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Fairvaluegap

BTC/USDT - The moment of truthThe BTC/USDT chart highlights a crucial moment as the price breaks out of a bearish trendline and tests a Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone. Key scenarios include: - A potential continuation of the bullish trend if the price successfully holds above the FVG zone and confirms support. - Alternatively, a rejection at this level could signal a return to bearish momentum. Keep an eye on price action within the FVG zone for confirmation of the next move. Which way do you see BTC heading?
by Louigi_24
32
XRP - Ascending Channel: Will bulls stay in control?XRP continues to trade within a well-established ascending channel on the 4-hour timeframe, maintaining a bullish structure as long as it respects this formation. The price has consistently formed higher highs and higher lows, signaling that buyers are still in control. However, recent price action suggests that XRP is at a critical decision point, with strong support below and short-term resistance above. 4H Timeframe – Golden Pocket and Imbalance Providing Strong Support One of the key areas to watch is the golden pocket Fibonacci retracement level (0.618 - 0.65), which aligns with a 4-hour imbalance zone. This confluence has already provided two strong bounces, confirming that buyers are actively defending this area. The golden pocket is a key retracement zone where price often finds strong support before continuing the trend. Additionally, the imbalance zone represents an area of unfilled liquidity, which price often revisits before resuming its move. The fact that XRP has reacted twice from this level suggests that it remains a critical demand zone. As long as price remains above this level, the bullish structure is intact, and XRP could continue pushing higher within the ascending channel. The next target for bulls would be the 0.618 Fibonacci extension level, which aligns with the upper boundary of the channel. However, if this support fails and XRP breaks below the golden pocket and imbalance zone, the structure could shift bearish, leading to a potential breakdown toward lower support levels. 1H Timeframe – Bearish Rejection from Imbalance Zone While the 4-hour structure remains bullish, the 1-hour timeframe presents a short-term bearish case. Recently, XRP was rejected from a significant imbalance zone, suggesting that sellers are stepping in. This rejection indicates a potential short-term pullback before the next major move. When price fails to break through an imbalance zone, it often signals that there isn’t enough liquidity to sustain the uptrend. This could lead to a retracement back to lower levels, possibly retesting the golden pocket on the 4H timeframe before another push higher. Key Levels to Watch Support Zone: Golden pocket (0.618 - 0.65) + 4H imbalance Resistance Zone: 1H imbalance rejection area Bullish Target: 0.618 Fibonacci extension, aligning with the upper boundary of the channel Bearish Breakdown Level: A break below the golden pocket and imbalance could trigger a deeper retracement Final Thoughts – Bullish Structure, but Short-Term Weakness The 4H ascending channel remains intact, and the golden pocket support has held twice, indicating that the uptrend is still in play. However, the 1H bearish rejection from an imbalance zone suggests that XRP could face short-term weakness, leading to a possible retest of support before the next major move. If XRP holds the golden pocket, the bullish bias remains strong, and we could see a continuation towards 2.80 – 2.90 in the coming sessions. However, if support fails, the structure could shift bearish, bringing lower retracement levels into play. This setup presents both bullish and bearish scenarios, making it crucial to monitor key levels and wait for confirmation before making a trading decision. __________________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀 Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈
by TehThomas
43
What Are the Inner Circle Trading Concepts? What Are the Inner Circle Trading Concepts? Inner Circle Trading (ICT) offers a sophisticated lens through which traders can view and interpret market movements, providing traders with insights that go beyond conventional technical analysis. This article explores key ICT concepts, aiming to equip traders with a thorough understanding of how these insights can be applied to enhance their trading decisions. Introduction to the Inner Circle Trading Methodology Inner Circle Trading (ICT) methodology is a sophisticated approach to financial markets that zeroes in on the behaviours of large institutional traders. Unlike conventional trading methods, ICT is not merely about recognising patterns in price movements but involves understanding the intentions behind those movements. It is part of the broader Smart Money Concept (SMC), which analyses how major players influence the market. Key Inner Circle Trading Concepts Within the ICT methodology, there are many concepts to learn. Below, we’ve explained the most fundamental ideas central to ICT trading. Structure Understanding the structure of a market is fundamental to effectively employing the ICT methodology. In the context of ICT, market structure is defined by the identification of trends through specific patterns of highs and lows. Market Structure A market trend is typically characterised by a series of higher highs and higher lows in an uptrend, or lower highs and lower lows in a downtrend. This sequential pattern provides a visual representation of market sentiment and momentum. Importantly, market trends are fractal, replicating similar patterns at different scales or timeframes. For example, what appears as a bearish trend on a short timeframe might merely be a corrective phase within a larger bullish trend. By understanding this fractal nature, traders can better align their strategies with the prevailing trend at different trading intervals. Break of Structure (BOS) A Break of Structure occurs when there is a clear deviation from these established patterns of highs and lows. In an uptrend, a BOS is signalled by prices exceeding a previous high without falling below the most recent higher low, confirming the strength and continuation of the uptrend. Conversely, in a downtrend, a BOS is indicated when prices drop below a previous low without breaching the prior lower high, signifying that the downtrend remains strong. Identifying a BOS gives traders valuable clues about the continuation of the current market direction. Change of Character (CHoCH) The Change of Character in a market happens when there is a noticeable alteration in the behaviour of price movements, suggesting a potential reversal of a given trend. This might be seen in an uptrend where the price fails to reach a new high and then breaks below a recent higher low, indicating that the buying momentum is waning and a bearish reversal is possible. Identifying a CHoCH helps traders recognise when the market momentum is shifting, which is critical for adjusting positions to capitalise on or protect against a new trend. Market Structure Shift (MSS) A Market Structure Shift is a significant change in the market that can disrupt the existing trend. This specific type of CHoCH is typically marked by a price moving sharply (a displacement) through a key structural level, such as a higher low in an uptrend or a lower high in a downtrend. These shifts can signal a profound change in market dynamics, with the sharp move often preceding a new sustained trend. Recognising an MSS allows traders to reevaluate their current bias and adapt to a new trend, given its clear signal. Order Blocks Order blocks are a central component of ICT trading, providing crucial insights into potential areas where the price may react strongly due to significant buy or sell interests from large market participants. Regular Order Blocks A regular order block is an area on the price chart representing a concentration of buying (demand zone) or selling (supply zone) activity. In an uptrend, a bullish order block is identified during a downward price movement and marks the last area of selling before a substantial upward price movement occurs. Conversely, a bearish order block forms in an uptrend where the last buying action appears before a significant downward price shift. In the ICT trading strategy, order blocks are seen as reversal areas. So, if the price