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Falling

Catching a Falling Knife with AMD on the 30 minute chartBetting on a price increase after a sharp price decrease is called "catching a falling knife". In fact, you may have heard someone say, "don't try to catch a falling knife." The analogy is meant to sound dangerous because it is very risky to buy a stock that is dropping rapidly. The hope is that if you time it right, you will get in at the bottom and make big profits. The opposite is true as well, but catching a knife thrown upward sounds like an even worse idea. I would like to suggest that it's possible to profit from a knife-catching strategy if you manage your risk and timing properly. In the chart for AMD, I've marked the opportunities to catch a falling (or rising) knife, which have been occurring on a daily basis for the past week. For AMD, a price bottom has typically been forming after the price has dropped significantly over the previous day. And a top has formed after the price has risen significantly over the previous day. Sometimes it's not clear if a bottom or top has formed such as on October 25. In that case, it's a coin flip (50% chance of being right). The key to success in this strategy is to set a tight stop loss and to buy or sell short during the pre-market (yellow-shaded area). There were at least 6 excellent opportunities last week to do this. Unfortunately, I wasn't paying attention to AMD until the morning of Friday, October 28. I saw the opportunity and realized that there was no way my order would have a chance to go through when the market opened if the price was making a dramatic move. I bought a half hour before the market opened (9:00 AM Eastern) and set my stop loss below the low reached post-market the previous day. Once the market opened, the price was already climbing and I got out before 10:00 AM Eastern. My risk-reward ratio was 1:5. That is, I risked 1 dollar for every 5 dollars I profited. Not too shabby. It appears that Monday is going to be another great opportunity, and I will be watching the pre-market closely. I will be setting a stop loss at 62.30 and a take profit of around 59.50. Although I will be watching for the right time to get out, which is usually when the price reverses, and I chicken out as I did on the 28th. Monday's trade will be going against the larger trend which I believe is heading to 73 by the end of November. See the link to my longer-term analysis of AMD. This is not a 100% fool-proof strategy, and the conditions that make this look easy can change completely and without notice. Also, the volatility can stop you out too soon. Take a look at October 22 for an example of where I would have been stopped out and lost out on the subsequent big move. Disclaimer: I am not a financial advisor, and the above statements are not investment advice. My comments are only intended for educational purposes. You are solely responsible for your own trading decisions. I'd like to add that developing these analyses is a powerful educational tool for the one doing the analysis (namely me). It helps me formulate my thoughts and plan my trades so that I can make the best decisions possible. I'm training my brain to eventually do this automatically when I glance at a chart. It's a skill that I hope will benefit me for the rest of my life. I hope you enjoyed reading as much as I did writing. Give some thought to publishing your own ideas. I highly recommend it. Have a profitable week!
NASDAQ:AMD
by cdnbuzzard
Large falling wedge on MATIC over Daily time frame - target 1.05 Retrospective for my own learning and improvement - welcome any criticism Large Falling wedge on daily timeframe - clear break and re-test of wedge - take profit half around 0.92 (now) and half at 1.05. Then look for deviation and resistance from 1.05 or acceptance for next step. Where flag icon is there is also a small bull pennant on ltf - target in grey - I expect final price to end up somewhere between those two values.
MLong
by pinkkanga
Egld/USDT Long📈N.B. My strategy is based on huge explosive profit or very little profit so without breakeven stop loss at the right time we will lose in very little profit so follow me if you want to know breakeven stop loss Trading proposals post based on price action, technical analysis, major intraday supports and resistances, rejections, breakouts, chart patterns and other factors. How this analysis was done: First I find usdt pairs using crypto screener then if all Three×3 in 1 indicators gives main entry confirmation at the same time I go with the analysis then I find Support and Resistance zones in 3x entry timeframe also using one of the three indicators for backing up my analysis and filter bad signals then I also make trendlines using two of the 3 indicators in 3x entry timeframe for filter out more bad signals then again using one of the 3in1 indicators I filter fake breakout in entry timeframe and in higher time frame and then if other minor conditions is confirmed the analysis is done. Take profit: Take profit is dynamic/trailing stop loss Trading and investment in the financial markets always involves high rish, So In order to succeed using our signals make sure you have learned the essential skills for money and risk management To SUPPORT this channel, please press the LIKE button, COMMENT and Share with your friends
Long
by TrueUrBoss
6
Potential LTF BTC trade (Falling Wedge)BTC is coming out of a falling wedge of which’s target has been met. During this, the price action created a falling wedge which could take us higher until we reach the HTF resistance line in yellow which has continuously pushed price back down. I think upon touching this yellow resistance line we will fall down to around the 13k level as there is major support there, please check out my other chart for BTC where I detail this. (BTC Price Prediction - TA)
Long
by CripToeMonke