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Fairvaluegap

Gold Bulls Are Loading — Don’t Miss the Fair Value Launch Zone🔍 XAUUSD 30M | Smart Money Breakdown Gold just gave a liquidation + FVG bounce setup with a high-probability bullish reaction. Let’s break it down like a sniper 🧠👇 🔻 1. Falling Channel Structure Gold’s been grinding down in a neat descending channel, consistently taking out liquidity beneath swing lows. This compression usually ends in aggressive expansion — and Smart Money knows it. 🔁 2. FVG Reclaim = Institutional Entry Zone The chart shows a Fair Value Gap (FVG) perfectly respected around $3,226 – $3,236. Price dipped into this imbalance and is now reacting — textbook Smart Money entry. You're seeing clear demand stepping in after a sell-side liquidity sweep. 📈 3. Target = Upper Channel + Imbalance Fill If momentum holds, Gold likely reaches for the upper channel resistance and fills the imbalance zone up to ~$3,280+. That’s your primary draw on liquidity. 🎯 4. Trade Plan (RR ~3:1) 📍 Entry: Around FVG zone ($3,226–$3,236) ❌ Stop-Loss: Below the FVG zone ✅ TP: $3,280 (upper channel tap) Smart Money is entering early while retail waits for confirmation breakouts 👀 🧩 Key Confluences: ✅ Falling Channel ✅ Fair Value Gap Tap ✅ Bullish Engulfing Response ✅ Clean RRR Setup ✅ Liquidity Sweep Prior to Entry 📊 Summary: This setup screams Smart Money Accumulation. Gold hunts the lows, reclaims the imbalance, and is now gearing up for a bullish run. The reaction off the FVG is your golden ticket. Let price work — don’t chase, just manage risk like a pro. 💬 Comment “💰 XAU Sniper Setup” if you caught this one early! ⚔️ Follow @ChartNinjas88 for elite Smart Money plays. 👀 Tag a trader still shorting this range 😅
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ChartNinjas88
13
USDCHF 30M Smart Money Entry from Demand — Watch This Level🧠 USDCHF 30M | SMC Precision Entry Let’s break down this sniper play on USDCHF that’s setting up right from a Smart Money demand zone. 🔻 1. Liquidity Sweep Into Demand Price broke structure earlier, then pulled back into a clear demand block. We saw liquidity grabbed beneath multiple swing lows before this sharp rejection. This is classic Smart Money accumulation — they take out weak hands before pumping it up. 🧱 2. Order Block + FVG Alignment Price is reacting off a refined OB zone (marked in red) with a Fair Value Gap right above. That OB was the last down move before the push up, and price just tapped into it clean. The overlap of these two areas adds confluence for bulls. 📈 3. Entry + TP Setup (RRR ≈ 3:1) 📍 Entry Zone: 0.84070 – 0.84200 (inside OB) ❌ Stop-Loss: Below OB, around 0.84000 ✅ Take Profit: 0.84750 (clean imbalance above) There’s a wide imbalance zone above, which price may be magnetized toward. 🔥 4. Why This Works ✅ Liquidity Grab ✅ OB + FVG Confluence ✅ Bullish Reaction Wicks ✅ Tight SL Below Structure ✅ Clean RRR This setup is Smart Money 101 — let them sweep, you step in with precision 💯 💬 Drop “📍USDCHF OB Tap” if you saw this coming. 📊 Follow @ChartNinjas88 for SMC setups that work.
Long
by ChartNinjas88
EURUSD – Bearish Rejection and Targeting the 4H Imbalance ZoneEURUSD has shifted into a clear bearish tone following multiple rejections from a well-established resistance level. Over the past several weeks, price has struggled to break above that zone, showing consistent signs of selling pressure each time it attempted a push higher. The most notable move came when price briefly spiked above the resistance in what now appears to be a fakeout. That move did not hold, and it’s very likely that it served as a classic liquidity grab engineered to sweep buy stops resting above the range highs before reversing direction. This kind of behavior is typical in a distribution phase, especially when seen at a high-timeframe resistance zone. The fake breakout essentially confirms that the upside liquidity has been taken, and that smart money is shifting direction. Since that event, price has been making lower highs and lower lows, reinforcing the current bearish structure. Consolidation Structure Before the fakeout, EURUSD had been consolidating just under resistance, building up a tight range. This kind of structure tends to lure in breakout traders, and the eventual spike above the range likely cleaned out a lot of stop orders. What followed was an aggressive reversal back into the prior range, which is a strong sign that the breakout was not genuine. Since then, price pushed down and attempted a retracement, but that retracement got rejected precisely within a fair value gap. This is significant. It tells us that even during a pullback, the market is respecting inefficiencies and continues to deliver bearish reactions rather than signs of strength. That rejection further confirms that bears remain in control and that the earlier break was nothing more than a trap. Bearish Scenario With resistance holding and the fair value gap rejection now confirmed, I expect EURUSD to continue its descent and seek out deeper levels of interest. The most obvious draw on liquidity now sits below the current price, the large four-hour imbalance zone. This imbalance was left behind during the impulsive rally that preceded the fakeout, and it has yet to be filled. Inside that imbalance, there’s also a golden pocket level lining up almost perfectly. That confluence between the imbalance zone and the 0.618–0.65 region adds weight to the idea that this area will act as a magnet for price. Markets seek efficiency, and this entire zone represents a void that price is likely to come back and rebalance. The move into that zone would also allow the market to engineer sell-side liquidity along the way, particularly under the recent higher lows. Once those are swept, and if price begins to react inside the golden pocket, we may then begin to look for early signs of accumulation or even a bullish displacement, but until then, the short bias remains firmly in play. Price Target and Expectations The first key expectation is a clean sweep through the current local lows and a drive into the heart of the 4-hour imbalance. This is where I’ll be watching most closely for a potential change in behavior. Ideally, I want to see price push deep into the imbalance and tap the golden pocket before doing anything significant on the long side. If price shows a strong reaction there, such as a bullish engulfing or a clear market structure shift that would signal the potential for a reversal. Until then, any