Get started

Facebook

META Can cutting 11000 jobs reverse the bearish outlook alone?The news of a 11k jobs cut had an immediate bullish impact on the Meta Platforms Inc (META) stock, helping it break above the 100.00 barrier again. Today's much lower than expected CPI number is also adding fuel on this rally but can those alone push the price out of the death spiral it has been since January in particular? Well technically the November 03 drop made a Lower Low on the Channel Down pattern that Meta has been trading in since the February 03 collapse. Taking also into account the massive rebound below the 30.000 1D RSI oversold zone, the price can target the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) by the end of this month. Beyond that, only a closing above the 1D MA100 (green trend-line), which is unbroken since December 30 2021, can turn the trend bullish. As you see, the November 03 bottom was made on the January 20 2016 Low (89.25). The next Support is the August 25 2015 Low of 72.10, so we will be ready to short this and if broken then 60.00. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, SUBSCRIBE ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support me, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- You may also TELL ME 🙋‍♀️🙋‍♂️ in the comments section which symbol you want me to analyze next and on which time-frame. The one with the most posts will be published tomorrow! 👏🎁 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:METALong
by TradingShot
19
The 1.1 Trillion Dollar Penny StockI have three major principles in my life. The first is the Golden Rule, the holiest of all rules. Treat others the way I want to be treated. The second major principle is "holla holla get dolla", which is a really fun way to say respect the hustle, respect other's choices in life. Naturally, my third is that Rome was strongest with the triumvirate. All of this to say that when I act a fool, I expect others to tell me and moderate - this is the natural evolutionary cycle of social structures. It is of absolute sociological importance for bad behaviour to be called out. Jedi Blue, Suckerberg's Metaquest to find a friend, an inability to refinance debt, the real web3.0, and the literal heat-death of Facebook's geriatric population all spell doom for an over-glorified penny stock. First, what exactly was Wall Street thinking letting a GeoCities RSS feed for people's feelings get to a $1.1 TRILLION dollar market cap? It is difficult to explain the need for controlling health care inflation when the same economy is more than happy to offer debt to a business incapable of making a profit at valuations well into the hundreds of billions of dollars. Fine, the bubble popped. A lot of people, pensioners, and sovereign treasuries lost a lot of money. But for Facebook it's a little bit more severe. Facebook has around $10 billion in long-term debt, debt that is most assuredly used to recycling at the lowest interest rates possible garnered by free government money. What starts as a few billion recycling at ~4-6% per year starts finding draining liquidity in corporate bond markets making it hard to offer debt at 10+%. Meanwhile, real world inflation driving up operating costs for office, labour, and servers force bigger and bigger debt offerings to less and less willing parties. Advertising growth declines and degrades as advertisers suffer in recessionary markets. Plus the $10 billion in long-term debt is nothing compared to carrying $16 billion in floating accrued expenses -think cycling debt among credit cards, $15 billion in "deferred revenue"- as if renaming fake profits makes it more real, and a $7.5 billion mixed bag debt growing by $250 million a quarter. There is a funny saying that owing the bank a hundred dollars makes it your problem, owing the bank a hundred million dollars makes it theirs. Banks are reanalyzing their tail-risk models for profit and capital margins. Forgoing the mysterious $84 billion a year in revenue, Facebook burned $62 billion this year alone. A decrease in real revenue is an undertone to out of control costs that needed to be dealt with a decade ago. All of which are suddenly important. Facebook's interdimensional turn to the Metaverse at investor expense in the billions with no plan to stop illustrates an Executive board that isn't controlling risk or managing direction. Removing Zuckerberg won't be easy, if at all possible. Facebook can change it's name all it wants, but there is one person in power. The public aren't the only ones harbouring negative feelings for Zuckerberg and his company; various US and International legal groups have been launching investigations and lawsuits against Facebook, Facebook's Directors, and Zuckerberg personally. The FTC won a $5 billion charge against Facebook in 2020 in relation