Can Meta's Threads Challenge the Social Media Giants?Meta's Threads, the text-based social media app launched with much fanfare a year ago, has reached 175 million monthly active users (MAUs). This milestone signifies a strong first year, but questions remain about whether Threads can truly challenge the social media titan, X.
There's no denying Threads' impressive growth. Reaching 175 million MAUs within a year is a commendable feat. Mark Zuckerberg celebrated the achievement, highlighting India's role as a key driver of user engagement. The initial surge was phenomenal, with Threads reaching 100 million users just five days after launch. Growth has since stabilized, but the upward trend continues.
However, comparing Threads to X is a different story. X boasts billions of users globally, dwarfing Threads' current reach. While 175 million is a respectable number, it's a fraction of X's user base. Furthermore, X has a well-established ecosystem of features, influencers, and deeply ingrained user habits. Despite its initial success, Threads needs to carve out its own niche and establish itself as more than just a "Twitter-like" offering from Meta.
Several factors could influence Threads' future trajectory.
• Feature Development: One crucial aspect is continuous development of compelling features. Threads' current offerings include text posts (up to 500 characters), photo and video sharing, and close friend groups. Adding features that cater to specific user needs and foster deeper engagement will be vital.
• Monetization Strategy: Monetization is another key consideration. While Meta hasn't revealed concrete plans yet, a well-crafted strategy that doesn't intrude on user experience is essential. Subscription models or targeted advertising with clear user opt-in options could be potential avenues.
• Competition: The social media landscape is fiercely competitive. Threads faces competition not only from X but also from established players like Snapchat and emerging platforms. Differentiation and a clear value proposition will be crucial for attracting and retaining users.
• Integration with Existing Platforms: Leveraging the vast user base of Instagram, which is owned by Meta, could be beneficial. Cross-promotion and strategic integration, without forced migration, could introduce Threads to a wider audience.
The current neutral outlook on META stock reflects the wait-and-see approach from investors. While Threads' initial growth is promising, it hasn't yet translated into significant revenue streams or user base expansion that would dramatically impact Meta's overall performance.
In conclusion, Threads has had a promising first year. Its ability to challenge X, however, remains to be seen. Continuous innovation, a well-defined monetization strategy, and strategic differentiation will be key factors in determining its long-term success. Whether Threads becomes a true competitor or remains a niche offering within the Meta ecosystem will depend on its ability to navigate the competitive landscape and carve out its own space in the ever-evolving social media world.
Facebooktradingsetup
META BUYHello, according to my analysis of Facebook stock. There is a good opportunity to buy. We note that the stock has penetrated the ascending channel. Strong resistance at 330 level has been broken. All these indicators point to buyers taking control. Inventory is for purchase only. Good luck everyone.
Meta Platforms Analysis 13.12.2022Hello Traders,
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META - Facebook trade setup Idea 15-september-2022Meta has not bounced from its support level as expected. We will wait for a day or 2 to see how price action works at this level before taking a long or short position.
The next level of support if the current support level(149 level) is broken is around 135. It would take some time to reach there, besides there would be some volatility with these ranges before it reaches 135 levels.
the next level of resistance is around the 167 levels.
We will wait for the price to show us the direction in a day or 2.
Facebook and Instagram shut down in EuropeIf you haven`t shorted FB at my first call, at $337, when Ark Invest started to sell it:
or when i warned you about a potential competition threat, at $340:
Then you need to know that Meta might have to shut down Facebook and Instagram in Europe, because it could soon find itself unable to transfer data between the US and Europe and so opt to no longer operate in Europe.
The issue are the new regulations on how data can be transferred or processed between different countries and regions.
I`m looking at a speculative buy under $200 level.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Facebook/Meta Platforms Analysis 03.02.2022Hello Traders,
welcome to this free and educational analysis.
I am going to explain where I think this asset is going to go over the next few days and weeks and where I would look for trading opportunities.
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Facebook/Meta Platforms Analysis 31.01.2022Hello Traders,
welcome to this free and educational analysis.
I am going to explain where I think this asset is going to go over the next few days and weeks and where I would look for trading opportunities.
If you have any questions or suggestions which asset I should analyse tomorrow, please leave a comment below.
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Facebook/Meta Platforms Analysis 17.01.2022Hello Traders,
welcome to this free and educational analysis.
I am going to explain where I think this asset is going to go over the next few days and weeks and where I would look for trading opportunities.
