Get started

Fairvaluegap

Bitcoin - Repeating History: 100k Next Target?Bitcoin is continuing to move with clean structure, driven by demand imbalances and breakout continuation setups. After the initial breakout from the mid-April range, price moved in a highly technical fashion, consolidating, breaking out, forming a fair value gap, and then retesting it before continuation. That exact structure looks like it's playing out again. Bitcoin just broke out of another multi-day consolidation and left behind a fresh 4h imbalance, suggesting the potential for another leg higher if it respects that zone on a pullback. Consolidation Structure The prior breakout came from a tight range just below $86,000. BTC spent several days compressing in that area, then broke out impulsively, creating a 4h FVG and retesting it cleanly. That retest held perfectly and launched a rally of nearly $10,000. The current setup is structurally the same. BTC spent 8 days consolidating under $95,000, repeatedly testing the resistance without breaking it. It finally closed decisively above, leaving behind another fair value gap. The sequence is familiar, sideways accumulation, breakout, FVG left behind, and now a setup for retest. Bullish/Bearish Scenarios The bullish scenario is centered on a retest of the new 4h FVG, located between roughly $94,200 and $95,000. If price pulls back into that imbalance and buyers defend it, the setup for continuation is clean. Based on recent behavior, a successful retest here could easily carry BTC toward the $100,000 level. If price instead breaks back below $94,000 and falls into the previous consolidation range, that invalidates the breakout structure. In that case, Bitcoin could either enter another range-bound phase or trap longs with a deviation. That would shift the focus to reassessing structure instead of chasing continuation. Price Target and Expectations The short-term upside target is $100,000. That level is both a psychological milestone and a likely liquidity magnet. From a structural perspective, it aligns with the last breakout leg, which moved over $9,000 after a similar retest setup. If buyers defend the FVG, there is not much in the way until $100,000. The momentum behind the breakout supports that expectation. The move was impulsive, clear, and not showing signs of exhaustion. As long as structure holds, price is in a strong position to continue toward that key round number level. Current Stance This setup is not a breakout chase, it’s a retest setup. The breakout already happened, and the market left behind a fair value gap that now needs to be tested. If price pulls into the $94K to $95K zone and reacts strongly, that would confirm demand. That’s the moment to step in, with invalidation placed below the FVG and former resistance. Until then, it's about staying patient and letting price come to the key level. The structure is clear, the plan is defined, and there’s no need to force a trade in the middle of the range. Conclusion Bitcoin looks like it’s repeating the exact same structure we saw earlier this month. Range, breakout, FVG, retest, that sequence played out before and led to a major leg higher. It’s playing out again now with nearly identical timing and behavior. If the 4h imbalance holds, the next phase of this rally likely targets $100,000. The structure is clean, the behavior is technical, and there’s no reason to overcomplicate it. Let price do its thing, wait for the retest, and if the reaction is strong, follow the same playbook that’s already worked once this month. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀 Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈
Long
by TehThomas
82
Bitcoin - Gearing Up for a Break Above Key ResistanceBitcoin has been grinding just below a key resistance zone, marked clearly around the 95,400–95,800 region. This area has seen multiple rejections in the past, making it a strong level where sellers are actively defending. Despite this, the broader trend structure remains intact to the upside, with price respecting a higher-timeframe ascending trendline and forming higher lows. Consolidation Structure Current price action shows a range developing just under resistance, with signs of weakening bullish momentum in the short term. We’ve had multiple wicks into the highs, but no convincing close above. On the flip side, there’s a visible support zone around 93,000–93,800, which has previously been used to absorb liquidity and fuel moves higher. This zone is confluenced by the ascending trendline from previous swing lows, offering a clear area for a liquidity sweep. Bullish/Bearish Scenarios In the short term, a pullback into the green support block looks likely. This would serve two purposes: sweep out late longs and provide fresh liquidity for a stronger bullish push. A dip into this level that still respects the trendline would maintain bullish structure despite violating the local higher low. If price holds this zone and begins forming higher lows again, we could see an impulsive move into and possibly through the resistance. A clean break and close above 95,800 would likely open the door for much higher prices, as the level has capped upside multiple times and a breakout would likely trigger stop orders and breakout buying. Failure to hold the green zone and the trendline, however, would break the short-term bullish structure and increase the probability of a deeper retracement, possibly invalidating the breakout thesis temporarily. Price Target and Expectations If the resistance breaks, the path toward 105,000 remains in play. That target aligns with the macro breakout structure and continuation from the trendline, supported by higher timeframe bullish sentiment. What do do now Watching for a pullback into 93,000–93,800 to see if liquidity is swept and support holds. No interest in chasing price into resistance. The key is to see how price reacts at the next low and then again at 95,800. If the pullback unfolds and buyers step in with momentum, that would provide the cleanest long opportunity into new highs. Conclusion The market looks poised for a short-term dip to rebalance liquidity before mounting a serious attempt to break a long-standing resistance zone. As long as the trendline is respected, the bullish structure is intact, and any sweep of local lows may offer a strong risk-reward entry for continuation toward 105k. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀 Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈
by TehThomas
46
NAS100USD: Bullish Continuation from Reclaimed SupportGreetings Traders, In today’s analysis on NAS100USD, we identify ongoing bullish institutional order flow, and as such, we aim to align our trading opportunities with this upward bias. Key Observations: 1. Retracement and Institutional Support: Recent price action shows a healthy retracement, with price finding institutional support at the rejection block. This was followed by strong displacement to the upside, resulting in a bullish market structure shift. This suggests the retracement may be complete, with further bullish continuation likely. 2. Reclaimed Order Block as Key Support Zone: Currently, price is approaching a reclaimed order block—a zone where institutions previously initiated buying before price traded higher. When price returns to this area, institutions often reclaim the zone to initiate new long positions. This reclaimed block is further strengthened by the alignment with a fair value gap (FVG), enhancing the zone’s validity as institutional support. Trading Plan: We will monitor this reclaimed FVG zone for confirmation of bullish intent. Upon confirmation, we will look to enter long positions targeting liquidity pools in premium pricing zones, where buy-side liquidity is likely to reside. Stay disciplined, wait for confirmation, and ensure the idea aligns with your broader strategy. Kind Regards, The Architect
