AUD/CHF and CAD/CHF on watch for me today.AUD/CHF:
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above the upper trend line of our most recent piece of structure and the last part of the move is corrective, then I'll be looking to get short with a risk entry either after a phase line break, or just below a one hour or a fifteen minute rejection from it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
CAD/CHF:
• If price pushes down to and ideally just below our most recent low and the last part of the move is corrective, then I'll be looking to get long with a risk entry either after a phase line break, or just above a one hour or a fifteen minute rejection from it, but I'll be hiding my stop loss below the wick to the left of our most recent low for extra protection.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
Falconfx
EUR/AUD on watch for me today.EUR/AUD:
• If price pushes down to and ideally just below the lower trend line of our most recent piece of structure and the last part of the move is corrective, then I'll be looking to get long with a risk entry either after a phase line break, or just above a one hour or a fifteen minute rejection from it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
USD/CHF on watch for me today.USD/CHF:
• If price corrects and a tight one hour flag forms, then I'll be looking to get long with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
AUD/CHF and EUR/USD on watch for me today.AUD/CHF:
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our upper rayline and the last part of the move is corrective, then I'll be looking to get short with a risk entry either after a phase line break, or just below a one hour or a fifteen minute rejection from it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
EUR/USD:
• If price corrects and a tight flag forms, or price impulses up still further and a subsequent tight flag forms, then I'll be looking to get long with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
AUD/CAD on watch for me today.AUD/CAD:
• If price corrects and a tight one hour flag forms, then I'll be looking to get long with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
CHF/JPY and AUD/JPY on watch for me today.CHF/JPY:
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above the upper trend line of our most recent piece of structure and the last part of the move is corrective, then I'll be looking to get short with a risk entry either after a phase line break, or just below a one hour or a fifteen minute rejection from it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
AUD/JPY:
• If price pushes down, it does so impulsively a subsequent tight one hour flag forms, then I'll be looking to get short with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
CHF/JPY on watch for me today.CHF/JPY:
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above the upper trend line of our most recent piece of structure, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back down followed by a tight one hour flag and then I'll be looking to get short with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
No Forecast (GBP/USD Trade Update).Good morning guys and girls,
I'm now back at my office desk at my home address in Scotland. I still need to catch up on a few things and set my recording equipment up which I'll be doing later today, but once I've done so I'll be able to start making videos for you again from tomorrow onwards.
For now here's a quick update on my GBP/USD trade. I was tagged out a few seconds after 8:00 AM this morning for +1.88%. Since price had previously twice come very close to my stop loss before pushing back up in my forecasted direction I moved my stop back down by a couple of pips whilst I was sat waiting for my train at London King's Cross station to give my trade just a tiny bit more room to breathe so that my stop loss made sense relative to where this new swing low had formed. I don't normally give back profit if I've already locked it in, but I will if it makes sense to do so and I'm only giving back a tiny amount such as +0.07% as I was in this instance. Price then subsequently pushed up leaving me running at around +4.00% profit at one point and a question I always ask myself when I have a lot of profit exposed to the market is, "Would I be comfortable having this much profit exposed to the market if I was trading a one million pound account?", which if I was trading a one million pound account would have meant that this trade would have been in profit by £40,000 with the possibility of price taking me out for £12,900. So after asking myself this I decided to lock in below the big wick that had formed on the one hour chart which was also a notable inflection point on the four hour chart. I could have locked in on the break of the subsequent tight flag that had formed on the one hour chart, but an amendment I made to my trading plan a while back was to not lock in on the break of tight flags if price has broken them correctively, because the testing I've done and my experience have taught me when this happens price will usually turn such tight flags into larger versions of themselves before price finally commits in my forecasted direction and given that the profit potential of this trade was just over +30% not locking in too tightly made sense. i.e. I was happy to be a bit more aggressive and lock in some of the +4%, but not too aggressive and by not being too aggressive give this trade a little more room to breathe.
So I'm very happy with this trade which puts me in profit for the month and therefore obviously the quarter, a trade which I'll be documenting later today as one of my five daily goals and I look forward to bringing you videos once again from tomorrow onwards.
Have a great day and I'll speak to you tomorrow!
No Forecast (GBP/USD Trade Update).Good morning guys and girls.
So I didn't create a forecast yesterday for today because it was my last day with my mum down in England who's going through a difficult time at the moment, so I wanted to spend some quality time with her and help with a few things before travelling home to Scotland which is what I'll be doing in about four hours time.