bounce is likely to be short-lived and corrective in nature. The structure is still bearish, and the fair value gap rejection reinforces that. Current Stance Right now, I remain bearish. I’m not interested in fighting this momentum by jumping into premature longs. As long as price remains under the level it got rejected from, and continues to print lower highs, I’ll maintain a sell-the-rip mindset. If price delivers a deeper pullback from here, it may offer a short-term intra-day bounce, but the core expectation is still a move lower into the imbalance zone. The area that interests me the most is the combination of the 4-hour imbalance and golden pocket, that’s the zone where I’ll shift from reactive to proactive and start looking for possible long setups. But I won’t consider longs unless price gets there and shows clear intent to reverse. Conclusion The market has already swept buy-side liquidity with the fakeout above resistance, and the rejection from the fair value gap confirms that sellers are still in control. Price is now being drawn toward the inefficiency below, and all signs point toward a continued bearish move until that imbalance is filled. Until price reaches that zone and delivers a reaction worth trading, I’m staying patient and waiting for the setup to complete. Chasing entries in the middle of the range here doesn’t offer the best risk-reward. The focus now is on watching how price interacts with the 4-hour imbalance and the golden pocket, that’s where I’ll reassess the narrative and consider shifting bias if conditions warrant it. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀 Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈
Short
by TehThomas
67
SUI - Leveraging Fibonacci & Elliott for Precision TradesSUI’s movement is rapid, sharp swings—both up and down. In volatile conditions like this, we aim 0.702–0.786 fib retracements (and occasionally 0.886 in harmonic contexts) for high‑probability entries. Below is a clear, Elliott-focused breakdown of the current setup and both long and short trade plans. Before diving into the charts, let’s cover the basics of Elliott Wave Theory. Elliott Wave Theory provides a roadmap for market psychology by dividing price action into two distinct phases: 1. Impulse Phase (Waves 1–5) Wave 1: The spark that ignites a new trend as early adopters push prices beyond the prior range. Wave 2: A corrective pullback that tests the strength of the emerging trend, often retracing 38–61.8%. Wave 3: The powerhouse wave—typically the longest and most dynamic—driven by broad market participation and often extending to key Fibonacci levels (1.618, 2.618). Wave 4: A consolidating correction that digests gains and builds the base for the final thrust; it must not overlap Wave 1 territory in a classic impulse. Wave 5: The final leg of the advance, often fueled by last bursts of optimism and weaker hands. 2. Corrective Phase (Waves A–B–C) Wave A: Initial counter-trend reaction as profit-taking begins. Wave B: A deceptive retracement back toward the trend, frequently trapping traders. Wave C: The concluding leg of the correction, which typically tests or breaks the low of Wave A before the next cycle begins. Key Points: Impulse waves showcase momentum and structural clarity, often aligning with Fibonacci extensions. Corrective waves follow Fibonacci retracements (38.2%, 50%, 61.8%), offering optimal entry points. Wave 3 is seldom the shortest; Wave 4’s complexity sets the stage for Wave 5’s final push. In the current SUI structure: Wave 1 ignited the initial rally. Wave 2 delivered a healthy retracement, a pullback close to the 0.618 fib, setting the stage for stronger momentum. Wave 3 roared to a powerful peak topped at the 2.618 extension ($3.875) Now, we’re deep into Wave 4, likely an ABC corrective pattern. This pause is critical—it gathers energy before the final push of Wave 5. Below is a clear breakdown of each wave, big-picture confluences, and trade setups. 🚀 Elliott Wave Overview 1. Wave 1 & Wave 2 Wave 1: Quick surge from $2.4175 → $2.75, setting initial momentum. Wave 2: Pulled back close to the 0.618 fib, creating a solid launchpad. 2. Wave 3: The Power Move Peak: Hit the 2.618 extension of Wave 1→2 and aligned with the –2 extension of Wave 1. Significance: In strong bull markets, a run to the 2.618 extension often precedes a meaningful pullback. Here, Wave 3’s exhaustion suggests a retrace toward the 38.2% Fib of that advance—our ideal Wave 4 entry zone. 3. Wave 4: The Correction All eyes on the $3.17 level—the projected 1:1 extension of A→B and 0.382 fib retracement of Wave 3. This confluence zone is yet to be tested and could offer an ideal Wave 4 entry. ABC Pattern: Currently working on Wave C. 4. Wave 5: The Finale Target Zone: $4.00–$4.35, with strong focus at $4.31 Extension Levels: 1.133 → $3.9695 aligns with the 0.618 fib retracement. 1.272 → $4.0683 is close to the weekly resistance level. 1.412 → $4.1678 alings with the 0.666 fib retracement. 1.618 → $4.3142 alings with the key swing high. 🔑 Key Confluence Levels Golden Pocket: $3.9739–$4.1492 (90-day retrace). Speed Fan 0.618: Support around $3.15. Fair Value Gap: Psychological: $3.00 major support. 📈 Long Trade Setup Entry Ladder: $3.25–$3.111 (stack orders to DCA) Stop‑Loss: $3.07 (just below the 0.786 Fib low) Profit Targets: Fib 1.133 at $3.9795 ($4 psychological & partial take‑profit) Fib 1.272 at $4.0683 Fib 1.412 at $4.1678 Fib 1.618 at $4.3142 Risk:Reward: ~6:1+ (average entry around $3.20 → SL at $3.07 → TP1 at $3.9795) 📉 Short Trade Setup Entry Zone: $4.00–$4.35 (sweet spot at weekly level/yearly open) Confirmation: Bearish reversal candle or volume spike down Stop‑Loss: Above $4.35 Target: $3.77 (near Wave 3 high turned support) Risk:Reward: ~2:1 (varies with DCA entry) ⚙️ Summary & Game Plan Primary Bias: Long in the $3.25–$3.111 zone—stack into the 0.382-0.412 fib retracement entries with tight SL, aiming for the $4.00–$4.30 upside zone. Alternate Bias: Short on a clear rejection within $4.00–$4.35, targeting $3.77 or lower. Risk Management: Keep stops tight to maximize R:R. Patience & Confirmation: Wait for price to reach these zones and show reversal signals (price action, volume, patterns) before committing. All set—now let SUI’s swings unveil the opportunities. Sit tight, follow your plan, and let patience pay its dividend. Happy Trading! ____________________________________ If you found this helpful, leave a like and comment below! Got requests for the next technical analysis? Let me know.
