’s first 14 months after its 2012 IPO.
The exponential increase over the last decade in the velocity of money and how it is exchanged in the markets seems to be a reason why a stock like Coinbase can do movements that previously took 14 months in just about 6 months. That’s 58% faster if we go along with exploring this idea.
As of today, Coinbase’s chart looks like it has been emulating Facebook’s. If we take a look into Facebook’s all time chart we’ll come across some interesting technical “coincidences” when extrapolating the 3.618 Fib extensions.
If we take the Fibonacci of the all time high of $44.62 and the all time low of $17.43 during the first 6 months of Facebook’s life we get a 3.618 extension of $118.33 that came into existence 4 years later. If we take that all time high of $118.33 and the all time low of $17.43 and we extrapolate and do another Fib extension, the 3.618 lands at $378.76; exactly where the bull run ended (as of today) for Facebook in September of this year. It took 5 years to get to that point from the previous 3.618 extension, but the path had already been drawn.
If we extrapolate Coinbase’s potential 3.618 future extensions, we get $1,022 and $3,138.
As of 2021, Coinbase sits at a market cap of $68.5 billion. In the banking industry, JPMorgan Chase sits at the #1 spot with $503.5 billion. If Coinbase gets to $3,138 (basically a 10x) that would mean that it would surpass JPMorgan and achieve a future market cap of $671 billion.
If Coinbase does a memeish move similar to what Tesla did recently, where it basically took over the entire car industry’s market cap, who knows where it could go. I don’t think this will happen this year or anytime soon, but if it took Facebook 9 years to get close to a $1 trillion market cap, and we take into consideration the exponential change in the velocity of money, it wouldn’t be that inconceivable to think that Coinbase can reach that valuation 58% faster, or in other words, 4 years (or let’s say 5).
What’s the likelihood of this scenario happening? Who knows really, but I think that it’s more probable than not.
We can take the following into consideration:
Coinbase hasn’t even started offering traditional stocks through its exchange. What will happen when/if retail gets the opportunity to trade stocks like Google and Apple through mirror synthetic tokens of their stocks? What will happen when/if Coinbase provides ROTH/IRA/Retirement products through their platform? What will happen when/if Coinbase integrates a social media platform? What if the future of the said Metaverse is not within Facebook but within Coinbase? What if businesses start generating more revenue through Coinbase sales funnels?
Just food for thought. Thanks for reading if you got all the way here.
*I’ve been diversifying my crypto profits into Coinbase stock since late April, from the $320s all the way down to the $210s. After June, every time it went over $260 I paused accumulating. Up till now, I’ve managed to average a $242 entry price. As of the moment, I’m in a hold position, and currently not buying. Wall Street has set a short term high sell target between $385-$600 and a low buy target between $160-$220. Only time will tell.
Facebook(Meta) history and bull caseI see the metaverse being a distraction for Facebook to try and leverage some of the negative media attention away from them for now. stock could have more downside all depends on how to respects the current downward channel.
i ultimately see Facebook and metaverse becoming massive!! in 5 years time meta will start to become the next fad and craze that everyone is talking about! they're investing and building it as we speak and i see so many applications where this can be used, gaming, entertainment, educational to name a few. This is the next step in the internet and Facebook will be a huge leader. they have all the right ingredients.
its down 30% from highs and in my opinion looking back historically its a good buy!
Facebook is Meta Facebook has changed the name to Meta.
Metaverse is a future iteration of the Internet, made up of shared, 3D virtual spaces linked into a perceived virtual universe.Games like Roblox are examples of Metaverse. Simply put, it is a fictional universe.
Considering the success of Roblox in Metaverse space, the future of Meta (Facebook) is very promising and the technical support levels are supportive of a LONG position.
Please like, share and follow if you agree with the analysis.
Note - the indicator S/R levels are invite only and can be accessed through my profile.
MSFT Long Call Calendar SpreadDescription:
Earnings after close, taking advantage of high IV on same week options and covering with next week's (Calendar Spread).
Long Call Calendar Spread
Levels on Chart
R/R ~3:1
Positive R/R, stop loss levels built into position.
Intend to close before near term expiration.
*Stops based off underlying stock price, not mark to market loss
The Trade
BUY
11/05 310C
SELL
10/29 310C
Facebook's Share Price Ready to Resume Climbing Higher The share price of Facebook has just completed a sizable correction, which now appears over. The dropdown rebounded from the 200-day MA (in orange). Given the better than expected earnings data for Q3 (which was posted yesterday), the uptrend would now likely be resumed.