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FB | Good Buy Opportunity. Get Ready!When it comes to FACEBOOK , last day market closed near 336 and it is right now near the previous demand zone, where most buy orders are waiting to be filled. From there we could expect a nice bounce off and good impulse to the upside. On the way to the upside, we should expect a resistance from T1, which was a previous resistance area. From there you may book the partial profit or close the position.
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Disclaimer!
This post does not provide financial advice. It is for educational purposes only! You can use the information from the post to make your own trading plan for the market. But you must do your own research and use it as the priority. Trading is risky, and it is not suitable for everyone. Only you can be responsible for your trading.
Facebook Analysis and market directionHello everyone, as we all know the market action discounts everything :)
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Facebook Stock took a big hit yesterday after the Technical problem that the company had that caused every website that the company owns to go down (Facebook-Instagram-WhatsApp) the stock dropped from 344.92 to 323.65 . That is a 6.1% drop in one day !!
The company has fixed the problem and Mark Zuckerberg Posted on Facebook saying "Facebook, Instagram, WhatsApp, and Messenger are coming back online now. Sorry for the disruption today -- I know how much you rely on our services to stay connected with the people you care about."
And Facebook posted saying "Our engineering teams have learned that configuration changes on the backbone routers that coordinate network traffic between our data centers caused issues that interrupted this communication,"
Technical Analysis with possible Scenarios for the market :
Scenario 1 :
The stock price right now is trading near the first resistance line located at 333.88 and today Candle was green showing that the stock is finding its ground after the drop.
The stock will probably go up and break the first resistance level and will be headed back to where it was a couple of days ago, The major stop for the stock will be the resistance level at 347.12 where the Bulls will have to prove how much power they have for any hope for a Bullish trend.
Scenario 2 :
The Bears were already building up for a move like this as we can see on the chart for the last one month a Short-Bearish trend has started where the stock price started dropping from the 382.95 range and reaching 338.57 at the end of September. The big battle between the Bulls and the Bears will probably happen at the support level located at 320.64 where the direction of the market will be determined by who wins that battle.
Technical Indicators show :
1) The market is below 5 10 20 50 and 100 MA and EMA but still above the 200 MA, EMA which indicates a Bearish movement for the near future but Bullish for the long run.
2) The MACD is below the 0 line indicating that the market is in a Bearish state, With a negative crossover between the MACD line and the Signal line.
3) The STOCH has reached the oversold zone and looks like it's getting ready to go back up again.
Daily Support & Resistance points :
support Resistance
1) 320.64 1) 333.88
2) 315.05 2) 341.53
3) 307.40 3) 347.12
Weekly Support & Resistance points :
support Resistance
1) 335.73 1) 352.73
2) 328.44 2) 362.44
3) 318.73 3) 369.73
Fundamental point of view :
Facebook took another pounding in the U.S. Congress on Tuesday and a senator called on federal regulators to investigate accusations by a whistleblower that the company pushed for higher profits while being cavalier about user safety.
In an opening statement to a Senate Commerce subcommittee, chair Senator Richard Blumenthal, a Democrat, said that Facebook knew that its products were addictive, like cigarettes. "Tech now faces that big tobacco jaw-dropping moment of truth," he said.
He called for Facebook CEO Mark Zuckerberg to testify before the committee, and for the Securities and Exchange Commission and Federal Trade Commission to investigate the social media company. According to Reuters
This is my personal opinion done with technical analysis of the market price and research online from Fundamental Analysts and News for The Fundamental point of view, not financial advice.
If you have any questions please ask and have a great day !!
FACEBOOK:FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS+PRICE ACTION|NEXT TARGET|LONG🔔🔔Although the Facebook stock is up nearly 33% for the year, some analysts are concerned about the company's prospects. The stock's rise declined after the company released its second-quarter results in late July, as investors were concerned about a slight decline in daily active users in the U.S. and Canada, as well as earnings projections.
Nevertheless, the company beat analysts' expectations, reporting year-over-year revenue growth of 56% and earnings per share (EPS) growth of 101%. Both figures exceeded consensus estimates.
While there are a few worried analysts, don't count Credit Suisse's Stephen Jue among them. After the quarterly report was released, he raised his target price per Facebook share to $500 from $480 and maintained his outperform rating. This is now the highest price target among Wall Street analysts.
While most analysts set price targets for 12 to 18 months, there are several indicators from a valuation perspective that suggest Facebook should be worth $500 a share now. First of all, this is when comparing Facebook to smaller peers such as Twitter and Snap, which trade at projected price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 70 times and 270 times, respectively. Facebook's forward P/E ratio is 28.5.
