USD/JPY SELL SELL SELL !!!Also another sell setup
1. price has come to previous structure and shown a huge bearish candle
2. price put in a bearish engulfing candle
3 price is downtrending
4.previous candle was a doji
on the daily previous candle was a bearish hammer sign of more sellers in the market :)
Fall
Reaffirming short from Dec 20, more trouble ahead for BTCAs I stated on 12/20, it was pretty much impossible for BTC to not sink further and significantly. Though it did have a short rebound for X-mas that was destined to be short lived. BTC is only down 7.25% since I made my prediction but with what the 3 hour through 2 week indicators show is trouble. The shorter 4 and 6 hour indicators show a reversal underway following this slight recovery. The one and two day MACDs have still not bottomed out; and worst of all, the 1week and 2week MACDs are looking like they've peaked. This would be their first downward movements since Aug/Sept when we were at 1500CNY/235USD. The StochRSI at 1week is showing its first downward cross since the early Nov. drop as well I would NOT take this lightly.
I'm still optimistic in the medium-term and I'd be very surprised if prices got anywhere near that low, but January could get really cold, really fast. If you are still in BTC I would have your alarms set and be ready to trade or at least hedge with a put option or two. If you are out, just don't get back in too quickly, it can be tempting to see the 2-hour MACD/RSI going positive and panic-buy, but I'd advise against it. 1 day indicators should be able to show us the way when it is time to return.
MACRO VIEW: USDJPY HOLDS LONG TERM GROUNDDespite today's sharp selloff in the dollar, USDJPY holds long term ground
The price held 1-year (264-day) mean standing at 117.60
The price also did not fail its relevant lows at 115.40
Thus USDJPY is likely bounce back up now
However, risk of more downtrend remains as price trades below 1st standard deviation from quarterly (66-day) mean at 122.25
BTC/USD might be calling for a mayday soon. Expect panic sellingThe ABC correction from the 305 top has finished off exactly as predicted, see chart. After the bottom of C, the downtrend resumed and touched down on the (minor) 266 support. Of course a rebound was to be expected as prices don't move straight down or up.
Now we are looking at a bearish wedge forming with a possible break down sometime tomorrow, or wednesday at the latest. The breakdown will take us down to the previous low of 255-258.
At this moment it is becoming more and more dangerous to short this market, even though there is a possibility of a flash crash to the lower 200's. Either way, we are approaching bottom, meaning despair phase will kick in and shortly after this we might see some pretty amazing action towards the upside.
Good luck to all traders!
Pulling strongly AUDUSD to the downside - Longterm MomentumMomentum is trending down and the market broke to the up side (momentum was against it but there was a wedge), later it broke down in harmony with momentum, momentum has been trending down. It look like AUDUSD is moving down, and there is a chance that it will move quickly in 'harmonic move' fashion. There are many ways how to play this out and some of theme can bee seen in the screenshoot. Some bearish candles would be a good confirmation (like-hammer-bearish candle).
To enter I'll look for Fibonacci and structure confluence.
More aggressive traders could short around 0.9365.