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Fairvaluegap

STOP LOSS HUNTING STRATEGY 8.8% OR 10% REWARDSHORT AT STATISTICAL STOP LOSS FROM MAJORITY Will short at where most put their stop loss. This strategy is valid for me because this forex pair is indicating a bearish sentiment and the strongest ever recorded. But there is no previous statistics on such a price action. So I will short your stop loss which is around 160-167 (Aggressive account) and 170.5 (Buy and hold account). I have no believe in a bearish continuation beyon that, it will just carry on going bullish and I'm not interested into shorting or buying this premium as it was bullish for decades and will not offer an exit strategy and/or a decent Stop Loss size Factors of confluence: - Anchored VWAP 0.618 above - Monthly SIBI Fair Value Gap acting as strong resistance - Previous POC levels Take Profit: - EMA200 Weekly chart - Previous Fair Value Gap level - Previous Month POC of June 2023 that hasn't been retested and had a strong bullish candle - Quarterly Q1 Pivot Support Levels
Short
by Autistic-Machine
1
XAU/USD Gold - Both Side Long 30% / Sell 70% Point of InteresetHi everyone, i try to share some idea, feel free to leave a constructive comment to improve my skills ;) As the GOLD drop on friday, it could be a simple retracement on the 4h TF but in daily the gold rally does not really retraced on previous level. I should look at 2867 level (Key point 1) to be deterministic if we break the structure it may go to 2830 (Key point 2) and may bounce to 2900-2923 (Key point 3) to mitigate FVG and start the retracement to the 2700 to end the retracement on the OTE around 2700. If the break of structure fail on (Key point 1) we may bounce directly to (Key point 3) around 2900-2923 and then retrace to the OTE 2700. If the price breaks 2927 i will consider a bullish continuation and will find another entry after this break to target 3000. At this moment my feeling is more bearish than bullish. As the TA suggest that the bearish is near and the last economics are in this favor. my opinion may change during asian session and the price action on 2867 Key level. I wish luck to everyone. Kind Regards Niko
FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by Niko13821
NAS100USD: CPI Volatility & Institutional Continuation Sell-OffGreetings Traders, In today’s analysis on NAS100USD, we observe that the market remains bearish following a significant CPI news release. This high-impact event resulted in a sharp bearish displacement, reinforcing the ongoing bearish narrative. Yesterday, I shared an analysis predicting this continued bearishness. For those interested, you’ll find that analysis attached at the end of this description for deeper context. KEY OBSERVATIONS: CPI-Induced Displacement : The CPI release triggered a large downward move, forming a massive single candle that left behind a noticeable inefficiency—a Fair Value Gap (FVG). Liquidity Grab & Fair Valuation: After sell stops were taken, price retraced to fill the FVG, restoring fair valuation. This retracement fully closed the gap, confirming a continuation of bearish order flow. Premium Price Zone: We are currently in a deep premium price range, which aligns with institutional distribution zones. These areas offer excellent opportunities for confirmation-based sell entries. TRADING PLAN: Entry Strategy: Look for confirmation at the current premium price level before entering short positions. Targets: Focus on discount liquidity pools at lower prices, as these are the areas institutions will likely target to take profits. By following the institutional flow, we align ourselves with smart money practices, improving our precision and probability of success. Stay patient and disciplined—confirmation is key! For more context, here’s yesterday’s analysis below. Happy Trading! The Architect 🏛📊
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by The_Archi-tect
4
USDJPY → Fake Breakdown Gives Bulls a Chance!FX:USDJPY The price dips into support and creates a false breakdown below the lower boundary of the current trend. Meanwhile, the dollar is gaining strength, which could provide an opportunity for the currency pair to rise. The price has paused near a strong support zone, as the fundamental backdrop has been increasingly unstable and heavily influenced by developments in the USA. Attention has shifted away from Japan's interest rate hikes, with market participants now closely monitoring economic data from the West. From a technical perspective, the chart presents two potential triggers—one for buying and one for selling. However, given that both the global and local trends are upward, the bias leans toward buying. If the currency pair manages to sustain above the 151.9 - 151.95 level, short- to medium-term growth toward the targets marked on the chart is likely. Resistance levels: 151.94, 153.7, 153.97 Support levels: 150.95, 149.52 That said, if the dollar's correction persists and buyers fail to capitalize on the false breakdown of support, a drop back to 150.95 could trigger a breakdown, potentially leading to a decline toward 148.64.