revisits a bullish order block following a BOS higher, it’s assumed that the block will hold and prompt a reversal that produces a new higher high. Breaker Blocks Breaker blocks play a crucial role in identifying trend reversals. They are typically formed when the price makes a BOS before reversing and breaking beyond an order block that should hold if the established market structure is to be maintained. This formation indicates that liquidity has been taken. For instance, in an uptrend, if the price creates a new high but then reverses below the previous higher low, the bullish order block above the low becomes a breaker block. A breaker block can be an area that prompts a reversal as the new trend unfolds; it’s a similar concept to support becoming resistance and vice versa. Mitigation Blocks Mitigation blocks are similar to breaker blocks, except they occur after a failure swing, where the price attempts but fails to surpass a previous peak in an uptrend or a previous trough in a downtrend. This pattern indicates a loss of momentum and potential reversal as the price fails to sustain its previous direction. For example, in an uptrend, if the price makes a lower high and then breaks the structure by dropping below the previous low, the order block formed at the previous low becomes a mitigation block. These blocks are critical for traders because they’re also expected to produce a reversal if a new trend has been set in motion. Liquidity Liquidity refers to areas on the price chart with a high concentration of trading activity, typically marked by stop orders from retail traders. Buy- and Sell-Side Liquidity Buy-side liquidity is found where there is a likely accumulation of short-selling traders' stop orders, typically above recent highs. Conversely, sell-side liquidity is located below recent lows, where bullish traders' stop orders accumulate. When prices touch these areas, activating stop orders can cause a reversal, presenting a potential level of support or resistance. Liquidity Grabs A liquidity grab occurs when the price quickly spikes into these high-density order areas, triggering stops and then reversing direction. In ICT theory, this action is often orchestrated by larger players aiming to capitalise on the flurry of orders to execute their large-volume trades with minimal slippage. It's a strategic move that temporarily shifts price momentum, usually just long enough to trigger the stops before the market direction reverses. Inducement An inducement is a specific type of liquidity grab that triggers stops and entices other traders to enter the market. It often appears as a peak or trough, typically into an area of liquidity, in a minor counter-trend within the larger market trend. Inducements are designed by smart money to create an illusion of a trend change, prompting an influx of retail trading in the wrong direction. Once the retail traders have committed, the price swiftly reverses, aligning back with the original major trend. Trending Movements In the Inner Circle Trading methodology, two specific types of sharp trending movements signal significant shifts in market dynamics: fair value gaps and displacements. Fair Value Gaps A fair value gap (FVG) occurs when there is a noticeable absence of trading within a price range, typically represented by a swift and substantial price move without retracement. This gap often forms between the wicks of two adjacent candles where no trading has occurred, signifying a strong directional push. Fair value gaps are important because they indicate areas on the chart where the price may return to "fill" the gap, usually before meeting an order block, offering potential trading opportunities as the market seeks to establish equilibrium. Displacements Displacements, also known as liquidity voids, are characterised by sudden, forceful price movements occurring between two chart levels and lacking the typical gradual trading activity observed in between. They are essentially amplified and more substantial versions of fair value gaps, often spanning multiple candles and FVGs, signalling a heightened imbalance between buy and sell orders. Other Components Beyond these ICT concepts, there are a few other niche components. Kill Zones Kill Zones refer to specific timeframes during the trading day when market activity significantly increases due to the opening or closing of major financial centres. These periods are crucial for traders as they often set the tone for price movements based on the increased volume and volatility: Optimal Trade Entry An optimal trade entry (OTE) is a type of Inner Circle trading strategy, found using Fibonacci retracement levels. After an inducement that prompts a displacement (leaving behind an FVG), traders use the Fibonacci retracement tool to pinpoint entry areas. The first point is set at the major high or low that prompts the displacement, while the second point is set at the next significant swing high or low that forms. In a bearish movement, for example, the initial point is set at the swing high before the displacement and the subsequent point at the new swing low. Traders often look to the 61.8% to 78.6% retracement level for entries. Balanced Price Range A balanced price range is observed when two opposing displacements create FVGs in a short timeframe, indicating a broad zone of price consolidation. During this period, prices typically test both extremes, attempting to fill the gaps. This scenario offers traders potential zones for trend reversals as the price seeks to establish a new equilibrium, as well as key levels to watch for a breakout. The Bottom Line Understanding ICT concepts gives traders the tools to decode complex market signals and align their strategies with the influential trends shaped by the largest market participants. For those looking to apply these sophisticated trading techniques practically, opening an FXOpen account can be a great step towards engaging with the markets through a robust platform designed to support advanced trading strategies. FAQs What Are ICT Concepts in Trading? ICT (Inner Circle Trading) concepts encompass a series of advanced trading principles that focus on replicating the strategies of large institutional players. These concepts include liquidity zones, order blocks, market structure shifts, and optimal trade entries, all aimed at understanding and anticipating significant market movements. What Is ICT in Trading? ICT in trading refers to the Inner Circle Trading methodology, a strategy developed to align smaller traders’ actions with those of more influential market participants. It utilises specific market phenomena, such as order blocks and liquidity patterns, to analyse price movements and improve trading outcomes. What Is ICT Trading? ICT trading is the application of concepts that seek to identify patterns and structures that indicate potential price changes driven by institutional activities, aiming to capitalise on these movements. What Is ICT Strategy? An ICT strategy combines market analysis techniques to identify where significant market players are likely to influence prices. This includes analysing price levels where large volumes of buy or sell orders are anticipated to occur and identifying key times when market moves are most likely. Is ICT Better Than SMC? Comparing ICT and SMC (Smart Money Concept) is challenging as ICT is essentially a subset of SMC. While SMC provides a broader overview of how institutional money influences the markets, ICT offers more specific techniques and terms like inducements and displacements. Whether one is better depends on the trader’s specific needs and alignment with these methodologies’ intricacies. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Education
by FXOpen
1
EURUSD - Potential Reversal Zones and ScenariosThis 4-hour chart of EURUSD highlights potential Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) that could act as strong areas of support and possible reversal zones. Price action is currently trending within a descending channel, with three possible bullish scenarios outlined: 1. A breakout from the upper boundary of the channel leading to an immediate bullish move. 2. A retracement into the first FVG zone, followed by a reversal upward. 3. A deeper retracement into the second FVG, aligned with the 0.618-0.65 Fibonacci retracement level, before a strong bullish rebound. Keep an eye on these levels for high-probability trade setups. Patience is key!