to selling user's personal data. Now the FTC is against the very fabric of Facebook: Illegal Monopolization via uncompetitive acquisitions to be resolved by shedding Instagram, WhatsApp, and more. Facebook has attempted to dismiss it twice, failed on both counts, and is now pushing for a delay in trial - something unlikely to happen. Intertwine a multi-state and multi-country investigation into Google & Facebook's "Jedi Blue" collusion, research reports codifying the bad return on investments of digital ad spend, especially on Facebook, and it starts to look like a crisis of confidence in an entire business model. Google has been in a constant battle regarding it's own Monopoly and the power of pricing that comes with it, most ending with a corporate-win inside the United States. While Republicans' hatred against Big-Tech is more bark than bite, certain lawsuits in Republican-driven states pose the probability of a big loss for big brother business. However, the EU investigation into Jedi Blue is far more likely to create a material change in ad pricing. The basics are this: Facebook and Google agreed on a floor of pricing ads, thus forcing companies to pay more than in a free and competitive market. While this isn't surprising, it is illegal - making materially impactful fines and pricing changes a very likely outcome within the next few years, again all enhanced by a global recession. Invoke the Laws of the Monthly Active Users and bequeath one billion dollars. Or just know that internally-verified MAU's are on par with Allianz SE returns. Facebook claims 3 billion monthly active unique users of whom 500 million joined since COVID in Q1 2020. The underlying growth trend shows nearly perfect linear growth from 2008 to 2020, and logarithmic post. Without the ability to predict the future, Facebook is sitting at a 1% annual growth rate over 2 years on a statistic that only they can confirm. Facebook knows growth has stalled and will turn negative, if it hasn't already, all leading up to the dramatic need for Facebook to CREATE a UNIQUE digital space to bring in NEW users. Where Facebook claims Horizon Worlds is only a $1.2 billion failure, R&D costs are up $8 billion in the same 9-month period YoY. But the failure aspect is correct, as Horizon Worlds has failed to breach 200,000 unique users with a recent investigation showing a general localized environmental userbase <50 people. This analyst won't fault the metaverse for this failure. Facebook isn't just uncool and unpopular, they are reviled in a way that only a new generation can do. If Web3.0 is about decentralization against mass-control, there are few homo sapiens lizard-people that have earned such hysterics as Zuckerberg. One final inspection of their public accounting records leaves one final question: how much longer can Facebook run? With just under 50% of cash equivalents in corporate debt securities with an 8% unrealized loss in a year, paired to a $2.3 billion or 14% degradation of the Corporate Treasury in the past 9 months, what is the game plan? Facebook is looking at $2+ billion per year in increased costs to refinance debt at minimum, that is if they find a bid. The company has burned more on a Metaverse catering to no one, being sued by the FTC to break up the social media conglomerate completely, looking at decreased revenue, decreased value of previous revenue, and a very tangible decline in users amid a digital transformation period brought by a new generation wholly happy to cancel celebrities and companies. There is a growing probability and possibility of a failure for Facebook to maintain debt and business operations without filing for bankruptcy or modification of historic debt. Facebook is a penny stock, at least while it remains listed. Selected References: www.sec.gov www.ftc.gov www.ftc.gov www.law360.com nymag.com www.chancerydaily.com www.statista.com kotaku.com
NASDAQ:METAShort
by DoctorFaustus
8
Meta still got downside to come to $40 JUST IN: Mark Zuckerberg has announced that Meta will be laying off 11,000 of its employees — an estimated 13% of its workforce — and will also be taking “a number of additional steps to become a leaner and more efficient company.” This is a clear indication that since Mark went and focused on building the Metaverse (VR and AR) that this was a risk. We focused on building Horzons (app) and building Oculus and Metaquest. But clearly the world was not ready for this evolution. Also with Oculus costing $299 and the new Oculus costing over $500 shows that majority aren't willing to invest in this technology or can't afford it... I do think the Metaverse will take over one day, but only when technology becomes cheaper and the benefits outweigh the risks... Right now it's a liability to those due to a lack of education What are your thoughts...
