$ENS / USDT 1D FAKEOUT ON FLAG? Incoming Pump? 📊 $ENS/USDT Perpetual Contract – Daily Timeframe Analysis
🟢 Bullish Setup
A bullish flag is forming on the daily chart — a continuation pattern indicating potential upward movement.
- Price recently entered into the golden pocket of the Fibonacci retracement tool marked from $16.881 – $25.241 on the third touch of the flag's resistance, triggering a fakeout, it now rests in the first Fair Value Gap.
- The strong wick rejection on the 3rd retest of the resistance/supply indicates bearish strength, momentarily pushing price lower.
- Despite this, the overall pattern remains valid as long as price respects the Golden Pocket and FVG zone below.
✅ If price closes above the golden pocket, it could present an excellent leveraged entry or spot position, with high reward potential off 67%.
🔴 Bearish Scenario
- So far, every test of the **4H supply zone** has resulted in rejection — showing persistent seller control at short-term resistance.
- If buyers fail to defend the golden pocket and recover the bullish trendline, the structure confirms a break. (Downtrend)
The confirmation of bearish pressure is the:
1) Large wick (Creating a shooting start candle pattern)
- Signaling bearish reversal.
2) Large Bearish Marubozu Candle.
- Indicates strong continuation of a downtrend.
3) Candle close below Trend line support.
- Showing Bears were able to successful make a major move.
🔽 In that case, we look to short after FVG confirmation and scalp down toward the daily demand zone.
📌 Patience is key. Let the price show intent before entering.
Please let me know what your thoughts are!
Fairvaluegap
Bitcoin - Reclaim or Reject? Key 4H FVG Levels in FocusAfter an extended move lower, Bitcoin has just swept the major 4H lows and immediately bounced back with strength. This aggressive reaction suggests the sweep was likely a liquidity grab rather than a continuation. Price is now trading back inside a large 4H fair value gap, which could serve as a short-term magnet while market participants reassess direction.
Key Price Reaction and Fair Value Gap Context
The current rebound into the 4H FVG is notable. This zone holds significance because it's the last inefficiency left unfilled before the final leg down. If buyers manage to push through and close above this imbalance, it would indicate a short-term reclaim and open the door to a bullish liquidity sweep higher. The clean highs just above are marked by the $$ label, which align with a key inducement zone and should attract price if bullish momentum sustains.
Upside Scenario – Targeting the Liquidity Sweep
If we do see a clean move and close above the fair value gap, I’ll be looking for price to extend toward the highs just above it. These highs are likely to be the next target for liquidity collection, especially if short-term traders begin chasing strength. However, I’m not expecting price to trade beyond that zone. There’s a protected high resting above, and unless a significant fundamental shift occurs, it’s unlikely we break that structure.
Downside Risk – Failure to Hold Could Lead to 99K
If the market fails to close above the FVG or quickly gets rejected on a wick into it, the bullish scenario becomes invalid. That would confirm the move back up was simply a retracement after the sweep, setting the stage for further downside continuation. In that case, I expect the market to break lower and move toward 99K, which remains my downside target under bearish conditions.
Conclusion
Bitcoin just swept key 4H lows and is now testing a large imbalance. A close above could trigger a run on the $$ liquidity, but I do not expect price to move beyond that due to the presence of protected highs. On the other hand, failure to break and hold above the FVG opens the door for a deeper flush toward 99K.
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Is This the Optimal Entry After a PDL Sweep and FVG Retest?A clean structural development on CHFJPY (1H TF)
After sweeping the Previous Day’s Low (PDL), price created a bullish Break of Structure (BOS) to the upside , shifting short-term sentiment. This BOS was followed by a precise retest into a Fair Value Gap (FVG), suggesting possible continuation as liquidity shifts from weak hands to strong.
🧠 Educational Notes :
CRT Sweep Logic: Market often sweeps the previous day's high or low before making its true move. In this case, a clean PDL sweep was followed by a strong bullish reaction.
Break of Structure (BOS): Confirmed bullish intent after the sweep, validating a shift in order flow.
FVG Retest: Institutional pricing inefficiency filled — a classic SMC continuation behavior.
Entry Thesis: Based on reaction from FVG + BOS confirmation, with invalidation below the swept low and TP near the previous swing high.
This setup is not financial advice, but a clear visual case study for traders applying SMC + CRT logic.
USDCAD - Short ContinuationHave a really nice short currently open on USDCAD
However I am looking to get a further position opened which come in the morning.
There's a clear break of structure.
- A nice FVG left behind.
- We are creating liquidity / inducement
- All pointing towards a nice further sell off in the morning.
Ideal situation is we sweep Asian session highs in the morning in the hope we move lower
EURUSD - Potential Bearish ContinuationEURUSD recently tapped into a 4-hour Fair Value Gap, aligning perfectly with a prior liquidity sweep just above the recent swing high. This zone acted as a magnet for buy-side liquidity, and price reacted sharply once that liquidity was taken out. The rejection confirms this area was used by larger players to offload positions rather than push higher.
Rejection and Structure Shift
After the sweep and tap into the FVG, we saw an immediate and aggressive bearish reaction, signaling a clear rejection of higher prices. Momentum flipped decisively, breaking smaller structural points on the way down. The rejection is not just technical, it’s reactive, showing that the intent was never to sustain the breakout.