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by The_Archi-tect
"EURUSD | FVG + Discount Zone Confluence | Long Setup Brewing"⚡ EURUSD Analysis – 1H Timeframe | April 30, 2025 📊 Price Action Recap: After a sharp decline, EURUSD has stabilized in a classic accumulation range, and now it’s dipping into a juicy confluence zone that screams Smart Money re-entry. 🎯 Key Zones Identified: Fair Value Gap (FVG) Price is currently balancing a recent inefficiency — Smart Money loves to reload here. Discount Zone 50–100% We’re deep in the BUY SIDE real estate. Institutions shop here. Do you? Strong Demand Candles have printed around this zone — with wicks showing absorption of sell pressure. 🧠 Smart Money Logic: Retail: "It’s breaking support… SHORT!" Smart Money: "Perfect discount — let’s BUY what they’re selling." 💸📈 This is how liquidity gets transferred — one trapped seller at a time. 🧩 High-Probability Entry Checklist: ✅ Price inside Discount ✅ FVG touched ✅ Accumulation range forming ✅ Bearish momentum slowing down ✅ Entries aligning with Fibonacci golden pocket 🚀 Trade Idea Setup: Entry: Inside Discount Zone (1.13980 to 1.13750) SL: Just below 1.13750 (the low of the block) TP Zones: TP1: 1.14400 (Recent High) TP2: 1.15000+ (Premium Area near -161.8%) TP3: 1.15740 (Final Exhaustion Point at -400%) 📚 Smart Money Quote: “You don’t buy at value, you buy at imbalance — where retail hesitates, Smart Money executes.” 🔥 📌 Final Take: This is not a guessing game. It’s a blueprint. EURUSD is setting up a possible Low-Risk, High RRR long — IF we follow structure, not emotion. Wait for bullish reaction from the FVG zone and trail up using internal structure shifts. 📈 📸 Save this chart — this is how sniper setups are built. 💬 Comment "BUY THE DIP" if you’re watching this zone too. 📲 Tag your trading buddy who always hesitates at entries. 😂
Long
by ChartNinjas88
2
Bitcoin - Major Daily Imbalance and Possible Move to $105k?Bitcoin already broke out of the bearish structure a while back, and honestly, that was the first major shift everyone should have been paying attention to. Ever since that breakout, we have been building bullish structure on the higher timeframes, higher highs, higher lows, and overall strong momentum to the upside. This gave the bulls a clear advantage, and so far, nothing has really changed that bigger picture. Consolidation Structure Now, looking at the current price action, something important stands out. During the last big push up, Bitcoin left behind a massive daily imbalance zone. It is way too big to just leave open like that. Markets hate inefficiencies, especially ones of that size, and more often than not, these kinds of imbalance zones get filled at some point. Because of that, I am fully expecting price to come down, revisit this imbalance area, and fill it properly before making any serious move higher. It is a natural thing for the market to do, clean up inefficiencies, grab liquidity, and then continue the main trend if the structure holds. Bullish/Bearish Scenarios The most important thing to watch here is how Bitcoin reacts once it gets into the imbalance zone. If we dip into it and then start seeing bullish reactions, I will be looking for confirmation that the bullish structure is still intact. Specifically, if we can avoid a daily candle close below the bottom of that imbalance, the bullish case remains valid. However, if we get a full daily close below the imbalance, that would be a strong warning sign. That would tell me that the bulls lost control and we could be looking at deeper downside or a shift back into bearish conditions. But as long as that does not happen, I am still looking for the market to respect the structure. A dip into the imbalance, hold, and then continuation higher, that is the ideal scenario. Price Target and Expectations If we get the reaction I am looking for after filling the imbalance, I think Bitcoin has a real shot at rallying towards $105,000. That level lines up perfectly with a strong resistance area on the chart, and it would make sense for price to reach for it if the momentum stays bullish. Now, reaching $105,000 will not be easy. That is going to be a major test for the market. There will likely be heavy selling pressure around there. But if the trend stays strong and we keep putting in bullish structures even as we approach that resistance, it is definitely possible to break through eventually. Current Stance Right now, I am being patient. I am not chasing the current move higher. I am waiting for price to come back down into the imbalance zone. If we get a proper retest and hold, that is where I will be looking for my entries, targeting the move towards $105,000. No daily close below the imbalance zone = bullish continuation plan still in play, Daily close below = reassess everything and possibly step aside. Conclusion To sum it up, Bitcoin already shifted bullish a while ago with the structure break. Now it is just about cleaning up the inefficiencies it left behind during the move up. If the market does what it usually does, fill the imbalance and maintain bullish structure, then the setup towards $105,000 is very much alive. Patience is key here. Let the market come to us. No need to force anything. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀 Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈
Long
by TehThomas
46
"BTC Just Triggered ChoCh! Are You Ready For The Next Big Play?"⚡ BTCUSD Analysis - 15M Timeframe | April 28, 2025 📈 What's Happening: BTC hunted liquidity above the previous highs (notice those $$$ grabs 🔥). A sharp sell-off followed = Clear ChoCh (Change of Character) printed. Price is now marching back into the Fair Value Gap sitting right inside the Premium Zone. 🚨 Critical Levels Highlighted: Strong High = Ultimate invalidation for bears if price closes above. Fair Value Gap (FVG) = First supply area. Order Block (OB) = Deeper, higher probability short zone. 🧠 Key Observations: Smart Money grabbed liquidity to trap breakout buyers. Now price retraces into the imbalance = prime sniper setup. 🎯 2-SCENARIO PLAN: Plan A — Short Setup (Main Bias): ✅ Wait for rejection signs inside FVG or OB. ✅ Trigger short entries only after bearish structure forms (M5 or M1 timeframe). ✅ TP1 = Previous minor low. TP2 = Weak Low (~92,800 zone). ✅ SL = Above Strong High (~95,400). Plan B — Breaker Play (Alternative): ✅ If price smashes through OB + Strong High with strength, flip bias. ✅ Look for bullish Breaker structure (retest + continuation). ✅ Target fresh liquidity zones above. 📊 Risk Management Tip: "React to confirmation, not prediction. Let price prove itself before you jump." 🧘‍♂️ Summary: ✅ Liquidity swept ✅ ChoCh confirmed ✅ Premium Zone retest incoming ✅ High Risk-Reward opportunity forming 🔥 This is where patience = profits. ➡️ Mark this setup, and let's trade like Smart Money, not like retailers. ➡️ Comment "PATIENT SNIPER" if you’re waiting for the perfect trigger!
