NAS100USD: Building Support for a Bullish BreakoutGreetings Traders,
In today’s analysis of NAS100USD, the market exhibits bullish momentum, and we aim to align with this narrative by focusing on bullish setups. Confluences supporting this direction include key institutional support zones that present opportunities for potential buy entries.
Key Observations:
1. Retest of a Breaker Block:
Price is currently retesting a breaker block, a critical area of institutional support.
This zone represents where institutions mitigate prior sell orders and reinstate buy orders, offering a strategic entry point.
2. Confluence with FVG (Fair Value Gap):
The breaker block aligns with an FVG, further strengthening the support zone and enhancing its reliability for buy setups.
Trading Plan:
Entry: Look for confirmation within the breaker block and FVG area to establish buy positions.
Approach: Focus on scalping opportunities, given the current short-term market structure and setups.
By leveraging these institutional support zones, we aim to capitalize on bullish momentum with precision and discipline.
Kind Regards,
The Architect
Fairvaluegap
Key spot on the board for SOFI On the MonthlyNever financial advice. Just offering perspective.
At a key spot for Sofi. In the midst of a monthly bearish imbalance, specifically a bearish fair value gap which holds more weight than a volume imbalance. We pushed off a bullish breaker which can be a solid indicator as a push up, with the the high of that green box acting as a support, followed by a strong bullish move.
16.47-17.13 is where the monthly bearish fvg begins and ends.
A monthly close(13days) above 17.13 would be encouraging for bulls, with no bearish imbalances on this higher timeframe.
If we cannot get a monthly candle close above 17.13 we can see a strong rejection, setting a new bullish range from most recent low to high, which we can then see a move back into discount.
My ideal bearish outlook: Monthly bearish imbalance reject, which is currently at 50% bearish discount, to retest bullish breaker + bullish fvg + monthly liquidity sitting at the low of previous month10.63. Targeting ----> 8.53- 10.63.
Ideal bullish outlook(continuation):
Monthly bearish imbalance mitigated here with a monthly candle close above here. Next points of liquidity ---24.65---24.95 as targets.
Ideal bullish outlook(entry or reentry):
Entering ----> 8.53- 10.63.
Be aware that this analysis is on a higher timeframe of a Monthly perspective and may take time to develop.
BTC to 99,000 this weekBTC started the week with a huge liquidity sweep of $848 mill.
Fair value gap ranging from $98,380 - $100,500.
With a liquidity pool laying at $99,016 valued at $145 mill.
4H MACD signal line crossed into a bullish trend Monday 2100 with strong buyers that came from the liquidity sweep mentioned above, i think it is certain that price will continue up until it reaches $99,016 and we will see some resistance before then going into a sideways uptrend to fill in the value gap.
BTC Liquidity heatmap: www.coinglass.com
Even tho i have just shown 4 signals/building blocks for making my analasys i think it is enough data for making a prediction because of how strong these signals/building blocks are.
Enter in an premium at mby $94,500.
TP1 $99,000
GOLD BULLISH TARGET 2025Based on Elliot Wave analysis, SAXO:XAUUSD Gold is currently in 4th wave of the trend where it has potential to continue moving up to its 5th wave completing it's wave. By using the Fibonacci ratio to measure the upside, it indicates that Gold will probably hit 2858 and 2946 in the future. Taking 3000 as its psychological resistance.
Pattern analysis also shows symmetrical triangle pattern where if Gold has successfully breaks the downtrend line of the pattern, this will confirm that the 4th wave is completed and will continue catching upside target of the wave analysis.
However, if Gold hits the downtrend line resistance which the area correspondent to the Fair Value Gap (FVG) area and starts to decline making minor correction, I would strongly recommend to find the nearest support to become entry point. Note that 2620 - 2610 is the strong support that Gold will probably not going to break to maintain its bullish pattern.
Short term upside Target of SAXO:XAUUSD will be at 2762 as it is the Daily Fair Value Gap (FVG) which is likely for GOLD to hit this area.
Gold Bullish Indication points:
1. Elliot wave on 4th wave
2. Symmetrical triangle pattern
3. Strong uptrend
3. Geopolitical tension
4. Expecting another rate cuts in 2025
History repeats itself:
Last year on mid of February, Gold started its strong uptrend momentum until today where it has gained more than $700 in price. I would expect upward momentum later next February where it will continue going up until 2nd quarter of the year.
Disclaimer!!! Do your own research!!!
