Sundaram Finance | Falling Wedge Breakout with Strong Volume Pattern: Falling Wedge breakout followed by consolidation (bullish continuation).
Breakout Confirmation: Clean breakout from both the wedge and the consolidation box with strong volume.
Indicators:
Volume: Spike visible (🔵 arrow) – confirming strength.
RSI: Crossed above 60 – entering bullish momentum territory.
EMAs: Price trading above all major EMAs – trend supportive.
Buy Recommendation:
Entry Range: ₹340–₹350
(Post-breakout retest may offer ideal entries if available)
🎯 Target Levels:
Short-Term Target: ₹375
Mid-Term Target: ₹410–₹425
(Based on previous swing highs and wedge height projection)
🛑 Stop Loss:
SL Level: ₹320 (below the consolidation box low)
for educational purposes only
Falling Wedge
Hey Look! Sellers are Getting Weaker You may notice that the recent price declines are becoming smaller (marked by the grey arrows). The red candlesticks are shrinking, indicating that selling pressure is weakening while buyers are gradually stepping into the market.
As sellers lose momentum, we can expect the support area between 2.779 – 2.713 to hold and potentially trigger a price bounce. For now, we wait for the price to reach this zone and look for a clear confirmation signal before entering.
From a chart pattern perspective, a falling wedge reversal is forming — a pattern often associated with bullish reversals. The 2.779 – 2.713 support area aligns with this pattern and can be considered a potential buy zone, provided we get proper confirmation.
HOOD daily chart: breakout or fakeout? Key zone approaching.Robinhood's stock has formed a falling wedge pattern on the daily chart, indicating a potential bullish reversal. The price has broken above the 0.618 Fibonacci level at $44.00, suggesting further upside potential. Next targets are $48.40, $52.79, $58.22, and $67.00. RSI and MACD indicators confirm bullish momentum.
Fundamental Factors:
Robinhood continues to show revenue and profit growth, supporting positive investor sentiment. The company is expanding its services and attracting new users, strengthening its market position.
Scenarios:
Main scenario: continued rise to $48.40, then to $52.79 and higher.
Alternative scenario: pullback to $39.71 with potential decline to $36.00.
BITCOIN → Testing trend resistance. Will there be a breakout?BINANCE:BTCUSDT is approaching trend resistance and most likely it may test the liquidity zone and risk zone for sellers (liquidity hunt ?), but does the market have the potential to support the upside?
Bitcoin is strengthening and channel resistance may not stop this growth. Based on the nature of price movement (smooth, gradual, consolidating), bitcoin may test liquidity 84.7K - 88.8K. But it is too early to talk about further growth
On W1, the price is in a trading range (consolidation) between the previously broken global consolidation support and the current support. Short bodies, long shadows speak about consolidation. Also worth noting are the relatively long tails to the downside and the weak market reaction...
Fundamentally, the cryptocurrency market (community as a whole) for the past week did not get anything positive as from the very beginning of this year, the growth can be attributed to the 90-day technical break by Trump, but there are a number of nuances:
- the fire has not yet been put out
- just because they gave a 90-day break doesn't mean everything is fine. It's just a head start for the U.S. to prepare for the situation more thoroughly
- The escalating conflict between the U.S. and China has investors looking for less risky assets like gold. Cryptocurrencies are definitely not on that list.
- Rumors of a US interest rate cut are likely to provide support as well.
Resistance levels: 84700, 88800
Support levels: 78200, 73-74К, 66500
I would not hurry with conclusions about further growth. Growth could be considered if bitcoin overcomes 88800 and consolidates above this zone. But a sharp approach or a false breakout of one of the mentioned liquidity zones may provoke a reversal and fall.
Regards R. Linda!
DOGE → Will the market hold strength or lose it all?BINANCE:DOGEUSDT is testing the liquidity and resistance zone amid a downtrend as part of a news-induced rally. Will the market hold this trend or return to a sell-off?