Break of Support Zone and Bearish Setup
Price is now testing the critical mid-range structure marked in red. This zone previously held as support multiple times, but it is now under pressure. If we get a clean 4H close below this area, it confirms a market structure shift and opens the door for further downside.
Bearish Target and Liquidity Zone Below
If the break confirms, the next logical move would be a push down into the broader support area below. That zone holds untapped liquidity and marks the base of the recent rally. A sweep of those lows would align perfectly with the narrative of a failed breakout, followed by a deeper correction.
Conclusion
The rejection from the 4H Fair Value Gap, combined with a liquidity sweep and a pending structure break, builds a clean bearish case. A confirmed close below the marked zone would shift this into a continuation setup, with expectations for a move toward the lower support and a potential sweep of the lows.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Gold Pullback Entry Opportunity Gold resumed its rally, sparked by recent tarrif news. Price is pulling back at the moment and has entered an sweet spot where we can confidently take our first low risk Buy.
BUYING HERE BECAUSE
1. We're entering into a low volume area, which is also in line with an FVG on the 1hr chart
2. When a new uptrend starts, i like to buy first 2 instances price pullback to bounce from my trend cloud indicator We didn't get a perfect bounce as it has broken below it, but i'am still buying regardless due to my first reason above about the low volume gap.
PROFIT TARGET
Setting my profit target to my trusted Exofade peak. As long as the uptrend continues, Exofade peaks will ALWAYS get taken out. That why i love this indicator, and its free. It's my gift to y'all :) . Just search for it in trading view indicators.
BTC - Will BTC fill the 4H inbalance at $107.400Bitcoin (BTC) is currently exhibiting a clear downtrend on the 4-hour timeframe. During the most recent downward move, it left behind an imbalance, specifically, a 4-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG), which the price is now retracing toward. This area represents a potential zone of interest for entering a short position, given the prevailing bearish structure.
At the same time, BTC is approaching the golden pocket of the Fibonacci retracement, a level often watched by traders for potential reversals. This zone coincides with a former support level that provided multiple bounces in the past, but has now flipped into a potential resistance. The confluence of these factors could add significant selling pressure.
It’s important to note that BTC does not necessarily need to reach the imbalance zone to resume its downward movement. However, the presence of that FVG remains a relevant detail to monitor in case price action does continue higher before reversing.
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EUR/USD - Sweeping the highs, retracement following?The EUR/USD has experienced a steep and aggressive bullish run today, showing strong upward momentum across multiple timeframes. This impulsive move has led to a sweep of the recent highs, taking out key liquidity levels that were resting above previous swing points. In the context of smart money concepts and institutional trading models, such a move typically signifies the activation of buy-side liquidity, where stop-loss orders and breakout entries are triggered above a well-defined high. This behavior is often engineered by larger market participants to fulfill liquidity objectives before potentially reversing or retracing.
During this strong bullish leg, the EUR/USD left behind a noticeable imbalance, commonly referred to as a Fair Value Gap (FVG), on the lower timeframes. This imbalance reflects an area where price moved too rapidly, leaving behind unfilled orders and creating a price inefficiency. Specifically, an FVG remains open around the 1.13700 level, a zone that was bypassed during the impulsive rally and now stands as a likely magnet for price in the near term. These imbalances are significant because price tends to revisit them to seek equilibrium and fill in the inefficient areas, especially after a major liquidity grab.
The sweep of the highs was a classic liquidity-taking event. When price runs above a prominent high, especially one that's visible on higher timeframes like the 4H or daily, it often signals that buy stops (retail breakout entries or protective stops) have been targeted. Once these stops are taken, there is typically a shift in market behavior. The aggressive buyers have been filled, and institutional players may look to reverse or retrace price toward areas of unfilled orders, such as the aforementioned FVG. The market often transitions from a state of expansion (impulse move) to a state of rebalancing or consolidation, which opens the door for a pullback.
Given that the liquidity above the highs has been taken and that the 1.13700 gap remains unmitigated, it becomes increasingly likely that EUR/USD will begin a retracement. This corrective move would serve to rebalance the price, revisit the inefficiency, and potentially test the validity of any newly-formed demand zones. From a technical standpoint, this area is crucial, not only because of the gap itself but also due to its positioning in relation to prior market structure.
In summary, today’s bullish extension in EUR/USD accomplished a major liquidity objective by sweeping the highs. However, the move left behind a significant imbalance at 1.13700, suggesting that the pair could be due for a corrective pullback to fill the gap. Traders should monitor lower timeframes for signs of distribution, potential shifts in market structure, or bearish order blocks forming after the sweep. All of these could provide clues that the market is preparing to return to the gap and restore price efficiency.
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Bitcoin - Bears in control: Back to $103kPrice just swept the 1-hour and 4-hour swing highs, grabbing liquidity from anyone who had stops above the high. This was followed by an immediate and aggressive selloff, showing a clear bearish displacement. That move confirms smart money was unloading into retail longs, and we now have a shift in momentum pointing down.
Liquidity Sweep and Displacement Context
The sweep of the high was immediately followed by a strong bearish displacement. There was no hesitation after the breakout, which confirms this wasn’t a real breakout but a stop hunt. The reaction tells us that price was tapping into a key supply area or simply running out of buying interest above the high. This kind of rejection usually signals that smart money is positioning for a move lower.