A breakout above the upper limit of the Descending Wedge pattern would signal the beginning of the new uptrend.
The first potential barrier can be found at the 350.00 resistance. The latter is underpinned by the 100-day MA (in blue). The previous swing peak at 380.00 represents the secondary target.
Long FBP.E 333.26
S.L 302.55
T.P 395.57
In this analyse we can see how the movement of the FB stock is inside a channel, and now we are in a lower spot. Adding to this, the fundamental Analysis suggest us that FB is waiting for the quarterly earnings, that are in a good forecast today.
For the technical analysis part we can see that we have a big volume in the pre-market inside. The two indicator with their convergence show that a change of trend is possible. However we aren't now to enter in the market but the volume that will be generate at the starts of the session of today can delete our position.
BE CAREFULL
no financial advise
Post 10/25 Q3 FY21' Earnings Analysis $FB, $KMB, $BRO, $LOGI, $LII
$FB - Facebook - reported earnings of $3.22/share beating estimates of $3.19/share - revenue of $29.01B vs. $29.57B estimates up 35% (YoY), net income rose to $9.2B up 17% YoY
Reported daily active users of 1.93B
Company said it’s adding $50B to its stock buyback program - helping lift the shares ~2% in extended trading
Expects Q4 revenue of $31.5 billion to $34 billion
$KMB - Kimberly-Clark - reported earnings of $1.62/share missing estimates of $1.66/share - sales came in at $5,01B a 7% increase YoY - bottom line declined from $1.72/share YoY
Profit reported of $745M down from $806M (7.6%) YoY thanks to a rise in costs of $480M. Increase in pulp & polymer-based materials, distribution, as well as energy costs led to a rise in input costs
These were somewhat offset by organic sales growth, reduced marketing, research and general expense as well as cost savings of $115M & $35M from the FORCE (Focused On Reducing Costs Everywhere) program & the 2018 Global Restructuring Program
Quarterly earnings were hurt by escalated inflation &supply chain disruptions leading to higher-than-anticipated increase in costs
$BRO - Brown & Brown - quarterly earnings of $0.58/share beating estimates of $0.52/share an 11.54% earnings surprise - revenues of $770.3M vs $674M a 14.3% increase YoY
Over the last four quarters - company has surpassed consensus EPS and Revenue estimates four times!
Shares have added ~40.2% since the beginning of the year versus the S&P 500's gain of 21%
$LOGI - Logitech - reported earnings of $2.45/share beating estimates by a whopping 126.9% - bottom improved $0.84/share YoY - net sales of $1.67B surged 85% YoY - gross profit jumped more 2x to $754.2M an increase of 122.1% YoY
Logitech’s Gaming segment sales soared 78% YoY $436.4M -Video Collaboration sales skyrocketed 218% YoY to $292.5M - Audio & Wearables segment sales jumped 87% YoY to $153M
$LII - Lennox International - reported quarterly earnings of $3.40/share - missing estimates of $3.64/share an earnings surprise of (6.59%) - revenues of $1.06B missing estimates by 6.11%
Over the last four quarters the company has surpassed consensus EPS estimates three times
The company has topped consensus revenue estimates three times over the last four quarters
Lennox shares have added about 14% since the beginning of the year versus the S&P 500's gain of 21%
FB Announces $50BN Buyback.Facebook Swings Wildly After Revenue Miss, Poor Guidance But Announces $50BN Buyback.
A quick look at market expectations: Facebook is is expected to report Q3 EPS of $3.19 on revenue of $29.45 billion, which would amount to growth of 37%, a drop from the 56% Y/Y growth in Q2, which however lapped a quarter heavily impacted by Covid lockdowns.
Analysts also are not expecting much user growth sequentially. Estimates for Facebook’s daily and monthly active user totals for its “family” of apps are the same as they were the previous quarter.
Realizing that earnings may be frowned upon, Facebook also bought back more than $14 billion worth of shares in the third quarter and has approved $50 billion more in buybacks, as well.
Facebook, Weekly chart, Fibo Levels.
We are not registered or licensed in any jurisdiction whatsoever to provide investing advice or anything of an advisory or consultancy nature.
and are therefore are unqualified to give investment recommendations.
Always do your own research and consult with a licensed investment professional before investing.
This communication is never to be used as the basis of making investment decisions, and it is for entertainment purposes only.