If you have any comments on my analysis feel free to drop comments below. Hopefully my analysis can be useful for traders around the world.
ICT Based Indicator (PAID)ICT(OB with FVG and Liquidity Zones)
The indicator demonstrated here perfectly captures critical order flow zones, liquidity imbalances, and fair value gaps (FVGs) to provide actionable BUY and SELL signals. Here’s how the indicator has worked in the attached chart for the Nifty Bank Index (15-Minute Timeframe):
1. Liquidity Zones as Support/Resistance
• Sell Liquidity (SELL LQ):
• The red liquidity zone (SELL LQ) has acted as a clear resistance multiple times.
• Example:
• Around 51,370, price tested the red zone and showed rejection, aligning with a SELL LQ signal.
• This suggests institutional sellers might have been active, making it a great opportunity for short trades.
• These zones are generated dynamically and adapt as price action evolves, giving real-time insights.
• Buy Liquidity (BUY LQ):
• The green liquidity zone (BUY LQ) perfectly acted as support around 50,485.
• After testing this level, the price bounced upward, confirming a reversal and leading to a BUY LQ signal.
• This zone aligns with potential institutional buying activity.
2. Order Blocks (OB) and Confluence
• Bullish Order Block:
• The green OB line below the price provided additional support confirmation around the same level as the BUY LQ zone.
• This confluence of liquidity support and OB strength makes the signal even more reliable.
• Bearish Order Block:
• The orange OB line above the price acted as a critical resistance zone.
• As price moved closer to this zone, SELL LQ signals were generated, indicating a possible price rejection and reversal.
3. Fair Value Gap (FVG) Insights
• The Fair Value Gap (FVG) zones highlighted in blue pinpoint price imbalances.
• These areas are identified where the market has moved aggressively, leaving untraded levels behind.
• Example:
• Price revisited an FVG zone near the BUY LQ level, confirming it as a solid support area before reversing.
4. Signal Accuracy and Trade Opportunities
• BUY Signal:
• A BUY signal was triggered after price hit the BUY LQ zone and showed bullish intent by breaking upward.
• This aligned with the support provided by the Bullish OB line, offering a high-confidence trade setup.
• SELL Signals:
• Multiple SELL LQ signals were generated near the SELL Liquidity Zone, indicating bearish momentum.
• These were highly reliable as the price rejected the orange OB line and continued its downward movement.
4. Signal Accuracy and Trade Opportunities
• BUY Signal:
• A BUY signal was triggered after price hit the BUY LQ zone and showed bullish intent by breaking upward.
• This aligned with the support provided by the Bullish OB line, offering a high-confidence trade setup.
• SELL Signals:
• Multiple SELL LQ signals were generated near the SELL Liquidity Zone, indicating bearish momentum.
• These were highly reliable as the price rejected the orange OB line and continued its downward movement.
5. Dynamic Nature of the Indicator
• The indicator dynamically adapts to market structure changes and provides real-time signals based on:
• Liquidity zones (BUY/SELL LQ).
• Order blocks (Bullish/Bearish OB).
• Fair Value Gaps (FVGs).
This ensures that traders can identify key market turning points and act with precision, avoiding unnecessary noise and false signals.
Key Takeaways from the Chart
1. Confluence is Key:
• Signals generated in confluence with liquidity zones, OB levels, and FVG zones are highly reliable.
• Example: The BUY signal at 50,485 and the SELL LQ signal at 51,370.
2. Trade the Rejections:
• Liquidity zones and OB levels help traders spot rejection points for reversal or continuation setups.
3. FVG Adds Precision:
• The FVG zones add a layer of precision by highlighting price inefficiencies where retracements are likely.
Heavy Short coming.Starting it will want to fill some orders at the fair value gap (purple rectangle) at the top before dropping, but since that level i so high i i am not sure at all it will go there first.
Then we see a huge fair value gap ranging from FWB:73K to $90K, massive lack of liquidity. And market can’t have that if the idea is for it to reach even bigger ATH’s.
Under that FVG you can se several Liquidity lines (4 to be exact) laying before another FVG and liquidity spot comes again.
So we see that market really needs to draw down there before acceding up.
Red circle marks an order block (Price range where orders where filled) so we see that liquidity has previously been filled at that level so that supports my theory even greater that market is looking to drop down to that area.
There are way to much liquidity missing there and liquidity to get under there again for market to go further up then were it is standing as off now.
