Meta Platforms Revives in 2023 with Impressive GainsMeta Platforms Revives in 2023 with Impressive Gains
After a lackluster performance in 2022, Meta Platforms, previously known as Facebook, has made a remarkable comeback in 2023. The company's shares have surged by approximately 162%, a stark contrast to the previous year when the stock saw a decline of over 64%. These gains are over 13 times the returns of the S&P 500, demonstrating the magnitude of Meta's resurgence.
The primary driving force behind Meta's 2023 success is its return to revenue growth after several quarters of decline. Additionally, Meta Platforms has harnessed the power of artificial intelligence (AI), which holds promising implications for its future.
Investors who remained on the sidelines during Meta's resurgence now face a crucial decision. They must weigh the allure of potential further gains against concerns about the stock's high valuation and the uncertainties within the digital advertising industry. Let's delve deeper into this conundrum.
The economic challenges that dominated the headlines in the previous year took a toll on many companies, and Meta Platforms was no exception. In times of economic uncertainty, marketers often cut back on advertising spending, which can be quickly adjusted. Meta Platforms, as a company heavily reliant on digital advertising across its social media platforms and the world's second-largest online advertiser, with a 20% market share, felt the brunt of this impact.
While most technology companies faced challenges during this period, the decline in ad spending led Meta to report three consecutive quarters of year-over-year revenue declines, a first in its history. Understandably, investors grew concerned, and the most risk-averse among them chose to exit the stock. However, as it turns out, their cautious approach proved costly as Meta Platforms made a strong comeback this year. The rebound in digital advertising has fueled significant gains for investors.
Yet, it's important to note that this recovery is still in its early stages. In the second quarter of the year, Meta reported an 11% year-over-year growth in revenue and a 21% increase in earnings per share, positioning the company for potential record-high sales and profits.
What sets Meta apart is its commitment to embracing cutting-edge technology, particularly Generative AI. While AI has been integral to the company for various purposes, it now plans to apply these advanced algorithms to enhance its digital advertising efforts. Meta is one of the few companies with the resources required to develop large language models for generative AI.
In a recent move, Meta introduced a suite of AI-powered marketing tools for businesses advertising on its platforms. These tools allow for customized images and text, empowering businesses to target their desired audiences more effectively. AI plays a crucial role in creating backgrounds, adjusting aspect ratios, and generating multiple ad versions tailored to various advertising channels.
While many companies view the widespread adoption of AI as a future endeavor, Meta is already leveraging this technology to drive its growth.
However, Meta's stock is currently trading at 37 times its trailing 12-month earnings and roughly 7 times its sales, making it less of a bargain for investors. This somewhat inflated valuation may warrant caution.
Nonetheless, when you consider Meta's future prospects, the outlook becomes more favorable. It's valued at only 24 times next year's earnings and 5 times next year's sales, which is significantly more attractive. Why? Because the company is expected to return to double-digit growth in sales and earnings per share by the end of 2024.
The recovery in the digital advertising market is well underway, and Meta is generously offering its AI expertise to advertisers at no cost, potentially attracting a growing number of them to its platform.
Despite the potential for market volatility due to ongoing economic uncertainties, investing in Meta Platforms now could prove to be a savvy move in five or ten years, especially given the extensive growth prospects on the horizon.
Meta - Short to $265 minimumPretty confident this is a great opportunity to short Meta. Daily RSI is looking exhausted, just reached a heavy resistance area coupled with higher sell volume than buy volume the past few days.
I expect a move down to $265, there i would reevaluate the chart. However you see the path i am bias on above. However, it could go to $265 and further push toward all-time highs but would need to see that reaction in real time.
My main play here is down to $265 and reevaluate if we get there.
Exciting Times Ahead! Time to Go Long on Meta!First things first, have you noticed the recent absence of news surrounding Meta and Mark Zuckerberg? Well, let me tell you, my friend, it's actually a fantastic sign for the stock! Sometimes, no news is indeed good news, especially when it comes to a company as innovative and influential as Meta.
Here's why the silence is golden: Meta, under the visionary leadership of Mark Zuckerberg, has been relentlessly pushing boundaries and revolutionizing the way we interact with technology. With their groundbreaking advancements in augmented and virtual reality, as well as their strong foothold in social media, Meta is perfectly positioned for exponential growth.
