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Fairvaluegap

Stacks (STXUSD): Balanced Strategy for a Solid UpsideFor Stacks (STXUSD), we see a Fair-Value Gap (FVG) on the weekly chart, along with similar gaps on the three-day and daily charts, plus a demand zone below. Our plan is to use these weekly FVGs and the demand zone for Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) entry points if the price drops to those levels. We see $1.31 as the maximum downside. On the upside, we aim to reclaim the recent high, with resistance around the three-day gap at $2.64. We're pretty confident that with a well-placed stop-loss, this setup offers a solid chance to build a long swing position. This strategy provides a balanced risk-reward scenario, allowing us to take advantage of potential upward movements while effectively managing the risks. Looking at the annual VWAP for STX, it's crucial because this year's VAL (Volume-Weighted Average Price Low) could act as support, which aligns with our planned entry in the orange zone. This point could be pivotal for holding and supporting STX's price action. On the upside, the annual VAH (Volume-Weighted Average Price High) will serve as resistance. If we flip this level, it could then become support, opening up significant upward potential. While the timing is uncertain, we're ready to see how the price action unfolds, barring any unexpected news. On the quarterly chart, we see a clear picture. Our worst-case scenario is the 2024 Q1 VHL (Volume-Weighted Average Price Low) at $1.56, which is our downside limit. We expect this level to serve as resistance, and currently, we're struggling to surpass it. However, we're focusing on the 2024 Q1 VAL as our critical support, marking it as our worst-case scenario. Overall, breaking through the 2024 Q1 VHL is challenging, but our strategy considers this level, ensuring we're prepared for potential downside movements while aiming for upward targets. Lastly, the monthly chart for STX is more complex. We have the February VAL and January VAH below us, which have acted as support multiple times. If we lose these support levels, they might turn into resistance, possibly causing a reversal before or at the January VWAP. Our first resistance on the way up will be the April VAL of $2.42. There are several resistances to navigate, making it crucial to move carefully. Despite this, we expect a trend reversal soon, but the key question is whether the market will shake out a few more participants before turning upwards.
Long
by freeguy_by_wmc
FAIR VALUE GAP OR ORDER BLOCK ENTRYA fair value gap (FVG) and an order block entry are concepts used in technical analysis within financial markets to identify potential trading opportunities. ### Fair Value Gap (FVG) A fair value gap refers to a price range on a chart where there is an imbalance between buyers and sellers, often resulting in a quick movement through this area without much trading activity. This gap can create a zone of interest where price may return to fill the gap, presenting a potential trading opportunity. Traders look for these gaps to predict price movements, expecting that the market will revisit these areas to achieve a fair value. ### Order Block Entry An order block is a consolidation area where significant buying or selling has taken place, often by institutional traders. These blocks are typically identified by a cluster of orders that create a strong support or resistance level. When price returns to this level, it often reacts due to the presence of unfilled orders, providing a strategic entry point for traders. Order blocks are used to predict where the price might reverse or continue its trend, offering a high-probability entry signal based on historical price action. Both concepts are used by traders to make informed decisions based on the past behavior of price and volume, aiming to identify areas where significant trading activity is likely to influence future price movements.