The downtrend continues. As part of the correction triggered by the news backdrop, bitcoin strengthened and pulled the altcoins with it. But the market may lose all its growth quite quickly, as bearish pressure on the market is still very strong (There are no fundamental positive changes for the market). The fall of BTC may be followed by DOGE as well.
Technically, the price is forming a false break of the resistance zone 0.1622 - 0.15700, consolidation of the price below this zone will provoke the continuation of the fall to the nearest zone of interest 0.13646.
Resistance levels: 0.157, -0.1622
Support levels: 0.13646, 0.1277, 0.1154
A retest of the trend resistance is possible, but price consolidation below the key zone will be a good signal indicating the seller's strength, the decline may continue. On the weekly timeframe we have a trigger at 0.14217, break of which will open the way to 0.1277 - 0.1025.
Regards R. Linda!
RSR/USDT: FALLING WEDGE BREAKOUT! 100%+ PROFIT POTENTIAL!!🚀 Hey Traders! RSR Breakout Alert – 100%+ Rally Incoming? 👀🔥
If you’re hyped for big moves and real alpha, smash that 👍 and hit Follow for high-accuracy trade setups that actually deliver! 💹🚀
RSR has just broken out of a falling wedge structure on the daily timeframe—a powerful bullish pattern. The chart’s signaling a potential 100–150% upside move if momentum picks up from here. 📈
📍 Entry Zone: CMP – Add more on dips down to $0.0066
🎯 Target: 100%–150% upside
🛑 Stop-Loss: $0.0054
📊 Trade Plan:
✅ Buy from current levels
✅ Add on dips near breakout support
✅ Ride the breakout wave with tight risk control!
💬 What’s Your Take?
Are you riding this RSR breakout or waiting on confirmation? Drop your thoughts and targets in the comments—let’s ride this wave together! 💰🔥
Falling Wedge Trading Pattern: Unique Features and Trading RulesFalling Wedge Trading Pattern: Unique Features and Trading Rules
Various chart patterns give an indication of possible market direction. A falling wedge is one such formation that indicates a possible bullish reversal. This FXOpen article will help you understand whether the falling wedge pattern is bullish or bearish, what its formation signifies about the market direction, and how it can be used to spot trading opportunities.
What Is a Falling Wedge Pattern?
Also known as the descending wedge, the falling wedge technical analysis chart pattern is a bullish formation that typically occurs in the downtrend and signals a trend reversal. It forms when an asset's price drops, but the range of price movements starts to get narrower. As the formation contracts towards the end, the buyers completely absorb the selling pressure and consolidate their energy before beginning to push the market higher. A falling wedge pattern means the end of a market correction and an upside reversal.
How Can You Spot a Falling Wedge on a Price Chart?
This pattern is usually spotted in a downtrend, which would indicate a possible bullish reversal. However, it may appear in an uptrend and signal a trend continuation after a market correction. Either way, the falling wedge provides bullish signals. The descending formation generally has the following features.
- Price Action. The price trades lower, forming lower highs and lower lows.
- Trendlines. Traders draw two trendlines. One connects the lower highs, and the other connects the lower lows. Finally, they intersect towards a convergence point. Each line should connect at least two points. However, the greater the number, the higher the chance of the market reversal.
- Contraction. The contraction in the price range signals decreasing volatility in the market. As the formation matures, new lows contract as the selling pressure decreases. Thus, the lower trendline acts as support, and the price consolidating within the narrowing range creates a coiled spring effect, finally leading to a sharp move on the upside. The price breaks through the upper trendline resistance, indicating that sellers are losing control and buyers are gaining momentum, resulting in an upward move.
- Volume. The trading volume ideally decreases as the pattern forms, and the buying volume increases with the breakout above the upper trendline, reflecting a shift in momentum towards the buyers.
Falling and Rising Wedge: Differences
There are two types of wedge formation – rising (ascending) and falling (descending).
An ascending wedge occurs when the highs and lows rise, while a descending wedge pattern has lower highs and lows. In an ascending formation, the slope of the lows is steeper and converges with the upper trendline at some point, while in a descending formation, the slope of the highs is steeper and converges with the support trendline at some point.