Fair Value Gap and Pullback Zone
The drop left behind a clear 1-hour Fair Value Gap, sitting just below the swept high, between roughly $105,600 and $106,000. Price hasn’t returned to it yet, which opens the possibility for a short-term retracement back into that imbalance before continuation. That FVG becomes the main short entry zone, if price trades back into it, it’s likely to reject again.
Bearish Target and Market Structure Outlook
If we retrace into the FVG and reject, I expect a break of the recent short-term low around $104,300. That level will act as the first sign of bearish continuation. If that goes, there’s clean liquidity sitting below near the higher-timeframe low in the $103,600 zone. That’s the larger target for this setup, sweeping those lows would complete the move.
Conclusion
This is a clean high sweep followed by strong displacement and an unfilled FVG. If price trades back into that imbalance and shows rejection, I’m expecting continuation lower, with targets at $104,300 and ultimately down to $103,600.
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BTCUSD Bear Trap Loading – Premium OB Sell Setup ActivatedBTCUSD | 1H Smart Money Rejection Play – Premium Repricing Before Breakdown
The king of crypto is looking shaky. Smart money isn’t buying the pump. Here’s why BTCUSD might be gearing up for a steep dump from a premium order block reaction 🩸👇
📌 1. Market Context:
After a clean bearish leg, BTCUSD is now retracing into a premium zone — above the 70.5% Fib
Price is climbing into a high-probability reversal OB (highlighted in purple/red)
This area aligns with the 70.5%–79% golden retracement zone — where institutions love to load shorts 🧠📉
💎 2. Key Levels to Watch:
🔺 Premium OB Zone (Sell Zone): 108,378.95 – 109,276.15
🟣 Golden Rejection Zone: Fib 70.5% – 79%
🔽 Target Weak Low: 103,121.59
⛔ Invalidation/SL Above: 109,276.15
🎯 RR Potential: 1:4+ sniper-grade
Price is expected to tap this premium zone, sweep liquidity, and collapse into the weak low for a full market cycle completion 🔁
🧠 3. Smart Money Flow:
This move smells like a liquidity grab trap – taking out late longs before a drop
No bullish BOS from HTF – market structure still bearish
OB overlaps with inefficiency (FVG), making it ripe for rejection
Strong high is intact — unbroken = more confluence for downside
🎯 4. Execution Strategy (Entry Tips):
⚔ Wait for:
M5–M15 shift in structure (BOS) from bullish to bearish inside the OB
Sharp rejection wick or engulfing candle for confirmation
Ideal entry = wick entry near 109.2 with tight SL just above OB
Target = weak low for full mitigation and profit harvesting
This is surgical precision territory. The sniper must be patient before pulling the trigger 🥷
🔥 5. Why This Short is GOLD:
✅ OB + Fib + FVG confluence = high-odds reversal zone
✅ Price is in premium – not discount = perfect for shorts
✅ Weak low = magnet
✅ No bullish confirmation = no reason to long
This is not a guess — this is the blueprint for institutional execution 📐
📉 Drop “BTC Dump Mode 🚨” in the comments if you’re watching this setup too
🔁 Save this setup for your playbook
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USDJPY Ready to Bounce – Sniper Long from Smart Money OBUSDJPY | 30-Min Bullish Setup – Premium to Discount + Order Block Reaction
USDJPY looks primed for a bullish reversal from a smart money perspective. Let’s walk through why this setup could be the cleanest long of the week 📈🧠
📌 1. Current Market Narrative:
Price retraced deep into discount levels (beyond 70.5%) after a strong bullish leg
Tapped into a refined bullish Order Block (OB) sitting just above a strong low
Multiple liquidity grabs have already occurred, leaving internal structure vulnerable to a reversal
Smart money has likely accumulated below recent lows… ready to pump toward Buy Side Liquidity 🧲
🧠 2. Key Technical Levels:
✅ Order Block Zone (Entry): 143.164
🔻 Strong Low: 142.048 (protected)
🟢 Buy Side Liquidity Target: 144.447
🔼 Weak High (Magnet): 146.290
Entry Point: Within OB (143.1–143.2)
TP Zones: 144.447 (main), 146.290 (stretch target)
SL: Below OB – around 142.048
RR: ~1:4+ — sniper grade 🥷
📊 3. Smart Money Flow:
OB aligned with 70.5–79% Fibonacci discount zone (deep retrace = strong reaction)
Structure shows signs of exhaustion on the sell side
Price may now reverse with displacement toward upside inefficiencies
Buyers likely stepping in aggressively from this level
🚀 4. Execution Plan (LTF Confirmation Entry):
✅ Wait for:
M5–M15 BOS (bullish break of structure)
FVG or mitigation entry confirmation
Maintain tight SL below OB (2–3 pips buffer)
Bonus: If price holds above 143.2 with strong M5 bullish candle close, that’s go-time for smart money longs.
