Facebook ( FB ) bullishafter facebook's mini crash ,the stock price rebounded on a long term trendline and a 360 simple moving average , the stock price has a PE ratio of 25 which is the average of all TECH sector
in overall fundamentally and technically this could be a good opportunity to buy facebook's stock
Facebooklong
Facebook (FB) UpdatesFacebook (FB) Updates
Important pull-back of Facebook in September, which lost 11% from the highs reached on 10th.
The return to the 200 moving average, a key level for institutional investors, last touched in March of this year (obviously speaking of timeframe Daily) is happening.
Facebook, like Apple, is very closely linked to the Nasdaq and if we analyze the QQQ trend, we can clearly see the almost identical correlation of the last period.
Therefore physiological pull-back and linked to a generalized discharge of the Nasdaq.
If the price were to reverse before the average, we would have a new uptrend line to take into account.
On Facebook, whoever follows me knows, I have a long-term strategy, and every now and then I bring home the profits and then reinvest precisely in the moments of correction.
So, in my view, the interesting levels to enter or accumulate are:
- 334.70
- 315.70 (the level where I set my accumulation)
- 300 (very important level, tested several times as resistance and support, as well as psychological).
Always bearing in mind that the simple moving average 200 remains a moving level, as important as the volumes.
My position is attached, as always.
Happy trading
DISCLAIMER: I am not a financial advisor nor a CPA. These posts, videos, and any other contents are for educational and entertainment purposes only. Investing of any kind involves risk. While it is possible to minimize risk, your investments are solely your responsibility. It is imperative that you conduct your own research. I am merely sharing my opinion with no guarantee of gains or losses on investments.
FACEBOOK : 28.Sep.2021 Well, as we can see, the price has already reacted positively to its static support, it remains to be seen whether it can break this support or not ... In case of failure, the next downtrend support is in the range of $ 330 . NASDAQ:FB
⚠️ This Analysis will be updated ...
👤 Arman Shaban : @Ar_M_An_4
📅 28.Sep.2021
⚠️(DYOR)
FB longEntry price: 337-342$
Target price: 377-384$
Candle pattern: Bullish Harami
Keltner Channels: the price beyond the lower band
RSI: indicator approached the 30 level, therefore the market is close to be oversold
Conclusions: RSI, candle pattern and Keltner Channels suggest the trend reversal. Thus, the long position is recommended in the support zone.
No financial advice
FACEBOOK:FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS+PRICE ACTION|NEXT TARGET|LONG🔔🔔Although the Facebook stock is up nearly 33% for the year, some analysts are concerned about the company's prospects. The stock's rise declined after the company released its second-quarter results in late July, as investors were concerned about a slight decline in daily active users in the U.S. and Canada, as well as earnings projections.
Nevertheless, the company beat analysts' expectations, reporting year-over-year revenue growth of 56% and earnings per share (EPS) growth of 101%. Both figures exceeded consensus estimates.
While there are a few worried analysts, don't count Credit Suisse's Stephen Jue among them. After the quarterly report was released, he raised his target price per Facebook share to $500 from $480 and maintained his outperform rating. This is now the highest price target among Wall Street analysts.
While most analysts set price targets for 12 to 18 months, there are several indicators from a valuation perspective that suggest Facebook should be worth $500 a share now. First of all, this is when comparing Facebook to smaller peers such as Twitter and Snap, which trade at projected price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 70 times and 270 times, respectively. Facebook's forward P/E ratio is 28.5.
Sure, both companies had higher growth rates than Facebook's 56 percent increase in the top line last quarter -- Twitter by 74 percent and Snap by 116 percent -- but it would only take a 40 percent increase in value to become a $500 stock, which is equivalent to 40 times projected earnings for Facebook.
Comparisons to the broader market also seem favorable when growth is taken into account. According to Standard & Poor's, Facebook is trading at 27 compared to 31 on the S&P 500, even though the S&P 500 had negative sales growth over the previous year (compared to Facebook's 56% growth previously noted).