Usually, a rising wedge indicates that sellers are taking control, resulting in a downside breakdown. Conversely, a descending wedge pattern indicates that buyers are gaining momentum after consolidation, generally resulting in an upside breakout.
The Falling Wedge: Trading Rules
Trading the falling wedge involves waiting for the price to break above the upper line, typically considered a bullish reversal. The pattern’s conformity increases when it is combined with other technical indicators.
- Entry
According to theory, the ideal entry point is after the price has broken above the wedge’s upper boundary, indicating a potential upside reversal. Furthermore, this descending wedge breakout should be accompanied by an increase in trading volume to confirm the validity of the signal.
The price may retest the resistance level before continuing its upward movement, providing another opportunity to enter a long position. However, the entry point should be based on the traders' risk management plan and trading strategy.
- Take Profit
It is essential to determine an appropriate target level. Traders typically set a profit target by measuring the height of the widest part of the formation and adding it to the breakout point. Another approach some traders use is to look for significant resistance levels above the breakout point, such as previous swing highs.
- Stop Loss
Traders typically place their stop-loss orders just below the lower boundary of the wedge. Also, the stop-loss level can be based on technical or psychological support levels, such as previous swing lows. In addition, the stop-loss level should be set according to the trader's risk tolerance and overall trading strategy.
Trading Example
In the chart above, there is a falling wedge. A trader opened a buy position on the close of the breakout candlestick. A stop loss was placed below the wedge’s lower boundary, while the take-profit target was equal to the pattern’s widest part.
Falling Wedge and Other Patterns
Here are chart patterns that can be confused with a falling wedge.
Falling Wedge vs Bullish Flag
These are two distinct chart formations used to identify potential buying opportunities in the market, but there are some differences between the two.
A descending wedge is a bullish setup, forming in a downtrend. It is characterised by two converging trendlines that slope downward, signalling decreasing selling pressure. A breakout above the upper trendline suggests a bullish move.
A bullish flag appears after a strong upward movement and forms a rectangular shape with parallel trendlines that slope slightly downward or move sideways. This formation represents a brief consolidation before the market resumes its upward trajectory.
While the falling wedge indicates a potential shift in a downtrend, the bullish flag suggests a continuation of an uptrend.
Falling Wedge vs Bearish Pennant
The falling wedge features two converging trendlines that slope downward, indicating decreasing selling pressure and often signalling a bullish reversal when the price breaks above the upper trendline.
Conversely, the bearish pennant forms after a significant downward movement and is characterised by converging trendlines that create a small symmetrical triangle. This pattern represents a consolidation phase before the market continues its downward trend upon breaking below the lower trendline.
While the falling wedge suggests a potential bullish move, the bearish pennant indicates a continuation of the bearish trend.
Falling Wedge vs Descending Triangle
The falling wedge consists of two downward-sloping converging trendlines, indicating decreasing selling pressure and often signalling a bullish reversal when the price breaks above the upper trendline. In contrast, the descending triangle features a flat lower trendline and a downward-sloping upper trendline, suggesting a buildup of selling pressure and typically signalling a bearish continuation when the price breaks below the flat lower trendline.
While the falling wedge is associated with a potential bullish move, the descending triangle generally indicates a bearish trend.
Falling Wedge: Advantages and Limitations
Like any technical pattern, the falling wedge has both limitations and advantages.
Advantages
- High Probability of a Reversal. The falling wedge is often seen as a strong, bullish signal, especially when it occurs after a downtrend. It suggests that selling pressure is subsiding, and a reversal to the upside may be imminent.
- Clear Entry and Exit Points. The pattern provides clear points for entering and exiting trades. Traders often enter when the price breaks out above the upper trendline and set stop-loss orders below a recent low within the formation.
- Versatility. The wedge can be used in various market conditions. It is effective in both continuation and reversal scenarios, though it is more commonly associated with bullish reversals.
- Widely Recognised. Since the falling wedge is a well-known formation, it is often self-fulfilling to some extent, as many traders recognise and act on it, further driving the market.