🧨 5. Why This Setup is 🔥:
High probability bounce zone (OB + deep fib retrace)
Clean RR structure with solid target at buy side liquidity
Market structure shift likely as lower highs start breaking
Liquidity swept under recent lows = trap complete
This is the kind of setup that institutional algos are coded to exploit 🤖
💬 Type “USDJPY Long Sniper 🥷💴” in the comments if you’re in this setup too
🔁 Save this for trade journaling or future backtest
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XAUUSD | Premium Zone Hit – Is Gold Ready to Nuke?XAUUSD | 30-Min Bearish Setup – OB Tap + Liquidity Engineering
Let’s break this down ninja-style ⚔️
📌 1. Market Context:
Gold has retraced into a premium pricing zone after a significant sell-off and is now:
Respecting a refined bearish Order Block
Sitting at 61.8–70.5% Fibonacci retracement (textbook premium)
Below a strong high (liquidity magnet)
This is classic smart money engineering:
➡️ Pull back
➡️ Lure in breakout buyers
➡️ Raid the high
➡️ Dump toward liquidity
🧠 2. Key Levels:
📈 Strong High: 3,324.880
🟪 Order Block Zone: ~3,316.745 to 3,324.880
🔻 Current Price: ~3,307.000
🔵 Weak Low: 3,270.000
🩸 Sell Side Liquidity: 3,245.560
We’re watching for a possible rejection from the OB and a drive down into the Sell Side Liquidity zone.
📊 3. Entry Plan (Confirmation-Based):
Wait for a bearish M5–M15 BOS from OB
Look for FVG entry or last mitigation
Target weak low & SSL
Maintain 1:2 to 1:4 RRR depending on entry precision
Ideal RR Target:
🎯 TP: 3,245.560
🛑 SL: Just above 3,324.880
🔁 RR ~ 1:3+
📉 4. SMC Story:
🧩 Price swept internal liquidity and tapped into premium zone
🔍 OB + Fib confluence = high-probability reaction area
🧲 Weak low is unprotected = juicy target for sell-off
🤖 This move could create displacement and fuel next bearish leg
Smart Money is looking to trap late longs before hitting the liquidity pool.
🎯 5. Bonus Tip:
If you’re on M1 or M5, scale into partials as the move confirms via:
Bearish engulfing
BOS + FVG combo
Lower timeframe mitigation plays
Stay reactive, not predictive. Let the market confirm the trap. ⚠️
💬 Drop “Gold Trap Setup 👑” in the comments if you see the same thing
🔁 Save this to track the next move
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BTCUSD Hits Premium FVG – Liquidity Raid Incoming?BTCUSD | 4H Chart Breakdown – FVG, Order Block, and Smart Money Confluence
Here’s a killer SMC-based short opportunity forming on BTCUSD. Let’s decode this clean setup:
⚙️ 1. Market Structure Snapshot
Change of Character (ChoCH) confirmed on lower timeframe
Price aggressively retraced into a premium zone
Now tapping a combo zone:
✅ Fair Value Gap
✅ Order Block
✅ Sell-side OB mitigation
✅ Sitting right below Buy-Side Liquidity
We’re in prime territory for a liquidity raid followed by a sharp rejection.
📊 2. Key Price Zones
📈 Current Price: ~105,257
🟪 OB + FVG Zone: 104,766 – 105,257
🟦 Weak High (Target for Raid): ~106,200
🔻 Sell Setup Activation: If price shows rejection at OB zone
📉 Sell Target: 103,800 (Strong Low + liquidity pocket)
This is textbook bearish structure after a sweep of weak highs — time to watch the market respond.
🧠 3. SMC Logic Breakdown
ChoCH marks the first sign of bullish intent
But price is now entering a premium zone above equilibrium
Liquidity lies just above the weak high
We expect:
Raid of the weak high / buy-side liquidity
Rejection at the OB + FVG
Sharp drop to take out the strong low
This pattern = a high-probability SMC trap short.
📉 4. Risk-Reward Plan
🛑 Stop Loss: Just above 106,314.50
🎯 Take Profit: Near 103,800 (Strong Low)
🔁 RR: ~1:3 to 1:4 if you enter after a M5 rejection
🧼 Partial TP: Midway at 104,200 to reduce exposure
🧩 5. Entry Strategy
Monitor M5–M15 around OB + FVG zone
Wait for bearish engulfing / BOS
Refine entry with tighter SL
Let it play toward sell-side liquidity
⚔️ 6. Trader Notes:
Don't short early. Wait for reaction and structure shift
This is liquidity engineering – smart money lures in longs before nuking
Pair this chart with volume divergence confirmation if available
💣 Type "Liquidity Trap 💀" in the comments if this setup matches your bias
🔁 Save this if you scalp or swing SMC-based setups
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BTCUSD SMC Short Play | Fair Value Gap Rejection Ahead?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) Smart Money Sell Opportunity | Liquidity Sweep Setup
Here’s a surgical-level BTCUSD bearish setup unfolding on the 30-minute chart, giving pro traders and learners a textbook SMC opportunity. Let’s break it down:
🔍 1. Trade Idea Summary
This move is a retracement into a premium zone, reacting off a:
✅ Fair Value Gap (FVG) between ~104,300 and 104,600
✅ Strong High at ~105,100 acting as liquidity
✅ Perfect Sell-Side Liquidity Target at ~102,200
Expecting a short retracement play with a clean 1:4+ RRR.