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by ChartNinjas88
XRP - Bulls Preparing to Push Towards $2.50XRP has maintained a bullish tone after completing a significant gap fill, currently consolidating around $2.18. The previous impulsive move left behind an unmitigated imbalance below, suggesting that the market could be preparing for a controlled retracement. The overall structure remains bullish, but a corrective dip into key demand zones would align with healthy price development before the next leg higher. Imbalance Structure and Retest Expectation During the rally from the sub-$2.00 range, XRP formed a sharp move that created an inefficiency between approximately $2.05 and $2.12. This gap between buyers and sellers indicates that liquidity was left behind, often acting as a magnet for price. Currently, XRP appears to be positioning itself to retest this imbalance, refilling orders and potentially gathering the momentum needed for a stronger continuation. I expect price to sweep into this zone, likely finding responsive buyers as it rebalances the inefficiency and revisits previous structural points of interest. Reaction Zone and Bullish Confirmation The primary area of interest lies firmly within the $2.05 to $2.12 range. A reaction from this zone, confirmed by strong bullish price action such as a higher low formation or a bullish engulfing candle, would validate the setup for further upside. Following the retracement and bounce, the immediate objective will be a clean break above the $2.30 resistance. This level has acted as a cap on recent price action and represents a key liquidity threshold. A decisive move through this resistance would open the path toward higher targets, confirming the strength of the new impulsive phase. Upside Target Projection My upside target for this trade idea is located at $2.47. This level coincides with a previous high and clusters near the upper boundary of visible supply zones on the higher timeframes. Reaching this target would represent a continuation of the broader bullish structure while also completing a logical expansion leg relative to the recent price range. Risk Management and Invalidation The bullish bias remains valid as long as XRP holds above the lower boundary of the imbalance zone, around $2.05. A sustained breakdown below this level, particularly if accompanied by strong bearish momentum, would invalidate the idea, signaling that a deeper retracement is unfolding. Until such invalidation occurs, the approach remains to monitor the retracement into the key demand zone and assess the strength of the subsequent reaction for potential long entries. Conclusion XRP is showing strong structural signs of bullish continuation but may first revisit the unfilled imbalance below. A clean reaction from this zone, followed by a break above $2.30, would likely set the stage for a rally into the $2.47 target. Patience is key in awaiting the retest and confirming bullish intent before execution. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀 Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈
Long
by TehThomas
50
Bitcoin - Trap the Breakouts, Ride the PullbackBitcoin has been trading in a clearly impulsive structure, showing bullish intent after reclaiming previous consolidation zones. Recently, price action has driven into a significant area of interest, approaching the highs set on the 4-hour timeframe. These highs have not yet been swept, making them a likely target for liquidity grabs. Given the market's recent strength, it's reasonable to anticipate that market makers and larger participants may aim to run these stops to fuel a deeper retracement or set the stage for further upside. The higher timeframes continue to favor bullish structure overall, with price making higher highs and higher lows. However, within this bullish context, the market has left behind notable inefficiencies, particularly an untapped imbalance zone just below current price levels. These inefficiencies typically act as magnets, especially when preceded by strong directional moves, making them key zones of interest for potential pullbacks. Consolidation Structure and Key Zones After bottoming out near the $77,000 to $78,000 area in early April, Bitcoin has steadily climbed, forming intermediate accumulation structures and minor consolidations before each breakout leg. During the recent surge, price left behind a unified imbalance zone roughly between $89,000 and $91,000, which remains untouched. This area is highly relevant, as price has not yet returned to rebalance it. Just below that sits a previous strong support zone in the $82,000 to $84,000 region, which provided a solid base for the current leg higher. An additional lower imbalance zone lies slightly above $80,000, offering a potential secondary demand area in case the primary zone fails. Liquidity and Imbalance Zone The current expectation is for Bitcoin to complete a sweep of the 4H swing high, tapping into the resting buy stops above. These types of moves often serve as traps for breakout buyers, allowing institutions to offload positions into demand and prepare for a retracement. Once the liquidity is taken, the next logical move would be a return toward the unfilled imbalance zone highlighted on the chart. This zone not only represents technical inefficiency, but also aligns with the concept of fair value. Price often returns to these areas to find willing buyers, rebalance supply-demand discrepancies, and establish a base before continuing in the prevailing direction. Given the strength of the previous rally, a healthy retracement into this zone would still maintain overall bullish market structure. Bullish Scenario If the price sweeps the high and retraces into the $89,000 to $91,000 zone, we want to see signs of absorption and bullish structure forming within this region. Confirmation may come in the form of bullish order blocks, internal BOS (break of structure), or a clear rejection wick indicating buyers are stepping in. Should these conditions be met, this zone provides a compelling long opportunity, with upside targets set toward previous highs and potential extension levels above $96,000. Bearish Contingency Plan In the event that the unified imbalance fails to hold, attention shifts to the next key zones. The first is the minor imbalance closer to $85,000, which could offer a short-term bounce. Failing that, the broader support zone at $83,000 highlighted on the chart, becomes a more significant area to watch. This zone previously acted as the springboard for the current rally and may provide the structural support necessary for a larger bullish continuation. Conclusion This setup reflects a classic smart money concept, liquidity engineering followed by a return to inefficiency. The trade idea rests on the premise that markets rarely move in a straight line and often seek to rebalance themselves after aggressive trends. By allowing price to sweep the highs, fill the imbalance, and re-establish support, we can position ourselves with the trend in a favorable risk-reward context. The bias remains bullish, but execution depends on price reaction at key levels and confirmation of intent. __________________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀 Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈
Long
by TehThomas
67
NAS100USD: Bullish Scalping Opportunity Within Fair Value GapGreetings Traders, On NAS100USD, the current market structure is clearly bullish. To capitalize on this momentum, we aim to align our intraday opportunities with the prevailing trend. At present, price has retraced into a fair value gap (FVG), presenting a potential high-probability zone for a bullish reaction. Upon receiving confirmation, this setup offers a favorable opportunity to enter long positions, with the objective of targeting the liquidity pool situated above. Key Focus: Structure: Bullish Entry Zone: Fair Value Gap (retracement) Target: Overhead liquidity pool As always, ensure confirmation before executing any trades, and remain disciplined in managing your risk. Kind Regards, The Architect
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by The_Archi-tect
2