Education
by FrankFx14
GBPNZD Short TradeMARKET PHASE GBPNZD is in a long term downtrend (daily) with a short term corrective structure that has been taking place (4 hour). AREA OF VALUE Price continued to break new highs within this corrective structure. Eventually, price reached an area where sellers stepped in, resulting in a buildup of liquidity (buy stops, longs, short stop losses) above the corrective structure swing highs. Price violently moved up to trigger the buy stops (liquidity) to pair against the sell orders needed to take price down. Price then started it's initial move down and actually sustained selling pressure for some time. Due to the velocity of the downward move, priced gapped orders around 2.11584. Price may climb back to 2.11584, before selling off during the London session (News: Inflation Data). Therefore, we've setup a sell limit order with the following parameters: TRADE Sell Limit: 2.11584 Stop Loss: 2.12124 Take Profit: 2.10504
Short
by Mankz
AUDUSD Long TradeMARKET PHASE OANDA:AUDUSD is in a long term uptrend (daily) with a short term corrective structure that has been taking place (4 hour). AREA OF VALUE Price continued to break lows within the corrective structure until it began to hold the bottom. There was a buildup of liquidity (sell stops, shorts, long order stop losses) below the corrective structure swing lows. Price violently moved down to trigger the sell stops (liquidity) to pair against the buy orders needed to take price up. Price has now started it’s initial move up but due to the velocity of the upward move, it's gapped orders around 0.65340. Price retraced back to this level to meet the demand and our entry was triggered. We can now expect a strong push upwards in the direction of the larger trend. TRADE I've entered my long position on OANDA:AUDUSD as follows: Buy Limit: 0.65340 Stop Loss: 0.65072 Take Profit: 0.65877
Long
by Mankz
Week of April 14th - Gold/Oil/DJI/VIX/10yrWhat a week we just had! Friday we saw aggressive broad selling all the way into the close. The NDX is once again just flopping around in this multi-week range - while The Dow is meaningfully breaking down. For indexes - I will be focusing on the Dow this week. The DJI has been super clean lately and is the only index really making the sizeable moves as it took out the February lows. ALL of the major averages are rolling over on their daily charts. Dow - Friday we saw aggressive selling all day long and this caused a weekly Market Structure shift on the weekly chart. From here the DJI needs to back test this weekly breakdown level and confirm the shift. We have a weekly breaker that will provide the first resistance level around 39k. If we can get past that - we should pop to 39.4k or so. There are a LOT of things that are aligned to enable the up move. DJI held its 100dma as support today and I am looking for a back-test into its 20dma or so. VIX - Friday the VIX spiked in a big way and is breaking out of a 2 month daily range. This was driven by war fears in the Middle East. The simple fact is that everyone sold their stocks and bought bonds and gold and puts on Friday. If WW3 doesn't materialize by Monday - they will all be offsides and be rushing to enter the market. I am looking for the VIX to get aggressively sold Monday if WW3 doesn't break out - which will be bullish for stocks. DXY - DXY spiked into a daily level that I wanted to hold as resistance. DXY has broken out as everyone rushed into cash/bonds/gold - but again I want to see a ERL to IRL move to retest the breakout. A falling DXY (in the short term) will be bullish for oil and gold. Crude Oil - Oil has been whippy lately and this to me shows how exhausted it is getting. going into this week. The weekly chart wants to trade 88 and then I think oil is due for a long grind lower as the markets continue to roll over. Oil should find some bullish legs to pop $3 as the DXY retreats during its back-test. 10yr Yield- Rates are going higher in the short run. I am looking for 4.7% to trade and I will be loading the boat with bonds around this level. Gold- Gold cracked the $2400 level last night, and banks came in to mash the hell out of it all day on Friday. Nothing has broken on the 4hr chart - yet. But I have alerts set to I can start scouting for shorts. So here is the setup I am watching for this week; - I want to see DJI trade higher into the the weekly breaker block around 39k. From there I will be scouting for short entries. -Looking for interest rates to continue to march higher - this will continue to apply pressure to indexes. Indexes will ignore rates (for now) as the VIX marches lower to confirm its breakout. - Gold & Oil - I want to see these things top out and soon. Oil has one last gasp in it and will be supported by DXY heading lower to confirm its breakout - I am looking for $88 to trade on WTI. Gold - we have to hold it here or we are going to start a down move. I have been publishing my weekly newsletter over at www.baero.biz since November as I have more flexability on that platform. Use code 'HTF24' to get 50% off your first month, come join us!