Long
by Louigi_24
10
Gold Price Outlook: Key Fair Value Gap (FVG) and Potential PriceThis 4-hour chart of Gold/USD highlights a critical Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone in the $2,960 - $2,980 range. The chart outlines two potential scenarios: 1. A bullish reaction with a price push toward the $3,040 resistance level. 2. A bearish move breaking below the FVG, targeting the $2,880 support zone. Traders should monitor price action within the FVG for confirmations, with upcoming economic events marked at the bottom as potential catalysts.
FX:XAUUSD
by Louigi_24
14
EURUSD - Key FVG Zones and Potential Market MovesThis EURUSD 4-hour chart highlights critical Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) that could serve as key decision points for price action. The chart illustrates a confluence of factors: 1. Upper FVG Zone: Located near the 0.618-0.786 Fibonacci retracement levels, this area represents a potential supply zone. Price reaching this level could either result in a bearish rejection or continuation upwards, depending on momentum and market sentiment. 2. Lower FVG Zone: A well-defined demand zone in the 1.07000-1.07500 range, serving as a key support area where buyers may step in if the price retraces. 3. Projected Scenarios: - Bullish Scenario (Green Path): If the price holds above the lower FVG and gains momentum, a push toward the upper FVG with potential breakout above could ensue, aiming for levels around 1.09000 and higher. - Bearish Scenario (Red Path): A rejection from the upper FVG could lead to a retest of the lower zone, and if broken, may lead to further downside below 1.07000. This analysis underscores the importance of monitoring these zones and the price action dynamics around them. Traders should be prepared for both scenarios while aligning their strategies with broader market context and risk management principles.
by Louigi_24
8
EURUSD - Will Bears Keep Pushing Lower?Overview of Market Structure The EUR/USD pair has been experiencing strong bullish momentum over the past few weeks, leading to the creation of an extended bullish leg. However, as with most impulsive moves, the market has left behind imbalances—price inefficiencies where the market moved too quickly without sufficient pullbacks to ensure order fulfillment. Recently, we have observed a break in bullish structure, signaling a potential shift in momentum. This break suggests that the market may now be in a phase where it seeks to rebalance inefficiencies before deciding its next directional move. My expectation is that price will first retrace to fill the imbalance zone above, which acts as a supply area, before reversing and targeting the imbalance zones left behind in the bullish rally. Key Resistance and Market Rejections A crucial area in this setup is the strong resistance zone (marked in red), which has been rejected twice. Each time price attempted to break through, sellers stepped in, pushing price lower. This level serves as a significant supply zone where institutions may have unfilled sell orders. With this in mind, the most logical movement for price would be to return to this area, collect liquidity, and then initiate a bearish move. Imbalance Zones and Market Efficiency Imbalance zones are areas on the chart where price has moved too quickly, leaving behind inefficiencies. These areas often get revisited later as price seeks to rebalance liquidity. There are two key imbalance zones in this setup: The imbalance zone above the current price (first target) – This is the area where price is expected to retrace before reversing. The imbalance zone below the current price (final target) – Created during the rapid bullish rally, this area remains untested and is likely to be filled once bearish momentum takes over. These zones are high-probability areas where price is expected to react due to unfulfilled institutional orders. Break of Bullish Structure & Shift in Momentum A key element of this trade idea is the break in bullish structure. This break was confirmed when a bearish candle closed below the previous higher low, invalidating the uptrend. This structural shift suggests that bulls may be losing control, and a deeper retracement is likely before any potential continuation of the overall trend. The break also increases the probability of the lower imbalance zone getting filled before the market makes its next major move. Trade Execution Plan Step 1: Identify the Optimal Short Entry Wait for price to fill the imbalance zone above. Once confirmation is seen, a short position can be entered. Step 2: Bearish Move to Lower Imbalance Zone After rejection from the supply zone, expect price to break lower. The target for this move will be the imbalance left behind in the bullish rally. Trailing stop-loss can be used to maximize profits while reducing risk. Why This Trade Has High Probability Market Favors Liquidity Grabs – The imbalance zone above is a likely liquidity grab area before the bearish move. Break in Market Structure – The recent bearish structure break increases the probability of downside continuation. Historical Resistance Rejection – The resistance zone above has already rejected price twice, indicating strong selling pressure. Imbalance Fill Below – Price tends to fill inefficiencies left behind in fast-moving markets, making the lower imbalance zone a logical target. Risk Management Considerations Stop-loss should be placed slightly above the imbalance zone above to protect against unexpected breakouts. Take-profit should be set at the lower imbalance zone, allowing for a strong risk-to-reward ratio. If price breaks past the resistance zone above without rejection, it would invalidate this bearish setup, signaling a reevaluation of market conditions. Conclusion This trade idea is based on a smart money concept (SMC) approach, focusing on liquidity grabs, imbalance fills, and structural shifts. If the market follows the expected path, we could see price first push up to fill the imbalance above, reject from that level, and then begin a bearish move to fill the imbalance left in the previous bullish rally. By patiently waiting for price to reach key areas and confirming rejections, this trade setup provides a high-probability opportunity with a strong risk-to-reward ratio. __________________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀 Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈
Short
by TehThomas
20
US500 - Are Bulls Setting Up for a Bullish Push?Overview of Market Structure The US500 has been trading in a well-defined bearish channel for an extended period, continuously making lower highs and lower lows. This downtrend was respected until recently, when the price broke out of its bearish structure, signaling a potential shift in market sentiment. Following the breakout, price also breached a key resistance level (marked in red), which had previously acted as a significant supply zone. Now that this resistance has been broken, it may flip into a support level, offering a high-probability area for a bullish continuation. I expect price to retest this newly-formed support zone before continuing its move upward, targeting the unfilled imbalance zone above (highlighted in green). Breakout of the Bearish Structure One of the most important aspects of this setup is the confirmed breakout of the bearish structure. The market was respecting a descending channel, creating lower highs and lower lows. However, with this breakout, price is no longer following the previous downtrend pattern. A breakout like this often leads to a shift in market direction, meaning buyers are now in control, and the next likely move is bullish continuation. Resistance Break & Potential Support Retest The red zone represents a major resistance level that has now been broken. This area had previously rejected price multiple times, showing that sellers were strongly defending it. Now that price has successfully closed above this level, we can anticipate a retest of this area as new support before price resumes its move higher. This is a classic example of a resistance-turned-support flip, a key