Sure, both companies had higher growth rates than Facebook's 56 percent increase in the top line last quarter -- Twitter by 74 percent and Snap by 116 percent -- but it would only take a 40 percent increase in value to become a $500 stock, which is equivalent to 40 times projected earnings for Facebook.
Comparisons to the broader market also seem favorable when growth is taken into account. According to Standard & Poor's, Facebook is trading at 27 compared to 31 on the S&P 500, even though the S&P 500 had negative sales growth over the previous year (compared to Facebook's 56% growth previously noted).
Finally, Facebook has another way to make it easier to reach the $500 per share price: shares buyback. Reducing the total number of shares increases earnings per share and raises the price per share, all other things being equal. Earlier this year, the company increased its share buyback by adding $25 billion (now 2.5 percent of total shares) to its existing $8 billion authorization.
Of course, the Facebook stock carries some risks. It's a rare company that draws bipartisan ire at both the federal and state levels. A recent lawsuit by 48 states as well as the Federal Trade Commission for illegal monopolization was dismissed.
State attorneys general have indicated that they will fight the decision. While the rhetoric is heated to the extreme, it is likely that any risk is short-term and has little impact on Facebook's core business.
However, Zuckerberg is working on something new, and this could be the biggest opportunity for the company. In his last earnings report, the CEO stated his desire to turn Facebook into a "meta-universe company" within five years. The company has high hopes for an inspired VR experience, which it expects will replace the mobile Internet.
Despite Zuckerberg's fervor, investors should view any meta-village-related revenue as the cherry on top of a strong core social media business. It is this optionality that makes the company a sound investment.
Facebook's $500 price tag doesn't seem far-fetched, and long-term investors are likely to see the stock exceed that figure - perhaps even sooner than 18 months from now.
In addition, the Facebook stock fell yesterday along with the broader market decline on a weak retail sales report. That's probably what caused the social media giant's stock to fall since the performance of its advertising business is closely tied to overall consumer spending. Also, company officials said they would remove Taliban or pro-Taliban content, deeming the group a terrorist organization after its takeover of Afghanistan just the other day.
By the end of the day, Facebook shares were down 2.2%, while the S&P 500 was down 0.7% and the Nasdaq lost 0.9%.
Total retail sales in July were worse than expected. The Census Bureau reported that total retail sales fell 1.1% from June through July, with auto dealerships, clothing stores, and e-commerce especially weak. The main takeaway from the report seemed to be that the delta variant of COVID-19 was at least a moderate impediment to getting back to work, delaying returns to offices, and possibly discouraging Americans from other activities such as travel.
Meanwhile, other sectors that surged at the beginning of the pandemic, such as the auto industry and e-commerce, two key sources of ad revenue for Facebook, now seem to be normalizing as the pandemic-related favorable factors they enjoyed begin to subside.
Separately, the company said it is actively removing pro-Taliban content, although the question of what and how to ban it on the platform has been a tricky one in the past. For example, the Washington Post reported that members of the Taliban used WhatsApp to send messages to Afghan citizens, and these incidents could be an eyesore for Facebook if they continue.
Yesterday's 2 percent drop in Facebook stock should not change investors' opinions of the company, as such fluctuations are normal, especially given the news about retail sales and the sell-off in the market as a whole. In addition, the company came out with an outstanding earnings report in the second quarter and is likely to perform well in the third quarter since it went through a boycott period last year.
This development is a reminder that Facebook faces some political risk, so investors may want to pay attention to how the company is handling the situation in Afghanistan.
FACEBOOK: FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS+PRICE ACTION & NEXT TARGET|LONG🔔Facebook beat Wall Street analysts' expectations in its second-quarter earnings report.
Revenue rose 56% year-over-year to $29.1 billion, beating analysts' forecasts, and earnings per share doubled from the quarter that suffered a lockdown a year ago to $3.61, beating the consensus forecast of $3.02.
Despite that strong performance, Facebook's stock price fell 4 percent as the company's growth lagged behind that of Google's parent company Alphabet, and the company said it expects earnings growth to slow significantly in the second half of the year.
But the second-quarter results weren't just indicative of the underlying numbers.
Facebook CFO Dave Wehner recently warned investors of an impending slowdown in the company's revenue growth in the second half of 2021. After reporting impressive growth in advertising revenue compared to the second quarter of last year, Wehner reminded investors that April and June of last year were very volatile times for marketers who cut back on advertising spending. As we enter the second half of the year, comparable periods from 2020 will be much more difficult, and revenue growth will slow.
That's why investors shouldn't be too concerned about Wehner's comments.