CBOT_MINI:YMM2024Long
by Baero-Trading
I'm Back: EURAUD ShortMARKET PHASE OANDA:EURAUD is in a long term downtrend (daily) with a short term corrective structure that has been taking place (4 hour). AREA OF VALUE Price continued to break new highs within this corrective structure. Eventually, price reached an area where sellers stepped in, resulting in a buildup of liquidity (buy stops, longs, short stop losses) above the corrective structure swing highs. Price violently moved up to trigger the buy stops (liquidity) to pair against the sell orders needed to take price down. Price then started it's initial move down and actually sustained selling pressure for some time. Due to the velocity of the downward move, priced gapped around 1.64394. During this morning, price hit 1.64394 a couple times and sold off aggressively, supporting our thesis. Our sell limit order was filled and we are now in a short with the following parameters: TRADE Sell Limit: 1.64394 Stop Loss: 1.64534 Take Profit: 1.64114
Short
by Mankz
EURGBP LongMARKET PHASE OANDA:EURGBP is in a long term uptrend (daily) with a short term corrective structure that has been taking place (4 hour). AREA OF VALUE Price continued to break lows within the corrective structure until it began to hold the bottom. There was a buildup of liquidity (sell stops, shorts, long order stop losses) below the corrective structure swing lows. Price violently moved down to trigger the sell stops (liquidity) to pair against the buy orders needed to take price up. Price has now started it’s initial move up but due to the velocity of the upward move, it's gapped orders around 0.85773. Price has retraced back to this level to meet the demand multiple times and is met with extreme buying pressure. We can now expect a strong push upwards in the direction of the larger trend. TRADE I've entered my long position on OANDA:EURGBP as follows: Buy Limit: 0.85773 Stop Loss: 0.85733 Take Profit: 0.85853
Long
by Mankz
1
GBPNZD ShortMARKET PHASE OANDA:GBPNZD is in a long term downtrend (daily) with a short term corrective structure that has been taking place (4 hour). AREA OF VALUE Price continued to break new highs within this corrective structure. Eventually, price reached an area where sellers stepped in, resulting in a buildup of liquidity (buy stops, longs, short stop losses) above the corrective structure swing highs. Price violently moved up to trigger the buy stops (liquidity) to pair against the sell orders needed to take price down. Price then started it's initial move down and actually sustained selling pressure for some time. Due to the velocity of the downward move, priced gapped around 2.09800. During this morning, price hit 2.09800, and began selling off, supporting our thesis. Our sell limit order was filled and we are now in a short with the following parameters: TRADE Sell Limit: 2.09800 Stop Loss: 2.10100 Take Profit: 2.09200
Short
by Mankz
Smart Money Concept for 1000Bonk/USDT.P In the dynamic world of cryptocurrency trading, precision and foresight are paramount. Our analysis of 1000Bonk/USDT.P reveals an intriguing opportunity rooted in the Smart Money Concept (SMC), providing a roadmap for potential gains amidst market fluctuations. Over the past day, 1000Bonk/USDT.P has surged to considerable heights, but signs indicate an impending downturn, albeit the timing remains uncertain. Leveraging the principles of SMC, we pinpoint an entry point at 0.024720. This selection aligns strategically with a 4-hour fair value gap (FVG), presenting an opportune moment to enter the market. To mitigate risk, we implement a stop-loss (SL) at 0.023544, positioned 0.8% below the 4-hour FVG. This precautionary measure serves as a safeguard against adverse movements, preserving capital in the event of unexpected market shifts. Our take-profit (TP) strategy is finely tuned to capitalize on market dynamics. We identify a TP level of 0.031182, strategically located at a bearish Order Block (OB). This targeted approach ensures that potential gains are maximized while maintaining a disciplined exit strategy. Furthermore, traders are encouraged to exercise flexibility in managing their positions, with the option to scale out profits or adjust TP levels based on evolving market conditions. By integrating adaptability with strategic analysis, traders can optimize their returns and navigate the complexities of cryptocurrency trading with confidence.