Limitations
- False Breakouts. Like many chart patterns, the falling wedge is prone to false breakouts. Prices may briefly move above the resistance line but then fall back below, trapping traders.
- Dependence on Market Context. The effectiveness of the falling wedge can vary depending on broader market conditions. In a strong downtrend, it might fail to result in a significant reversal.
- Requires Confirmation. The wedge should be confirmed with other technical indicators or analysis tools, such as volumes or moving averages, to increase the likelihood of an effective trade. Relying solely on the falling wedge can be risky.
- Limited Use in Low-Volatility Markets. In markets with low volatility, the falling wedge may not be as reliable, as price movements might not be strong enough to confirm the falling wedge's breakout.
The Bottom Line
The falling wedge is a powerful chart pattern that can offer valuable insights into potential trend reversals or continuations, depending on its context within the broader market. By understanding and effectively utilising the falling wedge in your strategy, you can enhance your ability to identify many trading opportunities. As with all trading tools, combining it with a comprehensive trading plan and proper risk management is crucial.
FAQ
Is a Falling Wedge Bullish?
Yes, the falling wedge is a bullish continuation pattern in an uptrend, and it acts as a bullish reversal formation in a bearish market.
What Does a Falling Wedge Pattern Indicate?
It indicates that the buyers are absorbing the selling pressure, which is reflected in the narrower price range and finally results in an upside breakout.
What Is the Falling Wedge Pattern Rule?
The falling wedge is a technical analysis formation that occurs when the price forms lower highs and lower lows within converging trendlines, sloping downward. Its rule is that a breakout above the upper trendline signals a potential reversal to the upside, often indicating the end of a downtrend or the continuation of a strong uptrend.
How to Trade Descending Wedge Patterns?
To trade descending wedges, traders first identify them by ensuring that the price is making lower highs and lows within converging trendlines. Then, they wait for the price to break out above the upper trendline, ideally accompanied by increased trading volume, which confirms the breakout. After the breakout, a common approach is to enter a long position, aiming to take advantage of the anticipated upward movement.
What Is the Target of the Descending Wedge Pattern?
The target for a descending wedge is typically set by measuring the maximum width of the wedge at its widest part and projecting that distance upwards from the breakout point. This projection gives a potential price target.
What Is the Entry Point for a Falling Wedge?
The entry point for a falling wedge is ideally just after the breakout above the upper trendline. Some traders prefer to wait for a retest of the broken trendline, which may act as a new support level, before entering a trade to confirm the breakout.
*Important: At FXOpen UK, Cryptocurrency trading via CFDs is only available to our Professional clients. They are not available for trading by Retail clients. To find out more information about how this may affect you, please get in touch with our team.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
BTCUSD. Weekly bull pennantThe daily failing wedge’s top trendline is not as sharp of a trajectory as the the weekly timeframe’s and due to this, the daily time frames wege is noticeably longer, so I thinkI am going to post a follow p idea to this one that shows the longer version of the wedge, not sure which one is more valid yet at this current time. If the weekly 50ma(in orange) can hold support then we should break up from this wedge right around where I have placed the dotted measured move lne, in which case the breakout target would be around 133k, if the longer version of the wedge on the daily time frame is the more valid of the two then we will likely have to correct longer before we see a breakout. Will post the longer version n the very next idea post. *not financial advice*
The last bullish chance of Bitcoin in mid-term !!BTC is in a Falling Wedge Pattern. This means The Bulls Have Higher Chance To Claim The Trend Than Bears! No Break out Has Happened yet and we shall wait for a Break out But It should Happen Pretty Soon Because there is also a Regular Bullish Divergence On MACD as well! So The Bullish Chance for BTC Is Pretty High and we Shall see a Bullish Movement Up to $100K Pretty Quick!
-BTC is in a Falling wedge Pattern
-No Break out
-(+RD) on MACD
Give me some energy !!
✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us.