NASDAQ:METAShort
by Timonrosso
FAANG Is about to go higher!Traders and Investors, FAANG index has reached an FCP zone which is also a previous structure level. This can create a good bounce up (BULL) opportunity for all FAANG stocks. Facebook (Meta) Apple Amazon Netflix Google Please support this analysis by liking and sharing. 👍🙂 Rules: 1. Never trade too much 2. Never trade without a confirmation 3. Never rely on signals, do your own analysis and research too ✅ If you found this idea useful, hit the like button, subscribe and share it in other trading forums. ✅ Follow me for future ideas, trade set ups and the updates of this analysis ✅ Don't hesitate to share your ideas, comments, opinions and questions. Take care and trade well -Vik ____________________________________________________ 📌 DISCLAIMER The content on this analysis is subject to change at any time without notice, and is provided for the sole purpose of education only. Not a financial advice or signal. Please make your own independent investment decisions. ____________________________________________________
FX:FAANGLong
by vikinsa
META Daily TA Neutral BearishMETAUSD daily guidance is neutral with a bearish bias. Recommended ratio: 45% META, 55% Cash. * BOUNCE WATCH . Equities, Equity Futures, Commodities, Cryptos, CNYUSD, JPYUSD, GBPUSD, EURUSD and US Treasuries are up. DXY and VIX are down. META has now fallen 77% from its ATH in September 2021 after posting two consecutive quarters of revenue declines and is projecting another a decline in Q4. Their Reality Labs division which works on their virtual reality + metaverse projects has lost almost $10b this year . Their operating margin is also shrinking as cost and expenses rose 19% YOY. People are getting fearful and smart money might be getting greedy. Though premature to say that META has found a bottom, it's looking like it's found a good spot for an impulse bounce. The Employment Situation today showed that nonfarm payroll employment increased by 261k and the unemployment rate jumped from 3.5% to 3.7% . Key Upcoming Dates: US October CPI at 830am EST 11/10; UofM November Consumer Sentiment Survey at 10am EST 11/11; 2nd Estimate of US Q3 GDP at 830am (EST) 11/30.* Price is currently testing $89 support which coincides with the descending trendline from June 2017. Volume is currently Moderate (high) and has been shrinking for five consecutive sessions and is on track to favor sellers for a third consecutive session if it closes today's session in the red. Parabolic SAR flips bullish at $127, this margin is bullish at the moment. RSI is currently trending up at 24.5 as it continues to technically test 26.51 support which coincides with the uptrend line from July 2012 as support as well. Stochastic remains bearish and is currently trending down slightly at 2.72 as it approaches a test of max bottom. MACD remains bearish and is beginning to form a trough as it tests -13.77 support. ADX is currently trending up slightly at 42 with no sign of peak formation as Price continues to fall, this is bearish. If Price is able to bounce here then it will likely test $107.28 resistance and potentially attempt to fill the gap from 10/26/22 (~$128) when Price fell ~20% on earnings day. However, if Price continues to break down here, it will likely test $74 support . Mental Stop Loss: (two consecutive closes above) $90.
NASDAQ:META
by dailytaguy
Meta Undergoes MetamorphosisFor the 9 year span between 2012 and 2021, Facebook grew at an average of 200% per year. Now being almost rested from a 1800% wave that stretched its value from $19 to $359 per share, Zuckerburg and Co. are ready to make way towards their encore siting near the price tag of $2579. A stock split could alter this price target but if an investor were to buy the big dip near $60, I'd expect the 4000% increase in value to remain a high probability outcome for Wave 3. While Jim Kramer is shedding tears because he was blindsided, we at least knew that META was nearing its peak level and a finish of Wave 5. While I'm not sure of his nor others approach to technical analysis, Elliott Wave gave clear signal that it was not the season for buying META. The morals of the story are simple, buy the dip, don't follow Kramer's advice and SURF!
NASDAQ:METALong
by DigitalSurfTrading
1
Buying META calls for 1 year will cost you 25%+ interest "APR"Options are leverage on stock, leverage, "aka" gearing, is a loan. The option extrinsic premium is a form of interest on the leverage. The strike price tells you the amount of leverage your are using relative to buying outright shares. If you are not careful, you might inadvertently end up paying crazy high rates of annualize interest. Options sellers know this, they look for these opportunities to help structure option trades. META SPY QQQ DIA
SP:SPX
by ValuePig
Meta Obliterates SupportMeta/Facebook has destroyed its nearby support level and has nothing left to sustain ground for any lasting upside push. A relief rally could come over the next couple of years however, the downward slope has already initiated. Barring any rise above $305, it can be comfortably assumed that Meta will look to discover support near the $60 range. Holders should look for the most suitable exit in order to avoid more losses than necessary. (Wave analysis has been redacted from this marking however, wave-by-wave analysis will be tracked via link in bio).
NASDAQ:METAShort
by DigitalSurfTrading
10
MetaRekt- They said " Cryptos are volatile and Dangerous ". - was meaning like, buy Stocks they are more stable, like Facebook 😂. - Everything is in graph - Meta went down -75%, Elon Musk bought Twitter, what a coincidence. - i wouldn't take the risk to touch it before it goes to 70-80$. - Well in fact, i won't touch it at all, Facebook Golden Age is already behind them. - Decentralization will be the major key to upgrade our future social medias in Web3.0. - Without us, they are nothing. Happy Tr4Ding !