Long
by SiDec
26
USDJPY Smart Money Short Setup | 30m OB + FVG Reaction🧠 USDJPY 30m SMC Setup | May 9, 2025 We’ve got a high-probability short brewing as price taps the premium zone and aligns with multiple Smart Money Concepts. A clear Fair Value Gap (FVG) is sitting inside a bearish Order Block, with price aggressively wicking into it — right where institutions unload. 🔍 KEY CONFLUENCES: 🧱 Bearish Order Block rejection in premium ⚡ Fair Value Gap filled at 145.910 💰 Risk-to-Reward ~1:4+, targeting discounted zone 🧲 Liquidity sweep + FVG fill = SM distribution trigger ⏳ Entry timing aligned with NY session reaction 📊 Setup Specs: Pair: USDJPY Timeframe: 30 min Entry: 145.910 (after FVG fill) SL: ~146.246 TP: ~144.440 RR: Approx. 1:4.5 💡 Smart Money Logic: Price filled a clean imbalance zone, ran liquidity from earlier highs, and instantly showed distribution behavior. If momentum confirms with a bearish break, this becomes a high-conviction short. 📈 Chart Ninja Note: “FVG + OB is where the banks sell while the crowd buys… don’t be the crowd.”
Short
by ChartNinjas88
4
Bitcoin – Price Hits $100K, Will It Hold or Dive Into Demand?Bitcoin has officially reached the long-anticipated $100,000 mark, sweeping the psychological round number and clearing out a major pool of liquidity sitting just above it. This move came off the back of a sharp and impulsive leg, likely fueled by both spot demand and late-stage FOMO-driven breakout longs. At the same time, short liquidations added fuel to the upside, pushing price rapidly through thin areas on the volume profile. This type of vertical movement typically doesn’t last long without some form of corrective structure, and now that the $100K level has been tagged and liquidity taken, we can reasonably expect a period of cooling off, either through time-based consolidation or a more price-based retracement. Consolidation Structure The move up left behind two significant fair value gaps (FVGs) on the 4H chart. The first sits just beneath current price and represents the immediate imbalance created by the impulsive breakout candle. This is the shallowest inefficiency and would be the first area to watch for a potential short-term reaction. The second FVG lies deeper and overlaps perfectly with the 0.618 to 0.65 Fibonacci retracement zone, the golden pocket. This deeper zone is structurally more important, not only because it aligns with the golden pocket ratio but also due to its proximity to the high-volume node clearly visible on the Volume Profile (VRVP). Below this zone, there’s a strong base of support built from the previous consolidation area, making it a prime candidate for a bounce if tested. Bullish/Bearish Scenarios Scenario 1: In the bullish continuation case, Bitcoin retraces slightly to fill the shallow FVG just beneath $99K. A clean reaction there, especially if backed by strong volume and low timeframe bullish structure, could lead to a resumption of the trend with a fresh leg upward. This scenario assumes that the current breakout is being respected by the market and that participants are eager to front-run deeper entries. If this plays out, we’d expect a relatively quick reclaim of $100K, potentially building a new higher-low formation before continuing into uncharted territory above $102K. Scenario 2: The second and more complex scenario involves a deeper retracement toward the lower FVG and golden pocket, between roughly $96.2K and $95.2K. This would constitute a cleaner reset of the recent move and allow the market to shake out weak longs who entered during the euphoric breakout. It also opens the door for a possible inducement setup, drawing in early sellers only to reverse at a key confluence zone. The golden pocket, combined with the high-volume node just below, makes this a high-probability demand zone. If we see bullish SFPs, displacement candles, or lower timeframe market structure shifts from there, it would be a strong long entry zone for a reattempt at the highs. Price Target and Expectations If Scenario 1 plays out, we can expect price to reclaim the $100K level fairly quickly, with upside potential toward $102K to $103K in the near term. The risk here is limited, given the shallowness of the retracement, but continuation would likely be more gradual and grindy due to the lack of a proper reset. If Scenario 2 plays out, the bounce from the golden pocket could produce a much healthier structure for further upside, and in that case, targets beyond $104K become more viable. The lower retracement would offer a better R/R and allow the market to rebuild momentum organically. Current Stance Right now, we remain bullish on the higher timeframes, but recognize the need for a local correction. We’re not interested in chasing the breakout blindly, the move has already cleared a major liquidity level and needs to rebalance before any sustainable continuation. We’re watching both FVGs closely. If the first one fills and holds, we’ll look for signs of strength and continuation. But if price breaks deeper, we’ll shift our focus to the golden pocket and bottom FVG as the more attractive long entry. Below that, the VRVP shows thick support, so our bias remains bullish unless we get a confirmed breakdown beneath that base. Conclusion Bitcoin has done its job in tagging $100K and clearing the obvious liquidity pool above. What comes next is all about how the market digests that move. Either we get a shallow retracement into the first imbalance and continue higher from there, or we go deeper into the golden pocket and establish a more meaningful base. Both scenarios still lean bullish, the key is patience and waiting for the right structure to develop. There’s no need to force entries here. Let price come to your levels, wait for confirmation, and take the trade when the setup aligns. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀 Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈
by TehThomas
54
Mastering Fair Value Gaps (FVG) - How to use them in trading?In this guide, I’ll explain the concept of the Fair Value Gap (FVG), how it forms, and how you can use it to identify high-probability trading opportunities. You'll learn how to spot FVGs on a chart, understand their significance in price action, and apply a simple strategy to trade them effectively. What will be explained: - What is a FVG? - How can a FVG occur? - What is a bullish FVG? - What is a bearish FVG? - How to trade a FVG? ------------------------------- What is a FVG? A FVG is a technical concept used by traders to identify inefficiencies in price movement on a chart. The idea behind a fair value gap is that during periods of strong momentum, price can move so quickly that it leaves behind a "gap" where not all buy and sell orders were able to be executed efficiently. This gap creates an imbalance in the market, which price may later revisit in an attempt to rebalance supply and demand. A fair value gap is typically observed within a sequence of three candles (or bars). The first candle marks the beginning of a strong move. The second candle shows a significant directional push, either bullish or bearish, often with a long body indicating strong momentum. The third candle continues in the direction of the move, opening and closing beyond the range of the first candle. The fair value gap itself is defined by the price range between the high of the first candle and the low of the third candle (in the case of a bullish move), or between the low of the first candle and the high of the third (in a bearish move). This range represents the area of imbalance or inefficiency. ------------------------------- How can a FVG occur? There are several factors that can trigger a fair value gap - Economic news and announcements - Earnings reports - Market sentiment - Supply and demand imbalances ------------------------------- What is a bullish FVG? A bullish FVG is a specific type of price imbalance that occurs during a strong upward move in the market. It represents a zone where the price moved so aggressively to the upside that it didn’t spend time trading through a particular range, essentially skipping over it. This gap usually forms over the course of three candles. First, a bullish candle marks the beginning of upward momentum. The second candle is also bullish and typically has a large body, indicating strong buying pressure. The third candle opens higher and continues moving upward, confirming the strength of the move. The bullish fair value gap is the price range between the high of the first candle and the low of the third candle. This area is considered an imbalance zone because the market moved too quickly for all buyers and sellers to interact at those prices. ------------------------------- What is a bearish FVG? A bearish FVG is a price imbalance that forms during a strong downward move in the market. It occurs when price drops so rapidly that it leaves behind a section on the chart where little to no trading activity happened. This gap is identified using a three-candle formation. The first candle typically closes bearish or neutral, marking the start of the move. The second candle is strongly bearish, with a long body indicating aggressive selling pressure. The third candle opens lower and continues the move down. The bearish fair value gap is the price range between the low of the first candle and the high of the third candle. That range is considered the imbalance zone, where price skipped over potential trade interactions. ------------------------------- How to trade a FVG? To trade a FVG effectively, wait for price to retrace back into the gap after it has formed. The ideal entry point is around the 50% fill of the FVG, as this often represents a balanced level where price is likely to react. During the retracement, it’s helpful to see if the FVG zone aligns with other key technical areas such as support or resistance levels, Fibonacci retracement levels, or dynamic indicators like moving averages. These additional confluences can strengthen the validity of the zone and increase the probability of a successful trade. Enter the trade at the 50% level of the FVG, and place your stop loss just below the most recent swing low (for a bullish setup) or swing high (for a bearish one). From there, manage the trade according to your risk-to-reward preferences—whether that’s 1:1, 1:2, or a higher ratio depending on your strategy and market conditions. ------------------------------- Thanks for your support. - Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis! - Drop a like and leave a comment!