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
_ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
GOLD → Consolidation or continuation of the fall. 3013 triggerFX:XAUUSD is going through the strongest liquidation phase. The fall is triggered by profit-taking amid last week's strong news. Additional pressure is created by the strong NFP report released on Friday. The economic risk situation is bifurcating....
Gold prices rebounded after falling in the Asian session, consolidating the drop triggered by the intensifying trade war between the US and China. Donald Trump's comments about rejecting deals with China have heightened recession fears, raising the likelihood of a Fed rate cut.
Against this backdrop, there was increased interest in gold as a protective asset, despite the rise in the dollar and bond yields. However, further strengthening of gold is questionable due to profit taking and lack of new economic data from the US.
Technically, the price is consolidating under pressure against the support at 3017-3013. A descending triangle is forming on the local timeframe.
Resistance levels: 3033, 3057
Support levels: 3017, 3013, 2981
Based on the current situation and strong pressure on the market, we can expect two situations to develop:
1) breakdown of support 3017 - 3013, if the structure of the descending triangle on the local timeframe will be preserved. The target will be the support of 3000, 2981.
2) Or, the price will close inside the range with the target of consolidation between 3057 - 3033 - 3013 (consolidation of forces after a strong fall and liquidation)
Regards RLinda!
XRP just found bounce support on the bttm trendline of the wedgeLooking like a very valid pattern on the weekly hart. My guess is it will break upward somewhere around where I have arbitrarily placed the dottedmeasuredmove line, in which case the breakout target would be somewhere around $4.80 always a chance we retest the bottom trendline and even send a wick below. It before confirming a break upward though. *not financial advice*
SPXUSDT manipulated rise before the fallThe market is pulling back after a strong drop in the Asian session. At the moment, while bitcoin is showing -2%, BINANCE:SPXUSDT.P is accelerating by 15% in the hunt for liquidity.
Possible entry into liquidity zone and false resistance breakout
False resistance breakout
1) 0.5473
2) 0.6689
Market is bearish, no hint of growth
A pullback is forming with the aim of accumulation or liquidity before continuing the fall
The fall may continue after the bitcoin correction is over
BTC/USD Forming Bullish Falling Wedge – Potential Target📐 2. Technical Pattern – Falling Wedge
A falling wedge forms when the price consolidates between two converging downward-sloping trendlines. It suggests diminishing selling pressure and a likely reversal.
Key Characteristics in This Chart:
Upper Resistance Trendline: Formed by connecting the series of lower highs.
Lower Support Trendline: Formed by connecting the lower lows.
The price respects both boundaries, confirming wedge structure.
Volume generally decreases during the wedge (implied but not shown).
✅ Bullish Implication: Once price breaks above the upper resistance, it often triggers a sharp upward move due to the squeeze of supply and the build-up of demand.
🧱 3. Support and Resistance Zones
🔻 Resistance Zone:
Area: ~100,000 to ~108,000 USD
Marked as a wide horizontal band (beige-shaded area).
Previous price peaks and consolidations suggest this zone is strong supply.
Breakout above this zone could trigger momentum towards the higher target.
🔹 Support Zone:
Area: ~72,000 to ~75,000 USD
Historical reaction level where buyers previously stepped in.
Coincides with the lower wedge boundary and recent bounce points.
Repeated tests strengthen this as a reliable accumulation zone.
🎯 4. Trade Setup Strategy
💼 Entry Strategy:
Trigger: A confirmed breakout above the wedge’s upper trendline (black diagonal line).
Confirmation: A strong bullish daily close above the trendline, ideally with volume spike.
The current price (~77,130) is near the lower boundary—offering a potential early entry or low-risk setup with a tight stop.
📌 Stop-Loss Placement:
Level: 70,916 USD
Below the wedge’s lower support and beneath the broader support zone.
Ensures exit if the pattern fails or bears regain control.
🧭 Target Projection:
Target Price: 114,562 USD
Based on the height of the wedge projected from the breakout point, a standard wedge breakout measurement.
Aligns with historical highs and psychological resistance.