Long
by PIPsOptimizer
BTC - Just Thinking about Volume and Price relation As my other active posts recently have been about the downward trend and BTC finding liquidity before a trend reversal and the second strong upward momentum of this market cycle. I surmised that the smart money wanted to test the bull market support moving average, 200ema on daily. ~84,500 - 82,500 . A large Fair Value Gap (FVG) on the Weekly Chart was created from the rapid price increase due to speculators and other investors FOMO'ing in on the rising assset. Large orders were left unfilled due to areas of support and resistance, trend and moving averages which are usually oscillated through during price movement while market trend leads the direction, speculators drive price increases and smart money attempts to drive price down to areas where they can profit, selling into the momentum during speculator price drives. I'm just thinking out loud here and really I only post these little updates while im interested in something and like to document it. I could be all wrong with how I am seeing this and perhaps if anyone ever does read this and can share some insight into price/volume relationships with the smart money institutional investors and whales I would be interested to heart their thoughts. However to continue , I see a discrepancy , Large Selling Volume, Negative Delta and it appears that there are some blocks where Sell volume cuts upward momentum abruptly and consistently The Chart should Show the areas that I am referring , I would be interested to hear what others think
by dasBoot
NAS100USD: Bullish Momentum Aims to Fill Market InefficiencyIn today’s analysis of NAS100USD, the market is currently delivering bullish institutional order flow, indicating a favorable environment for bullish opportunities. Key Observation: The primary target in price action is the market gap, representing a clear inefficiency that the market aims to fill. This gap serves as a draw on liquidity, aligning with institutional objectives to rebalance price action. Trading Plan: Objective: Look for opportunities to align with the bullish narrative. Target: Focus on the market gap as the key area of interest, anticipating it to be fully filled as the inefficiency is resolved. By following the bullish institutional order flow and targeting the inefficiency, we align ourselves with the market's structural objectives. Kind Regards, The Architect
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by The_Archi-tect
NAS100USD: Transitioning from Sell-Side to Buy-Side CurveGreetings Traders, In today’s analysis, NAS100USD has been delivering bearish institutional order flow, characteristic of the sell-side curve. However, bullish institutional order flow is beginning to emerge, indicating a potential shift to the buy-side curve. This creates an opportunity to explore buy setups, provided confluences align with confirmation. Key Observations: 1. Bullish Order Block as Support: Price is currently reacting to a bullish order block, which is aligned with a Fair Value Gap (FVG). This confluence establishes a strong institutional support zone. 2. Reclaimed Order Block: A previously reclaimed order block has been broken to the upside, suggesting that it may now act as support, reinforcing bullish momentum. 3. Discount Pricing: Price is currently within a discount zone, making it an attractive area to seek buy opportunities with targets at premium liquidity pools. Trading Plan: Entry Strategy: Look for confirmations around the bullish order block and reclaimed order block to justify entering long positions. Targets: Aim for liquidity pools at premium levels, such as highs, where institutions are likely to offload positions. By aligning with the emerging bullish narrative and observing institutional behavior, we can position ourselves to capitalize on this potential market shift. As always, patience and confirmation are key. Kind Regards, The Architect
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by The_Archi-tect
4