When there's a lack of news, it often signifies that the company is diligently working behind the scenes, cooking up something truly remarkable. They might be busy refining their products, developing new features, or even exploring potential partnerships that could skyrocket their stock value in the near future.
So, my friend, this is the perfect time to seize the opportunity and go long on Meta! By investing in Meta stock now, you position yourself to reap the benefits of their future success. As the world becomes increasingly interconnected and reliant on immersive digital experiences, Meta's offerings are poised to become even more integral to our daily lives.
Imagine a world where virtual reality becomes the norm, where we can connect with loved ones, explore new places, and engage in virtual commerce seamlessly. Meta is at the forefront of making this vision a reality, and you have the chance to be part of this groundbreaking journey.
So, what's the call-to-action, you ask? It's time to take action and consider adding Meta to your portfolio! Conduct thorough research, analyze the market trends, and evaluate your risk appetite. Once you feel confident in your decision, seize the moment and make your move. Remember, fortune favors the bold!
As always, I encourage you to consult with your financial advisor or do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions. The stock market can be unpredictable, but with Meta's track record and the potential for future growth, we have a compelling opportunity on our hands.
Let's embrace the excitement and optimism that comes with investing in a company that is shaping the future of technology. Together, we can ride the Meta wave and enjoy the fruits of our foresight!
Wishing you happy trading and a prosperous journey ahead!
UPDATE META continues to go up the C&H with target $355.12Reverse Cup and Handle formed on META as previously analysed.
We then had a retracement with a Falling Wedge where there was profit taking.
The Support has held and is showing further upside to come. We just need a strong catalyst to boost it up.
7>21
Price >200
RSI>50
Target remains at $355.12
FB, Precarious In Range, Bear-Flag Indicated!Hello,
Welcome to this analysis about the FB - FACEBOOK (META) STOCK and the weekly timeframe perspectives. Since Facebook rebranded itself to Meta it showed up with some declines that should not be kept by the side at this point and in the current structure, FB is showing a development that can be a pivotal indication for further bearish continuations downward. In this case now as when looking at my chart, we can watch there how FB initiated this wave-count with the first bearish impulse-wave to the downside with which it tested the 300 to 310 range together with the ascending-trend-line marked in dashed black. In wave-B now FB is building this main channel-formation in the structure in which it has a coherent wave-count and resistance within the upper boundary also matching with the 15-EMA in red and the 35-EMA in cyan. This now means that there is a higher likelihood given that FB pulls back off these resistance levels and when this happens a continuation will follow and especially an completion of the channel as a bear-flag will set up when FB pulls back below the boundary as it is seen in my chart. Once this whole channel has been completed as a bear-flag facebook will point the main dynamic-support-line and the target within the 250 level which will show completion of this whole wave-count after which further crucial developments will come. When FB manages to hold this structure and bounce in the support this can mark a important reversal otherwise when this does not happen and FB bounces below this zone it will show a bearish continuation in the red bearish-continuation-zone. For now we need to be prepared on upcoming volatilities and increased bearish price action before moving to further conclusions, it will be a important development ahead.
In this manner, thank you for watching the analysis, it will be great when you support it with a like, follow and comment for more upcoming market analysis, all the best!
"The high destiny of the market is to explicate rather than to speculate."
Information provided is only educational and should not be used to take action in the markets.
Meta is here to stayI will top up on Meta, great numbers and a lot of FUD in the market. It's oversold at a PE ratio of just 12.
It may still be getting cheaper for as long as FED can raise interest rates.
All of the arguments against meta are inexperienced people looking at Meta stock price while looking at their new metaverse project information.
If they bothered to look at other companies, they would've seen that everything is going down. It's not because their value is dropping, it's because FED is making debt more expensive.
I am a marketing manager and I can guarantee that Meta is not going anywhere soon.
The strongest argument for Meta stagnation is the lack of new clients because they've reached over 3B people.
This is a terrible argument because inflation works the same in the Meta market and in the real world. Ads will cost more. Other services they provide will also cost more.
I have noticed SIGNIFICANT improvements in Meta algorithms. They are much better at suggesting relevant content, and marketing on Instagram is making radical turns.