📊 2. Key Zones Marked on Chart:
FVG Zone: 104,259 – 104,600
Strong High (Liquidity Trap): 105,104
Entry Zone: Watch rejection inside FVG or after sweep of Strong High
TP Zone (Sell Side Liquidity): 102,200
SL: Above 105,200
🧩 3. Smart Money Logic Behind This Setup:
Price is in distribution phase, moving within a descending channel
Impulse down created imbalance (FVG) ➝ market now retracing to fill it
Expecting:
Liquidity grab above recent highs
Rejection from FVG zone
Strong push down toward sell side liquidity
⚙️ 4. Trade Execution Plan
Wait for price to enter FVG
Look for:
M5/M15 CHoCH (Change of Character)
Bearish OB or breaker block for sniper entry
Target liquidity zone marked on chart
Trail SL once price breaks below 103,000
📉 5. Market Bias + Risk Tip
HTF Bias: Bearish
Mid-Term Target: 101,800–102,200
❌ Don’t jump early — wait for structure break or FVG reaction
📍 Drop a “🔥” if you’re learning
🧠 Comment “SMC ENTRY” if you caught this setup
📲 Save for later & follow @ChartNinjas88 for daily breakdowns
ETHUSD Bearish FVG Play | Premium Rejection Loading?Ethereum (ETHUSD) 1H Smart Money Bearish Setup | FVG + Fib Confluence
Textbook short scenario lining up on ETHUSD as it retraces into a premium zone filled with imbalance. Let’s unpack the key ingredients of this setup for the squad.
🔍 1. Trade Idea Summary
Price dumped sharply, leaving a clean Fair Value Gap
Retracement into premium (Fib 61.8%–79%) zone
Confluence of:
✅ FVG Supply
✅ Fib retracement zone
✅ Internal structure breaker
Targeting sell-side liquidity near 2,445 for a smooth RR 1:3+ setup.
📊 2. Key Zones on Chart
Entry Zone: 2,540 – 2,590 (FVG + 61.8%–79% Fib)
Strong High for Sweep (if needed): 2,594
TP Zone (Sell Side Liquidity): 2,445
SL: Above 2,600
🧩 3. Smart Money Concept Breakdown
Market made a lower low ➝ bias shifts bearish
Now retracing into the last up candle before the dump (FVG zone)
Expecting:
Premium rejection
Lower time frame CHoCH
Push to sell-side liquidity
⚙️ 4. Execution Plan
Let price enter FVG zone
Wait for M5 or M15 bearish break of structure
Confirm with:
OB rejection
Entry confirmation candle
Ride it down to TP or trail SL at midpoint
💡 5. Trader Tips:
Watch volume drop as price enters FVG — sign of weak buyers
Don’t force entry — let structure confirm
⚔️ Comment "ETH Breakdown 🔪" if you're eyeing this short
📈 Save this setup & follow @ChartNinjas88 for real-time sniper breakdowns
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BTCUSD Trendline Trap? Smart Money Short at FVG
🔍 1. Trade Idea Summary
Trendline gets violated ➝ retail panic
Price retests Fair Value Gap at a premium level
Confluence:
✅ Trendline break liquidity
✅ FVG mitigation
✅ Bearish order block zone
✅ Lower high structure formation
Targeting the weak low sweep around $100,773.
📊 2. Key Chart Levels
Entry Zone: $104,800 – $105,200 (FVG)
Stop Loss: Above $105,209
Take Profit: $100,773 (Weak Low / Sell-side liquidity)
RR: ~1:3+, textbook sniper setup
🧩 3. Smart Money Concept Breakdown
Trendline Break = Liquidity Grab
Price taps into a premium zone FVG + OB
Expecting:
Rejection candle formation
Lower time frame BOS
Sell-side liquidity target @ weak low
This is a setup you can replay again and again — pure institutional footprint.
⚙️ 4. Execution Plan
Monitor retest reaction near FVG zone
Look for M5 or M15 bearish BOS/CHoCH
Refine entry on confirmation
Lock partials near midpoint, TP at weak low sweep
⚔️ 5. Pro Tips:
Trendline breaks are often traps — always check where the liquidity hides
FVGs act like magnets — price often returns to fill the imbalance before real moves
Volume dying into FVG = 🔥 clue for rejection
📉 Comment "BTC Trap Sniper 🎯" if you saw this setup too
🔁 Save this chart for future reference
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USDJPY 4H Analysis – Market Dynamics ChangingDear Traders,
Guys, the bearish trend in USDJPY has now shifted into a bullish uptrend. My target level for USDJPY is 146.330. Once it reaches my target, I will share updates under this post.
Friends, every single like from you is my biggest source of motivation when it comes to sharing my analysis.
A huge thank you to everyone who supports me with their likes!
EURUSD - Bullish Continuation SetupEURUSD recently retraced into a key demand zone where a 4H Fair Value Gap (FVG) aligned perfectly with the golden pocket (between 61.8% and 65% Fibonacci levels). This confluence provided a high-probability setup for a bullish reaction. After testing this level, price rebounded sharply, confirming that buyers are still active and protecting discounted imbalances.
Imbalance Reaction and Demand Strength
The initial bounce from the 4H FVG was clean, with price quickly reclaiming structure and leaving behind a fresh series of upside imbalances. These newly formed gaps are now being respected on smaller retracements, showing that the market is still imbalanced to the upside and that buyers are stepping in early during pullbacks.