Finally, Facebook has another way to make it easier to reach the $500 per share price: shares buyback. Reducing the total number of shares increases earnings per share and raises the price per share, all other things being equal. Earlier this year, the company increased its share buyback by adding $25 billion (now 2.5 percent of total shares) to its existing $8 billion authorization.
Of course, the Facebook stock carries some risks. It's a rare company that draws bipartisan ire at both the federal and state levels. A recent lawsuit by 48 states as well as the Federal Trade Commission for illegal monopolization was dismissed.
State attorneys general have indicated that they will fight the decision. While the rhetoric is heated to the extreme, it is likely that any risk is short-term and has little impact on Facebook's core business.
However, Zuckerberg is working on something new, and this could be the biggest opportunity for the company. In his last earnings report, the CEO stated his desire to turn Facebook into a "meta-universe company" within five years. The company has high hopes for an inspired VR experience, which it expects will replace the mobile Internet.
Despite Zuckerberg's fervor, investors should view any meta-village-related revenue as the cherry on top of a strong core social media business. It is this optionality that makes the company a sound investment.
Facebook's $500 price tag doesn't seem far-fetched, and long-term investors are likely to see the stock exceed that figure - perhaps even sooner than 18 months from now.
In addition, the Facebook stock fell yesterday along with the broader market decline on a weak retail sales report. That's probably what caused the social media giant's stock to fall since the performance of its advertising business is closely tied to overall consumer spending. Also, company officials said they would remove Taliban or pro-Taliban content, deeming the group a terrorist organization after its takeover of Afghanistan just the other day.
By the end of the day, Facebook shares were down 2.2%, while the S&P 500 was down 0.7% and the Nasdaq lost 0.9%.
Total retail sales in July were worse than expected. The Census Bureau reported that total retail sales fell 1.1% from June through July, with auto dealerships, clothing stores, and e-commerce especially weak. The main takeaway from the report seemed to be that the delta variant of COVID-19 was at least a moderate impediment to getting back to work, delaying returns to offices, and possibly discouraging Americans from other activities such as travel.
Meanwhile, other sectors that surged at the beginning of the pandemic, such as the auto industry and e-commerce, two key sources of ad revenue for Facebook, now seem to be normalizing as the pandemic-related favorable factors they enjoyed begin to subside.
Separately, the company said it is actively removing pro-Taliban content, although the question of what and how to ban it on the platform has been a tricky one in the past. For example, the Washington Post reported that members of the Taliban used WhatsApp to send messages to Afghan citizens, and these incidents could be an eyesore for Facebook if they continue.
Yesterday's 2 percent drop in Facebook stock should not change investors' opinions of the company, as such fluctuations are normal, especially given the news about retail sales and the sell-off in the market as a whole. In addition, the company came out with an outstanding earnings report in the second quarter and is likely to perform well in the third quarter since it went through a boycott period last year.
This development is a reminder that Facebook faces some political risk, so investors may want to pay attention to how the company is handling the situation in Afghanistan.
FACEBOOK: FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS+PRICE ACTION & NEXT TARGET|LONG🔔Facebook beat Wall Street analysts' expectations in its second-quarter earnings report.
Revenue rose 56% year-over-year to $29.1 billion, beating analysts' forecasts, and earnings per share doubled from the quarter that suffered a lockdown a year ago to $3.61, beating the consensus forecast of $3.02.
Despite that strong performance, Facebook's stock price fell 4 percent as the company's growth lagged behind that of Google's parent company Alphabet, and the company said it expects earnings growth to slow significantly in the second half of the year.
But the second-quarter results weren't just indicative of the underlying numbers.
Facebook CFO Dave Wehner recently warned investors of an impending slowdown in the company's revenue growth in the second half of 2021. After reporting impressive growth in advertising revenue compared to the second quarter of last year, Wehner reminded investors that April and June of last year were very volatile times for marketers who cut back on advertising spending. As we enter the second half of the year, comparable periods from 2020 will be much more difficult, and revenue growth will slow.
That's why investors shouldn't be too concerned about Wehner's comments.
Looking back to 2020 and the first half of 2021, investors can get a better idea of where Facebook is headed.