Education
by Youriverse
86
GOLD 30m Buy Setup | FVG + Fib Discount + Reversal Block🌟 GOLD (XAUUSD) Buy Opportunity | May 9, 2025 | 30m SMC Setup This GOLD setup on the 30-minute timeframe presents a textbook Smart Money entry. We’ve got a deep retracement into the 61.8% Fibonacci level, clear Fair Value Gap (FVG) demand zone, and a sharp rejection wick + micro reversal block right at the zone. 🔍 KEY CONFLUENCES: 🔻 Deep Discount: 61.8% Fib zone 🟧 FVG block inside key institutional candle 🧱 Reversal block right before the reaction 💥 Aggressive price rejection at 3,297 zone 📈 Targeting premium levels ~3,369.6 🛡️ SL below 70.5% (~3,293.2) — safe under liquidity grab 📈 Setup Specs: Timeframe: 30min Direction: Long Entry Zone: 3,302 – 3,303 TP: 3,369.6 SL: ~3,293.2 RR: Approx. 1:8+ 💡 Trade Logic: Smart Money engineered a sweep of local lows, then left an imbalance (FVG) as the market shifted. The 61.8% retracement + bullish wick combo confirms intent. The reaction is strong — we expect price to fill the inefficiency and target premium liquidity above. 🎯 Chart Ninja Tip: “Where price pauses, Smart Money loads. Where it explodes, they’ve already finished.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ChartNinjas88
BTCUSD – 30m Precision Entry from FVG & Fib Discount Zone🚀 BTCUSD BUY SETUP | May 8, 2025 | Smart Money Precision Execution This 30-minute chart screams Smart Money accumulation with a golden entry aligned at the 70.5–78.6% Fib levels AND a bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG) just below. Here’s the confluence breakdown you need to study: 🔍 KEY CONFLUENCES: 🟣 Fair Value Gap (FVG) between $97,800 and $98,550 – prime liquidity zone 📉 Deep Discount Entry at 70.5%–78.6% Fib retracement ($97,797 – $97,200) 🔁 Breaker Block + Internal BOS confirming upside intent 📈 Target: -27% Extension Zone around $100,920 ✅ RR: 1:4+ with tight risk below swing low 🧠 Execution Strategy: Enter near $97,797 – inside the FVG SL: Below 100% Fib (~$96,800) TP: -27% Fib (~$100,920) or scale partials at 0% / -10% Break-even management once price closes above $99,500 📊 Setup Summary: Timeframe: 30m Bias: Bullish Entry: FVG + Deep Discount TP: -27% extension SL: Below 100% Fib RR: 1:4 Structure: Smart Money Reversal 💡 Chart Ninja Insight: “Smart money enters where retail panic sells. The FVG is the highway—they’re just waiting to get on.”
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by ChartNinjas88
GBPUSD – 30m Buy Setup | FVG Entry + ChoCh + -27% Fib Target💷 GBPUSD Long Setup | May 8, 2025 | 30m Smart Money Model This 30-minute GBPUSD chart shows a perfect Smart Money shift backed by a clean Change of Character (ChoCh), a deep pullback into a Fair Value Gap (FVG), and confirmation via breaker block reentry. Let’s break it down: 🔍 KEY CONFLUENCES: 🟪 FVG between 1.32909 – 1.33112 🔄 ChoCh confirms structural shift from bearish to bullish 📉 Entry inside 50–79% Fib retracement (Discount Zone) 🧱 Breaker Block confluence with internal BOS 🎯 Target: -27% Fib extension = 1.33737 🛡️ Stop below 100% Fib ~1.32400 📈 Setup Specs: Timeframe: 30min Bias: Long Entry Zone: 1.33090 – 1.33110 TP: 1.33737 (Fib -27%) SL: ~1.32400 RR: Approx. 1:3.5+ 💡 Why It Matters: Smart Money often accumulates positions in hidden imbalances like this FVG zone. Retail traders get shaken out on the pullback — meanwhile institutions reload just below previous liquidity sweeps. The ChoCh confirms the shift, and boom — the liquidity vacuum fuels a launch to premium levels. 🎯 Chart Ninja Tip: “ChoCh isn’t just a signal… it’s a signature. It tells you Smart Money is changing sides.”
Long
by ChartNinjas88
Bitcoin - Bulls vs Bears: 88k or 100k?Bitcoin has broken through the 4H imbalance zone that also acted as an old resistance area. The break came through a clear displacement candle, which showed strong intent from the market. That same move left behind a new gap just under the previous resistance. Although price already retested that area once, it didn’t fully fill the gap, so we could see one more retest to complete the 50% line before the market chooses direction. Consolidation Structure The range before the breakout was clean, with multiple rejections from the resistance zone. That zone was front-run several times, then finally broken with conviction. Now, price is hovering just under that broken level, and the new gap created by the displacement candle is still fresh and technically unfilled. Below current price, there’s a large inefficiency sitting between 88.2k and 90k. This zone stands out because it’s not only a clean 4H imbalance, but it also aligns with the golden pocket retracement from the last major leg up. That type of confluence usually attracts liquidity, especially if price gets rejected from the gap above and starts moving lower. Bullish/Bearish Scenarios The bullish scenario would play out if price manages to reclaim the gap zone, pushes back above the resistance cleanly, and treats the gap as support. That would be a classic structure flip, where the previous resistance becomes a new base, and the gap gets inverted into a continuation zone. If we see that, the next upside targets would sit around the 96k to 97k area, where more liquidity is likely resting. On the other hand, if price moves into the gap and gets rejected again, that confirms sellers are still active at that level. In that case, I’d expect the market to push down and start filling the inefficiencies below. The 88.2k to 90k area becomes the primary draw. It’s packed with confluence from the 4H imbalance and the golden pocket, and it also lines up with previous demand zones. If price reaches into that area, it could trigger a strong reaction and potentially form the next higher low. Price Target and Expectations If we see rejection from the current gap, the target shifts to the 88.2k to 90k zone. That’s where I’ll be watching for bullish signs, since it’s the type of level where buyers often step in. A clean reaction there could be the start of a new leg higher. But if the market doesn’t get that low, and instead pushes up through the resistance, then the bullish breakout scenario is active, and we’d be aiming higher toward the 96k range or even the 100k. Current Stance Right now, I’m in reactive mode. The trade will depend on what happens at the gap zone. If we get another rejection from it, I’ll look for a move into the golden pocket below. If we reclaim the gap and break resistance, I’ll be looking to enter on confirmation of the flip. No trade from the middle, only once price gives clear direction from either key level. Conclusion This is a clean two-scenario setup. Either price fills the remaining gap and flips resistance, triggering the bullish continuation, or we reject from that area again and drop into the 88.2k to 90k range for a deeper liquidity grab. Both are valid, and both offer high-probability trades once price confirms the path. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀 Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈
by TehThomas
71
NAS100USD: Bearish Confluence Builds as Market WeakensGreetings Traders, Despite the broader bullish context on NAS100USD, current confluences suggest a potential short-term move to the downside. As we enter the New York session—with a key news release on the horizon—we anticipate heightened volatility. The critical question now becomes: where is price most likely to draw? Key Observations: 1. Shift in Market Structure: Price failed to break above the previous high and instead formed a lower high, signaling weakness and suggesting a possible reversal. This lower high, marked by multiple rejection wicks, forms what we identify as a rejection block—a zone often used by institutions to initiate sell orders. 2. Displacement and Bearish Arrays: Following this rejection, the market displayed strong displacement to the downside, confirming a market structure shift. This supports the likelihood of bearish continuation and increases the validity of bearish institutional arrays holding as resistance. 3. Current Zone of Interest: Price is now trading within a fair value gap (FVG) aligned with a reclaimed order block—a strong confluence area for potential bearish continuation. Just above this zone lies a bearish order block and another FVG, which may act as a secondary resistance should price wick higher before moving down. Trading Plan: Wait for confirmation at the current resistance zones before considering entries. If validated, look to target the liquidity pools resting at lower, discount price levels. Stay patient, trade with precision, and let the market confirm your idea. Kind Regards, The Architect
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by The_Archi-tect
9
Bitcoin - Is It Possible to Test the ATH Once More?The weekly structure on Bitcoin remains firmly bullish. After consolidating below major resistance through much of 2024, price finally broke out decisively in November 2024, triggering a clean impulsive move that led to a new all-time high in January 2025. That breakout was significant, not just a short-term spike but a structural shift that confirmed long-term bullish momentum. Since then, Bitcoin pulled back in a controlled and clean fashion, retesting the same zone that initiated the breakout. This type of price action, revisiting the origin of displacement and holding above it, is classic trending behavior and shows that the market still respects the bullish order flow. Consolidation Structure The zone that once acted as resistance has now flipped into support. Price dipped into the weekly candles that caused the breakout and closed above them, showing that buyers are still in control. That area also aligned with a fair value gap, giving additional confluence. The reaction out of this zone was strong, confirming it as a valid demand level. Since that retest, we’ve seen another leg up, and now a new weekly fair value gap has formed just beneath the current price. I’m watching that imbalance as a potential short-term pullback area, and ideally, I want to see price fill it to around the 50 percent level before continuing higher. Bullish/Bearish Scenarios The bullish scenario remains valid as long as Bitcoin continues to hold above the previous breakout zone. I’m expecting a pullback into the newly formed fair value gap, ideally down toward $89,000, which marks the 50 percent line of the imbalance. If price taps that level and begins to bounce, that would be a potential signal for continuation toward the highs. The bearish scenario only comes into play if price breaks back below the original breakout zone, invalidating the structure and showing weakness across the weekly levels. As long as we stay above that structure, there’s no reason to fade the trend. Price Target and Expectations Main expectation is a healthy pullback into the $89,000 zone to partially fill the new weekly imbalance. From there, I’ll be watching for signs of strength such as bullish engulfing candles or strong closes above the midrange of the gap. If buyers show up there, the logical next step is another attempt at the all-time high. The ATH remains the key target for this leg, and that’s where I’ll be looking to take partial profits or reduce risk depending on how price behaves near that zone. Current Stance Still leaning bullish. Structure is clean, key levels are being respected, and the market has shown a clear tendency to react from weekly imbalances. I’m not chasing price into highs, but I am interested in the 89K region as a potential re-entry zone. If price gives a clean reaction there, I’ll be looking to scale in or add to existing positions. NEWS TOMORROW Keep in mind that FOMC is scheduled for tomorrow, which could bring a wave of volatility across all risk assets. That might trigger wicks or erratic price action even if the higher timeframe trend remains intact. Manage risk accordingly, don’t overreact to the first move, and stay focused on the weekly structure. As long as the market respects it, this still looks like a setup that wants to reach for the ATH once more. Conclusion Bitcoin broke out in November 2024, reached a new ATH in January 2025, and has since pulled back to retest the zone that caused the breakout. That retest held perfectly and has now led to another move higher. With a new weekly gap in play, I’m watching for a 50 percent fill around 89K before the market potentially gears up for another attempt at the highs. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀 Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈
Long
by TehThomas
50