The good news is that I'll be making videos again once I'm back in my office with a reliable internet connection again, though I won't be making one tomorrow morning or creating a forecast at all this evening for tomorrow because I won't be home until quite late this evening and my partner and I have a lot of catching up to do before I start disappearing upstairs to my man cave, I mean office. Haha
Where today is concerned I'm still in my GBP/USD trade but only just, so it looks like I might be tagged out of this soon for a nice little +1.29% profit. But if this doesn't happen and I manage to stay in the trade then I'll obviously break down how my it's going for you all (if I'm still in it) when I next make a video.
Have a great day folks and I'll speak to you again on Thursday morning!
SOYBN/USD and EUR/USD on watch for me today.Good morning all,
so September really was pretty devoid of many decent trading opportunities where how I trade is concerned, but once again I ended the month in profit and that's largely because I value my capital and the longevity of my trading career too much to be jumping into average trades when the market doesn't provide anything which I know from my testing gives me a clear edge over the market. Yes, the market always makes opportunities available. In fact almost every morning I spot opportunities which might play out, but not ones (to reiterate the point) which give me a clear edge over the market and the latter is all I'm interested in. Basically if I have to think for more than a couple of seconds about whether a setup gives me my "edge" or not, meaning that the investment opportunity hasn't "smacked me in the face" then I simply move on to the next pair and I look for my edge there.
Remember! Success is not found in trading every opportunity you can find, most of the people who blow trading accounts are doing that. It's found in showing up, waiting patiently until a setup which meets your plan materialises and then simply executing accordingly and this is something that I intend to do until the end of time.
With the above in mind listed below is what I'll be looking for from the market this morning as always for your viewing, tonight I'll be selecting my 'Top 6' pairs and my 'Wildcards' for next week, tomorrow morning I'll be creating my Monday Forecast and then on Monday as always I will bring you that forecast.
Have a great day and a great weekend!
SOYBN/USD:
• If price pushes up, it does so impulsively a subsequent tight one hour flag forms, then I'll be looking to get long with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
EUR/USD:
• If price pushes down to and ideally just below the lower trend line of our most recent piece of structure and the last part of the move is corrective, then I'll be looking to get long with a risk entry either after a phase line break, or just above a one hour or a fifteen minute rejection from it.
• If price pushes down to and ideally just below the lower trend line of our most recent piece of structure and it does so impulsively, then I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back up followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get long with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
SOYBN/USD and EUR/USD on watch for me today.Good morning all,
so September really was pretty devoid of many decent trading opportunities where how I trade is concerned, but once again I ended the month in profit and that's largely because I value my capital and the longevity of my trading career too much to be jumping into average trades when the market doesn't provide anything which I know from my testing gives me a clear edge over the market. Yes, the market always makes opportunities available. In fact almost every morning I spot opportunities which might play out, but not ones (to reiterate the point) which give me a clear edge over the market and the latter is all I'm interested in. Basically if I have to think for more than a couple of seconds about whether a setup gives me my "edge" or not, meaning that the investment opportunity hasn't "smacked me in the face" then I simply move on to the next pair and I look for my edge there.
Remember! Success is not found in trading every opportunity you can find, most of the people who blow trading accounts are doing that. It's found in showing up, waiting patiently until a setup which meets your plan materialises and then simply executing accordingly and this is something that I intend to do until the end of time.
With the above in mind listed below is what I'll be looking for from the market this morning as always for your viewing, tonight I'll be selecting my 'Top 6' pairs and my 'Wildcards' for next week, tomorrow morning I'll be creating my Monday Forecast and then on Monday as always I will bring you that forecast.
Have a great day and a great weekend!
SOYBN/USD:
• If price pushes up, it does so impulsively a subsequent tight one hour flag forms, then I'll be looking to get long with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
EUR/USD:
• If price pushes down to and ideally just below the lower trend line of our most recent piece of structure and the last part of the move is corrective, then I'll be looking to get long with a risk entry either after a phase line break, or just above a one hour or a fifteen minute rejection from it.
• If price pushes down to and ideally just below the lower trend line of our most recent piece of structure and it does so impulsively, then I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back up followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get long with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
AUDNZD Reversal!!Here on the 4H Timeframe, we can see a very clear breakout from the long term correction on the AUDNZD which has been trapped in a falling channel . This is a clear indication to long the market from here with prosper risk
and trade management.
Thanks and good luck.
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GBPCHF Looking BearishHi traders, sorry I didn't share this in time, but here, we are expecting another correction to the upside before a break to the downside. However, this is not predictive. We'd be ready to move if the market provides another bearish condition/entry, afterwhich you are free to hold till about 90% of the correction is achieved.