Hope you understood my POV, would extremely appreciate just a thumbs up or down! New to this.
Requested NQ Levels - NQ Bias chartJust one of my charts requested by the two people who read. On the 4h time frame they DO NOT, and I'll repeat, DO NOT leave fair value gaps untested. The only one theyve left is from the August 5 Yen unwind, which was quite artificial. Anyway, not super bearish or bullish, just cautious at the moment. Risk reward for me plays out in a question that sounds like, "Do you want to risk -30% for another +10%?" or would you rather forgo the 10% and find something a bit more better value? Think that's how a lot of NQ stocks are being looked at end of year. Again not calling for a rug, but quite possible NQ lags the IWM for this next leg. We will see, anyway feel free to ask any questions the chart is a bit messy, like my brain.
$LLY Long-Term BuyHealthcare could possibly be the next rotation coming out of this tech bull run. Using the Trade Jeanie (Jeanius Screener/Indicator), I was able to see the current technical buy signals happening on NYSE:LLY :
Inside a HTF fair value gap (3M timeframe)
Took out an untested low (liquidity)
The Jeanius Indicator shows green 'Combo' labels every time this same combination of signals happened
The Jeanius Screener lets me filter my favorite tickers to see which ones are currently taking out untested lows or liquidity
$MRK Long-Term BuyHealthcare could possibly be the next rotation coming out of this tech bull run. Using the Trade Jeanie (Jeanius Screener/Indicator), I was able to see the current technical buy signals happening on NYSE:MRK :
Inside a HTF fair value gap (12M timeframe)
Testing a HTF uptrend line (3M timeframe)
Larkuidity (Liquidity) Sweep
The Jeanius Indicator shows green 'Combo' labels every time this same combination of signals happened
The Jeanius Screener lets me filter my favorite tickers to see which ones are currently sweeping liquidity
XAUUSD Downtrend Based on SMC (Smart Money Concepts) analysis, it appears that gold on the 4-hour timeframe is likely to continue its downward movement after liquidity was swept from the previous high. Now, we are faced with two potential scenarios:
Scenario 1: A direct drop from the green box.
Scenario 2: A slight upward move into the FVG (Fair Value Gap), followed by a strong decline.
Let’s see which scenario gold decides to follow!
Nifty Outlook: Last Week of NovemberNifty is currently trading at 23,900.
It will come 500 points below to 23,400.
This level coincides with multiple things - previous support & 0.786 fib level of the last run.
Then it will reverse and go up till 24,700.
That is where it will take the liquidity of the previous swing highs.
NAS100USD: Bullish Setup with Key Support Zones in FocusGreetings Traders!
Current Outlook📊:
NAS100USD is displaying bullish institutional order flow, signaling a strong upward trend. Following this momentum, I am focusing on buying opportunities to target the liquidity pool at the swing high.
Key Confluences🔗:
Support Zone : Price has retraced into a significant area marked by the alignment of a mitigation block and a Fair Value Gap (FVG).
Scalping Potential : This zone serves as an institutional support area, offering confidence to seek confirmation entries for bullish setups.
Feel free to share your analysis, discuss insights, or ask questions below in the comments. Let’s learn and grow together!
Best Regards,
The_Architect
DXY analysis based on ICT concepts and candle scienceHello, greatest community Since this is my first post, I sincerely hope you find it useful.
I am going to start with a top-down analysis.
First, based on the monthly chart.
Currently, we are in the monthly SIBI, a reversal area.
What are we supposed to look for next?
A drop in momentum to the annual bisi target during the following months
Weekly Chart
It's Friday, the last day of the week. What can I see in this area right now?
1. It looks like we are about to create a weekly fair value gap, which we will trade from the following week in order to reach the next weekly SIBI shown on the chart.
2. On the other hand, we might make a BAG and search for the entry on the daily chart.
NB: I will post more information this weekend if I find someone who is interested.
DXY sellUS dollar had a blasting week this time now as we have traded its upward rally now its moving towards its resistance level where from it will be moving downward rally👇 from its resistance level on H1 we can see a Fair value gap under the price rallied so we will be bearish until it fills its GAP now if we talk about H4 and Daily price is bearish from Daily Time frame so we are bearish this time until fair value gap
The Fair Value Gap (FVG)The term "fair value gap" is known by various names among price action traders, including imbalance, inefficiency, and liquidity void. But what do these imbalances mean? They arise when the forces of buying and selling exert considerable pressure, resulting in sharp and rapid price movements.