XAUUSD – 30m Precision Buy from 79% Fib + Liquidity Grab📈 GOLD LONG CONTINUATION – May 7, 2025 | Smart Money Masterclass Here’s a 🔥 textbook entry on XAUUSD, showing exactly how Smart Money engineered liquidity, tapped into the Fair Value Gap, and launched the price from deep Fib levels. Let’s break this down like a true Chart Ninja: 🔍 KEY CONFLUENCES IN THIS SETUP: 🧠 FVG Respect: Perfect reaction from the imbalance zone (gray box) 💰 Liquidity Sweep: Triple low fake-out → "Buy-side Engineered Liquidity" ($ symbols) 📉 Descending Trendline Break: Acting as a final bear trap 🧲 Fib Retracement: Entry from deep golden pocket zone (between 70.5% and 79%) 📊 50% EQ Magnet Above: Price reacting towards premium inefficiency 🚀 Risk-Reward Setup: ~1:6 RR targeting imbalance fill around $3435 🏗️ Structure: Price built a base with multiple accumulation candles before break 📈 Trade Details: 🟢 Entry Zone: $3,388 – $3,393 (limit filled within FVG + Fib zone) ❌ SL: Just below 79% zone at $3,386 ✅ TP: $3,435 (0% Fib level / top of the range + inefficiency) 📈 RRR: ~1:6 sniper level precision ⚙️ Execution Strategy: Confirmation entry after inducement wick FVG + Fib overlap = High probability zone Optional scaling in across zone: 70.5%, 75%, 79% First partials around $3,412, full TP at $3,435 zone 💬 Chart Ninja Quote of the Day: "The best trades don’t chase price—they wait for price to chase them." 🔒 SETUP SUMMARY: Timeframe: 30m Bias: Bullish Entry Type: Limit Confluences: FVG + Fib + Liquidity Sweep Trade Type: Reversal from Demand Confirmation: Structure shift + Clean W bottom 💾 Save this setup and study it frame-by-frame. 📲 Share it with your trading crew who still think breakouts are reliable 😉
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ChartNinjas88
XAUUSD – 30m Buy Setup | Fair Value Gap + Fib + Liquidity Sweep📈 GOLD LONG – May 6, 2025 | Smart Money Trade Setup We're seeing an incredibly clean bullish setup form on Gold (XAUUSD) with textbook Smart Money Confluences: 🔍 KEY CONFLUENCES: 🟥 FVG (Fair Value Gap): Price tapped the FVG perfectly and respected it 📐 Fib Zone: Confluence of 70.5–79% retracement with demand reaction 💧 Liquidity Grab: Below short-term equal lows before bullish push 📉 Divergence: Internal lower highs vs external equal lows = engineered setup 🧱 Structure: Short-term bullish BOS (Break of Structure) above recent swing 📊 Trade Plan (Long Setup): 🎯 Entry: ~$3,325.6 (FVG zone base) ⛑️ SL: Below FVG at ~$3,323 🚀 TP: $3,404 zone (clean inefficiency magnet) 💥 RRR: 1:5+ sniper trade 🧠 Execution Notes: Wait for LTF bullish structure shift confirmation (5m BOS) Add confluence with volume divergence or SMT (Smart Money Toolkits) Manage the trade once it reaches 3,350 zone Break-even and partials at mid-Fib zone (around 3,352–3,360) 💬 Chart Ninja Wisdom: "Price doesn’t lie—liquidity does. When price leaves a gap, Smart Money’s coming back for it." 📌 SETUP OVERVIEW: Timeframe: 30m Entry Type: Limit (FVG tap zone) Bias: Bullish Target: Clean inefficiency above Type: High-probability setup with strong RR and structure support 💥 Tap 💾 to save this sniper setup. 📣 Tag your gold-trading crew & get ready for that pump! 📆 Watch how this plays out live—discipline > hype.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ChartNinjas88
NAS100USD: Bearish Setup Builds as Price Retests Key Supply ZoneGreetings Traders, In today’s analysis on NAS100USD, we continue to observe bearish institutional order flow, and as such, our objective is to align our trading opportunities with this directional bias. Key Observations: 1. Bearish Break of Structure and Retracement: Following a clear bearish break of structure, price has retraced into a mitigation block. This zone represents an area where institutional buying previously occurred. As price trades back into it, institutions often mitigate those earlier positions and reintroduce sell-side interest—offering us an opportunity to follow their lead. 2. Confluence at the Mitigation Block: The mitigation block is further reinforced by the presence of a bearish order block, adding strength to the resistance zone. This alignment suggests the area may serve as a high-probability reversal point for bearish continuation. Liquidity Sweep Scenario: There remains a possibility that price may take out nearby buy-side liquidity (buy stops) before continuing downward. If this occurs, we will wait for confirmation before entering short positions, maintaining alignment with the overall bearish narrative. Trading Plan: Upon confirmation of rejection at the mitigation zone, we will seek to engage in short setups targeting liquidity pools in discount pricing zones. Remain patient, disciplined, and ensure each trade aligns with your strategy. Kind Regards, The Architect
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by The_Archi-tect
2
US100 – Bullish Continuation Setting Up Inside the ChannelUS100 remains firmly bullish, showing consistent strength after breaking out from the prior consolidation range in mid-April. Price action has been moving cleanly within a well-defined ascending channel, supported by strong impulsive moves followed by shallow retracements. Each pullback so far has been relatively controlled, and buyers have been stepping in aggressively from clearly defined zones, which aligns with the current risk-on sentiment across tech-heavy indices. Consolidation Structure We’ve now had two solid retests of prior fair value gaps (FVGs), both of which acted as demand zones and helped fuel continuation. The first pullback dropped into a previously formed imbalance, consolidated briefly, and then launched a strong bullish leg. The second did the same, creating a layered structure of bullish continuation through efficient retracements. Each of these reactions confirms that price is respecting areas where institutional orders may have been left behind, which adds confluence to the trend’s strength. Currently, price is working on forming a third FVG within the upper half of the channel. This is developing just below recent highs and has not yet been retested, which makes it a key area of interest. If the market pulls back into that imbalance with proper structure, it could offer the next high-probability opportunity to join the trend. Bullish Scenario If price retraces into this newly forming FVG and holds, especially with a wick or lower timeframe rejection candle inside the zone, it could mark the start of the next impulse. The overall trend remains intact as long as we stay within the channel and each FVG continues to serve as valid support. Given the strength of the previous bounces and the orderly nature of this structure, any retest into this new FVG would