In the second quarter of last year, Facebook's ad impressions were up 40%, while average ad prices were down 28%. Naturally, this presents a difficult comparison for ad impressions growth, but it's easy to use the previous year's numbers to compare ad prices. Indeed, Facebook's ad impressions grew only 6% in the second quarter, but ad prices jumped 47%.
Facebook | Fundamental Analysis
As you can see, ad prices remained relatively low during the second half of the year. While this is still better than the average decline in ad prices in the first and second quarters of 2020, the growth was not what investors are used to. At the same time, growth in ad impressions declined on the back of improved pricing.
In his forecast, Wehner virtually eliminated the variable of ad impression growth from the revenue growth equation. He said he believes that the rise in the COVID-19 pandemic, which has been particularly pronounced in the high-margin region of North America, poses a challenge to 2021's attraction growth. In addition, the growing shift from feeds to video products such as Stories, Reels, and Facebook Watch will lead to a decline in impressions.
Even if we exclude the growth in ad impressions from revenue growth projections, ad prices should still increase markedly in the second half of the year due to strong demand from marketers. One need only look at the revenue projections of Facebook's competitors to get an idea of demand in the third quarter. According to Twitter, the company expects revenue growth of 30% on average, and Snap, in turn, expects revenue growth of 58-60%.
Nevertheless, Facebook should be able to increase the number of ad impressions. First, the company continues to increase the number of daily active users by 7% and 12% on Facebook and the entire family of apps, respectively. Second, the company is increasing ad downloads in its video products, such as Reels, which account for a significant amount of engagement on Instagram. Reels is still in the very early stages of monetization, but it is growing rapidly. This factor, combined with the growth in users, makes modest growth in impressions possible.
With continued strong demand for digital advertising and modest growth in the number of impressions, FAANG share ad revenue should continue to grow at a pre-pandemic pace in the upper 20% range. Yes, this is a slowdown from the first half of the year, but it is still very strong growth for a company of this site like Facebook.
Facebook stock price growth channel in action Targets in descripThe more the world absorbs: the Internet, the virtual universe, and the like, the higher the stock price of the companies that control social networks.
Today, we will analyze the share price of the Facebook corporation. It ranks as one of the Big Five tech companies along with Microsoft, Amazon, Apple, and Google.
Although the company has been since 2004, trading in FB shares began on May 18, 2012. The first day of trading closed at $38.23, just $0.23 above the IPO price . The minimum value of the share price was fixed on 08/04/2012 at $17.55 , which at the time was more than -50% lower than the fixed IPO price.
However, since then a growth trend has begun, which has been going on for almost 10 years.
Today, FB's share price is ten times the IPO price and 20 times more, the minimum price.
From 2014 to the current day, the price of Facebook shares has been moving in a beautiful channel upward, where the cyclical movement in the upper and lower parts of the channel is clearly traced.
In May 2019, Facebook founded Facebook Libra in order to develop its own stablecoin of the Libra cryptocurrency. However, the project collided with bureaucracy and US laws and disappeared from the horizon of public development.
At the moment, it is likely that the FB share price will be in the consolidation of $325-359 for some time. After fixing the price above $359 — a strong long to the upper targets of $435-455
Below $285 , it is better to abandon the long for a while, as the way will open for a fall to $ 218-220 . There will be the lower border of the growth channel, as well as a strong mirror level , which has repeatedly served as resistance and support in the past.
Facebook Bullish IdeaThe analysis is as follows
It appears that we are in wave 5 of a greater trend move.
This is confirmed by the fact that we have just broken out of a triangle, and according to Elliott wave principles, the triangle always and only precedes the last move of the greater trend.
In addition to being the wave 5 of the greater trend, within the wave 5 we are in wave 3, of 3, of the wave 5. As a result, I expect to see facebook go up much higher in the near future.
I believe we are in the wave 3 of 3, since the recent move from march 25th to april 8th was a clear impulsive move. In addition to this, the wave before that was also a clear impulse. The reason I am not labeling this as 1-2-3, is because the wave 3 would be incredibly short in time and price. I highly doubt this is the case, since if it were, the wave 5 would have to be ending very soon, and for the wave 5 to end with such little price moves and so quickly, it just isn't realistic.