Also, don't forget that Meta owns Facebook, Instagram and also WhatsApp. WhatsApp gives them a significant vector for monetization.
TikTok is NOT a Meta competitior. They are not even close. It's a Chinese manipulation and propaganda machine.
Meta Platforms (META) -> Mega MegaphoneMy name is Philip, I am a German swing-trader with 4+ years of trading experience and I only trade stocks , crypto , options and indices 🖥️
I only focus on the higher timeframes because this allows me to massively capitalize on the major market swings and cycles without getting caught up in the short term noise.
This is how you build real long term wealth!
In today's anaylsis I want to take a look at the bigger picture on Meta.
You can see that since the beginning of 2017 Meta stock - also known as Facebook - has been trading in a quite nice and obvious reverse triangle or "megaphone" pattern.
Overall I do expect another retest of the upper resistance trendline roughly at $600 but we could certainly see some correction before the next impulse higher.
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I know that this is a quite simple trading approach but over the past 4 years I've realized that simplicity and consistency are much more important than any trading strategy.
Keep the long term vision🫡
Meta's stocks are now in high triangle consolidation Meta's stocks are now in high triangle consolidation
This figure shows the weekly candle chart of Meta Company's stocks over the past two years. The top to bottom golden section at the end of 2021 is superimposed in the figure. As shown in the figure, since the end of October 2022, Meta Company's stock has shown almost no significant pullback or surge. Recently, it has been suppressed by the 0.618 position of the top to bottom golden section in the figure, and has now closed for three consecutive weeks below the 1.000 position of the top to bottom golden section in the figure! And Meta's stocks are now in the early stages of relatively high triangle consolidation! So, for a period of time in the future, just use the top to bottom golden section's 0.618 to 1.382 positions in the chart as the long short split range operation. Sell high and buy low within the range, and chase up or down outside the range!
META First Buy signal in a month.We have been issuing strong buy signals on Meta Platforms (META) since November last year. A perfect example was our February 02 (see chart below) analysis that came with a huge final bullish warning while the price was still at $189.00:
Following the recent -15% pull-back, the strongest correction basically since the November 03 2022 market bottom, the stock price is flashing again the first buy signal on the medium-term as it is testing the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) as a Resistance after a rebound near the 1D MA100 (green trend-line), which has been intact since January 10.
On top of that, the 1D MACD is on course to form the first Bullish Cross below 0.0, since November 09 2022, which was essentially the bottom of the Bear Cycle. As long as the 1D MA100 is intact, we will buy the 1D MA50 (candle) closing and target 326.25 (Resistance 1). If it closes a 1D candle below the 1D MA100 instead, we will wait and add a 2nd buy position at 260.00, near the Higher Lows trend-line and keep it as long as the 1D MA200. The target for that position will be even higher, as it will be a long-term buy signal, aiming at the All Time High of 384.50.
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META Reversal Incoming (1D)META Daily
Price Chart
META has been in a relatively straight uptrend since bottoming out in November of 2022 but has recently just touched a level of high resistance with increased selling volume. This rally has come with the three gaps theory (Highlighted White) beginning with the breakaway gap in February 2022 and ending with the exhaustion gap back in July; both verified with increased volume. Following this theory the first sign of a reversal is the exhaustion gap being filled, which has just happened, however it's not a definitive sign. This is accompanied by another small break in the major trend line (Yellow Solid) and the first close below the 26-day EMA on 8/11 since the rally started. The EMA's are beginning to curve down (12-day) or flatten out (26-day and 50-day), so if we do get a 26-day / 50-day cross the targets below (Light Green Boxes) will cine into play.
Relative Strength Indicator
Most notably on the RSI is the recent bearish divergence (Aqua Solid), but this also occurred in the months prior and did not break down, why? Price action never broke below even the 12-day EMA and the RSI's second peak was above the 70 level while remaining elevated afterwards (Highlighted Aqua) indicating the strength of the trend; the higher the RSI the stronger the trend. The most recent bearish divergence saw the second peak of the RSI top out just below the 70 line and move lower to touch the 50 line; so do we break down? A bounce is definitely possible, which would also most likely push the price action to form a head and shoulders here, however this is the longest time in the history of META that RSI has remained above the 50; After checking, the only time it comes close is when multiple spikes below the 50 are present. The argument here is for a break below the 50 and strengthening the chance of a change in direction.
