BKNG, Booking Holdings Inc. - H&S or Failed H&SNASDAQ:BKNG
Which of the two levels will breakout the right shoulder of this head and shoulders on Booking Holdings Inc.?
We are ready for the next potential trend.
The important thing is always your risk management, the instruments you use (stocks and options), then come the classic patterns of technical analysis.
Failedbreakout
BTC to 4k - SHORT (Hypothetical failure of multiple supports)I'd be fully prepared for a jump back to 5k8 but I dare say that rally will fail. If it happens and does fail, we're most likely gonna be going back to looking for support around 4k8.
If that support fails, it's back to the 4k range.
If that fails.. Welll.... I'd expect a 2k8 BITTREX:BTCUSD within months.
Support Levels I believe that would need to successively fail in order for Bitcoin to reach true bottom.
T.$4k8
T.$4k
T.$3k4
T.$2k8
An attempt at $6k then finding support @ 5k8 will invalidate this trade.
EURAUD Possible Short Opportunity !!!!EURAUD recently broke out of trend line Resistance last week, but if you check out the daily chart you can see the last 3 days have all had rejections form Aprils high @ 0.618 , swinging above yet failing to close above on all 3 days, seems weak from the bulls.
Stoch 55,5,3 is at resistance of 93 and RSI has big divergence on the 4 hour.
The concerning aspect of a short in this spot is the high bullish volume bounce trying to turn the trend line resistance into support, apart from that everything else points to bulls tiring.
Makes sense to observe Mondays action on whether EURAUD fails to turn this trend line into support !!!
NZDJPY 1D/1H ASCENDING TRIANGLE TRADESPrice is in an ascending triangle chart pattern
There were 4 failed Bullish breakout attempts of the triangle top
Price is falling to triangle bottom trendline
1H Short trade
Sell Stop @ 76.20
Sell TP at bottom triangle trendline
There will be a decision point at the bottom triangle trendline
Long trade
Price will rise up to the top triangle trendline
Bullish breakout of top trendline
Enter on a 15m break-hook-go chart pattern
1st Buy TP @ 77.42
2nd Buy TP @ 78.17
3rd Buy TP @ 78.68
Short trade
Price will have a Bearish breakout of the bottom triangle trendline
Enter on a 15m break-hook-go chart pattern
1st Sell TP @ 73.53
2nd Sell TP @ 72.04
Find your SL
Gold's medium term scoop - A Failed breakout and bear resumptionHi! Here are my thoughts for gold XAUUSD .
- Gold is bullish since November 18th, 2018. Afterwards a solid pullback with a 38.2% rotation on the weekly and monthly chart. In fact, there was a failed breakout of the 1300.000 psychological level which was not more than a test of the downward trend on the daily chart since the high price 1348.000. Thus a lower high was formed at 1311.000.
Analysis :
- The resistance zone @1300.000 - 1305.000 appeared to be a high pressuring area for sellers.
- Prices are likely to dip back at the support levels of the weekly and monthly chart (38.2% retracement of the Fibonacci levels).
- The mid-term target is around 1275.000.
- The volume decreased of 50%, showing a temporary interest loss.
Feel free to comment or give ideas.
Succesful trading!
Failed breakout followed by a breakdown!!!NYSE:TKR this had an attempt to go higher earlier this week, but failed. After a failed move higher usually comes fast move down. see my note on where to short it indicated on the chart.
Please like and comment if you like my ideas. THANK YOU!!!
Please note that this information is not a recommendation to buy or sell. It is to be used for educational purposes only.
AUDUSD 4H SHORT TRADEWHY BEARISH BIAS TRADE
Price had two failed breakout attempts of the 800 sma
A 3rd failed breakout attempt of the 800 sma was a news related event
Macd is below zero and Red signal lines
Short Trades
News related spike bullish candle low is support level to breakout @ .71725
Price should close below 50 sma
1st Sell Entry @ .71725
2nd Sell Entry is bearish breakout of 4h trendline
2nd Entry is made from a 15m chart with a break-hook-go candle pattern
Sell Take Profit is the 100 sma so possible exit area is .7110
Watch Macd for direction
Eth short on no vol breakoutacct $1592
short 5 shares at $199.5
small position because really not seeing a good setup
believe this little run up wont last lacks vol and we just broke out and lack any follow through...
dont have great levels or setups so just a small position will look to build on it if we get more clear
bch cant push past market sentiment... dont long or sell long about to formed nearly a double top...
market looks due for more downside...
even a break above you need to scalp only because market will drag alts down when eth btc ltc xrp etc start dumping in unison...
you can still scalp a breakout play here i recommend no bigger than 5 min time frame because market is too unstable to be in a trade like this for long periods of time
if I could short I would
BTC: The Inverse Head & Shoulders likely to fail.Good morning! So, the HS and IHS became super popular a couple months ago. In my opinion, they rarely play out on bitcoin so don't get excited. Remember, there are many more variables to consider. If the right should DOES complete, I see a fake out followed by a decent dump possible happening. Don't get fooled; there is major resistance in the way and seemingly low interest from the bulls.