NAS100USD: Building Support for a Bullish BreakoutGreetings Traders, In today’s analysis of NAS100USD, the market exhibits bullish momentum, and we aim to align with this narrative by focusing on bullish setups. Confluences supporting this direction include key institutional support zones that present opportunities for potential buy entries. Key Observations: 1. Retest of a Breaker Block: Price is currently retesting a breaker block, a critical area of institutional support. This zone represents where institutions mitigate prior sell orders and reinstate buy orders, offering a strategic entry point. 2. Confluence with FVG (Fair Value Gap): The breaker block aligns with an FVG, further strengthening the support zone and enhancing its reliability for buy setups. Trading Plan: Entry: Look for confirmation within the breaker block and FVG area to establish buy positions. Approach: Focus on scalping opportunities, given the current short-term market structure and setups. By leveraging these institutional support zones, we aim to capitalize on bullish momentum with precision and discipline. Kind Regards, The Architect
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by The_Archi-tect
Key spot on the board for SOFI On the MonthlyNever financial advice. Just offering perspective. At a key spot for Sofi. In the midst of a monthly bearish imbalance, specifically a bearish fair value gap which holds more weight than a volume imbalance. We pushed off a bullish breaker which can be a solid indicator as a push up, with the the high of that green box acting as a support, followed by a strong bullish move. 16.47-17.13 is where the monthly bearish fvg begins and ends. A monthly close(13days) above 17.13 would be encouraging for bulls, with no bearish imbalances on this higher timeframe. If we cannot get a monthly candle close above 17.13 we can see a strong rejection, setting a new bullish range from most recent low to high, which we can then see a move back into discount. My ideal bearish outlook: Monthly bearish imbalance reject, which is currently at 50% bearish discount, to retest bullish breaker + bullish fvg + monthly liquidity sitting at the low of previous month10.63. Targeting ----> 8.53- 10.63. Ideal bullish outlook(continuation): Monthly bearish imbalance mitigated here with a monthly candle close above here. Next points of liquidity ---24.65---24.95 as targets. Ideal bullish outlook(entry or reentry): Entering ----> 8.53- 10.63. Be aware that this analysis is on a higher timeframe of a Monthly perspective and may take time to develop.
NASDAQ:SOFI
by bwinvests
BTC to 99,000 this weekBTC started the week with a huge liquidity sweep of $848 mill. Fair value gap ranging from $98,380 - $100,500. With a liquidity pool laying at $99,016 valued at $145 mill. 4H MACD signal line crossed into a bullish trend Monday 2100 with strong buyers that came from the liquidity sweep mentioned above, i think it is certain that price will continue up until it reaches $99,016 and we will see some resistance before then going into a sideways uptrend to fill in the value gap. BTC Liquidity heatmap: www.coinglass.com Even tho i have just shown 4 signals/building blocks for making my analasys i think it is enough data for making a prediction because of how strong these signals/building blocks are. Enter in an premium at mby $94,500. TP1 $99,000
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by LucasIMH
2
GOLD BULLISH TARGET 2025Based on Elliot Wave analysis, SAXO:XAUUSD Gold is currently in 4th wave of the trend where it has potential to continue moving up to its 5th wave completing it's wave. By using the Fibonacci ratio to measure the upside, it indicates that Gold will probably hit 2858 and 2946 in the future. Taking 3000 as its psychological resistance. Pattern analysis also shows symmetrical triangle pattern where if Gold has successfully breaks the downtrend line of the pattern, this will confirm that the 4th wave is completed and will continue catching upside target of the wave analysis. However, if Gold hits the downtrend line resistance which the area correspondent to the Fair Value Gap (FVG) area and starts to decline making minor correction, I would strongly recommend to find the nearest support to become entry point. Note that 2620 - 2610 is the strong support that Gold will probably not going to break to maintain its bullish pattern. Short term upside Target of SAXO:XAUUSD will be at 2762 as it is the Daily Fair Value Gap (FVG) which is likely for GOLD to hit this area. Gold Bullish Indication points: 1. Elliot wave on 4th wave 2. Symmetrical triangle pattern 3. Strong uptrend 3. Geopolitical tension 4. Expecting another rate cuts in 2025 History repeats itself: Last year on mid of February, Gold started its strong uptrend momentum until today where it has gained more than $700 in price. I would expect upward momentum later next February where it will continue going up until 2nd quarter of the year. Disclaimer!!! Do your own research!!! If you have any comments on my analysis feel free to drop comments below. Hopefully my analysis can be useful for traders around the world.