On Balance Volume
OBV has been in a upwards channel since March and has offset the prior bearish RSI divergence with using it's peak as support (Aqua Solid), which has just occurred again in the past several days. These small support levels also accompany a new a high made back in July, but has since fallen below it. If it does push higher it's technically in a "price discovery" environment, but with the factors above taken into consideration a signal of a reversal should be imminent; target supports (Light Green Boxes) are outlined below if this happens.
TDLR;
Why read the book when you can Google the sparknotes amirite? Seems Legit. Anyway, price action has completed a third gap (exhaustion) and has pushed lower to fill it (not a reversal conformation). EMA's are beginning to curve down or even out and the price has it's first close below the 26-day (on 8/11) since the rally began in Feb 2022. RSI has formed a another bearish divergence after previously failing to abide by the laws of bearish divergence; we swear it's going to work this time. It's also notable that this is longest length of time that the RSI has remained above the 50 level; like, not even a spike down, deng. OBV on the other hand is chugging along in it's channel like nothing is wrong using previous peaks as supports and has even made a new high.
What Seems Legit?
A reversal soon, if not from the most recent bearish divergence then possibly from a head and shoulders pattern. Basically looking for everything to break down at the same time, but a small is possible since the indicators are a bit mixed. The price is wrong Bob, come on down.
Chart Key
Yellow Solid = Major Trend Line
Red Solid = Major Support or Resistance
Aqua Solid = Divergences
Red Box = Resistance
Green Boxes = Supports / Target Areas
White Highlighter = Gaps
Aqua Highlighter = RSI divergence post peak comparison
META: Navigating the Path to a Trillion-Dollar ValuationCrossing the elusive trillion-dollar valuation threshold is no small feat. As it stands, only a handful of corporations globally have achieved this remarkable milestone. The anticipation surrounding which companies might ascend to join this prestigious club adds an extra layer of intrigue to the financial landscape. Among the contenders vying for a spot are familiar names: Berkshire Hathaway, Tesla, and Meta Platforms (formerly known as Facebook). With valuations ranging from $760 to $780 billion, these players are in the spotlight, each carrying its unique narrative.
In this exclusive race, I am resolutely bullish on Meta Platforms as a prime candidate to breach the trillion-dollar mark. While the company has grappled with its share of challenges, a calculated strategic shift and resilience in its core operations position it as an appealing investment opportunity. However, the question persists: should investors seize the moment and dive into Meta's stock? Let's embark on a closer examination.
Meta Platforms, undergoing a transformation from Facebook, occupies a distinctive niche in the market. A pivotal move in late 2021 saw the company rebrand as Meta, signaling a resolute pivot towards the metaverse. This strategic shift translated to hefty investments in its Reality Labs division. Yet, these endeavors have encountered turbulence. Since the fourth quarter of 2021, Reality Labs has generated a substantial $3.65 billion in sales. Unfortunately, this has been overshadowed by staggering operating losses amounting to an eye-watering $18.14 billion.
This concerning operating profit margin raises valid concerns, especially in light of the absence of evident signs of recovery. The most recent data reveals that second-quarter revenue in 2022 amounted to a modest $276 million, marking a notable low over recent years.
On a brighter note, the heart of Meta's revenue engine operates like clockwork. The Family of Apps division, encompassing Facebook, Instagram, Messenger, WhatsApp, and the emerging Threads, thrives on advertising revenue. In the second quarter, this segment exhibited a robust 12% year-over-year growth, surging to a substantial $31.7 billion. Notably, it achieved an operating profit of $11.2 billion, effectively mitigating the challenges faced by the beleaguered Reality Labs division.
So, how does Meta Platforms align itself to reach a trillion-dollar valuation? CEO Mark Zuckerberg has laid his cards on the table, spotlighting 2023 as the "Year of Efficiency" for Meta Platforms. This vision manifests in streamlined workforce strategies and resource reallocation from lower-priority initiatives. The results are palpable, reflected in Meta's improving operating margin across recent quarters. This impressive upward trajectory marks a resounding rebound from the depths of the fourth quarter of 2022.