ETH: Three reasons why the descending wedge failedGood morning all. Some people may have gotten excited about the large descending wedge on the daily. I personally ran an awesome short and here's why: 1) We formed an ascending wedge with four solid points of contact. 2) Volume continued to decline, even at breakout point. 3) The daily printed a shooting star candle at the point of breakout. This is a clear example of why we must wait for confirmation before entering a trade.
ESI! Reflection of SPY This is an hourly chart that I Find to be very trendy. The 50% overall angle of attack makes this a measured move and I believe we are forming the head at the moment of a failed cup and handle quite perfectly on a 50 degree angle of attack. The right shoulder should form around 2675 area. Then, continuation of the daily Inverted Cup and Handle.
[BTC] 3 Wicks Down: Bulls Too Eager, Bearish OpeningBTC was looking for a nice wedge consolidation and breakout to the upside, but bulls overextended the price up out of the wedge a little too soon, cancelling the high tension accumulating within it. Without enough buyer confidence to follow through on the early breakout, a 3-wick rejection has occurred so far.
Since the consolidation tension was released too early, and without any pullback to retest the mid-range of the vast pump last week, buyer confidence has waned. Continuing to press for higher prices at this point could prove to be an uphill battle with fewer and fewer buyers to step in. Pulling back to lower levels will give the market more confidence to enter and slingshot prices higher. Bulls should let the technicals work in their favor to achieve the higher prices they are pushing for now with far more ease.
LTC goes to the North Pole to meet SantaDatetime : 23 Feb, 22:00 Berlin Time
Since LTC seems to follow big daddy XBTEUR, I went bullish on LTC since I was bullish on XBTEUR. See my thought process on XBTEUR on 24 Feb in the related ideas section to find out why I was bullish on XBT. Also, note that that LTC clearly shows massive upward momentum following the downtrend with significant high on the MACD. This is a clearer sign of an upcoming uptrend.
What trade did I execute?
Time of entry : 22:09 Berlin Time
Trade type : Limit Buy
Direction : Long
Trading pattern : Anti
Entry : 164.8
Stop Loss : 132 (Last time I traded LTC, I got washed out by volatility caused by a failed breakout, so this time I made sure my stop is far away from the last low of the downtrend and even below the next support level at 137.9)
Take Profit : 25 % at 182 (estimated end of next trend leg) and 75% at 192 (estimated end of the third trend leg). This last Take Profit level is subject to change later depending on market action.
Results will be posted when the trade concludes.
Disclaimer: If you trade based on this idea, you are solely responsible for any profit or losses that result.
ETHUSD Perspective And Levels: 300 Break Or Fake?ETHUSD Update: Another failed attempt to break the 271 to 291 resistance zone which does not support the bullish argument in terms of price action. If this market has any real buying, the proof will be a sustained break of the 300 weekly high.
If price does not break above the 300 level in its current attempt to rally, it will have sucked in liquidity for the wrong reasons. Any break of a minor support like the 275 level will trigger increased selling because there will be more longs caught in this market. This is usually what happens during false breakouts.
The key levels I am watching are the 251 low and 300 high. These levels will be the low and high of the previous weekly candle once the new weekly candle opens. A break above the 300 level will imply further strength which will have to be supported by some kind of bullish price structure while a break below 250 means price is more likely to retest the lower support zone. No matter what kind of hype you read, keep in mind the alt coins are still following BTC until they prove that they are not, and that proof comes in the form of order flow, not words and opinions or even news.
If BTC sells off and retests previous lows (I wrote about this in my previous report) this market is most likely not going to break any highs. Until this market proves otherwise, I am sticking to my plan for the two scenarios that I have written about previously: 1. Wait for extreme low prices for long term (yearly hold) and 2. Wait for reversal within the 237 to 219 zone for a swing trade and conservative target. If the market does not want to conform to my criteria, that's fine with me, because that means I don't have to manage any risk either.
I am evaluating from a swing trade perspective and that does not mean there is no opportunity at all. For more advanced traders, you have the 267 to 260 minor support (.618 of recent bullish swing and just above .382 of previous bullish swing) which can be a good area for a short term reversal (like the one that occurred at the 250 level). Like I wrote about before, these type of trades require a ton of attention and very well defined trading plans. Certainly not the type of trade for someone who is new.
In summary, this market is stuck within an established resistance zone which increases the risk for any bullish longer time horizon trades. I am still flexible and open to the idea of the market breaking higher, but it has to prove itself in which case I will adjust and look for higher probability setups AFTER it provides the price structure that I need to see. A sustained break above 300 will be the first sign. Otherwise I am just going to stay flat and be prepared if the scenarios I outlined in previous reports materialize.
Questions and comments welcome.