🧮 Risk-Reward Ratio: Assuming entry around 77,130:
Risk (Stop-Loss): ~6,200 points
Reward (Target): ~37,432 points
R:R Ratio ≈ 1:6 – Highly favorable
⚙️ 5. Market Psychology & Price Action Insight
The falling wedge pattern suggests exhaustion of sellers.
Buyers are defending the support zone aggressively—creating higher lows within the wedge.
Each bounce is slightly more aggressive, indicating growing bullish sentiment.
A breakout from the wedge could act as a catalyst for rapid price acceleration as sidelined bulls enter and shorts cover.
📊 6. Summary of the Setup
Component Detail
Pattern Falling Wedge (Bullish)
Timeframe 1-Day Chart
Entry Point Breakout above upper trendline
Stop Loss 70,916 USD
Target 114,562 USD
Support Zone 72,000–75,000 USD
Resistance Zone 100,000–108,000 USD
Risk/Reward Approx. 1:6
Bias Bullish
📌 Final Thoughts
This setup provides a technically sound opportunity with clear invalidation (stop loss) and a well-defined profit target. The risk-to-reward ratio is attractive, and the price structure suggests a bullish reversal is likely, pending a confirmed breakout.
XAUUSD Analysis Falling Wedge breakout Setup to Target🔍 1. Market Context & Structure
Gold has recently experienced a sharp decline, as evident from the aggressive bearish candles leading into the consolidation phase. Following this downward momentum, the market began to consolidate, forming a Falling Wedge pattern—a bullish reversal structure that often signals an impending upside breakout, especially after a strong bearish trend.
📉 2. Falling Wedge Pattern
The wedge is formed by two downward-sloping trendlines that converge, containing price within lower highs and lower lows.
Notice how price is respecting both boundaries, confirming the validity of the pattern.
The pattern also features a series of higher lows, showing a loss of bearish momentum.
🟩 3. Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Zone: Around $3,035 to $3,045 — This level previously acted as a strong supply zone where price was rejected multiple times.
Support Zone: Around $2,972 to $2,985 — Clearly marked area where buyers stepped in strongly during the sharp pullback.
These levels are critical to observe for any breakout or breakdown confirmation.
📊 4. Trade Plan Based on the Chart
✅ Bullish Bias:
Given the falling wedge setup and slowing bearish pressure, the trade idea favors a breakout to the upside.
🔵 Entry Point:
A confirmed breakout above the wedge’s upper boundary (around $3,030–$3,035), ideally on strong bullish volume.
🎯 Target:
The first take profit level is marked at $3,078.438, aligning with a prior resistance and measured move projection from the wedge’s height.
🔴 Stop Loss:
Positioned just below the most recent swing low and wedge boundary at $3,013.707, offering protection if the breakout fails.
🧠 5. Why This Setup Matters
Wedge patterns are high-probability when they form after a sharp move, as seen here.
Volume confirmation on the breakout would solidify this as a reliable opportunity.
Risk-to-reward ratio appears favorable, with a tight stop and a higher projected upside.
🧭 Conclusion
This is a textbook falling wedge breakout scenario. The consolidation after a bearish leg, narrowing price action, and repeated support reactions indicate that bulls are gearing up. If Gold breaks above the wedge with momentum, there’s potential to ride the move toward $3,078. Always wait for confirmation and manage your risk accordingly.
USD Bear is here: Important Analysis on FX Pairs, Stock MarketIn this video I got over some important outlooks on the EUR/USD, GBP/USD and USD/JPY along with outlook on the stock market.
The U.S. Dollar has been getting absolutely crushed along with the stock market which usually has the opposite effect. Considering we may be into a stagflation scenario, this is not surprising.
Tariffs have spiked volatility and puts the Federal Reserve in a very tight spot of Interest Rate Policy. Interesting times ahead to say the least.
From a pure technical analysis point of view, the USD may be set for much further losses as monthly patterns suggest a big move may be on the horizon. Will be keeping a very close eye on these as we move forward in these stormy waters of the U.S. economy.