THANKS AND GOOD LUCK.
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USD/JPY and EUR/USD on watch for me today.Good morning all,
I hope you're well.
So I took yesterday off to go trout fishing with an old school friend of mine since I'll be travelling back home to Scotland next Tuesday. I don't normally take days off during the week, but being able to do so if I want to is one of the things that I like about trading for a living and about being self-employed in general.
However it's business as usual today for me, so below are my entry requirements with regards to what I'll be looking for from the market today. These requirements may not be met before the end of today, but the market across the board once again looks like it needs a little time to develop at least in terms of how I trade.
Have a great day!
USD/JPY:
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our upper rayline, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back down followed by a tight one hour flag and then I'll be looking to get short either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
EUR/USD:
• If price pushes down to and ideally just below the lower trend line of our most recent piece of structure, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back up followed by a tight one hour flag and then I'll be looking to get long with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If price simply pushes up, it does so impulsively and a subsequent tight one hour flag forms, then I'll once again be looking to get long with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
USD/JPY and EUR/USD on watch for me today.Good morning all,
I hope you're well.
So I took yesterday off to go trout fishing with an old school friend of mine since I'll be travelling back home to Scotland next Tuesday. I don't normally take days off during the week, but being able to do so if I want to is one of the things that I like about trading for a living and about being self-employed in general.
However it's business as usual today for me, so below are my entry requirements with regards to what I'll be looking for from the market today. These requirements may not be met before the end of today, but the market across the board once again looks like it needs a little time to develop at least in terms of how I trade.
Have a great day!
USD/JPY:
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our upper rayline, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back down followed by a tight one hour flag and then I'll be looking to get short either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
EUR/USD:
• If price pushes down to and ideally just below the lower trend line of our most recent piece of structure, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back up followed by a tight one hour flag and then I'll be looking to get long with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If price simply pushes up, it does so impulsively and a subsequent tight one hour flag forms, then I'll once again be looking to get long with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
Forecast Amendment: NZD/USDHi guys and girls,
so because price broke our lower rayline impulsively I won't be trying to catch a falling knife, I'll instead be waiting for confirmation or as much as we could wish to see that the market actually wishes to retrace and that confirmation is as illustrated and as explained below...
NZD:
• If price pushes up, it does so impulsively a subsequent tight one hour flag forms, then I'll be looking to get long with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
GBP/CAD, EUR/USD and NZD/USD on watch for me today.Good morning all,
I hope you're doing well.
So yesterday I refrained from getting short on USD/CHF with a risk entry because price had broken our two inflection points fairly impulsively and in keeping with my forecast I said that I was only interested in getting short with a risk entry if price broke, or at least tagged at least one of them correctively. As price came back down and then pushed back up leaving us with a clear ascending trend line to work with I then placed my order on the break of the trend line, because the overall move up had now become a corrective one (at least in terms of how I define a corrective move). However price pushed so far up from this trend line and so close to our new high without actually tagging it (which is the crucial piece of information) that I decided to cancel my order, because in my experience when price comes very close to a high or low without actually tagging it it's often the case that the orders that were placed at, or just the other side of the high or low which are dragging the mid-price towards it need to be filled (more often than not) for price to be able to impulse in our forecasted direction and sure enough, on this occasion at least price broke the trend line, it didn't really go anywhere and now it's pushed back up to that previous high to no doubt collect all of the orders that I was speaking of that are located at, or just above our new high and what happens after it's done so remains to be seen. But these are just things that you learn through experience and through backtesting. On a different day I could have cancelled my order and price could have rocketed in my forecasted direction, but the majority of the time which is all we as traders should be interested in price will do what it's doing this morning for the reasons given.
But where today is concerned I think there's better investment opportunities available that now make more sense to me from a structural perspective and those opportunities and my entry requirements I've pasted below for your viewing as always.
Have a great day folks!
GBP/CAD:
• If price pushes down to and ideally just below the lower trend line of our most recent piece of structure and the last part of the move is corrective, then I'll be looking to get long with a risk entry either after a phase line break, or just above a one hour or a fifteen minute rejection from it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
EUR/USD:
• If price pushes down to and ideally just below our lower rayline, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back up followed by a tight one hour flag and then I'll be looking to get long with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
NZD/USD:
• If price pushes down to and ideally just below our lower rayline and the last part of the move is corrective, then I'll be looking to get long with a risk entry either after a phase line break, or just above a one hour or a fifteen minute rejection from it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
GBP/CAD, EUR/USD and NZD/USD on watch for me today.Good morning all,
I hope you're doing well.