SAXO:XAUUSDLong
by louisdenirooo
1
Heavy Short coming.Starting it will want to fill some orders at the fair value gap (purple rectangle) at the top before dropping, but since that level i so high i i am not sure at all it will go there first. Then we see a huge fair value gap ranging from FWB:73K to $90K, massive lack of liquidity. And market can’t have that if the idea is for it to reach even bigger ATH’s. Under that FVG you can se several Liquidity lines (4 to be exact) laying before another FVG and liquidity spot comes again. So we see that market really needs to draw down there before acceding up. Red circle marks an order block (Price range where orders where filled) so we see that liquidity has previously been filled at that level so that supports my theory even greater that market is looking to drop down to that area. There are way to much liquidity missing there and liquidity to get under there again for market to go further up then were it is standing as off now. Hope you understood my POV, would extremely appreciate just a thumbs up or down! New to this.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by LucasIMH
2
Requested NQ Levels - NQ Bias chartJust one of my charts requested by the two people who read. On the 4h time frame they DO NOT, and I'll repeat, DO NOT leave fair value gaps untested. The only one theyve left is from the August 5 Yen unwind, which was quite artificial. Anyway, not super bearish or bullish, just cautious at the moment. Risk reward for me plays out in a question that sounds like, "Do you want to risk -30% for another +10%?" or would you rather forgo the 10% and find something a bit more better value? Think that's how a lot of NQ stocks are being looked at end of year. Again not calling for a rug, but quite possible NQ lags the IWM for this next leg. We will see, anyway feel free to ask any questions the chart is a bit messy, like my brain.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by ajx1124
4
$MRK Long-Term BuyHealthcare could possibly be the next rotation coming out of this tech bull run. Using the Trade Jeanie (Jeanius Screener/Indicator), I was able to see the current technical buy signals happening on NYSE:MRK : Inside a HTF fair value gap (12M timeframe) Testing a HTF uptrend line (3M timeframe) Larkuidity (Liquidity) Sweep The Jeanius Indicator shows green 'Combo' labels every time this same combination of signals happened The Jeanius Screener lets me filter my favorite tickers to see which ones are currently sweeping liquidity
NYSE:MRKLong
by jeanius_tech
NAS100USD: Bullish Setup with Key Support Zones in FocusGreetings Traders! Current Outlook📊: NAS100USD is displaying bullish institutional order flow, signaling a strong upward trend. Following this momentum, I am focusing on buying opportunities to target the liquidity pool at the swing high. Key Confluences🔗: Support Zone : Price has retraced into a significant area marked by the alignment of a mitigation block and a Fair Value Gap (FVG). Scalping Potential : This zone serves as an institutional support area, offering confidence to seek confirmation entries for bullish setups. Feel free to share your analysis, discuss insights, or ask questions below in the comments. Let’s learn and grow together! Best Regards, The_Architect
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by The_Archi-tect
DXY analysis based on ICT concepts and candle scienceHello, greatest community Since this is my first post, I sincerely hope you find it useful. I am going to start with a top-down analysis. First, based on the monthly chart. Currently, we are in the monthly SIBI, a reversal area. What are we supposed to look for next? A drop in momentum to the annual bisi target during the following months Weekly Chart It's Friday, the last day of the week. What can I see in this area right now? 1. It looks like we are about to create a weekly fair value gap, which we will trade from the following week in order to reach the next weekly SIBI shown on the chart. 2. On the other hand, we might make a BAG and search for the entry on the daily chart. NB: I will post more information this weekend if I find someone who is interested.
TVC:DXYLong
by bojmarley88_bm
1