Meta's meticulous focus on operational efficiency proves to be a catalyst in driving profitability, thereby propelling it towards the coveted trillion-dollar mark. Over the past five years, Meta has maintained an average price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of around 25. This figure serves as the foundation for our baseline valuation as Meta approaches the trillion-dollar milestone. As depicted in the chart below, the company's current positioning significantly surpasses this threshold. However, forward earnings projections, based on analyst consensus, hover just below this mark. This intriguing dynamic suggests Meta retains ample room for multiple expansions in the upcoming year, indicating potential for a significant valuation increase as operational efficiency drives improved financial performance.
Looking ahead to 2024, Wall Street analysts hold a consensus projection of $15.25 in earnings per share (EPS) for Meta. Presently, the company trades at a valuation roughly equivalent to 20 times the anticipated 2024 earnings. Should Meta realize the projected EPS of $15.25 and close the year with a valuation of 25 times earnings, this scenario points to a promising 25% surge from the present stock price.
Applying this projection to Meta's current market capitalization yields an estimated valuation of $981 billion by the end of 2024. While it might not yet breach the trillion-dollar mark, this projection creates a solid foundation for Meta to confidently surpass that milestone by 2025.
Moreover, with a projected 25% upside from the present until the conclusion of 2024, Meta emerges as a compelling prospect. Consider also the potential for Meta to exceed earnings expectations or command a higher valuation multiple. In these scenarios, Meta could feasibly achieve a trillion-dollar valuation as early as 2024. This underscores the allure of investing in Meta, driven by both projected growth and the possibility of positive surprises on the horizon. As Meta navigates its path forward, the prospects are tantalizing, inviting investors to join the journey towards a trillion-dollar valuation.
Meta - To Long, Or To Short?I have to say that Meta is one of the hardest charts that exist to read right now, mostly because for 9 straight months, an unprecedented feat in the history of Facebook, it has gone up in a straight line, and bigly.
You only see it clearly on the monthly:
And yet the problem with the bull thesis for a new all time high is the '22 bear raid took out all the sell side all of the way back to 2016.
Although you can have, and speculators and hodlers have been fortunate enough to have had, a significant retrace afterwards, stocks taking long term lows is usually kind of like when a person turns 50 and starts urinating blood.
It means something is wrong with an organ and the time they have left to live is not so long and not so bright.
Even the weekly is insanely one-directional
This stock will have attention tomorrow as post-market earnings have produced another $20 gain, but notably, as of time of writing, have brought the price only to $319, still underneath the July high.
Geopolitical risks abound in the markets right now. Much is happening with Mainland China and the International Rules Based Order. You can consult my previous calls, which are below, for my thoughts on the situation.
But the Cliff's Notes of it is that the 24-year persecution and organ harvesting genocide of Falun Gong by the Jiang Zemin faction and the CCP may soon be made public worldwide if President Xi weaponizes those sins to protect China, its 5,000-year-old culture, and himself from the IRBO intending a Maidan Revolution-style coup to replace him with someone from Taiwan that happens to be a fine lapdog to the global regime's interests.
What is the bull thesis for Meta? Facebook is something of a panopticon data collection system and advertising network rolled into the guise of a social media platform where people voluntarily disclose their location, interests, likes, connections, and spend time interacting with friends and family.
Meta's rebrand is to force the world into something of a Nintendo 64-level version of Second Life, where you're supposed to literally sit in your cube eating the cricket crackers under a bunch of blankets with the furnace/AC off with the VR headset strapped to your face while you do data entry all day.
It's really the kind of dystopian thing the Chinese Communist Party really likes, because it means you can be submissive and agreeable slaves that don't threaten its stability and still produce work.
If mankind's future is truly to return to tradition (it is), what place does Meta have in it?
Meta has very little place in the future, and that's a fundamental problem, really, for everything that revolves around people living chained to computers and phones.
A really notable thing is that the Chinese Government, especially under Xi Jinping since he took power in 2013, has not allowed Meta/Facebook to set up shop inside Mainland China.
The world's most notorious totalitarian regime and the creator of social credit and censorship does not want Meta/Facebook's influence impacting their citizens.
