follow-up of a descending triangle formation on an index In NSE:BANKNIFTY there is failure of descending triangle pattern. When a descending triangle fails, it often leads to a sudden reversal or consolidation rather than a continuation of the prior downtrend. This reversal could result in a period of sideways movement or even a bullish breakout if buying pressure persists. A sustained rally above the upper trendline of the triangle could indicate a shift in momentum and potential bullish continuation.
On the other hand, if the index fails to maintain upward momentum and returns to test the lower boundary of the triangle, it might indicate renewed selling pressure and a potential breakdown.
Traders should always employ proper risk management techniques, such as setting stop-loss orders, to mitigate losses in case of pattern failures or unexpected market movements.
Failure-test
XLE - weekly charts - mild consolidation before further failureLet us again look out on how XLE is shaping up
(previous analysis attached for your reference)
Price moving just as expected, as evident in the charts, we had support on $ 53.36 levels , which was 24th Dec 2019 low. Price closed at about this level over the last few weeks but during the week, this level was breached. Minor cycle low formed 27th Jan 2020, 2 weeks later than we expected. As we move ahead, the next minor cycle and the major cycle will be moving upwards and the intermediate cycle will start to curve downwards. Following Hurst's principle of summation, we could expect the price to try and move higher over the next weeks. So far price has been making lower highs and much lower lows, indicating downtrend. Expect a failure on any attempt tp move upwards and intermediate cycle bottom around end of March 2020. Larger trouble remains ahead near Aug 2020 end as we would be seeing a bottom of all 3 cycles together. Keep an eye on how these charts develop to maximize opportunities of gain.
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GBP/AUD - Overall Bullish SentimentThe trend lines depict the overall trading zone. I think GBP/AUD is in the perfect Buy position and that is just my opinion. As traders I also think it's important to build a community of like minded traders. Let's help each other out to success. I think the journey will be much more valuable . Good luck traders and let me know if you think I could do anything better. All is appreciated.
Note: Keep the analysis simple. It'll save you some time and energy . Just starting to realize that. If it doesn't make sense and you are spending too much time and you just feel it then check another pair out until you find something that makes sense. Other than that...
Good luck. Have fun. Take care of your Risk . Reap your Rewards .
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EURUSD [Daily, Long] False Break/Failure TestMarket has been in a range from the 1.163 level to 1.207 level. Price action towards support at 1.163 is clean. Price took out the previous candle structure low on 7 Nov 2017. There was strong price rejection following this. Sellers who short the break of the support are now trapped, many would sell off their position when price goes to breakeven, fuelling the buying pressure.
Entry: Market order of 1.16373
Stop: I placed a more aggressive stop loss just a few wicks below the candle structure, referenced on the 4hr timeframe as that is where my trade would be invalidated. Also to trade with a larger position to fulfil a 1:2 risk reward ratio.
TP: 1.19 as I foresee price rejection at this region due to resistance.