Bitcoin – Testing Major Resistance: 95k next target?Bitcoin is currently trading inside a significant resistance zone between $88,000 and $89,000. This area has acted as a strong supply zone in the past, evidenced by multiple rejections that led to notable sell-offs. The recent upward momentum that brought price back into this area was backed by a strong rally off the April lows, pushing through local structure and recovering critical levels. However, despite the strength of this move, price is now approaching a decision point where bulls need to prove continuation capacity or risk triggering another corrective leg. Consolidation Structure The current structure reflects a potential accumulation base forming below resistance, marked by a series of higher lows and a compression of volatility. This typically precedes a breakout, though it also heightens the risk of a sharp rejection should buyers fail to sustain pressure. The local trend remains bullish on the 4H timeframe, but the lack of follow-through above resistance so far suggests hesitation. Price is essentially coiling beneath a ceiling, building pressure for a breakout or breakdown move in the coming sessions. Bullish Scenario If Bitcoin is able to cleanly break above the $89,000 resistance level, the key confirmation will be a successful retest of this zone from above. This area, once flipped into support, would offer a strong launchpad for continuation toward the next key target at $95,000. This target aligns with the measured move projection from the recent range and also represents a psychological milestone that may attract momentum buyers. A confirmed breakout and retest would signal strength from bulls and invalidate the prior resistance structure, transitioning it into new support. Bearish Scenario Alternatively, if price fails to break above the resistance zone and prints another rejection, I expect a retracement to follow. The first major area of interest on the downside is the imbalance zone between approximately $84,000 and $85,500. This level also aligns with the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement, and given the inefficiency left behind from the recent rally, it serves as a logical short-term support area. A bounce here would not be surprising, particularly on the first touch. However, should price break below and close beneath this zone, it would indicate weakness and open the door for a deeper corrective move. The next major downside target in that case would be the golden pocket between $79,500 and $80,500. This zone carries strong confluence: it’s formed by the 0.618–0.65 Fibonacci retracement, a previously unfilled price void (PVG), and the base of the recent rally. Price reaching this area would likely attract interest from both buyers looking for re-entry and shorts looking to cover. A reaction from this level could set the stage for a medium-term bounce or even a new accumulation phase. Current Stance At the moment, my stance is neutral-to-bullish while price remains within the resistance zone. I'm closely monitoring for a clean breakout and retest, which would trigger a long setup targeting the $95K area. Until that breakout occurs, caution is warranted due to the risk of rejection and retracement. If price breaks down from the current level, I will shift my focus to lower support zones, particularly the imbalance region and the golden pocket, for potential long opportunities or further confirmation of bearish momentum. Conclusion Bitcoin is at a pivotal point technically. The structure and momentum suggest the possibility of a bullish continuation, but confirmation through breakout and retest is essential. A failure to break and hold above resistance will likely initiate a retracement, with the imbalance zone serving as the first major test. If that zone fails, a trip toward the golden pocket at $80K becomes increasingly probable. This is a reactive zone-to-zone environment, and both breakout and breakdown scenarios offer actionable setups based on confirmation. __________________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀 Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈
by TehThomas
73
NAS100USD: Bearish Momentum Likely to Extend in NY SessionGreetings Traders! At present, NAS100USD continues to reflect clear bearish institutional order flow. This is evidenced by the consistent formation of lower lows and the way bearish arrays—such as fair value gaps and order blocks—continue to hold as effective resistance zones. Key Observations: Sustained Bearish Structure: The market has maintained a downward trajectory, with each rally being absorbed by bearish arrays. This behavior reinforces the dominance of institutional selling pressure. High Volatility Window – New York Session: With the New York session now underway, heightened volatility is expected. This presents a favorable environment for bearish continuation trades, particularly if price respects the key supply zones. Trading Strategy: Entry Consideration: I am awaiting a retracement into a key bearish array—either a fair value gap or a bearish order block. Upon confirmation of rejection from these zones, I will seek to enter short positions. Profit Targets: The primary objective will be to target liquidity pools residing at lower discount levels. These areas represent external liquidity where institutional participants are likely to complete order execution. By aligning with the prevailing bearish institutional narrative and waiting for high-probability confirmations within premium zones, we can strategically position ourselves to benefit from further downside momentum during this high-impact session. Kind Regards, The Architect
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by The_Archi-tect
2
NAS100USD: Bearish Continuation After FVG RebalanceGreetings Traders! In today’s analysis of NAS100USD, the institutional order flow remains bearish, continuing the momentum established during last week’s trading sessions. In alignment with this directional bias, we are strategically focused on identifying high-probability bearish opportunities. KEY OBSERVATIONS: Sustained Bearish Order Flow: Institutional behavior continues to reflect a bearish narrative, suggesting that smart money remains committed to driving price lower. Rebalancing a Fair Value Gap (FVG): Price is currently rebalancing a notable fair value gap—an internal range inefficiency—providing the perfect confluence zone for bearish setups. This rebalancing typically precedes a draw on external liquidity. Targeting External Range Liquidity: As the market rebalances internal inefficiencies (FVGs, order blocks), it subsequently seeks external range liquidity such as sell stops, liquidity pools, and engineered lows. This is a fundamental principle of institutional price delivery. TRADING PLAN: Entry Consideration: Monitor price action within the fair value gap for confirmation of bearish intent. This zone serves as an internal liquidity area, optimal for institutional order execution. Profit Targets: Focus on external liquidity resting below previous lows—particularly sell stops and liquidity pools. These levels represent the logical draw where institutions aim to finalize order pairing and take profit. By following the institutional flow, we align ourselves with smart money practices, improving our precision and probability of success. Stay patient and disciplined—confirmation is key! Its good to be back, The_Architect
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by The_Archi-tect