NASDAQ:META
by thecryer
2
Technology Sector May Face A Rally SoonHello traders and investors, today we will talk about two technology stocks GOOGLE and META (Fcebook), which can be finishing final 5th wave from Elliott wave perspective. As you can see, technology sector suffered the most in the last year, but what is interesting is that both GOOGLE and META can be now finishing a five-wave cycle from the highs. In Elliott wave theory, after every five waves, a three-wave A-B-C correction follows. We have just noticed some big gaps down due to earnings miss, but considering that Google and Meta are trading in 5th wave with a potential spike before a reversal, there's a high probability for an A-B-C rally soon. A-B-C recovery will ideally show up now at the end of 2022 or at the beginning of 2023. All the best!
NASDAQ:METALong
by ew-forecast
2
Meta - Meta Platform joins the party! Yesterday, the price of Meta platform stock crashed nearly 20% after the close when the company reported its earnings for the third quarter of 2022. With its abysmal report, Meta joined the party of underperforming companies in the current earning season. Revenue was down 4% from a year earlier, while costs and expenses rose 19%. Revenue = 27.71 billion USD (-4% YoY) Costs and expenses = 22.05 billion USD (+19% YoY) Revenue from the family of apps, including Facebook, Instagram, Messenger, Whatsapp, etc., decreased approximately 3.6%, while revenue from the reality labs fell by about 49%. That is no surprise to us since we warned about the earning season for the third quarter being weak. Indeed, we stated that downgrades in outlooks and misses in estimates would reinforce our thesis about the market progressing into the second phase of the bear market. With that being said, we believe Meta platforms Inc. still has a long way to go before reversing its primary trend to the upside. Illustration 1.01 Illustration 1.01 shows the daily chart of the Meta Platforms stock. The red arrow shows the price drop after the company published its earnings for the 3rd quarter of 2022. Technical analysis - daily time frame RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+, and DM- are bearish. Overall, the daily time frame is bearish. Illustration 1.02 The image above shows the resemblance between the current and previous earning seasons. Technical analysis - weekly time frame RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+, and DM- are all bearish. Overall, the weekly time frame is bearish. Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
NASDAQ:METAShort
by Tradersweekly
38
META staging a short-term rally. Long-term levels to consider.Meta Platforms (META) are on a three day bullish streak following favorable group fundamentals and is rebounding off the bottom (Lower Lows trend-line) of the Falling Wedge pattern it has been trading in since February price collapse. The short-term target is technically the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), which is just below the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the Falling Wedge. We may also see a slight break-out as the Bullish Divergence spotted on the 1D RSI was last seen on the March 14 Low and a +27.50% rebound followed. If this is replication, the price can reach roughly 157.00, which is where the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) is currently sitting. That is the medium-term Resistance as it has been unbroken since December 30 2021, so basically for the whole 2022. A break above it would target the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), which is the barrier that distinguishes the bearish from the bullish trend long-term. On the flip-side, if META closes below the bottom (Lower Lows trend-line) of the Falling Wedge, expect a sharp drop to the 1.5 Fibonacci extension (92.70). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, SUBSCRIBE ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support me, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- You may also TELL ME 🙋‍♀️🙋‍♂️ in the comments section which symbol you want me to analyze next and on which time-frame. The one with the most posts will be published tomorrow! 👏🎁 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:METALong
by TradingShot
6
Tripple top pattern on METAExplaining and showing how tripple top pattern can help in finding excellent trades I cover various stocks which can be profitable based on the stock charts and technical indicators. I try my best to explain as detailed as possible but your feedback is also appreciated Before you enter a trade , one must learn how to master the charts as Stock charts play a big role in deciding when to buy or when not to buy. Technical Trading help in predicting price movements and have a risk management. Stock trading is like any other business and must be taken seriously. Lot of people lose money because they don't educate themselves and end up placing trades blindly which results in big losses Stock charts is the major component day traders, swing traders, core traders use. Times and technology has changed and if you cannot adapt to the new methods , there is a high chance you will be left behind Millions of shares are traded now using desktop , laptop or gadgets and stock charts is what majority of traders look at. So , if you want to be a daytrader , swingtrader or coretrader learn how to read and interpret charts. There are lot of great books out there like Thomas Bulkowski's Encyclopedia of chart patterns and Steve Nison Japanese Candlesticks interpretation Having someone experienced can also cut the learning curve time for a new trader. Trading does take time and with discipline , hardwork , dedication and most importantly Passion for this needs to be there
NASDAQ:META
by Composed_Trader