As always, Good Luck & Trade Safe.
BITCOIN → The price is consolidating, but there is a BUT!BINANCE:BTCUSDT is forming a consolidation after a false breakout of trend resistance. Against the backdrop of the global market crash (stock market, futures, forex) bitcoin looks quite strong, but I wouldn't get excited ahead of time
Bitcoin is trading inside a downtrend and also inside a range (global 81200 - 88800 and local 81200 - 85600). As long as the price is inside the local range and below trend resistance it is worth considering selling. There have been periods in history when the price seemed strong in the moment, but then, bitcoin caught up with the fall of indices...
The fundamental background for bitcoin is unstable:
First of all, the price has hardly reacted in any way to the introduction of tariffs, backlash and economic data. The Fed is not giving a clear signal, the market is in uncertainty. Any info noise ( China, Fed rhetoric, company reports ) can cause shake-ups. But at the same time, the same old problems remain: the crypto community is not getting any support. Bitcoin's dominance is growing against the backdrop of its decline. Altcoins continue to storm the bottom.
Technically , the situation is weak, the price cannot update local highs and consolidate above any strong support. It is possible to retest the trend resistance, or the zone of interest 85590 before the reversal and fall. Or, emphasis on the trigger 81187. A breakdown will provoke an impulse.
Resistance levels: trend, 85585, 88840.
Support levels: 81187, 78170, 73500
Buying in the medium term can be considered either after reaching the main target - 73-66K, or after the exit from the descending channel and price fixation above 88840. Now the emphasis is on a possible fall either from the resistance 85580, or when the support 81180 is broken
Regards R. Linda!
Bitcoin Holding PRZ Support Lines – Is a Weekend Rebound Coming?First of all, I would like to say that the Trading Volume is generally low on Saturdays and Sundays , so I don't expect the Support Lines and Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) [$82,340-$82,000 ] to break. Of course, we should always be prepared for any scenario.
Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) is moving near the Support lines and PRZ , and with the help of the Failed Falling Wedge Pattern , Bitcoin has declined in the last few hours .
Educational Note : In technical analysis, if a Reversal Pattern fails , it often acts as a Continuation Pattern instead .
I expect Bitcoin to trend upward in the coming hours and be able to reach the targets I have outlined on the chart.
Note: If Bitcoin touches $81,900, we should most likely expect more dumping.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
EUR/JPY Falling Wedge Breakout | Bullish Potential Ahead🔍 Chart Overview: EUR/JPY – Daily Timeframe
This chart illustrates the price action of the Euro against the Japanese Yen and highlights a Falling Wedge Pattern developing over several months. This is a classic bullish continuation/reversal setup, supported by key technical levels.
📐 1. Chart Pattern: Falling Wedge
A falling wedge is a bullish chart pattern that occurs when the market consolidates between two downward-sloping trendlines.
Characteristics Seen in the Chart:
Converging Trendlines: The upper (resistance) and lower (support) boundaries are both sloping downward, indicating a narrowing price range.
Volume (not shown) usually decreases during the formation, followed by a surge on breakout.
Multiple Touch Points: The price action respects both boundaries multiple times, confirming the pattern's validity.
🏛️ 2. Key Levels
✅ Support Level (Demand Zone):
Marked around 156.000 – 158.000
Multiple bounces from this area, indicating strong buying interest.
Aligned with the lower wedge trendline and historical price reaction zones.
🚫 Resistance Level (Supply Zone / Breakout Zone):
Around 164.500 – 166.000
Price repeatedly failed to break this level, confirming it as a strong supply area.
Confluence of horizontal resistance and the upper wedge boundary.
📊 3. Trade Setup
💼 Entry Strategy:
Confirmation Buy: Enter a long position upon a daily candle close above the wedge resistance (around 166.000).
Aggressive traders may consider an earlier entry near the wedge’s support with a tight stop.
🎯 Target:
The projected target is 172.962, calculated based on the height of the wedge pattern added to the breakout point.
This aligns with a previous swing high area, serving as a logical profit-taking zone.