Bitcoin - Who Will Take Control: Bulls or Bears?Bitcoin is currently exhibiting a prolonged phase of sideways movement, trading within a clearly defined consolidation range. After a sharp move to the upside earlier this month, price has stalled and started to range between the resistance zone near $86,000 and support around $82,000. This type of price action typically suggests indecision in the market, where neither buyers nor sellers are in full control. The candles within this range are relatively choppy, with many wicks on both sides, further reinforcing the idea that this is a low-conviction environment. It reflects a battle between opposing market participants, and historically, such consolidations often precede strong directional moves. Until this range is broken, price is likely to continue moving sideways with potential for false breakouts and low-probability trade setups. The Consolidation Range The current consolidation is outlined with clear visual zones. The upper boundary acts as resistance and is highlighted in red, while the lower boundary, acting as support, is marked in green. The range itself is filled in blue, representing the broader area of indecision and price balance. This consolidation is not minor—it has held for several days with multiple rejections from both the resistance and support levels. The more time price spends within a range like this, the more significant the breakout is likely to be. Liquidity builds up at the highs and lows of these ranges, and eventually one side will be taken out, leading to an expansion move. Bullish Breakout Scenario If Bitcoin manages to break and close decisively above the resistance zone, this would signal a potential shift in market sentiment toward the upside. A breakout above this level is likely to trigger stop-loss orders from short-sellers and attract breakout traders entering long positions. The chart suggests that if this bullish breakout occurs, price will likely target the liquidity resting above recent swing highs, which are marked by the black horizontal lines. These levels represent areas where traders may have placed their stop orders, making them attractive targets for a price sweep. Following this, Bitcoin could enter a new trend phase, potentially setting up a continuation of the larger bullish structure that preceded the consolidation. It is important, however, to wait for confirmation. A clean breakout followed by a retest or strong follow-through volume would provide greater confidence in a bullish continuation. Entering prematurely could result in being caught in a false breakout, especially in a ranging market like this. Bearish Breakdown Scenario Alternatively, if price breaks below the support zone with conviction, this would be a clear bearish signal. A move below the lower boundary of the range would imply that the buyers have been exhausted and that sellers have regained control. In this scenario, the expectation is that price will seek out the inefficiencies and untested price action below, particularly the yellow zone marked on the chart. This area likely represents a previous gap or imbalance—zones where price moved rapidly in the past and did not spend much time. Such zones often act as magnets for price once a breakdown occurs, as the market seeks to fill in that inefficiency. This bearish move could lead to a significant drop, potentially targeting levels as low as the upper $70,000s or even lower, depending on how strong the selling pressure becomes. Much like the bullish scenario, it's critical to watch for confirmation. A candle close below support with strong volume would be an ideal trigger for this bearish thesis. No-Trade Zone and Strategy Until Bitcoin breaks out of this range in either direction, there are no clear high-probability trades. Entering within the range is inherently risky due to the lack of momentum and high chance of reversals. Whipsawing price action can easily trigger stop-losses and create frustration for traders trying to anticipate moves before confirmation. The most prudent approach in this situation is patience. Let the market show its hand. Once a breakout occurs, whether to the upside or downside, the path forward becomes more defined and trade setups with favorable risk-to-reward ratios will emerge. For now, this is a textbook no-trade zone—ideal for observing and planning, not for forcing entries. Conclusion Bitcoin is currently at a critical juncture. The ongoing consolidation is a precursor to a larger move, and while the direction is not yet confirmed, the zones of interest are clearly mapped out. A breakout above resistance will suggest a bullish continuation, targeting liquidity above recent highs. A breakdown below support will imply a bearish move toward the inefficiencies and untested price areas below. In markets like this, discipline is key. The goal is to avoid getting chopped up in the range and instead position yourself on the right side once momentum returns. The next breakout will likely set the tone for the coming days or even weeks—so patience now could lead to greater reward later. __________________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀 Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈
by TehThomas
92
EURUSD – Pullback before a new move?EURUSD has been consolidating for several sessions now after making a strong impulsive move to the upside earlier this month. Since breaking above the 1.1150 level, momentum has started to slow down and price is beginning to range near the recent highs. That alone isn’t surprising strong impulsive moves are almost always followed by periods of consolidation or retracement as the market pauses, takes profits, and reevaluates. What catches my attention now is how weak the price action looks during this consolidation. The candles are getting smaller, wicks are getting longer, and there’s not much follow-through on the bullish side anymore. This kind of price behavior typically shows indecision or exhaustion buyers are no longer driving price with the same force and sellers are starting to creep back in. So instead of chasing this move higher, I’m positioning myself for a pullback into a key demand zone that I think will offer a much higher probability long setup. The Level I’m Watching – Golden Pocket with Imbalance Confluence The zone I’m targeting for a potential entry sits in the 1.1070 to 1.1170 area. This range covers the golden pocket retracement zone, between the 61.8% and 65% Fibonacci levels measured from the recent impulse low to high, and overlaps with multiple technical factors that make it extremely attractive. First off, this zone contains three separate unfilled imbalance areas (or fair value gaps), created by aggressive bullish candles on the way up. These are areas where price moved too quickly to fill all orders on both sides, which leaves inefficiencies in the market. The market tends to revisit these areas to rebalance before continuing in the prevailing direction. So from a pure price action perspective, the unfilled imbalances create a natural magnet for price to retrace into. Second, we’ve got historical resistance right in this same zone. If you look back a few sessions, price rejected this level multiple times before finally breaking through. Now that we’re above it, there’s a strong chance this area flips into support. This concept resistance turning into support is a classic and reliable price action behavior, especially when it lines up with other tools like fibs and imbalances. Trend Structure Still Intact What’s crucial to me here is that a pullback into this zone will not break the overall bullish market structure. We’re still printing higher highs and higher lows, and a retracement into the golden pocket would simply be another higher low within the current uptrend. There’s also a clean ascending trendline from early April that hasn’t been breached. If price respects that trendline again while dipping into this demand zone, that would add further confluence to the setup. It would mean the trendline, golden pocket, unfilled imbalances, and historical support are all lining up at the same point that’s a textbook area where I want to be a buyer. Entry Triggers and Execution Plan I’m not looking to blindly set a limit order in this zone. I want confirmation that buyers are stepping in and that we’re getting a shift in momentum. Ideally, I’ll drop to a lower timeframe like the 1H or even the 15M and wait for a clear change of character — something like: A break of a local lower high A bullish engulfing candle at the base A sweep of liquidity below recent lows followed by a strong push back above structure Once I see that kind of reaction, I’ll consider entering a long position. My stop will go just below the structure low or the lowest point of the zone, depending on the entry signal. I’ll give it enough room to avoid getting wicked out on a false break. As for targets the first obvious one is the current range high around 1.1350. If we get a strong reaction, I’ll trail part of the position and look for continuation into new highs. This pullback could set the stage for the next leg of the broader bullish trend, especially if DXY starts showing weakness again. Why I’m Not Shorting Here Even though price looks weak and a retracement seems likely, I’m not interested in shorting this setup. We’re still firmly in bullish structure and shorting into a healthy uptrend just doesn’t make sense to me unless I’m scalping. The risk to reward just isn’t favorable on the short side right now I’d rather wait for price to come to my zone and then look for confirmation to go with the trend. Final Thoughts EURUSD is consolidating after a strong move up and I’m expecting a pullback. The golden pocket zone, stacked with unfilled imbalances and previous resistance, looks like the ideal place for a bullish reaction. As long as we stay above that zone, structure stays bullish and I’ll be looking for long opportunities once price confirms the bounce. Patience is key here. I’m not rushing into anything, but if price gives me the reaction I’m looking for in that zone, I’ll be ready to execute. The setup aligns well with both technical structure and market behavior and I’ll continue to monitor price action closely over the next few sessions. __________________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀 Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈
Long
by TehThomas
51
Bitcoin - Rejection at Resistance: Watching $80K and BelowBitcoin is currently trading within a tight range between $84,000 and $85,000, a region that has acted as a strong resistance multiple times in the recent past. Bulls have tried to break through this level, but we’re starting to see some clear signs of exhaustion. Price is struggling to create a new higher high, and unless we see a clean breakout above this resistance, this could be the early signs of a lower high formation. A failure to break out here would indicate that bullish momentum is starting to fade, and that sellers are gaining control again in this zone. This could open the door for a short-term pullback before we see any renewed upside. Major Resistance Holding Price Down The red zone on the chart marks a key supply area, where sellers continue to step in aggressively. Multiple rejections have formed here, which gives this level more weight. Unless Bitcoin sees a strong breakout above $85,000 with volume, this area will likely hold price down. What we want to watch now is whether price can push through this resistance or whether it will roll over and confirm the rejection. Short-Term Bearish Bias – Eyes on Imbalance Zone If Bitcoin fails to break above this resistance, the most logical target on the downside becomes the $80,000 range. This level is interesting for two reasons: It lines up with an unfilled imbalance zone on the 4H chart. There’s also the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level in the same area. This imbalance acts like a magnet for price, pulling price back into it to rebalance the inefficiency in the market. If momentum shifts to the downside, this is a very likely level for price to revisit. I’ll be watching this area closely for potential bullish reactions or continuation setups depending on how price behaves once we tap into it. Strong Support and Golden Pocket Below If the $80K zone doesn’t hold, I’ll be turning my attention towards the next major area of interest — the $78,500 level. This is where we have two very strong factors aligning: The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level (also known as the golden pocket). A key historical support zone that has held well in previous pullbacks. This level has a lot of confluence, which increases the chances of seeing a reaction or reversal from here if we drop that far. In my opinion, this is one of the strongest zones currently sitting below us. If price gets here, I’ll be watching closely for a solid long setup. What Comes Next? For now, I remain cautiously bearish in the short term. Price has been rejected at resistance and hasn’t shown the strength to break out just yet. If we start forming more lower highs and lose the support structure at $84K, I think we’ll make our way back down toward $80K. What happens at that point will be key: Bounce from $80K? We could get a short-term relief rally and retest the resistance. Fail to hold $80K? Then I’m expecting price to dig deeper into the golden pocket and potentially find strong support at $78.5K. At this stage, I’m not looking for longs unless price gives a clear reaction from one of the key levels below. The risk-to-reward on shorts looks more attractive while we remain under resistance. Summary Resistance at $85K–$84K is still holding strong. If rejected here, I’m targeting $80K (imbalance zone). Below that, $78.5K is a major support with golden pocket confluence. Short-term bias is bearish unless we break above resistance with volume. Watching for clean setups around these levels before taking action. __________________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀 Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈
Short
by TehThomas
62
Bitcoin - Bulls Took Control: 85k Next?Bitcoin continues to show signs of strength as the previously formed double bottom structure remains valid. This pattern, commonly associated with a bullish reversal, suggests that buyers have successfully defended a key support area and are now regaining control. The second bottom reinforced the significance of this level, confirming the presence of demand and a potential shift in momentum. Unlike the previous scenario where bearish pressure threatened to invalidate the pattern, this time the market has respected the formation. The double bottom is holding firm, and price has begun to move higher, offering further confirmation of short-term bullish intent. Support Found Within the 4-Hour Imbalance A critical turning point in the current price action came as Bitcoin dipped into a 4-hour imbalance zone and found strong support. This area, marked by a sharp displacement in price, often acts as a magnet for liquidity before the market continues in its intended direction. The bounce from this imbalance not only held but was followed by a decisive move above the zone. This development is important because it confirms that buyers were waiting in this inefficiency to accumulate, and the resulting upward movement reinforces the idea that this was a high-probability support level. The break above the imbalance now positions Bitcoin to potentially pursue higher liquidity areas. Potential Move Toward the 4-Hour Fair Value Gap With the imbalance zone now acting as support, price appears poised to push higher into the next key area: the 4-hour fair value gap located above. This FVG has not yet been fully filled, and Bitcoin has historically shown sensitivity to this zone, rejecting multiple times from it without managing to reclaim or fill even 50% of the gap. Given the current bullish structure and momentum, there is now a real possibility that price could seek to fill this fair value gap more substantially—potentially up to the 85,000 region. This would align with the typical behavior of price returning to inefficiencies in the market, especially when backed by a valid reversal pattern such as the double bottom. The 85,000 area also overlaps with a previously defined resistance, so while this presents a logical target for bulls, it may also be where sellers attempt to reassert themselves. Watching price behavior as it approaches this zone will be crucial for managing risk and spotting any early signs of reversal. Conclusion Bitcoin is currently respecting the double bottom structure and has found renewed strength after bouncing from the 4-hour imbalance zone. With price now above this key support, the path of least resistance appears to be to the upside, targeting the fair value gap near 85,000. This zone remains unfilled and represents a likely draw for price in the short term. Unless we see a strong rejection or sudden weakness, the current setup supports a bullish continuation scenario, with eyes on a partial or full fill of the FVG. Traders should continue to monitor the strength of this move and look for reactions near the 85,000 level to determine whether momentum will sustain or fade. __________________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀 Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈
Long
by TehThomas
78