Looking back to 2020 and the first half of 2021, investors can get a better idea of where Facebook is headed.
In the second quarter of last year, Facebook's ad impressions were up 40%, while average ad prices were down 28%. Naturally, this presents a difficult comparison for ad impressions growth, but it's easy to use the previous year's numbers to compare ad prices. Indeed, Facebook's ad impressions grew only 6% in the second quarter, but ad prices jumped 47%.
Facebook | Fundamental Analysis
As you can see, ad prices remained relatively low during the second half of the year. While this is still better than the average decline in ad prices in the first and second quarters of 2020, the growth was not what investors are used to. At the same time, growth in ad impressions declined on the back of improved pricing.
In his forecast, Wehner virtually eliminated the variable of ad impression growth from the revenue growth equation. He said he believes that the rise in the COVID-19 pandemic, which has been particularly pronounced in the high-margin region of North America, poses a challenge to 2021's attraction growth. In addition, the growing shift from feeds to video products such as Stories, Reels, and Facebook Watch will lead to a decline in impressions.
Even if we exclude the growth in ad impressions from revenue growth projections, ad prices should still increase markedly in the second half of the year due to strong demand from marketers. One need only look at the revenue projections of Facebook's competitors to get an idea of demand in the third quarter. According to Twitter, the company expects revenue growth of 30% on average, and Snap, in turn, expects revenue growth of 58-60%.
Nevertheless, Facebook should be able to increase the number of ad impressions. First, the company continues to increase the number of daily active users by 7% and 12% on Facebook and the entire family of apps, respectively. Second, the company is increasing ad downloads in its video products, such as Reels, which account for a significant amount of engagement on Instagram. Reels is still in the very early stages of monetization, but it is growing rapidly. This factor, combined with the growth in users, makes modest growth in impressions possible.
With continued strong demand for digital advertising and modest growth in the number of impressions, FAANG share ad revenue should continue to grow at a pre-pandemic pace in the upper 20% range. Yes, this is a slowdown from the first half of the year, but it is still very strong growth for a company of this site like Facebook.
FB Facebook - buy in play, sell worked great (was posted here!)Facebook - Buy now valid
The entry price, SL and multiple TPs are shown on the chart.
Our back testing and money management strategy itself is holding until a reverse signal to ride a big trend, but as you will not see the next signal - manage the trade as you wish should you decide to enter.
What is our strategy?
Our strategy is a trend following strategy, can be used on any instrument and time frame. However, we have hard coded specific parameters for when trading the H1 time frame, so we can back up over 4200 previous trades to confirm our edge from previous data. This gives us confidence in execution and belief in our trading strategy for the long term.
The strategy simply sits in your trading view, so you will see exactly what we see - the trade, entry price, SL and multiple TPs (although we hold until opposite trade as this is the most profitable longer term plan), lot size, etc.
This could be on your phone trading view app, or laptop of course.
The hard work is done, so we have zero chart work time, no analysis, no time front of the chart doing technical analysis - technical analysis is very subjective - you may see different things at different times - how do you have a rigid trading plan on a H&S shoulder pattern? Your daily routine, diet, sleep, exercise can affect what you 'see' and your decision making, this doesn't happen when a strategy is coded like this; what we do have is a mechanical trading strategy...
What does this mean?
It means, we are very clear on our entry and our exit and use strict risk management (this is built in - put in your account size, set your risk in % or fixed amount and it will tell you what lot size to trade!) so we have no ego with our position and we are comfortable with all outcomes - its simply just another trade. This free's our mindset from worry and anxiety as we take confidence from knowing our edge is there and also that we have used sensible risk management.
The strategy itself can be used as a live trading journal too - how cool is that? The strategy will confirm and support every open and closed position - so its quite easy to follow.
We just have to do what Percy does.
Please see our related ideas below for more information to explain what we do and how it can help you.
💰 Will Resistance Hold For Facebook? (FB)💰 LET'S GET INTO SOME FACEBOOK ANALYSIS!💰
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(Overall Market Sentiment) 🤷♂️ Neutral
- 3day Chart
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Facebook is sitting on a key level of Resistance but has not shifted on any indicators yet for the 3 day. Let it play out the rest of the week and see how it closes.
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🥇MLT | MAJOR LEAGUE TRADER
Facebook confirms its growthAs the last analysis of Facebook stock, it will continue its growth. The pitchforks graph shows that After each spring (They are mentioned in the graph), the stock increase.
Currently, we have a new spring, so we predict an increasing trend for the next days.
for short terms and also long terms, Facebook is still to buy.