BITCOIN NOT CLEAR YET!!!!POSSIBLE BITCOIN FAKE OUT!!!!
BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Although September is over and the so called long awaited "pump" is due... Bitcoin is still not out of the woods yet.
Bitcoin had a price break out and a High of around $53,000 USD when the market crashed due to the Evergrande crisis at 8th September. Bitcoin hit a closing low of $43,893 USD where it rallied up and tested the $49,000 USD during 16th September where it got rejected and fell back to the $46,800 USD level of support and again at a retest of $49,000 USD. Bitcoin got rejected again and fell back to a strong level of support at $40,000 USD and now has rallied up and is about to retest this tough resistance.
At the moment Bitcoin is still producing lower highs and lower lows and still remains in a down trend regardless of the pump. Bitcoin has shown signs of resistance at $47,800 USD.
This is a very crucial time for Bitcoin, BTC has to hold the $46,800 USD level of support and break the $49,000 USD level of resistance,
Personally I am bullish about Bitcoin on the short term But this breakout can be induced by the Hype surrounding the End of the dreadful month of September. The so called "October 1st Breakout" If Bitcoin cannot break the $49,000 USD level of resistance and also break out of the bearish trendline forming.
we are looking for a rally down to the key level of support at $46,800USD, it is too early to say definitely but bitcoin is showing rejection of that level of support indicating there is a buying force with a so called "wall" around that price point and it is very good to see.
When purchasing Bitcoin right now don't get fooled by the hype Bitcoin is still in a down trend producing lower highs and lower lows. This is a critical moment for Bitcoin and personally I will be keeping a close eye on the $49,000 USD and $46,800 USD levels.
REMBER!!!! BITCOIN IS STILL IN A DOWN TREND UNTIL IT HITS/CROSSES THE $49,000 DO NOT BLINDLY PUT ALL YOUR MONEY IN BECAUSE OF THE PUMP.
personally I had noticed divergence on the RSI and bought bitcoin at $41,265 USD and purchased more at $44,100 and will be holding back to really see how BTC tests this level of resistance. For all you late buyers who have just now seen the pump. WAIT!!!!! WAIT!! going in blindly full of emotion is the reason 95% of traders and investors fail. If BTC does break this resistance of $49,000 USD we are looking at a bullish rally all the way up to $60,000 USD - $65,000 USD.
Over all I think Bitcoin is extremely bullish but we will only get this confirmation if it can breaks past and holds $49,000 USD
However on the daily we can see Bitcoin is still on a down trend producing an all time high of $64,888 USD and now producing a high of $52,800 USD. To break this BTC Must break past $50,000 USD and build a strong support for a new all time high to be possible.
This is going to be a long journey but remember BTC rewards patient, BE PATIENT
IF you found this useful please give it a like and comment down below with any further ideas i'd like to hear some ideas!!!
THANKK YOU!!
LET'S MAKE SOME MONEY
THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE
Fakeout
breakout after a fakeout ?Hi traders,
I have observed many times that before a reversal move, there will be likely a fakeout. As you see, it does first a fakeout. And now it is making a breakout and re-test. In my opinion, it will bounce from there. In case of the movement becomes a fakeout, I will stop loss below the trend line in 4 hour close.
Besides it, Blue lines are the strong levels, Black lines are relatively weak levels. Based on your strategy, you may close your position around every black level partially, or may close your position around blue line totally.
Stay safe.
EURAUD - LongFX:EURAUD
Hourly TF, following the current trend, price is at a key level where we could see longs up into these previous highs then onto 1.62500. We are coming into a 4th touch of this trendline, so expect fakeouts where we could come back down and retest the back of the broken counter trendline before the push up
✅GBP_JPY FAKEOUT|SHORT🔥
✅GBP_JPY is trading in a downtrend
Below a falling resistance
And the recent fakeout above the line
Confirms the strength of the bears
So I think that we will see a retest of the falling resistance
And then a bearish reaction
With the move further down
SHORT🔥
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Fake Walmart Partnership News Pump To Take LTC Down To $75There was some fake news that came out a bit ago that lead to a pump in ltc but it's likely going to be faded and now it shall go down to 75 dollars so im reentering my short here.