concept in technical analysis. Imbalance Zones & Price Efficiency An important part of this trade setup is the unfilled imbalance zone above. When price moves too quickly in one direction, it often creates gaps or inefficiencies in the market, which tend to get revisited later. The unfilled imbalance zone above (highlighted in green) is a key target for this bullish move. Price is likely to fill this inefficiency after confirming support at the previous resistance level. Since price action tends to seek out liquidity and inefficiencies, this gives us a clear roadmap for the next likely movement in the market. Why This Trade Has High Probability Breakout of Bearish Structure – This suggests a potential shift from a downtrend to an uptrend. Resistance Turned Support – A classic market structure retest that provides strong confluence for a bullish move. Imbalance Fill – The market tends to fill inefficiencies left in impulsive moves, making the imbalance zone above a logical target. Liquidity Grab Potential – Retesting the broken resistance could serve as a liquidity grab before price moves higher. Conclusion This setup provides a high-probability long opportunity based on a bearish structure breakout, resistance-turned-support retest, and imbalance fill target. If price follows the expected path, we should see a retest of the red zone before a bullish continuation into the imbalance zone above. By patiently waiting for price confirmation at key levels, this trade offers a strong risk-to-reward ratio while aligning with smart money concepts and price efficiency principles. __________________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀 Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈
FPMARKETS:US500Long
by TehThomas
27
GBPUSD – Bearish Setup Forming | Fair Value Gap Rejection PlayThe 4H chart on GBP/USD shows a clean bearish market structure, with price currently in a corrective phase after recent downside momentum. A Fair Value Gap (FVG) has been identified between the 1.29700–1.30000 range, which acts as a key supply zone for potential short setups. 📊 Technical Breakdown 1. Fair Value Gap (FVG) A visible imbalance was left after an aggressive bearish move—marked in the yellow zone. Price is expected to retrace into this inefficient zone to fill orders before continuing downward. The anticipated entry for shorts is around 1.29798, near the midpoint of the FVG. 2. Bearish Market Structure Lower highs and lower lows dominate the current structure. The bounce is corrective in nature and lacks momentum, indicating a potential bull trap. Expecting a short-term retracement up to the FVG zone, followed by a continuation to the downside. 3. Target Zone Target: 1.28042 — this level sits just above a previous demand zone, making it a natural TP1. This area also overlaps with previous price reactions, giving it high confluence. 🧠 Trade Idea Entry: ~1.29798 (within the FVG) Target: 1.28042 Risk Management : A stop loss above 1.30000 or above the upper boundary of the FVG to account for false breaks. Rationale: Risk-reward is favorable due to tight invalidation zone and strong downside continuation probability. ⚠️ Key Notes Watch for confirmation at the FVG zone such as bearish engulfing or lower timeframe break of structure. If price breaks above 1.3000 and holds, the idea will be invalidated.
Short
by ForexOptimizer
US100 - Testing Key Resistance: Will the 4H Trend Reverse?Market Structure & Trend Overview The Nasdaq (US100) has been in a 4-hour uptrend, forming a series of higher lows and respecting an ascending channel after a prolonged bearish trend. This structure suggests that buyers are stepping in, and momentum may be shifting in favor of the bulls. However, the index remains at a critical decision point that could determine whether we see a confirmed bullish reversal or a continuation of the larger downtrend. Key Zone: 4H Imbalance & Resistance Area Currently, price action is testing a 4-hour imbalance zone, which has already acted as a strong resistance level twice. The market is struggling to break through this supply zone, which is crucial in determining the next major move. If price tests this area again and successfully breaks above it, it could confirm that buyers have gained control, signaling a potential trend reversal back into a bullish phase. However, if price gets rejected from this level again, it could indicate that sellers are still dominant, increasing the probability of a breakdown from the ascending channel and a resumption of the bearish trend. Bullish Scenario: Break & Hold Above Imbalance Zone For a confirmed bullish reversal, Nasdaq must break above the imbalance zone with strong volume and sustain price action above it. A successful breakout could attract more buyers, leading to a push towards higher resistance levels, possibly targeting the $20,000 - $20,300 range in the short term. Signs to look for in a bullish breakout: ✅ A decisive close above the imbalance zone with strong bullish momentum. ✅ Retesting the broken level as support, confirming it as a new demand zone. ✅ A continuation of higher highs and higher lows after the breakout. Bearish Scenario: Breakdown of the Ascending Channel If price fails to break through the imbalance zone and instead rejects for the third time, this could indicate a weakening bullish structure. The key support to watch is the lower boundary of the ascending channel. A confirmed break below this channel could invalidate the short-term uptrend, signaling a return to bearish price action. If this occurs, Nasdaq could drop towards the key support level at $19,146, a previous liquidity zone where buyers may step in again. Signs to watch for a bearish breakdown: ❌ A clear rejection from the imbalance zone. ❌ A break and close below the ascending channel. ❌ Increased selling pressure and a shift in market sentiment. Final Thoughts: A Critical Inflection Point Nasdaq is at a pivotal moment where the next move will determine the broader trend direction. If bulls can push price above the imbalance zone, we could see a confirmed bullish reversal with upside potential. However, if sellers regain control and force a breakdown of the channel, the downtrend is likely to continue, targeting the $19,146 level as a potential support zone. Traders should closely monitor price action at the imbalance zone and the ascending channel boundaries, as these key areas will dictate the next major move. Whether we see a trend reversal or continuation, this setup presents significant trading opportunities in either direction. Key Levels to Watch: 📍 Bullish Breakout Target: $19,900 - $20,000 📍 Bearish Breakdown Target: $19,146 __________________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀 Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈
FPMARKETS:US100
by TehThomas
22
Bitcoin - Price Action Heating Up, Will Bulls Take Over?Bitcoin is at a pivotal moment on the 4-hour timeframe, and the next few moves could dictate whether we see a strong breakout or a potential reversal. Let’s break down what’s happening in the market right now. 📌 Rejections at the 4H Imbalance Zone BTC has tested the 4-hour imbalance zone twice already but hasn’t managed to break through. This area, highlighted in blue on the chart, represents a key resistance level where sellers have stepped in to push the price down. Every time price approaches this zone, we see wicks and rejections, indicating that there is still supply here. However, the more times a resistance level is tested, the weaker it tends to become. If bulls gain enough momentum, we could see a breakout. 📈 Higher Lows Suggest Bullish Potential One of the most notable signs in Bitcoin’s price action is the formation of higher lows. This suggests that buyers are stepping in at higher price points, absorbing sell pressure and pushing the price upwards. This pattern is generally a bullish signal, as it shows that demand is increasing, and sellers are losing control. As long as BTC continues to make higher lows and hold structure, the probability of a breakout to the upside increases. 