Long
by smarttrader012
1
GBPUSD ShortMARKET PHASE OANDA:GBPUSD is in a long term downtrend (daily) with a short term corrective structure that has been taking place (4 hour). AREA OF VALUE Price continued to break new highs within this corrective structure. Eventually, price reached an area where sellers stepped in, resulting in a buildup of liquidity (buy stops, longs, short stop losses) above the corrective structure swing highs. Price violently moved up to trigger the buy stops (liquidity) to pair against the sell orders needed to take price down. Price then started it's initial move down and actually sustained selling pressure for some time. Due to the velocity of the downward move, priced gapped around 1.26494. During this mornings US GDP data, price spiked up and retraced exactly to this level and hit our sell limit. We are now in a short with the following parameters: TRADE Sell Limit: 1.26494 Stop Loss: 1.26644 (Price hit 1R so SL moved to 1.26569) Take Profit: 1.26194
Short
by Mankz
GBPNZD Long TradeMARKET PHASE OANDA:GBPNZD is in a long term uptrend (daily) with a short term corrective structure that has been taking place (4 hour). AREA OF VALUE Price continued to break lows within the corrective structure until it began to hold the bottom. There was a buildup of liquidity (sell stops, shorts, long order stop losses) below the corrective structure swing lows. Price violently moved down to trigger the sell stops (liquidity) to pair against the buy orders needed to take price up. Price has now started it’s initial move up but due to the velocity of the upward move, it's gapped orders around 168.624. Price has retraced back to this level to meet the demand, we can now expect a strong push upwards in the direction of the larger trend. TRADE I've entered my long position on OANDA:GBPNZD as follows: Buy Limit: 2.10254 Stop Loss: 2.10099 Take Profit: 2.10564 RISK MANAGEMENT R Ratio: 2 Equity at stake: 1% Trail SL to 50% @ 1R Profit
Long
by Mankz
GBPCAD Short TradeMARKET PHASE OANDA:GBPCAD is in a long term downtrend (daily) with a short term corrective structure that has been taking place (4 hour). AREA OF VALUE Price continued to break new highs within this corrective structure. Eventually, price reached an area where sellers stepped in, resulting in a buildup of liquidity (buy stops, longs, short stop losses) above the corrective structure swing highs. Price violently moved up to trigger the buy stops (liquidity) to pair against the sell orders needed to take price down. Price has already started it's initial move down, the velocity of the downward move caused a gap in price around 1.71512. Price has not retraced to this level, we have our sell limit pending. TRADE I will be entering short on OANDA:GBPCAD with the following parameters: Sell Limit: 1.71512 Stop Loss: 1.71762 Take Profit: 1.71012
Short
by Mankz
NAS100USD: Exploring Potential Sell OpportunitiesCurrently, NAS100USD shows signs of a potential sell-side draw towards the H1 Bullish Order Block . This hypothesis is reinforced by several confluences, notably the presence of inefficiencies such as Liquidity Void and Fair Value Gaps at discount prices, which typically signal opportune moments for smart money to capitalize on profits. For confirmation of entries, we await a pullback into the H4 Bearish Order Block, which also features Buy Stop Liquidity below it, serving as our selling target. Stay tuned for an in-depth video analysis of NAS100USD to further dissect this potential trading opportunity. Kind Regards, The_Architect
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by The_Archi-tect
CHFJPY Long TradeMARKET PHASE OANDA:CHFJPY is in a long term uptrend (daily) with a short term corrective structure that has been taking place (4 hour). AREA OF VALUE Price continued to break lows within the corrective structure until it began to hold the bottom. There was a buildup of liquidity (sell stops, shorts, long order stop losses) below the corrective structure swing lows. Price violently moved down to trigger the sell stops (liquidity) to pair against the buy orders needed to take price up. Price has now started it’s initial move up but due to the velocity of the upward move, it's gapped orders around 168.624. Price may retrace back to this level to meet the demand on Sunday night EST or during the first London session next week. Once price reaches this level, we can expect a strong push upwards in the direction of the larger trend. TRADE I've placed my buy limit order on OANDA:CHFJPY as follows: Buy Limit: 168.624 Stop Loss: 168.384 Take Profit: 169.104 RISK MANAGEMENT R Ratio: 2 Equity at stake: 1% Trail SL to 50% @ 1R