Bullish/Bearish Scenarios
As long as price continues to respect these imbalances, the short-term outlook remains bullish. The next major test lies at the resistance zone around 1.14000, which previously caused a sharp rejection. A minor reaction is expected there, but if the market maintains bullish momentum, we could see a clean break above that level. A failure to hold above the smaller imbalances near 1.12800 would be the first sign of weakness and could open the door for a deeper retracement back into the original 4H FVG.
Price Target and Expectations
If the current structure holds, I expect price to push into the 1.14000 resistance zone and eventually aim for the 1.15270 level as the next major liquidity target. The current price action shows a healthy series of higher highs and higher lows, supported by imbalances being filled and respected, suggesting further upside continuation.
Conclusion
EURUSD is showing clean bullish structure following a textbook reaction from the 4H imbalance and golden pocket zone. As long as the market continues to respect the newly formed imbalances, the path of least resistance remains to the upside. Eyes are now on the resistance zone for signs of either rejection or breakout continuation.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Bitcoin - Will we go back to $99k?Bitcoin is showing its first real signs of weakness after an extended bullish run. The current price action around $106,700 suggests a loss of momentum, with price hovering just above a key daily low that could act as a pivot point. If this low gets taken out, it would likely mark a short-term shift in sentiment from bullish to bearish, opening the door for a deeper retracement toward key inefficiency zones that remain unfilled.
Consolidation and Liquidity Structure
After the sharp breakout in early May, price rallied aggressively with minimal pullbacks, leaving behind several imbalance zones that now act as downside magnets. The previous range high around $99,000, which acted as a strong resistance level earlier this year, has not yet been properly retested. This area aligns with a large daily imbalance, making it a highly probable target in the event of a breakdown. Currently, price is consolidating just above this previous resistance-turned-support zone, and pressure is building.
Bearish Breakdown Potential
If the current daily low breaks, it would likely trigger a flush into the $99,000 to $95,000 range, where we find that unfilled imbalance waiting to be closed. A break and acceptance below the $99,000 level could suggest deeper trouble for the bulls. In that case, the next major downside target sits around $92,000, where an even larger inefficiency from earlier in the year remains open. This level also coincides with a significant accumulation zone that could provide the next strong base of support if the market continues correcting.
Bullish Recovery Conditions
On the flip side, if Bitcoin holds this low and finds demand stepping in at current levels, we could see a local bottom form. A recovery and push back toward $108,000 or even a reattempt of the $112,000 highs would be back on the table. But for this bullish case to stay alive, the current daily low must hold. A sweep and reclaim could trap late sellers and fuel a quick reversal. However, right now, the pressure is clearly leaning to the downside unless buyers show strong intent soon.
Imbalance Zones and Key Price Areas
The most critical area to watch is the $99,000 level. It’s the confluence of an old resistance, an unfilled imbalance, and psychological round number support. If price tags this zone, we’ll need to monitor reaction closely. Weakness below $99,000 opens the door to $92,000, which is where the next higher timeframe imbalance sits. If we start accepting below $92,000, that would confirm a much more extended corrective phase is underway.
Price Target and Expectations
The primary expectation is a move into the $99,000 imbalance zone, assuming we get a clean daily low break. A bounce there would offer the first chance for a bullish reaction, but if sellers dominate, $92,000 becomes the secondary and more extreme downside target. A reclaim of $108,000 would invalidate this short-term bearish thesis and shift the focus back toward the highs.
Conclusion
All eyes are on the daily low. A clean break below it would change the tone of this market and likely initiate a short-term bearish cycle, targeting inefficiencies left behind during the rally. $99,000 is the key zone to watch first. If it holds, bulls may step back in. If not, $92,000 becomes the next target in line. For now, caution is warranted as the risk of deeper downside continues to grow.
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EURUSD – Bearish Reversal in Motion, Fair Value Gap Draws Price EURUSD has recently reacted strongly to a major resistance zone, where price previously stalled and reversed in the past. After running into this area again, we saw a sharp and immediate rejection, which confirms the presence of aggressive selling pressure. This rejection was not just a weak pullback, but a strong displacement candle that shows real intent from institutional participants.
This kind of price action is typically a sign that the market has found a short-term top, and will now look to rebalance lower, especially if there are inefficiencies left behind during the last move up. With the rejection now confirmed and price starting to rotate lower, the odds increase that we see a deeper retracement in the coming sessions.
Resistance Reaction and Liquidity Story
The price reached into a well-defined supply area and rejected cleanly. This level was likely filled with buy-side liquidity from breakout traders and late longs, which institutions needed in order to fill their sell orders. After sweeping above the previous highs and triggering breakout entries, price snapped back below, creating a shift in short-term structure.
That move also created a market imbalance, a price inefficiency that the market tends to come back and correct. With bullish liquidity absorbed at the highs, price is now looking for sell-side liquidity, which can typically be found below the previous higher lows and inside unfilled value areas.
Fair Value Gap and Fibonacci Confluence
Below the current market, we have a clean fair value gap that was left behind during the most recent impulsive bullish move. What makes this area even more attractive is that it overlaps perfectly with the golden pocket zone, the 0.618 to 0.65 Fibonacci retracement level. This confluence creates a high-probability target area, not just because of the imbalance, but also because this level acts as a common retracement zone where institutional traders often look to reaccumulate or exit short-term positions.