Since both of these moves are contained within parallel lines, I am looking for a big move up, to breakout, and confirm that we are in the wave 3 of 3.
I would be concerned about my wavecount, if the price continued to fall below 298.
Target for the wave 3 of 3 is the 1.65 which is around 345-350.
The next target is the 2.00 which happens to be the 1.65 projection off of the greater wave 1.
I am anticipating that his move will be made very swiftly since it is a wave 3 of 3.
FACEBOOK INC. Bull waveHere is my Facebook Inc. Wave count. FB Inc. is heading to finish off its wave (5) - intermediate count.
Below are my price targets;
1st target = $343 /share
2nd target = $420 /share
3rd target = $545 /share
Disclaimer: This is only a trading idea and must not be taken as a trading signal.
Please support this idea by leaving a like or comment below 😊.
Is that a bullish pennant forming? Facebook appears to be in a consolidation phase. It looks like a bullish pennant is forming and may continue to play out for the next few months.
The signals are suggesting that the price is likely to fall somewhat. Lets see if it holds at the support line at around $244.
The question is, should one wait before getting into the stock or be of the opinion that an entry point of around $255 - $260 should be an attractive entry point after the bullish pennant has been completed?
Fundamentally its a great company and a solid buy and hold. I think it all comes down to the entry point and position size.
Please like and follow for daily posts on various asset classes. Please also share your views on the trading ideas and whether or not you find them to be of any value to you as a trader.
Please note, this idea is shared for educational and discussion purposes only and should not result in speculative investment decisions in any asset class.
Facebook: Triangle Pattern To Send Price To A New Record HighFacebook still remains the biggest social media platform, growing its user base to about 1.9 billion daily users and 2.8 billion monthly active users. Facebook stock was down to $137.21 per share in March 2020, losing approximately 38% in the first three-month of 2020.
But boy, what an entry point that low turned out to be. Facebook stock surged to nearly $306 by August 2020, up 120% in five months. Unfortunately for the bulls, since August 2020 the bears have taken over and sent the price to $243 for a 20% correction. As of this writing, it is still down some 10% from the record high. Should investors buy this dip?
Elliot Wave View
The daily chart above puts the post-March 2020 surge and the subsequence sideways move in the Elliott Wave context. The surge from FB’s coronavirus low of $137.21 in March 2020 took a shape of a five-wave impulse. The pattern is labeled (i)-(ii)-(iii)-(iv)-(v) in wave A.
According to the Elliott Wave theory, a three-wave correction in the opposite direction follows every impulse. And indeed, the sideways decline that started from $305.05 high in August 2020 fit for the three-wave correction.
This range-bound price move that has been unfolding for almost eight months has a place in the Elliott Wave principle and is very fit for a contracting triangle pattern, which is labeled as (a)-(b)-(c)-(d)-(e) in wave B.
Facebook Bears Are Overstaying Their Welcome
According to the Wave Principle, a triangle usually precedes the final move of a sequence and the price will resume in the direction of the impulse once a three-wave correction is completed.
Considering that the triangle corrective pattern is completed, it makes more sense to expect a rally above the 2020 high of $305.05.
Aside from the Elliot Wave principle, Facebook price action has been respecting 200-day Exponential Moving Average, this indicator usually acts as a strong demand zone during a corrective phase and only reinforces our optimism.
If this analysis is correct, Facebook stock has the potential to rally above $400/share, that’s a 45% advance from the current market price.
What's your view on Facebook stock? Let me know in the comment.
Thanks for reading!
Veejahbee.
GOOD OLD FB STOCKFacebook has been consolidating for the past few months, showing lower highs since September 2020.
It is a troubled company last year facing lots of scrutinises from the gov.
However, if we look at the bigger picture, it has bounced a few times on the 200MA (disregard the March 2020 whole market correction).
We might be looking at a great long run if the price finally manage to bounce again at the 200MA and then break the upper resistance.