likely lead to another push into fresh highs and a move toward the upper boundary of the channel. Bearish Scenario On the flip side, if price fails to respect this new FVG and breaks below with momentum, especially if the channel support fails at the same time, it would be a sign that buyers are losing control. In that case, we’d want to see how price interacts with the last confirmed FVG below before making any bearish assumptions. A deeper pullback into that area could still provide another long opportunity if structure holds, but any sharp momentum break through both imbalances would put the bullish trend on pause and shift focus to downside levels. Price Target and Expectations Assuming the bullish structure continues to play out, the next projected move would be a clean rally toward the top of the channel. There’s enough space left between current levels and the upper trendline to justify an entry on the next pullback, provided it lands inside the newly created FVG. The setup is fairly straightforward, let price come back into the imbalance, confirm with lower timeframe strength, and ride the continuation leg. Current Stance There’s no need to chase price here. The best scenario is waiting for a patient retest of the fresh FVG forming now. If it pulls back cleanly, holds the zone, and gives confirmation, that would be the entry. Momentum, structure, and market context are all aligned for continuation, but the trade needs to be built off a level that shows actual commitment from buyers. Conclusion US100 is holding its bullish structure well, forming clean legs within an ascending channel, and repeatedly respecting fair value gaps as demand zones. With a new imbalance forming beneath the most recent high, the setup is shaping up for another continuation play if price rotates back and holds. It’s a wait-and-see moment for now, but if the FVG gets tagged and buyers show up, this could be the next leg higher in an already strong trend. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀 Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by TehThomas
47
"BTCUSD | FVG + Order Block Alignment | High Probability Play"⚡ BTCUSD Analysis - 1H Timeframe | April 28, 2025 📊 Price Action Breakdown: BTC printed a textbook liquidity sweep earlier today, tapping into the Discount Zone perfectly. Now, the market is pushing up into a high-probability reaction zone where Fair Value Gap overlaps with an Order Block. 🔥 Confluences: Fair Value Gap (FVG) = Imbalance zone needing filling. Order Block = Institutional demand/supply where Smart Money left a footprint. Fibonacci 79% retracement = Sweet retracement level for low-risk entries. 🧠 Why It's Exciting: The more confluences, the more Smart Money interest. Price is currently kissing the edge of the FVG, teasing a deeper tap into the OB. This overlap stacks probability heavily for a reaction — either a quick scalp rejection or a full-on move downward. 🎯 Potential Play: Entry: Inside the FVG or deep into the Order Block for premium entries. Stop Loss: Just above the Strong High (~94,629) to avoid wicks. Targets: Partial at 50% retracement for safer players 🛡️ Full send toward Weak Low zone (~92,839) for maximum RRR hunters 🏹 💬 Pro Tip: "Always let price show its hand first. Don’t assume, confirm." 🚀 Summary: ✅ Liquidity swept ✅ FVG + OB stacked ✅ 79% Fib lining up ✅ Smart Money trap possibly setting 🧘‍♂️ Play it with patience. The sniper eats last... but he eats the most. ✍️ Save this chart, tag your trading buddy, and prepare to strike when the premium entry triggers! ➡️ Comment "SETUP LOADING" if you’re stalking this with me! ➡️ Share this with someone who’s tired of guessing entries.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by ChartNinjas88
"EURJPY Rejecting Premium FVG | Smart Money Trap in Play!"EURJPY Analysis 🧠 | 15M Timeframe Price has tapped into the Premium Area, reacting off a high-probability Fair Value Gap (FVG) and Order Block confluence. Signs of rejection are starting to show, but momentum wasn't strong enough to push lower before hitting breakeven. Key Observations: Price aggressively tapped the Premium zone (around 79% retracement). Reaction from the embedded Fair Value Gap inside the premium zone. Possible minor liquidity sweep above recent highs (Strong High marked). Discounted zone below remains wide open as a potential future target. 🧠 Smart Money Concept Insight: Big players often drive price into a Premium Area, triggering breakout trades and trapping liquidity. After the liquidity is harvested, price tends to rebalance into the Discount Area. Today, price showed initial bearish reaction but lacked immediate continuation strength — resulting in breakeven protection hit. Current Trading Plan: Continue monitoring EURJPY for renewed bearish order flow signs. TP1 (if re-entry occurs): Mid Discount Area TP2: Weak Low liquidity sweep below SL (for any re-entries): Above Strong High Remember: 📚 Premium = Look for Sell Opportunities 📚 Discount = Look for Buy Opportunities Stay patient, protect your capital, and wait for price to confirm the next move. 📉 Focus on Smart Money footprints, not emotions.
Short
by ChartNinjas88
"USDJPY Crashing from Premium FVG | Liquidity Grab Confirmed!"USDJPY Analysis 🧠 | 15M Timeframe Price tapped deep into the Premium Area, perfectly aligning with a high-probability Fair Value Gap (FVG) and Order Block confluence. We witnessed a strong bearish reaction — classic Smart Money move in action. Key Observations: Price surged aggressively into the Premium Zone (~79% retracement area). Immediate bearish reaction from the red Fair Value Gap zone. Liquidity sweep confirmed above the previous Strong High. Discount Area below remains unfilled, offering juicy targets. 🧠 Smart Money Concept Insight: Institutions love to bait breakout traders by pumping into Premium Zones. After collecting stop orders and liquidity above highs, they aggressively reverse, aiming to rebalance into the Discount Area. USDJPY delivered a textbook liquidity grab before the sharp drop! Current Trading Plan: Bearish bias remains intact after the strong reaction. TP1: Mid Discount Area TP2: Weak Low liquidity sweep zone SL (for any new shorts): Above the Strong High Remember: 📚 Premium = Look for Sell Opportunities 📚 Discount = Look for Buy Opportunities Stay laser-focused on Smart Money footprints, not noise. 📉 Emotions out, execution sharp!
Short
by ChartNinjas88