Ain't that something. And yet, you're supposed to be bullish on this... because it's going up.
You just want something to go up so you can buy it and feel pleased when you see green, not sell, and then feel sad when you see red, red, red, and are liquidated.
This is modern humanity.
So here's the question with Meta: is it a short, or is it a long?
The truth is that with Meta, it's gone up in the kind of straight line that makes Apple blush for 9 straight months.
When something trades like this, you can never say "it's a short."
Instead, you can watch for when it does become a short.
And we're in the zone. Although the biggest gap has been filled, the monthly candles show that the bodies of the winning streak's candles are still respecting the range created by the February of 2022 doom candle that ended the Party.
On the daily, the last five days of price action, which correspond with a Nasdaq that may very well have topped but an SPX that does not seem to have topped yet, are the most bearish they have been during the entire bull run.
And so, if you want to get long on open, I can only encourage you to exercise caution. You may really have upside as high as $343. But you may also have upside no higher than $325.
It may also gap up on market open and then sell off, and that kind of a sell off at this kind of a time may mean you are trapped.
To confirm a bull thesis, $343 needs to be broken and maintained
To confirm a bear thesis, the first thing we need to see after the earnings manipulation is for the $288.30 double bottom to be broken.
From there, if $258.88 is broken, the trend is over and will have reversed, even though you may see further upside in the interim.
A break over $325 and then a rejection under $288 would be the most bearish. If that unfolds, it's no longer a dip to buy. Instead, long term puts while the VIX is so suppressed might really be really, really valuable.
And the problem for both bears and bulls is the $40 range that "confirms" whether there's forever uppy or forever doom.
META: Potential Early Bearish C Entry on ABCD PatternMETA is showing heavy amounts of MACD Hidden Bearish Divergence and is Extremely Overbought on the PPO after making a 0.786 Fibonacci Retrace of the 2021 Highs and now it is potentially looking to end the BC Wave and begin a CD Wave, which would take it all the way down to the 1.272 Fibonacci Extension located at the $23.56 level.
META Is this the start of a significant correction?Since November last year we have been issuing a strong buy signal on Meta Platforms (META) and our most recent analysis on February 02 (see chart below) came with a huge final bullish warning while the price was still at $189.00:
The stock hit $320.00 last week, almost filling the gap with the 1W candle of January 31 2022 (practically META's start of collapse) and pulled-back. The big question on the market this week is, can that be the start of a greater correction?
Well technically it is testing today the first key support level, the Higher Lows trend-line (bottom) of the 6 month Channel Up pattern that started in late February. If broken, it is unlikely to see the 1D MA50 (red trend-line) hold.
The key (technical) reason behind it, is the massive Bearish Cross that got formed this week on the 1W MACD. This is a major development as it is a rare event that always initiated a rather notable pull-back. More specifically, in the past five (5) years, we have had another six (6) 1W MACD Bearish Crosses, all making a Lower Lows after it. The minimum correction was -17.33% while the maximum -43.50%. Practically META made its large corrections (-43.50%, -38.60%) when it faced legal action and during the pandemic. The rest standard (technical) pull-backs ranged from -17.33% to -19.70% (also -28.15% on the last Bearish Cross but fundamentals were also present).
This is the reason we expect a pull-back below the 1D MA50 if the Higher Lows of the Channel Up fail (to close 1D candles above it). The minimum projected correction range of -17.33% would give us a pull-back to $265.00. A -19.70% would give $256.00.
That would start making META a technical buy again, where long term investors can start applying buying strategies with a tolerance level up to the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line).
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META suppressed by the 0.786 level of the golden section! META suppressed by the 0.786 level of the golden section!
This chart shows the weekly candle chart of META stocks over the past two years. The graph overlays the top to bottom golden section of 2021. As shown in the figure, the high point of META stock in the past two weeks has been suppressed by the 0.786 level of the golden section in the figure, and it has now returned to below the 1.000 level of the golden section! In the next few weeks, the META stock is likely to step back at the 1.382 position in the golden section of the chart, and then choose a direction to break through!
META Platforms Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold META here:
Or reentered here:
Then analyzing the options chain and chart patterns of META Platforms prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 290usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2024-1-19,
for a premium of approximately $27.70.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.