Bitcoin – Double Bottom at Risk as Fair Value Gap Rejects PriceBitcoin recently formed a potential double bottom pattern, a classical bullish reversal formation that often signals a shift in market sentiment from bearish to bullish. This pattern is typically interpreted as a sign that the market has found a significant support level, where buying interest is strong enough to halt the prior downtrend. The structure is generally confirmed when price breaks above the neckline, leading to a continuation move to the upside. In this case, the double bottom suggests buyers are attempting to establish control and potentially drive price higher. However, while this pattern often results in upward movement, it should not be taken in isolation. The context surrounding this pattern is critical, especially when factoring in additional technical elements currently influencing Bitcoin’s price action. Fair Value Gap on the 1-Hour and 4-Hour Timeframes Despite the bullish implications of the double bottom, Bitcoin is currently trading within a fair value gap (FVG) on both the 1-hour and 4-hour charts. Fair value gaps represent zones of inefficiency created when price moves too quickly in one direction, leaving behind an unbalanced area in the market. These gaps often act as magnets for price to return and rebalance before a continuation or reversal. As of now, Bitcoin has not demonstrated strong acceptance above this fair value gap. Instead, price is consolidating or slightly pulling back within this region, signaling that the move higher might be losing momentum. If the current candle closes below this FVG zone, especially on the 4-hour timeframe, it could indicate that bulls are running out of steam. Such a development would weaken the bullish case and suggest that the earlier double bottom may be invalidated. This would shift the narrative toward a more bearish outlook, potentially opening the door for a deeper retracement or even a new leg down. It’s crucial to watch how price behaves around the FVG, as a decisive close below it would highlight weak demand and the possible presence of distribution rather than accumulation. Rejection from a Key Resistance Level Adding further weight to the bearish risk is the recent strong rejection from a significant resistance level. This area has acted as resistance in the past and once again proved formidable as Bitcoin failed to break through with conviction. The rejection was sharp and occurred precisely as price entered the fair value gap, reinforcing the idea that this zone may be acting as a trap for longs rather than a springboard for further gains. This resistance area may now serve as a local high. Unless bulls can reclaim this level with strong momentum and volume, the path of least resistance appears to be to the downside. The inability to break through this resistance while trading within a fair value gap further suggests that current market strength may be overstated. Critical Levels to Watch The lower boundary of the fair value gap is the most immediate level of interest. A 1-hour or 4-hour close below this area would be a clear sign of weakness. The support zone formed by the double bottom must hold to keep the bullish thesis intact. A break below this level would fully invalidate the pattern. On the upside, the resistance that caused the recent rejection needs to be reclaimed decisively to confirm renewed bullish strength. Conclusion In summary, while Bitcoin initially showed signs of bullish reversal via a double bottom formation, the surrounding market context introduces significant doubt. Price is currently stalled within a fair value gap on the 1H and 4H timeframes, and the failure to maintain strength within this zone could invalidate the double bottom entirely. Furthermore, a strong rejection from key resistance suggests that sellers are still present and actively defending higher levels. A close below the FVG zone would signal that bulls are losing control, and downside continuation becomes more likely. Traders should remain cautious here, avoiding premature bullish entries unless there is clear evidence of strength, such as a reclaim of the FVG and a strong move above resistance. Until then, the risk of a deeper drop remains very real. __________________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀 Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈
by TehThomas
74
HBARUSDT Approaching Key Weekly Zone with Potential Reversal SetBINANCE:HBARUSDT HBARUSDT is approaching a weak support zone, which shows a higher probability of breaking due to insufficient strength. Below this lies a weekly strong Fair Value Gap (FVG), which is a critical level for potential price reversal and continuation of the bullish trend. If the price enters this weekly FVG zone, it could signal a high-probability buying opportunity for traders anticipating a rebound. On the other hand, failure to hold this zone could lead to further downside. Keep an eye on price action near the key levels for confirmation of potential entries. Always ensure to have clear stop-loss levels and realistic profit targets in place. Best regards, Happy trading!
Short
by SteaIth
Ultimate Guide to Smart Money ConceptsWhat Are Smart Money Concepts? Introduction: If you’ve been trading for a while, you’ve probably noticed that sometimes the market moves in ways that just don’t make sense. You’ve got your technical analysis all set, but the market seems to go in the opposite direction. That’s where Smart Money Concepts (SMC) come in. At its core, SMC is all about understanding how big players in the market (think hedge funds, institutions, and banks) move prices. These players have massive amounts of capital and information, and they don’t trade like the average retail trader. Understanding their behavior can help you see where the market is going next before it happens. What is Smart Money? In the world of trading, smart money refers to the institutional investors who move markets with their huge orders. Unlike retail traders, who might be relying on indicators or patterns, smart money trades based on liquidity, market structure, and order flow. While retail traders are typically reacting to price movements, smart money is the one causing those moves. They’re out there seeking out places where they can accumulate positions or distribute them. The tricky part is that they’ll often make the market go in one direction just to trap retail traders and get them to take positions before flipping it back to where they wanted it to go in the first place. Key Concepts in Smart Money Trading 1. Market Structure Market structure refers to the way price moves in a trend. It’s essentially a pattern of higher highs and higher lows for an uptrend, or lower highs and lower lows for a downtrend. Smart money uses these patterns to their advantage. When they see the market creating a series of higher highs and higher lows, they’ll take advantage of that momentum to push prices further, knowing retail traders will follow along. But when they want to reverse the market, they’ll push it in the opposite direction, creating a market structure shift or a break of structure, which signals that the trend is over and a new one is starting. 2. Liquidity Liquidity refers to the amount of orders available to be filled at different price levels. Smart money knows exactly where retail traders are likely to place their stops or buy orders. They’ll often push the price to these levels, triggering those stops and collecting the liquidity. Once that liquidity is grabbed, they’ll reverse the price and move it in the intended direction. A common way to spot liquidity is by looking for equal highs or equal lows, where traders often place their stop-loss orders. These are often areas smart money will target. 3. Order Blocks Order blocks are areas on the chart where institutions have placed big orders. These are key levels that represent where price might return to later, and they can act as areas of support or resistance. Order blocks are usually found after big price moves. Institutions place these orders to either accumulate positions or offload them, and price often comes back to these levels to fill orders that were left behind. 