🔥 Bullish Breakout Scenario – Target $91K If Bitcoin can break through the imbalance zone with strong volume, this would likely signal the start of another leg up. A confirmed breakout and retest of this zone as support would give additional confidence in the move. In this case, BTC could rally toward $91,000, which is the next significant resistance level based on previous price action. ⚠️ Bearish Rejection Scenario – Drop to $75K However, if BTC fails once again to break through this imbalance zone and gets rejected, it could lead to a shift in market structure. The key level to watch will be the higher low trendline. If price breaks below the most recent higher low, it would indicate that bullish momentum is fading and that sellers are taking over. This breakdown could send Bitcoin toward $75,000, which is a key demand zone where buyers may look to step in. 🔎 Final Thoughts – Key Levels to Watch A break above the imbalance zone and confirmation of support could lead to $91K. A rejection followed by a lower low could lead to a decline toward $75K. Pay attention to volume on the breakout or breakdown—strong volume will confirm the move. Bitcoin is at a critical point, and the next few days will determine the trend! __________________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀 Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈
by TehThomas
23
EURUSD - Strong Market Structure with a Potential Pullback?The EUR/USD pair has been displaying strong bullish momentum recently, maintaining an overall uptrend. However, despite this strength, I am expecting a temporary pullback before any further upside movement. The price has reached a key resistance level, marked in red, which has historically acted as a significant barrier. The market has reacted to this level with a rejection, indicating that buyers are struggling to push through at this point. Key Levels to Watch Imbalance Areas and Support Zones (Blue Zones) These zones represent areas where price could retrace before making its next significant move. If price finds support at one of these zones and forms a bullish confirmation, we could see another push to the upside. However, if price fails to hold the first blue zone, it is likely to drop further into the second marked imbalance area. The second zone would then become the next key level to watch for potential support. Break of the Support Zones If both support zones fail to hold, this would suggest that buyers are losing control and that a deeper pullback is underway. In this case, the overall bullish momentum may slow down, and a shift toward a more bearish sentiment could occur in the short term. Current Resistance Zone (red zone) The red zone marks a key resistance level that price has struggled to break in the past. If price successfully breaks above this zone with strong momentum and closes above it, this would confirm further bullish continuation. A breakout could signal the potential for new highs, as buyers regain full control of the market. Impact of CPI News on EUR/USD Today's Consumer Price Index (CPI) report had a notable impact on the EUR/USD pair. Upon release, the market experienced a sharp upward spike, reflecting an immediate reaction to the inflation data. However, this move was short-lived, as price quickly faced a strong rejection and dropped back down. This type of movement suggests that market participants are still processing the implications of the inflation data and its potential effect on future monetary policy decisions. The Federal Reserve’s stance on interest rates will be a key factor in determining how the pair moves in the coming days. Trade Plan and Expectations I will be watching for a potential retracement into one of the blue support zones. If price finds support and shows a bullish reaction, I will look for confirmation to enter a long position. If price breaks below the first support zone, I will wait for a test of the second blue area before making any trading decisions. A failure to hold this level would indicate further downside potential. If price manages to break and hold above the red resistance zone, this would be a strong bullish confirmation, signaling further upside movement. In that case, I would anticipate a continuation of the uptrend. Overall, while the market structure remains strong, a short-term retracement is likely before the next move takes place. It is important to remain patient and wait for clear confirmations at key levels before entering a trade. What are your thoughts on this setup? Do you see further upside potential, or do you think we could see more downside before buyers regain control? __________________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀 Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈
by TehThomas
12
Fair Value Gaps vs Liquidity Voids in TradingFair Value Gaps vs Liquidity Voids in Trading Understanding fair value gaps and liquidity voids is essential for traders seeking to navigate the complexities of the financial markets. These concepts, deeply rooted in the Smart Money Concept (SMC), provide valuable insights into the dynamics of supply and demand, helping to identify potential price movements. In this article, we’ll delve into both ideas, exploring their characteristics, differences, and use in trading. Fair Value Gap (FVG) Meaning in Trading A fair value gap, also known as an imbalance or FVG, is a crucial idea in Smart Money Concept that sheds light on the dynamics of supply and demand for a particular asset. This phenomenon occurs when there is a significant disparity between the number of buy and sell orders for an asset. They occur across all asset types, from forex and commodities to stocks and crypto*. Essentially, a fair value gap in trading highlights a moment where the market consensus leans heavily towards either buying or selling but finds insufficient counter orders to match this enthusiasm. On a chart, this typically looks like a large candle that hasn’t yet been traded back through. Specifically, a fair value gap is a three-candle pattern; the middle candle, or second candle, features a strong move in a given direction and is the most important, while the first and third candles represent the boundaries of the pattern. Once the third candle closes, the fair value gap is formed. There should be a distance between the wicks of the first and third candles. Fair value gaps, like gaps in stocks, are often “filled” or traded back through at some point in the future. They represent areas of minimal resistance; there is little trading activity in these areas (compared to a horizontal range). Therefore, they are likely to be traded through with relative ease as price gravitates towards an area of support or resistance. Liquidity Void Meaning in Trading Liquidity voids in trading represent significant, abrupt price movements between two levels on a chart without the usual gradual trading activity in between. These are essentially larger and more substantial versions of fair value gaps, often encompassing multiple candles and FVGs, indicating a more pronounced imbalance between buy and sell orders. While FVGs occur frequently and reflect the day-to-day shifts in market sentiment, liquidity voids signal a rapid repricing of an asset, typically following significant market events (though not always). These voids are visual representations of moments when the market experiences a temporary absence of balance between buyers and sellers. This imbalance leads to a sharp move as the market seeks a new equilibrium price level. Such occurrences are not limited to specific times; they can happen after major news releases, during off-market hours, or following large institutional trades that significantly move the market with a single order. Liquidity voids are especially noteworthy on trading charts due to their appearance as particularly sharp moves. Though they appear across all timeframes, they’re most obvious following major news events when the market rapidly adjusts to new information, creating opportunities and challenges for traders navigating these shifts. Fair Value Gap vs Liquidity Void Fair value gaps and liquidity voids are effectively the same thing in practice; a