The tweets were fake and the news outlets picked it up unknowingly and helped to spread the fake news. Now the market will continue going down as it was. I think this will negatively affect all of crypto and not just LTC (what a joke)
ETH/USDT Update: Great opportunity to buy cheap ETH.Last chance?Intro:
- Ethereum currently has the biggest ecosystem and running smart contracts for a long time.
This headstart led to a big market dominance compared to its competitors like Cardano , Solana, Cosmos, etc.
- The change from POW to POS will help ETH to gain mass adoption.
- It takes some time to create such ideas and drawings.
You are welcome to pay me back with a comment that states your opinion and maybe leads to further improvements considering my charts and explanations.
Daily chart:
- We did get an upwards breakout out of the bullflag and ETH reached 4kUSD in price.
However together with BTC the whole market did crash 20% and ETH is back within the bullflag getting ready for a new upwards breakout.
- On the RSI side we did get an upwards breakout as well but are again below the descending orange line.
We now did break below the 50 line which currently looks like a bear trap. This will be confirmed once we break upwards again.
- The 50MA is coming for help to mark the current bottom.
(The following description is taken from last discussion.)
- ETH dropped three times to the 1750$ level and did get a bounce each time.
- The blue arrow shows a W shape recovery which is considered to be a strong pattern and signals a trend reversal.
- Currently trading volume stays rather low which signals that some people still don't believe in a trend reversal.
- We see a golden cross indicated by the yellow camera.
This time we see a strong separation between the different MA which is very bullish .
Expectation:
- We expect to continue the bullrun and aim for higher price targets.
- During the start of the week it seems likely to break upwards out of the bullflag again.
- We expect to hit the previous ATH soon within this month.
Basic rules:
- Never buy the top/ ATH
- Take profit as long as you can (also partial profit is profit)
- Use Stop/loss for leveraged positions
- If you are not experienced, don't leverage in the first place
Enjoy the ride and don't be too greedy.
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We would love it if you could share your thoughts in the comments.
Discussions are very welcome here.
Always do your own research and keep in mind that my charts and comments cannot be considered financial advice.
Cheers
ps.
Chart explanation:
Main lines:
- Green lines are tested support lines.
- Orange lines are resistance lines or, if we are above, possible support lines which were not tested yet.
- Cyan line is for volume trendline.
- White lines are Fibonacci retracement levels
Helplines:
- Purple lines are trendlines we take a look at.
- Blue, green, white and pink lines are 200MA, 100MA, 50MA and 20MA.
- Yellow lines are for visual help only.
Boxes:
- Either entry zone or support zone . Check the description.
XRPUSD possible fake breakout and correction that is ahead We may have a fake breakout over here and if this daily candle closes below the red zone, then this fake breakout can be a strong reversal candle or pattern, and then we are looking for fall to targets like:
A. 1.20$
B. 1.00$
DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision ))
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Bitcoin back into upward channel again, make a fake breakdown✓Technical analysis:
Welcome to this quick update everyone,
In Daily timeframe Chart, The bulls have pushed the price back into the wedge today. If the rebound sustains, the BTC/USDT pair could gradually move toward the overhead resistance zone of $50,000 to $50,500. A breakout and close above this zone will indicate the resumption of the uptrend.
The pair could then rise to the resistance line of the wedge where bears may again mount a stiff resistance. If the price turns down from this resistance, the pair may continue to rise inside the wedge.
A breakout of the wedge will signal a pick-up in momentum. That may result in a rally to $60,000.
The relative strength index (RSI) has broken below a symmetrical triangle pattern, indicating a marginal advantage to the bears but it aslo back into the symmetrical triangle again. shows bulls are upper hand ✋
If the price turns down from the current level and breaks below the moving averages, the pair may drop to $42,451.67.
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Fake out Brake out I believe that gold made a move down out of consolidation to make people think sell. I am here to say think Buy because it may go back to the consolidation zone and stay in there for the end of the week or even next week. still be on the look out for the this move it did earlier to be a fake out brake out to the the upside and go up smashing through the consolidation zone .
it could go long passed the consolidation zone, watch close and set alarms for reminders TP 3 and TP 4 is if it does blow passed the consolidation zone.
take a buy and go for TP 1 & TP 2
your STOP LOSS is at your discretion use proper risk management
when it does hit the top of the zone I made look for new entry and to go TP 3 & TP 4.