4. Fair Value Gaps (FVG) Fair value gaps, or imbalances, are price areas where the market moves quickly, leaving gaps between candlesticks. These gaps represent areas where the market has moved too fast for regular orders to fill, and price tends to return to these levels to fill the gaps. Smart money knows that these imbalances are critical areas for future price action, and they’ll use them to re-enter the market after a move has been completed. Why Does Smart Money Matter? Understanding smart money concepts is like learning to think like an institution. Instead of chasing after price based on typical retail indicators, you start looking for the big moves that smart money is making. You begin to notice when the market is setting traps for retail traders, and how these large players accumulate positions before pushing price in a big way. With SMC, you stop guessing and start anticipating. By looking for liquidity zones, order blocks, and market structure shifts, you can get in sync with the big players and follow their moves, not fight them. Conclusion Smart Money Concepts are all about shifting your perspective. Instead of thinking like a retail trader looking for quick breakouts, oversold/overbought conditions, or chasing trends — start looking at the market as the big players do. Pay attention to where the liquidity is, identify key order blocks, and use market structure shifts to guide your trades. By learning to spot these key signs, you’ll stop being the one who’s trapped and start being the one who’s in sync with the smart money. Ready to trade smarter? Keep an eye on those order blocks and liquidity zones — they’re where the real money is made. Next Steps - Start practicing by reviewing charts through the SMC lens. - Keep refining your understanding of market structure, liquidity, and order blocks. - Stay patient, smart money trades aren’t about quick wins, but about positioning yourself for big moves. __________________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this guide helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀 Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈
Education
by TehThomas
79
EURUSD – Why This Key Level Could Decide the Next Big MoveAt the moment, EURUSD is maintaining a bearish market structure on both the 1-hour and 4-hour timeframes. Price action has been consistently forming lower highs and lower lows, which is a clear indication of sustained selling pressure in the market. Zooming in, we’ve noticed that previous support zones are no longer being respected, which further supports the bearish narrative. These failed supports are now acting as weak resistance zones, and price is cutting through them with minimal hesitation — a sign that buyers are losing control while sellers continue to dominate the market. One of the key technical levels on our radar is marked by a horizontal red line, currently acting as minor support. A candle close below this level would be highly significant. It would indicate that the temporary consolidation or hesitation we're seeing is breaking to the downside. If this scenario plays out, it could trigger a strong bearish continuation, with increased volume likely to enter the market from breakout traders and institutions scaling in. The chart points to a clearly defined target area for this move, located in the 1.07500 to 1.07800 range, which is marked in green. This is a strong historical support zone — one that has previously held and sparked reversals. We anticipate that if price reaches this area, we may begin to see a slowdown in bearish momentum and a potential reversal setup. 1 hour trend Trade Plan Bearish Bias While Below the Red Line If price closes below the red line (~1.09200), I’ll be watching for follow-through to the downside. Entry opportunity may exist on the retest of this broken level, provided price shows rejection or continuation patterns. Target area: 1.07500–1.07800 (green support zone) Bullish Setup at Key Support Should price reach the green zone, I’ll wait for confirmation before entering a long position. Ideal signs: bullish candlestick patterns, slowing momentum, volume divergence, or strong reaction wicks. Potential upside target: reversion back to broken structure or trendline zone. Fundamental Analysis: U.S.-EU Tariff Situation In addition to the technical structure, we also need to be mindful of the fundamental backdrop, particularly the recent escalation in tariff-related discussions between the U.S. and the European Union. The Biden administration is reportedly exploring a fresh round of tariffs on EU imports in response to long-standing disagreements around digital services taxes and subsidies in the aviation industry. These talks have gained momentum recently, with the potential for announcements in the coming days or weeks. Should these tariffs be confirmed, it would likely: Weigh heavily on the Euro, especially if the EU responds with retaliatory measures. Increase uncertainty in trade flows, damaging investor confidence in the region. Trigger a flight to the U.S. dollar as a safe haven asset, further fueling EURUSD downside. On the flip side, if negotiations lead to a positive resolution or postponement of tariffs, the Euro could see some relief, which may coincide with a bounce from the green support zone on the chart potentially lining up with our long bias at that level. Conclusion The EURUSD pair is currently offering a clean, high-probability setup driven by both technical and fundamental factors. With the market respecting bearish structure on the lower timeframes and support levels being broken with ease, the path of least resistance remains to the downside at least until the 1.07500–1.07800 zone is reached. From there, a shift in momentum could present a great opportunity to switch bias and look for a long entry with favorable risk-reward. This trade idea remains valid as long as price respects structure. Always manage risk and stay updated with any breaking news around U.S.–EU trade talks, as those developments could heavily influence the direction of EURUSD in the coming sessions. __________________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀 Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈
Short
by TehThomas
36
Bitcoin - Bears are winning: is $72k next?After holding strong above $81,000 for a while, Bitcoin has finally broken its critical support zone, diving as low as the $74,000 region. This move signals a clear shift in short-term momentum and brings us closer to a significant imbalance zone that has yet to be tested or filled. The drop wasn’t exactly unexpected, especially with the growing macroeconomic pressure weighing on all markets right now. Last week’s tariff announcement triggered a wave of uncertainty, and we’re now seeing that impact ripple across crypto, equities, and commodities alike. Risk-on assets are feeling the heat, and BTC is no exception. Why $72K Is So Important Right Now Looking at the chart, there’s a large imbalance zone sitting just below current price, right around the $72,000 level. This is an area where price previously moved up very aggressively, leaving a gap in the market structure that now needs to be filled for a healthier market. Markets tend to come back to these areas to rebalance before making the next major move. What makes this zone even more interesting is the fact that it aligns perfectly with the 0.618 Fibonacci level also known as the golden pocket. This confluence makes $72K a very strong support zone, and a likely area where buyers could start stepping back in. Because of this, I’m expecting another short-term bearish leg into this zone to complete the imbalance fill and tap into the golden pocket. From there, if we see strong reaction and volume kicking in, this could mark the beginning of a new bullish wave. But What If $72K Doesn’t Hold? Of course, no level is guaranteed to hold especially in shaky market conditions. If Bitcoin fails to defend the $72K area and breaks down with conviction, the next major target to watch will be the lower imbalance zone at $64K. That would be a deeper correction, but still within the broader context of a bullish cycle rebalancing phase. A drop to GETTEX:64K would likely shake out more weak hands and allow for a stronger, healthier base to form before BTC attempts to reclaim higher levels. It’s not the primary scenario, but it’s one we need to keep on the radar if things escalate further. What Comes Next? In the short term, eyes are on that $72K zone. If BTC finds support there and gives us bullish confirmation such as higher lows, increasing volume, or a strong engulfing candle we could see a swift move back toward the $85K-$95K range. But with macro uncertainty still looming, caution is key. Monitor how price reacts at support, keep risk in check, and be prepared for both scenarios a bounce from $72K or a continuation to fill the imbalance at $64K. __________________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀 Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈
Short
by TehThomas
62