fair value gap is simply a shorter-term liquidity void. Both indicate moments of significant imbalance between supply and demand. At the heart of both phenomena is a situation where one significantly outweighs the other, leading to strong market movements with minimal consolidation. The distinction between them often comes down to scale and timeframe. An FVG is typically identified by a specific three-candle pattern on a chart, signalling a discrete imbalance in order volume that prompts a quick price adjustment. These gaps reflect moments where the market sentiment strongly leans towards buying or selling yet lacks the opposite orders to maintain price stability. Liquidity voids, on the other hand, represent more pronounced movements in a given direction, often visible as substantial price jumps or drops. They can encompass multiple FVGs and extend over larger portions of the chart, showcasing a significant repricing of an asset. This distinction becomes particularly relevant when considering the timeframe of analysis; what appears as a series of FVGs on a lower timeframe can be interpreted as a liquidity void. On a higher timeframe, this liquidity void may appear as a singular fair value gap. This can be seen in the fair value gap example above. For traders, it’s more practical to realise that both FVGs and liquidity voids highlight a key market phenomenon: when a notable supply and demand imbalance occurs, it tends to create a vacuum that the market is likely to fill at some future point. Therefore, it’s important to recognise that both these types of imbalances can act as potential indicators of future price movement back towards these unfilled spaces. Trading Fair Value Gaps and Liquidity Voids Trading strategies that leverage fair value gaps and liquidity voids require a nuanced approach, as these concepts alone may not suffice for a robust trading strategy. However, when integrated with other aspects of the Smart Money Concept, such as order blocks and breaks of structure, they can contribute significantly to a comprehensive market analysis framework. Primarily, both FVGs and liquidity voids signal potential areas through which the price is likely to move rapidly to reach more significant zones of trading activity, such as order blocks or key levels of support and resistance. This insight suggests that initiating positions directly within an FVG or a liquidity void may not be effective due to the high likelihood of the price moving swiftly through these areas. Instead, traders might find it more strategic to wait for the price to reach areas where historical trading activity reflects stronger levels of buy or sell interest. Additionally, these market phenomena can inform the setting of price targets. If there is an FVG or liquidity void situated before a key area of interest, targeting the zone beyond the gap—where substantial trading activity is expected—could prove more effective than aiming for a point within the gap itself. It's also useful to note the relative significance of these features when they appear on the same timeframe. An FVG, being generally smaller and indicating a discrete order imbalance, is more likely to be filled before a liquidity void. This is because liquidity voids represent more considerable and pronounced market movements that can set market direction, marking them as less likely to be filled within a short space of time. Limitations of Fair Value Gaps and Liquidity Voids While fair value gap trading strategies and the analysis of liquidity voids offer insightful approaches to understanding market dynamics, they come with inherent limitations that traders need to consider: - Market Volatility: High volatility can unpredictably affect the filling of fair value gaps and liquidity voids, sometimes leading to incorrect analysis or false signals. - Timeframe Relativity: The significance and potential impact of gaps and voids can vary greatly across different timeframes, complicating analysis. - Incomplete Picture: Relying solely on these phenomena for trading decisions may result in an incomplete market analysis, as they do not account for all influencing factors. - Expectations: There is no guarantee that a FVG/void will be filled soon or at any point in the near future. The Bottom Line As we conclude, it's essential to remember that while fair value gap and liquidity void strategies provide valuable insights, they’re part of a broader spectrum of SMC tools available to traders. They’re best combined with other analytical techniques to form a comprehensive approach to trading. For those looking to delve deeper into trading strategies and enhance their market understanding, opening an FXOpen account can be a step toward accessing a wide array of resources and tools designed to support your trading journey. FAQs What Is a Fair Value Gap? A fair value gap occurs when there's a significant difference between the buy and sell orders for an asset, indicating an imbalance that can influence market prices. What Are Fair Value Gaps in Trading? In trading, fair value gaps reflect moments where market sentiment strongly favours either buying or selling, creating potential price movement opportunities. What Is the Difference Between a Fair Value Gap and a Liquidity Void? The main difference lies in their scale: a fair value gap is typically a smaller, discrete occurrence, while a liquidity void represents a larger, more pronounced price movement. How to Find Fair Value Gaps? Traders identify fair value gaps by analysing trading charts for areas where rapid price movements have occurred. A FVG consists of three candles, where the second one is the largest and the first and third serve as barriers. The idea of the FVG is that it leads to a potential retracement to fill the gap in the future. Is a Fair Value Gap the Same as an Imbalance? Yes, a fair value gap is the same as an imbalance in the Smart Money Concept. *Important: At FXOpen UK, Cryptocurrency trading via CFDs is only available to our Professional clients. They are not available for trading by Retail clients. To find out more information about how this may affect you, please get in touch with our team. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Education
by FXOpen
1
EURUSD - Bulls vs Bears – Price levels to watch out for!🌍 Market Overview: Currently, EURUSD is showing strength as the US dollar is experiencing bearish pressure, influenced by the recent news regarding tariffs imposed on certain goods. The new tariffs, aimed at curbing certain imports, have created uncertainty around the dollar's stability. This macroeconomic development is creating a favorable environment for the euro, pushing the pair higher as investors seek alternatives to the weakening USD. Additionally, the broader economic landscape supports euro strength, with improving Eurozone economic data and a more stable inflation outlook compared to the US. These factors have contributed to the recent bullish momentum seen on EURUSD. 📈 Technical Overview: After a significant bullish move, the market appears to be overextended, signaling that a cooldown might be imminent. The rapid price increase left behind several imbalances that need to be filled for the market to maintain a healthy structure. When price moves in one direction without much pullback, it often creates inefficiencies or gaps in the order flow that the market tends to fill before continuing the primary trend. Looking at the Fibonacci retracement levels, the 0.382 level aligns with a minor zone of interest, but the more significant confluence lies between the 0.618 - 0.65 Fibonacci retracement levels. This zone is often referred to as the golden pocket, where price typically reacts during corrections in trending markets. Furthermore, this retracement zone perfectly overlaps with the strong past resistance zone that is now expected to act as support. 