On a chart, a Fair Value Gap appears as a three-candlestick pattern. In a bullish context, an FVG forms when the top wick of the first candlestick does not connect with the bottom wick of the third candlestick. Conversely, in a bearish scenario, the FVG is created when the bottom wick of the first candlestick fails to connect with the top wick of the third candlestick. The gap on the middle candlestick, created by the wicks of the first and third candlesticks, represents the Fair Value Gap.
The concept of FVG trading is based on the idea that the market has a natural tendency to self-correct. These price discrepancies or inefficiencies are generally not sustainable over time, and the market often returns to these gaps before continuing in the same direction as the original impulsive move.
What are the Types of Fair Value Gaps?
1. Bearish Fair Value Gap
A bearish Fair Value Gap occurs when there is a space between the bottom wick of the first candlestick and the top wick of the third candlestick. This gap typically appears on the body of the middle candlestick, and the individual characteristics of each candlestick are not particularly important. What’s crucial in a bearish scenario is that the gap on the middle candlestick results from the wicks of the surrounding candlesticks not connecting.
2. Bullish Fair Value Gap
A bullish Fair Value Gap occurs when the top wick of the first candlestick does not connect with the bottom wick of the third candlestick. In this case, the specific direction of each candlestick is not as important. What really matters is that there is a gap in the middle candlestick, where the wicks of the first and third candlesticks have not linked.
3. Inverse Fair Value Gap
An Inverse Fair Value Gap is an FVG that has lost its validity in one direction but remains significant enough to influence price movement in the opposite direction. For example, a bullish FVG is deemed invalid if it fails to act as a demand zone. However, it then transforms into an inverse bearish FVG, which may serve as a supply zone capable of holding the price.
4. Implied Fair Value Gap
The Implied Fair Value Gap is also a three-candlestick pattern, but it does not feature a gap on the middle candlestick, which is why it’s called an “implied FVG.” Instead, it consists of a larger middle candle flanked by two relatively long wicks from the first and third candles.
The “gap” is defined by marking the midpoint of the wick of the first candlestick that touches the middle candle and the midpoint of the wick of the third candle that also touches the middle candle. These two midpoints create the gap.
Here are some factors that can lead to the formation of fair value gaps:
1. Economic Data Releases
Key economic data releases, such as changes in interest rates or unemployment statistics, can similarly create imbalances. If the data surprises the market, it can trigger a swift price movement in one direction, resulting in a gap.
2. Sudden News Events
Unexpected news that significantly affects market sentiment can lead to a rapid increase in buying or selling activity, resulting in a gap as prices adjust to the new information. For instance, if a company unexpectedly reports strong earnings, its stock price may surge, creating a gap on the chart.
3. Market Openings or Closings
Gaps may form during periods of low liquidity, such as at market openings or closings. With fewer market participants, even a small amount of buying or selling can cause a noticeable price jump that isn’t quickly countered.
4. Large Institutional Trades
Significant trades by institutional investors can also lead to fair value gaps (FVGs). When a hedge fund or financial institution executes a large buy or sell order, it can overwhelm the existing order book, causing a rapid price shift and leaving a gap behind.
5. Weekend Gaps
FVG's are often observed between the close on Friday and the open on Monday, reflecting news or events that occurred over the weekend.
KEY POINTS TO KNOW
- Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) are powerful tools traders use to identify market imbalances and inefficiencies.
- FVGs occur when buying or selling pressure leads to significant price movements, leaving behind gaps on price charts.
- FVGs can be identified through technical analysis involving the analysis of candlestick patterns and price chart patterns.
- Traders can categorize FVGs into two types: Undervalued FVGs, where prices are lower than fair value, and Overrated FVGs, where prices are higher.
BANKNIFTY can be bearish from 51466-51647 51466-51647 Levels are very important for BankNifty to sustain. If it break above these levels, then a new all time high can be seen in Sep month. Mostly likely, BankNifty could fall from here to be bearish again and break 49,815 levels. This level is a pure selling level above the fair value gap that was created on 5th Aug.
TITAGARH could get a rebound from 1154-1219 levelsTITAGARH is a stock that is known to never fall much. But in the current scenario, a lot of long term investors are trapped and a lot of panic selling is seen in this stock. In my view, it may get a rebound from 1154-1219 levels once again. This level is the place where last heavy buying was observed last which created a big fair value gap in the price.