So yesterday I refrained from getting short on USD/CHF with a risk entry because price had broken our two inflection points fairly impulsively and in keeping with my forecast I said that I was only interested in getting short with a risk entry if price broke, or at least tagged at least one of them correctively. As price came back down and then pushed back up leaving us with a clear ascending trend line to work with I then placed my order on the break of the trend line, because the overall move up had now become a corrective one (at least in terms of how I define a corrective move). However price pushed so far up from this trend line and so close to our new high without actually tagging it (which is the crucial piece of information) that I decided to cancel my order, because in my experience when price comes very close to a high or low without actually tagging it it's often the case that the orders that were placed at, or just the other side of the high or low which are dragging the mid-price towards it need to be filled (more often than not) for price to be able to impulse in our forecasted direction and sure enough, on this occasion at least price broke the trend line, it didn't really go anywhere and now it's pushed back up to that previous high to no doubt collect all of the orders that I was speaking of that are located at, or just above our new high and what happens after it's done so remains to be seen. But these are just things that you learn through experience and through backtesting. On a different day I could have cancelled my order and price could have rocketed in my forecasted direction, but the majority of the time which is all we as traders should be interested in price will do what it's doing this morning for the reasons given.
But where today is concerned I think there's better investment opportunities available that now make more sense to me from a structural perspective and those opportunities and my entry requirements I've pasted below for your viewing as always.
Have a great day folks!
GBP/CAD:
• If price pushes down to and ideally just below the lower trend line of our most recent piece of structure and the last part of the move is corrective, then I'll be looking to get long with a risk entry either after a phase line break, or just above a one hour or a fifteen minute rejection from it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
EUR/USD:
• If price pushes down to and ideally just below our lower rayline, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back up followed by a tight one hour flag and then I'll be looking to get long with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
NZD/USD:
• If price pushes down to and ideally just below our lower rayline and the last part of the move is corrective, then I'll be looking to get long with a risk entry either after a phase line break, or just above a one hour or a fifteen minute rejection from it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
GBP/CAD, EUR/USD and NZD/USD on watch for me today.Good morning all,
I hope you're doing well.
So yesterday I refrained from getting short on USD/CHF with a risk entry because price had broken our two inflection points fairly impulsively and in keeping with my forecast I said that I was only interested in getting short with a risk entry if price broke, or at least tagged at least one of them correctively. As price came back down and then pushed back up leaving us with a clear ascending trend line to work with I then placed my order on the break of the trend line, because the overall move up had now become a corrective one (at least in terms of how I define a corrective move). However price pushed so far up from this trend line and so close to our new high without actually tagging it (which is the crucial piece of information) that I decided to cancel my order, because in my experience when price comes very close to a high or low without actually tagging it it's often the case that the orders that were placed at, or just the other side of the high or low which are dragging the mid-price towards it need to be filled (more often than not) for price to be able to impulse in our forecasted direction and sure enough, on this occasion at least price broke the trend line, it didn't really go anywhere and now it's pushed back up to that previous high to no doubt collect all of the orders that I was speaking of that are located at, or just above our new high and what happens after it's done so remains to be seen. But these are just things that you learn through experience and through backtesting. On a different day I could have cancelled my order and price could have rocketed in my forecasted direction, but the majority of the time which is all we as traders should be interested in price will do what it's doing this morning for the reasons given.
But where today is concerned I think there's better investment opportunities available that now make more sense to me from a structural perspective and those opportunities and my entry requirements I've pasted below for your viewing as always.
Have a great day folks!
GBP/CAD:
• If price pushes down to and ideally just below the lower trend line of our most recent piece of structure and the last part of the move is corrective, then I'll be looking to get long with a risk entry either after a phase line break, or just above a one hour or a fifteen minute rejection from it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
EUR/USD:
• If price pushes down to and ideally just below our lower rayline, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back up followed by a tight one hour flag and then I'll be looking to get long with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
NZD/USD:
• If price pushes down to and ideally just below our lower rayline and the last part of the move is corrective, then I'll be looking to get long with a risk entry either after a phase line break, or just above a one hour or a fifteen minute rejection from it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
EURJPY. Getting Ready To SellThese are two reversal points for the EURJPY, likely to reverse at the first zone which stands to be a fairly strong resistance. Wait for bearish reversal confirmation.
Thanks and good luck.
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