🔍 Expected Move: The expectation is that EURUSD will first tap into the higher supply zone marked in the chart before initiating a corrective move to the downside. The supply zone represents an area where institutional selling pressure could be present, causing a rejection to the downside. The corrective move is anticipated to fill the imbalances left behind during the bullish rally, making the price action healthier and more sustainable in the long run. The anticipated pullback is likely to target the 1.05000 - 1.06000 area, aligning with the golden pocket and strong support level. This zone offers a high probability for a bullish reaction, making it an ideal point for potential buy entries. 🔑 Key Confluences for the Target Zone: Golden Pocket Level: This Fibonacci retracement area is a high-probability zone for price reversals in trending markets. Past Resistance Turned Support: The strong resistance zone that was broken during the bullish rally is expected to act as a support on the way down, offering further confluence for buy entries. Imbalance Filling: The fast price movement left inefficiencies in the market that are likely to be filled during the retracement, contributing to a healthier market structure. Psychological Levels: The 1.05000 level is a round number that often acts as psychological support in the market, further increasing the likelihood of a bullish reaction. Market Sentiment: Bearish USD sentiment caused by recent tariffs and economic uncertainty provides a supportive backdrop for the euro, aligning with the technical setup. 📝 Trade Idea Summary: Wait for a tap into the higher imbalance zone before considering short positions. Target the 1.05400 - 1.05000 zone for partial profits. Watch price action around the golden pocket and past resistance level for potential bullish reactions. Confirm the trade idea with lower time frame structure shifts before entering. Monitor economic news related to US tariffs and Eurozone economic releases to align with the technical analysis. Better overview: ⚠️ Risk Management: Use a stop loss above the imbalance zone for short entries to limit risk. Consider scaling into long positions at the golden pocket zone with a tight stop below the 1.04800 level. Aim for a 2:1 or 3:1 risk-to-reward ratio to maintain a favorable trade setup. This trade idea combines technical analysis with market fundamentals to anticipate the next potential EURUSD move. By aligning multiple confluences, the setup offers a high-probability opportunity for both short-term and medium-term traders. __________________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀 Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈
Short
by TehThomas
37
Bitcoin Breaks Key Support: Is $72K the Next Target?Bitcoin has officially broken below the $91,000 support level, a key structural low that previously acted as a strong base for price action. This breakdown is significant, as it signals a shift in market sentiment and opens the door for a potential retest of lower price levels. The first major area of interest now lies in the green Fair Value Gap (FVG) at the $80,000 level. This region represents an imbalance that has yet to be fully filled, making it a likely point of support where buyers could step in. However, the strength of this level will be critical to monitor if bulls fail to defend it, we could see an even deeper correction. 🚨 Why Is $72K an Important Level? If Bitcoin fails to hold above the $80,000 FVG, the next major target would be the red Fair Value Gap around $72,000, which also aligns with the golden pocket retracement zone (between the 0.618-0.65 Fibonacci levels). This area is a strong draw on liquidity, meaning that large players in the market could be targeting this level to accumulate Bitcoin at a discount. Historically, golden pocket regions often act as high-probability reversal zones, but if sentiment remains weak, we could even see a deeper correction towards lower Fibonacci retracement levels, such as the 0.786 zone at around $64,000. 🔥 Key Factors Driving Bitcoin’s Recent Drop Several major events and macroeconomic factors are currently weighing on Bitcoin’s price action: 📉 Loss of Trump-Driven Crypto Euphoria Bitcoin and the broader crypto market initially surged on speculation that Donald Trump’s return to the political spotlight would lead to favorable regulations for the industry. However, recent developments have dampened this optimism. Policy details remain unclear, and investors are beginning to question whether the market got ahead of itself. 🔓 Major Crypto Security Concerns A recent record-breaking $1.5 billion hack on crypto exchange Bybit has raised security fears across the industry. This has led to increased outflows from centralized exchanges as investors rush to secure their assets, adding sell pressure to the market. ⚖️ Regulatory Uncertainty & SEC Scrutiny The SEC has formed a new task force focused on digital assets, signaling more regulatory oversight in the near future. While some see this as a step toward legitimizing crypto, others fear it could bring stricter enforcement actions, particularly against DeFi platforms and stablecoins. 📊 Declining On-Chain Metrics & Miner Sell-offs On-chain data suggests that miners have been selling Bitcoin at an increased rate, likely to cover operational costs as mining difficulty continues to rise. This has added additional downward pressure on price. 🔍 Key Levels to Watch Moving Forward ✅ $80,000 (Green FVG) → First major support zone ✅ $72,000 (Red FVG & Golden Pocket) → Strong liquidity draw if $80K fails 🚨 Below $72,000 → Potential retracement toward the 64K-65K region 📢 Final Thoughts: What’s Next for Bitcoin? Bitcoin is at a critical inflection point whether we hold $80K or drop toward $72K will determine the next major trend. The current breakdown suggests more downside in the short term, but these lower levels could offer an excellent buying opportunity for long-term investors. With upcoming regulatory decisions, macroeconomic uncertainty, and potential geopolitical factors, traders should remain cautious and watch key support levels closely. 👉 Are you buying the dip, or do you think Bitcoin has further to fall? Let me know your thoughts in the comments! 🚀📉
KRAKEN:BTCUSDShort
by TehThomas
6
$LLY Long-Term BuyHealthcare could possibly be the next rotation coming out of this tech bull run. Using the Trade Jeanie (Jeanius Screener/Indicator), I was able to see the current technical buy signals happening on NYSE:LLY : Inside a HTF fair value gap (3M timeframe) Took out an untested low (liquidity) The Jeanius Indicator shows green 'Combo' labels every time this same combination of signals happened The Jeanius Screener lets me filter my favorite tickers to see which ones are currently taking out untested lows or liquidity
NYSE:LLYLong
by jeanius_tech
EUR/USD UPDATE: Still Following the Plan! EUR/USD continues to respect our bullish structure, maintaining higher highs and higher lows within the ascending channel. The Fair Value Gap (FVG) remains a strong support, and price has been consolidating within this zone, showing signs of bullish intent. 🔹 Key Updates: ✅ Price is still holding above the FVG, confirming strong demand. ✅ Higher lows are forming, reinforcing the bullish trend. ✅ Still facing strong resistance—a break above could signal further upside. 🚨 What to Watch For: 📈 Bullish case: A breakout above the resistance could trigger a strong rally. 📉 Bearish case: Losing the FVG support may invalidate the bullish setup. Make sure to check the main analysis in the related publications. For now, the structure remains intact, and we are still respecting the channel. Are we about to see a breakout? Let me know your thoughts in the comments! ⬇️ __________________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment—I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀 Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈✨
Long
by TehThomas
1