This area is also likely to hold resting liquidity from traders who placed stop losses under recent higher lows. All these factors combined make the fair value gap plus golden pocket area a natural draw for price, the market tends to gravitate toward these zones when there’s unfinished business left behind.
Expectations and Potential Development
Going forward, I expect price to continue bleeding lower in a controlled fashion, possibly forming minor lower highs along the way. Once the fair value gap is reached and filled, we could see signs of support or accumulation, depending on the context at the time. It’s important not to blindly long from that area, but instead wait for a market reaction, ideally a shift in structure on the lower timeframes, to signal that buyers are stepping back in.
If the market holds that area and confirms support, it could launch a new leg higher. However, if the fair value gap fails and price continues to break down, it would signal that this move is not just a retracement but possibly the start of a larger bearish leg.
Conclusion
The rejection from resistance has opened the door for a deeper retracement. With a clear fair value gap and Fibonacci golden pocket below, the market now has a logical destination to correct toward. This level offers a clean narrative for continuation lower, and it aligns with both price action structure and algorithmic models. Patience is key now, the best opportunities come when price delivers into clean zones like this one.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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GBPUSD Decision Point | Will the Order Block Hold or Fold?GBPUSD | Smart Money Liquidity Trap or Bullish Breakout?
Here’s a high-probability play based on Order Blocks, Fair Value Gaps, and channel structure—one of the cleanest SMC setups on cable this week.
📊 1. Market Overview
GBPUSD is currently pulling back after a sharp drop, retesting the premium zone Order Block on the H1 timeframe.
Structure remains bullish inside the ascending channel, but there’s major indecision here—will it break above the OB, or retrace deeper into the Fair Value Gap zone?
🧠 2. Dual Bias Logic
You’ve mapped out two valid SMC scenarios (marked in red & blue arrows):
🔻 Scenario 1: Bearish Trap + Deep Liquidity Grab
Price reacts from the Order Block (purple zone)
Rejects and breaks down into the Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone near 1.33300
Targets liquidity resting below prior structure
🔺 Scenario 2: Order Block Respect + Long Continuation
OB holds, price flips bullish
Pushes above 1.35260 for bullish continuation
Final target near channel top @ 1.35920–1.36000 zone
Both scenarios are textbook Smart Money setups — based on how price reacts at this OB, we’ll get the direction.
🧱 3. Key Zones
🔵 Order Block: 1.3445 – 1.3526
🔴 Fair Value Gap (FVG): 1.3330 – 1.3283
🟢 Target (Bullish): 1.3600
🔻 Target (Bearish): 1.3280
⚖️ 4. Risk-Reward Potential
Whether you go long from the FVG or short from the OB, both have:
✅ Clean entries
✅ Clear invalidation zones
✅ Strong RRR potential (1:3 to 1:4+)
📌 5. Watchlist Note
💡 If price taps into the OB and shows weak momentum, prepare for shorts targeting the FVG
💡 If it holds the OB cleanly with bullish engulfing or BOS (break of structure), ride the long back to channel highs
💬 Call to Action:
📈 Add GBPUSD to your SMC sniper list this week
💬 Comment “OB or FVG? 🤔” if you're waiting to catch the bounce
📌 Save this post for Smart Money reference setups
Bitcoin - Bulls in Control $113k Next targetBitcoin just delivered a textbook bullish reaction following a decisive liquidity sweep beneath the 4H range lows. Instead of continuing lower or entering a consolidation phase, price responded with immediate strength, snapping back with velocity, reclaiming structural levels, and rejecting decisively from a key Fair Value Gap (FVG). This kind of aggressive post-sweep price action usually signals the end of a stop hunt and the beginning of a new directional leg, which, given the current structure, is leaning heavily to the upside.
This is not just a random bounce, it’s a clear shift in intent. The behavior we’re seeing reflects a strategic move by smart money: first clear out liquidity from trapped longs and eager breakout sellers, then reverse and defend key zones that align with institutional discount pricing. The result? A bullish narrative that looks ready to drive price significantly higher.
Liquidity Sweep and FVG Reclaim
The initial sharp drive lower ran through the 4H lows, which had built up significant liquidity from both early long entries and breakout traders looking for continuation. This kind of move is engineered, designed to clean the board before a major shift. Price wicked deep into a 4H Fair Value Gap and immediately snapped back above it, closing strong and leaving behind a long lower wick. That reaction tells a story: there was demand waiting, and it stepped in with authority.
The Fair Value Gap wasn't just tested, it was respected. The fact that price closed back above the gap, after wicking through it, confirms it wasn't simply a liquidity grab but also a moment of rebalancing. The imbalance created earlier was filled efficiently, and the market moved on. That combination of liquidity sweep, deep FVG test, and bullish close is often what marks the end of manipulation and the beginning of a true move. It's a clear signal of smart money stepping in and defending value.
Structural Shift and Accumulation Signal
Following the sweep, the structure shifted rapidly. Price reclaimed the previous 4H support base that had been broken during the stop hunt, invalidating the bearish continuation thesis and instead suggesting accumulation. This is classic behavior after a manipulation low, price doesn’t hesitate or consolidate much, it simply turns with strength.