Long
by Mankz
1
GBPNZD Long TradeMARKET PHASE OANDA:GBPNZD is in a long term uptrend (daily) with a short term corrective structure that has been taking place (4 hour). AREA OF VALUE There was a buildup of liquidity (sell stops, shorts, long order stop losses) below the corrective structure swing lows. Price violently moved down to trigger the sell stops (liquidity) to pair against the buy orders needed to take price up. Price has now started it’s initial move up but due to the velocity of the upward move, it's gapped orders around 2.09770. Price may retrace back to this level to meet the demand as we expected. Once price reaches this level, we can expect a strong push upwards in the direction of the larger trend. TRADE I will be entering long on OANDA:GBPNZD with the following parameters: Buy Limit: 2.09770 Stop Loss: 2.09360 Take Profit: 2.10590
Long
by Mankz
EURNZD Long TradeMARKET PHASE OANDA:EURNZD is in a long term uptrend (daily) with a short term corrective structure that has been taking place (4 hour). AREA OF VALUE There was a buildup of liquidity (sell stops, shorts, long order stop losses) below the corrective structure swing lows. Price violently moved down to trigger the sell stops (liquidity) to pair against the buy orders needed to take price up. Price has now started it’s initial move up but due to the velocity of the upward move, it's gapped orders around 1.79741. Price has now retraced back to this level to meet the demand as we expected. We've just entered our long position with the following criteria, expecting price to continue its longer term uptrend... TRADE OANDA:EURNZD long position opened with the following parameters: Buy Limit: 1.79741 Stop Loss: 1.79514 Take Profit: 1.80195
Long
by Mankz
1
AUDCAD Short TradeMARKET PHASE OANDA:AUDCAD is in a long term downtrend (daily) with a short term corrective structure that has been taking place (4 hour). AREA OF VALUE Price continued to break new highs within this corrective structure. Eventually, price reached an area where sellers stepped in, resulting in a buildup of liquidity (buy stops, longs, short stop losses) above the corrective structure swing highs. Price violently moved up to trigger the buy stops (liquidity) to pair against the sell orders needed to take price down. Price has already started it's initial move down, the velocity of the downward move caused a gap in price around 0.89169. Price retraced to this level, triggering our entry and has continued downwards. TRADE I will be entering short on OANDA:AUDCAD with the following parameters: Sell Limit: 0.89169 Stop Loss: 0.89239 Take Profit: 0.88889
Short
by Mankz
CHFJPY ShortMARKET PHASE OANDA:CHFJPY is in a long term downtrend (daily) with a short term corrective structure that has been taking place (4 hour). AREA OF VALUE Price continued to break new highs within this corrective structure. Eventually, price reached an area where sellers stepped in, resulting in a buildup of liquidity (buy stops, longs, short stop losses) above the corrective structure swing highs. During London session, price violently moved up to trigger the buy stops (liquidity) to pair against the sell orders needed to take price down. Price has started it's initial move down but due to the velocity of the downward move, it's gapped some orders around 170.280. Price has retraced to this level to capture additional supply. TRADE I have entered short on OANDA:CHFJPY with the following parameters: Sell Limit: 170.280 Stop Loss: 170.490 Take Profit: 169.860
Short
by Mankz
2
EURJPY ShortMARKET PHASE OANDA:EURJPY is in a long term downtrend (daily) with a short term corrective structure that has been taking place (4 hour). AREA OF VALUE Price continued to break new highs within this corrective structure. Eventually, price reached an area where sellers stepped in, resulting in a buildup of liquidity (buy stops, longs, short stop losses) above the corrective structure swing highs. Price violently moved up to trigger the buy stops (liquidity) to pair against the sell orders needed to take price down. Price has started it's initial move down but due to the velocity of the downward move, it's gapped some orders around 162.374. Price is likely to retrace to this level before continuing downwards. TRADE I will be entering short on OANDA:EURJPY with the following parameters: Sell Limit: 162.374 Stop Loss: 162.589 Take Profit: 161.943
Short
by Mankz
4