XRP price at a crucial decision point – massive breakout coming?XRP is currently trading at a critical support level, sitting within a 4-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG) around the $2.50 mark. This zone has proven to be a strong demand area, with price reacting and bouncing from it multiple times. However, XRP is now approaching a major trendline resistance, meaning a huge move is coming whether bullish or bearish depends on what happens next! 🔥 The Key Levels You Need to Watch Right Now 🟢 Bullish Scenario – A Breakout Could Send XRP Soaring! The black descending trendline has been a strong resistance for XRP, capping price movement to the upside. If price breaks above this trendline and successfully retests it as support, this would confirm a bullish breakout, likely leading to a surge in price. A successful breakout could see XRP rally towards $2.70, $2.80, and possibly even higher, as there is less resistance above these levels. 🔴 Bearish Scenario – FVG Breakdown Could Spell Trouble! The 4-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG) around $2.50 is a major support level, and price has already shown significant reactions here. However, if XRP fails to break above the trendline and instead falls below the FVG zone, this could lead to further downside pressure. A clean break below $2.50 could send XRP tumbling toward lower support levels, potentially $2.40 or even lower. 🚀 What’s Next for XRP? A Big Move is Coming! With price consolidating between these key levels, a breakout is inevitable. The bullish momentum will be confirmed if price breaks and retests the descending trendline as support. However, if XRP loses the FVG zone, then we could be looking at a shift in trend toward bearish continuation. Final Thoughts – Get Ready for Volatility! Right now, XRP is at a make-or-break moment. The next move will likely set the tone for the coming days. Keep an eye on how price interacts with these levels—whichever side breaks first will determine XRP’s next big move! __________________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment—I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀 Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈✨
KRAKEN:XRPUSD
by TehThomas
Bitcoin's Next Big Move? Critical $103K Resistance Ahead!Bitcoin has broken out of its recent consolidation range after a classic liquidity sweep at the lows. As marked on the chart (red line), we saw a significant stop-loss hunt below the previous support level, triggering a cascade of liquidations before BTC swiftly rebounded. This move confirmed bullish intent, allowing Bitcoin to reclaim momentum and push back toward the critical psychological level of $100K. Now, all eyes are on the $103K resistance zone, which is a major confluence area for multiple reasons: 📌 Fair Value Gap (FVG) – This imbalance in price action suggests that liquidity is resting in this region, making it a key level for market reactions. 📌 Fibonacci Golden Pocket (0.618 - 0.65 retracement) – One of the strongest retracement levels in trading, often acting as a magnet for price action before a decisive move. 📌 Historical Resistance – This area has already been tested twice (marked as "First Hit" and "Second Hit" on the chart) and resulted in strong rejections both times. What’s Next for Bitcoin? 🔹 Bullish Scenario: If BTC can break through $103K with strong volume, we could see a continuation towards $105K - $107K, with a potential extension toward $110K in the mid-term. 🔹 Bearish Scenario: A rejection from this resistance could lead to another pullback, possibly back to the $96K support level or even lower before another attempt to push higher. Why This Level Matters: The liquidity structure here is key. Many traders will have short positions stacked at this resistance, and a breakout could trigger a short squeeze, fueling a rapid move higher. However, if sellers overpower buyers in this zone, BTC could struggle to sustain its gains and might need another accumulation phase before making a decisive breakout. Final Thoughts This is a critical moment for Bitcoin. Will the bulls break through $103K and continue the rally, or will this level act as a major roadblock once again? Watch this level closely, and let me know your thoughts in the comments!
KRAKEN:BTCUSD
by TehThomas
Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) – A Complete GuideWhat Are Fair Value Gaps (FVGs)? A Fair Value Gap (FVG) is a price imbalance on a chart that occurs when the market moves aggressively in one direction, leaving an area where price did not trade efficiently. These gaps are often created by institutional traders (banks, hedge funds, and large market participants) executing big orders. Key Characteristics of a FVG: ✅ Occurs when price moves impulsively, creating an imbalance ✅ Appears in a three-candle formation ✅ The gap forms between the wicks of the first and third candles How to Identify a FVG: 1️⃣ Look for a strong price move (bullish or bearish). 2️⃣ Find a three-candle sequence where the middle candle has a large body and a gap between the first and third candle wicks. 3️⃣ Mark the area between the first and third candle wicks—this is your Fair Value Gap. Example: Imagine price explodes upward with a big green candle, skipping multiple price levels without much resistance. This creates an inefficiency because price hasn’t traded fairly in that area, making it likely that price will revisit it later to fill the imbalance. Here you can see that price completely filled up that gap and moved higher. Same here: How to Use Fair Value Gaps in Trading FVGs can serve as key zones where price is likely to react. Here’s how you can use them to improve your trading: 1️⃣ Fair Value Gaps as Support & Resistance Bullish FVG (Support Zone): If price retraces into a bullish FVG (gap formed in an uptrend), it can act as support and push price higher. This is a good area to look for buying opportunities. Bearish FVG (Resistance Zone): If price retraces into a bearish FVG (gap formed in a downtrend), it can act as resistance and push price lower. This is a good area to look for selling opportunities. 2️⃣ Using FVGs for Trade Entries & Exits Price often revisits a Fair Value Gap before continuing its original trend. A trader can wait for price to fill the gap and then look for confirmations like candlestick patterns or volume spikes before entering a trade. Stop-loss placement: Put your stop-loss below/above the FVG zone to reduce risk. 3️⃣ Liquidity & Institutional Activity Institutional traders often target these inefficiencies to fill their orders. When price returns to an FVG, it may be because institutions are executing trades at those levels. Why Are Fair Value Gaps Useful? They act as magnets for price – Price tends to revisit these gaps before continuing its move. They provide high-probability trade setups – FVGs help traders find potential reversal or continuation zones. They improve risk management – You can use them for better stop-loss placement. They align with Smart Money Concepts (SMC) – Institutions often use these levels for liquidity. Tips & Tricks: How to Combine Fair Value Gaps with Other Strategies 1️⃣ FVG + Order Blocks = Strong Confirmation If a Fair Value Gap aligns with an Order Block, it becomes a powerful area of interest. This increases the chances of a successful trade. 2️⃣ FVG + Fibonacci Retracements If an FVG aligns with a key Fibonacci level (like 61.8% or 50%), the chances of a price reaction increase significantly. 3️⃣ FVG + RSI or Divergence If price revisits a FVG while RSI is overbought or oversold, it signals a high-probability reversal. 4️⃣ Higher Timeframe FVGs Are More Reliable FVGs on the 1-hour, 4-hour, or daily charts are more effective than those on smaller timeframes. 5️⃣ Monitor News Events If an FVG is formed due to a major news event (e.g., Fed announcement, CPI data, earnings report), be cautious, as price may act differently than expected. Final Thoughts Fair Value Gaps are a powerful tool that help traders identify key levels of liquidity and institutional price action. They work best when combined with other strategies like Order Blocks, Fibonacci, and RSI to increase accuracy. By understanding how and why price moves back into these gaps, traders can anticipate potential high-probability trade setups and trade alongside smart money. __________________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment—I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀 Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈✨
KRAKEN:BTCUSDEducation
by TehThomas
33