US Indices Are Creating Possible Fake Breakouts!!Traders, Please be aware of the market conditions. We know that everybody is waiting for Santa's rally. But due to Corona as most things were different this year, Santa may not come for his rally. At the moment the price action is suggesting a possible fake breakouts on all 3 major US Indices i.e. SNP500 (SPX500), NASDAQ (NAS100) and US30 (Down Jones).
Do not trust that the rally of 2020 will last forever. Nothing does. So be careful. A sudden shift can come by end of this year or the next. Few hedge fund managers have also bet against the markets for a bad ending to 2020 rally. So beware of this.
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-Vik
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📌 DISCLAIMER
The content on this analysis is subject to change at any time without notice, and is provided for the sole purpose of education only.
Not a financial advice or signal. Please make your own independent investment decisions.
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Fakebreakout
NZD/USD | Potential Downward Movement💡 Trade Idea
📈 Sell Limit NZD/USD @ 0.7057
🎯 Target Profit 0.6941
🛑 Stop Loss 0.7084
❌ Do not risk more than 1 % of your account on each trade
🙂 Good Luck !
Description: The pair is trading within a bullish channel but reached a daily resistance. This resistance might be difficult and lead to a reversal especially, we have a double top posted near it. Lets see if the NZD/USD will drop to the 0.6941 level.
EUR/USD | Potential Downward Movement💡 Trade Idea
📈 Sell Order EUR/USD @ 1.2047
🎯 Target Profit 1.1964
🛑 Stop Loss 1.2088
❌ Do not risk more than 1 % of your account on each trade
🙂 Good Luck !
Description: The price failed to break the daily resistance (1.2088), and it posted a double top which indicates a potential reversal. The price is trading around the neckline of this pattern, so we expect a move downward towards the target profit.
EUR/AUD | Potential Downward Movement💡 Trade Idea
📈 Sell Limit EUR/AUD @ 1.6336
🎯 Target Profit 1.6146
🛑 Stop Loss 1.6393
❌ Do not risk more than 1 % of your account on each trade
🙂 Good Luck !
Description: The pair is trading within a bullish channel. It reached a daily support by posting a double top. We will wait for the price re-test the neckline of this pattern and go for a sell position towards the 1.6146 level.
AUD/JPY | Potential Upward Movement💡 Trade Idea
📈 Buy Limit AUD/JPY @ 77.07
🎯 Target Profit 78.36
🛑 Stop Loss 76.56
❌ Do not risk more than 1 % of your account on each trade
🙂 Good Luck !
Description: The price managed to break the daily resistance (76.49). Now, the price is in an accumulation phase and succeeded to break out of the range to the upside. A lower correction might be seen and then a move upward to the 78.36 mark.
GBP/CAD Potential Upward Movement:bulb: Trade Idea
:chart_with_upwards_trend: Buy Limit GBP/CAD @ 1.7334
:dart: Target Profit 1.7438
:octagonal_sign: Stop Loss 1.7283
:x: Do not risk more than 1 % of your account on each trade
:slight_smile: Good Luck !
Description: The pair is trading within a corrective channel, but It posted a double bottom which indicates a potential reversal to the upside. Our expectation is a lower correction toward the highlighted white zone before a move upward towards the 1.7438 mark.
BTC/USD Potential Downward Movement:bulb: Trade Idea
📈 Sell Limit BTC/USD @ 18673
:dart: Target Profit 17402
:octagonal_sign: Stop Loss 19303
:x: Do not risk more than 1% of your account on each trade
:slight_smile: Good Luck!
BTC is trading withing a bearish ascending wedge. This type of wedge indicates usually a potential reversal. The price reached a strong resistance (18681). A higher correction is expected and then a move downward towards the 17402 level.
EUR/AUD Potential Upward Movement:bulb: Trade Idea
📈 Buy Limit EUR/AUD @ 1.6207
:dart: Target Profit 1.6335
:octagonal_sign: Stop Loss 1.6143
:x: Do not risk more than 1% of your account on each trade
:slight_smile: Good Luck!
The daily support rejected the price twice, plus it posted a double bottom which indicates a high probability of a reversal. In addition, it manages to break the blue trendline. A lower correction is expected towards the neckline, then a move upward to the 1.6335 mark.
GBP/USD Potential Downward Movement💡 Trade Idea
📉 Sell Stop GBP/USD @ 1.3305
🎯 Target Profit 1.3148
🛑 Stop Loss 1.3383
❌ Do not risk more than 1% of your account on each trade
🙂 Good Luck!
The price failed to break and close above the 1.3398 level. Our expectation is a potential reversal by breaking the blue trendline and then higher correction towards the highlighted white zone, and from this level a move to the 1.3148 mark.
Bullish move into Big short push on UJ Could see a bullish move into a large bearish push on UJ for a downtrend continuation. Should see a large fakeout just after ATR n volume has drop significantly in the upward direction with a large spike in volume and atr after the move. Dont get caught in this move as this is the trap that is due to turn an accumulate liquidity in the market for a bearish push.
EURCAD - Potential LongI am still not 100% sure if this pair has shown signs of a fake breakout, we will need to monitor the price on Monday and wait and see whether or not price wants to continue ot respect the ascending trend line or trade outside it again. Definitely one to keep on your watchlist, lots of potential for an upside move here.
COT Data - 72% Short
GBPAUD Long - The Sterling is Bullish After a fake breakout of the 4hr trend line (manipulation?), I expect this pair to re-test line before continuing higher.
I would take this trade, via a buy limit order which would be placed in a confluence area with a 4hr trend line, market structure support and 50% fib level.
CADJPY Swing LongAfter a break and close below that was followed by a close back above and retest of lower part of consolidation channel, this pair has confirmed the fake breakout and is now well placed with an opportunity to ride the next swing leg and the creation of a higher high on the daily TF.
Target can be set at the 127.2% fib extension taken on the retracement. Entry can be taken on lower TFs
22/06/2020RSI in over extended territory, BBS well over extended.
MFI showing alot of cash flowing in, though I have noticed that this indicator does and has shown high vo;ume with pumps in price.
The MACD seems quite confused though is bullish and Stochs are showing overbought...
I would be careful of this pump, I do believe this could very well be a fake out. It has bypassed multiple resistance and long term trend lines of resistance in a very short period of time (although I am using the 4 hour) but still, I would not FOMO in if not already in a trade, wait until things settle down a bit then decide what to do.
Thanks!
EURNZDAs we can see since some weeks ago, the price as been respecting this area very well.
Before the market close on 22-05 we can see a breakout for the down side and a fake out right next. We can see that is a fake out because the price came down again.
And now is expected a nice retest and a clear confirmation for the sell oportunity.
A good Stop Loss with around 30 pips can be good here.