Trade Aware, Trade Accurate, Trade to WIN
Let the bitcoin ride!Hey there, crypto lovers! As we see on the BTC/USDT chart, There's been two false breakouts so far. (eg. price breaking out out of a trend and going back inside the trend.)
While false breakouts are many traders' nightmares, yet no fear, my dear! because the good news is, that the more a trend's limit is tested and penetrated by the price, the weaker it gets. Yet it's early to call it an start of another bull run, in my opinion we are at the edge of the market deciding it's path.
TLDR: If the price breaks the trendline again, this time it's more likely to be an start of an uptrend. For confirmation you can wait for a pull back to see how the price behaves after a breakout.
Blessed be the bitcoin! ;)
BTC Wyckoff Distribution. Are we sure the pattern is complete?Short-Med term bearish, long term bullish ( i believe this cycle still has to finish correcting before we can start accumulating foe the next one).
Just my own opinion but I'm seeing that everyone is all bullish because we've just had a pump, & people are now thinking we're in the Wyckof Accumulation phase.. Are we forgetting that the Wyckoff Distribution has 2 big tests on either side & all look rather symmetrical? The one earlier was not big enough to be that, & the leg down not long enough. You couldn't call that one a "Fakeout test", it was just a re-test. Wyckoff Distributions commonly have a last big Fakeout to exhaust more retail supply & induce one more big shorting opportunity before coming down to consolidation & accumulation phase. Are we forgetting too that sub 50% is a cycle correction? Most parabolic pumps correct 60-80% before accumulation, both in micro & macro. 2017 ATH corrected 81% before finally ending correction late 2018. This has happened alot quicker, & there is more institutional money this time so i wouldn't expect an identical correction but we have to expect that an end of cycle is generally more than 55%. So i feel that this isnt done yet, this is a test, & the Wyckoff pattern & head & shoulders still has to compete before the next cycle can begin.
Another thing i would add is ive been following the chart with a Fib Spiral since just early January, just after the retest down after the first big test. The same pattern that forms waves, clouds etc. By the time we got to Wave no 3 i noticed the wave peaks were plateauing out, in line with the shape of the spiral. I had a big feeling Wave no4, 64k was the peak but i didn't trust my own judgement cos im still learning. But by the time we got to Wave no5 i realised that the bigger wave, the whole cycle, was about to break. So i cashed everything to stables & ultimately avoided a whole lot of pain. So given the whole cycle seems to be shaped by the spiral, the fact that the first big test up, on the upside, & the recent big test up on the downside, are almost identically opposite each other at around the same price level, rings major alarm bells for me. They look far too symmetrical to me to be a mere coincidence, & remember symmetry is such a common thread in chart patterns, head & shoulders/double bottoms/double tops ect. So i think there's a high chance we haven't finished our correction from ATH yet. there's too much adoption & fundamentals now for it to be a full 80% correction like 2017, but i think 65% is highly likely.
We also have to take into account the fact the announcement just after NY trading hours finished, on monday, the same day of the biggest buying volumes in months, that Tether is being taken to court by the DOJ over fraud, something they will have a harder time defending than Ripple over the SEC. So its highly likely that the sudden trading volume was Tether insiders & Bitfinex hurredly offloading Tether for BTC in advance o the announcement. Given how much Wyckoff activity is all market insiders i find the coincidence between the pump & the announcement on the same day very suspicious. So again, another reason to believe that this "Breakout" is a fakeout & not a trend.
Tread carefully.. But of course the much bigger picture, across cycles is still up.. 2017 ATH corrected 81% & then the next ATH was 13-14x that. So if we repeat the pattern then the next ATH is about 260k. But i dnt believe that will happen for another year. And the sooner we finish correcting, the sooner we can start accumulating, & the cheaper the buying will be.. Tread carefully, don't FOMO in, wait a little to see what happens. I'm certain this correction isn't finished yet..
Take care & look after yourselves :)
Gold: Weekly Forecast 18th July 2021Gold marked its first weekly loss in just more than a month.
Gold price has struggled to maintain its recovery from the previous selloff as the dollar continued to strengthened amid the outbreak of the delta variant.
However, we still see gold finding support and staying on to of the previous range which could potentially invite another bullish wave in the coming week.
This week, we expect the market to be either ranging or it may start to rebound off the support turned resistance level 1790 and head for 1850.
We do expect some fake breakout of 1790, which may push the price to as low as 1770, before it starts to trend upwards.