We’re also seeing signs of absorption and accumulation, particularly in the way price rejected cleanly from discount levels and stabilized within the FVG range. Multiple attempts to break down have failed, and the bounce wasn’t just reactive, it came with commitment. With each retest of the 110.3K resistance, that level weakens structurally. What began as resistance is now showing signs of turning into a launchpad.
If this is indeed the final leg of an accumulation phase, we should expect a marked expansion soon. The setup aligns with smart money accumulation logic: sweep liquidity, shift structure, trap shorts, and then displace with force.
Price Targets and Expectations
The 110.3K level remains the most immediate point of interest. It has acted as resistance multiple times, but each rejection has grown weaker. If price clears this level with conviction, ideally through a sharp displacement candle, the breakout has legs. Above that, we enter clean air with little resistance overhead.
The next logical target becomes 113K, which aligns both psychologically and technically with the next liquidity cluster. It’s an untested zone and represents the next area where sellers might appear. However, given the strength of the reversal and lack of major supply between 110.3K and 113K, price could move swiftly once the breakout is confirmed.
Longer-term, if momentum holds and Bitcoin maintains strength above 110.3K, we could see a retest of the all-time highs come into focus sooner than expected. But for now, the priority is to monitor how price interacts with 110.3K and look for signs of breakout strength or failed move traps.
Conclusion
Bitcoin isn’t in a boring range or slow grind, it just executed a classic liquidity play: sweep, react, reclaim. The reaction off the 1H Fair Value Gap that followed the 4H sweep is a strong signal that the market has shifted gears. With clear signs of demand stepping in and structure now favoring the bulls, the 110.3K level looks increasingly vulnerable. If that breaks, the path toward higher prices, including 113K and beyond, opens up fast.
The overall context has shifted from consolidation to directional expansion, and everything about the recent move points toward the bulls regaining control. Keep your eyes on the structure, the volume, and the displacement above key levels, the next leg could be explosive.
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Bitcoin – Possible 4h Sweep at 106.5kBitcoin recently printed a sharp rejection after revisiting a key supply area formed by a 4H fair value gap, overlapping perfectly with the golden pocket zone from the most recent down move. This confluence provided a strong technical ceiling, causing a clear reaction and shifting short-term sentiment to the downside. The rejection was sharp and clean, leaving behind an upper wick that signals strong selling interest. From here, price appears to be in search of support, and our eyes are now locked on the 4H imbalance around the 108.2k level, which could serve as a key pivot for the next directional move.
Consolidation and Confluence Structure
This recent move isn’t just a random drop. We’ve built a range around this resistance zone, with multiple failed attempts to break higher, followed by a clear rejection from inside the 4H FVG and golden pocket. This kind of structure usually tells us two things: first, buyers are struggling to break through strong institutional resistance, and second, there’s still liquidity left below that the market may want to sweep before any continuation higher. This is where the FVG at 108.2k and the PDL around 106.5k come into play. Both zones are clean, visible, and highly likely to draw price if the current level doesn’t hold.
Fair Value Gap Reaction Potential
The 108.2k zone is where the first major reaction could occur. It marks a fresh 4H imbalance created during the impulsive move upward, and price is now backfilling that inefficiency. If buyers step in here, respecting this imbalance as a demand zone, we could easily see a rotation back up toward 110.2k and eventually a retest of the upper resistance band near 111k. This would be a typical FVG play: price rebalances into the gap, finds demand, and continues higher.
Failure Scenario and Liquidity Sweep Setup
If the 108.2k FVG fails to hold as support, the next target becomes much more obvious, the previous day’s low at 106.5k. That level is also a 4H swing low, making it a prime liquidity draw. A move below that low would allow price to collect sell-side liquidity, sweep out late longs, and potentially trap breakout traders expecting further downside. If this level is swept cleanly and followed by bullish displacement, it could offer a high-probability long entry from the discount zone. The risk-reward from this setup would be ideal, especially if we reclaim 108.2k afterward.
Market Context and Higher Timeframe Bias
Zooming out, the structure remains bullish on higher timeframes, but this local rejection is a necessary reset. It’s a shakeout that allows price to reprice into demand and generate momentum for the next leg up. This kind of behavior is typical in trending markets, corrective moves that dig into inefficiencies, hunt liquidity, and then reestablish the trend. As long as we don’t see sustained closes below 106k, the bias remains tilted toward continuation to the upside, with current price action offering a potential entry opportunity.
Price Target and Expectations
If we hold the 108.2k zone, my first short-term target is the 110.2k structure high, followed by the upper resistance area around 111k where the initial rejection occurred. A reclaim of that zone opens the door to expansion toward 112k. If instead we sweep the PDL and bounce from 106.5k, the first target would be a retrace into the 108.2k imbalance, with the next leg aiming for the same resistance range. Either path sets up a long opportunity from areas of value.
Conclusion
Bitcoin is at an important decision point. The rejection from the 4H FVG and golden pocket confirms strong resistance, and price is now seeking support lower. The 108.2k FVG is a critical zone, a hold here gives us a clean continuation setup, while a failure could lead to a deeper liquidity sweep toward 106.5k. Either scenario offers high-quality trade potential as long as we stay disciplined and wait for confirmation from price action. Patience is key, but both levels present opportunities to position long from areas where smart money typically steps in.
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