🛑 Stop Loss:
Positioned at 155.576, just below the key support zone.
This allows the trade room to breathe while protecting against a full pattern failure.
⚖️ 4. Risk Management
Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR): Target around 172.962 and Stop Loss at 155.576 offer a favorable RRR of approximately 2.5:1 or more, depending on entry.
Position Sizing: Use appropriate lot size based on your account risk tolerance (e.g., 1-2% of equity per trade).
📅 5. Timeframe Outlook
Medium to Long-Term Setup: Since this is a daily chart, the trade may take weeks to months to fully play out.
Patience and proper trade management are essential.
🔎 6. Additional Notes
Retest Opportunity: If price breaks out, look for a retest of the resistance zone as new support before continuation to the upside.
Fundamental Factors: Keep an eye on EUR and JPY economic data, ECB and BoJ policy announcements, and global risk sentiment, which can influence the pair.
🧭 Professional Takeaway
This is a textbook bullish falling wedge pattern within a well-defined technical structure. The chart provides:
A clear pattern breakout level,
Strong historical support/resistance zones,
A defined risk management plan,
And a realistic price target based on technical projection.
If you are a swing trader or position trader, this setup offers a high-probability opportunity with favorable risk-reward dynamics—provided a breakout is confirmed.
JPY/USD Daily Chart – Falling Wedge Breakout & Bullish Target🔍 Full Technical Analysis of JPY/USD (Daily Timeframe)
🧭 Overview
The chart shows a sophisticated price structure unfolding over several months. A falling wedge reversal pattern formed during a sustained downtrend, which later transitioned into a bullish breakout and continuation. This analysis provides insights into market behavior, price psychology, and a high-probability trading opportunity supported by classical technical analysis principles.
🔶 1. Market Context & Structure
Before diving into the pattern, it’s essential to understand the macro structure of the chart:
The pair experienced a strong bearish move from around August to December 2024, marked by lower highs and lower lows.
During this decline, volatility gradually decreased, which often indicates seller exhaustion.
A reversal zone emerged near a major support region — historically significant and previously tested.
🔷 2. The Falling Wedge Pattern (Reversal Signal)
A falling wedge is a bullish reversal pattern that forms when price is in a downtrend but begins to consolidate within converging trendlines. This pattern typically signals that the downtrend is losing momentum and a breakout to the upside is imminent.
📌 Characteristics of This Wedge:
Downward Convergence: The highs and lows begin to narrow over time, indicating reduced selling pressure.
Volume Decline (Implied): Though not displayed, falling wedges usually see volume dry up before breakout.
Duration: This wedge developed over several months (October 2024 – January 2025), lending strength to the pattern.
False Break Attempts: Several lower spikes failed to break the support, showing buying interest building.
✅ Bullish Breakout:
The breakout occurred decisively in late January 2025, with a large bullish candlestick closing above the upper wedge boundary — a confirmed breakout.
Post-breakout, the price rallied strongly, indicating that buyers were firmly in control.
🔷 3. Support & Resistance Zones
🔽 Support Zone (Demand Area):
Range: 0.006300 – 0.006400
Historical pivot zone where price previously reversed, now serving as a demand base.
The lower wick rejections near this zone reinforce it as a high liquidity zone for buyers.
🔼 Resistance Zone (Supply Area):
Range: 0.006850 – 0.006950
This area capped price during several prior rally attempts, making it a key breakout point.
Once price broke above this zone, it became a support flip zone, indicating trend reversal confirmation.
🎯 Target Level:
Marked at 0.007126, derived from a measured move:
Measure the height of the wedge at its widest point.
Project this vertically from the breakout level.
This target aligns with psychological round numbers and prior resistance, adding confluence.
🔶 4. Post-Breakout Price Action: Bullish Retest
A breakout is only the first part of a trade; the retest phase confirms the move and offers an optimal entry.
🔁 Retest Details:
After reaching the resistance zone, price pulled back, testing both:
The broken wedge trendline (now acting as dynamic support).
The horizontal structure support zone near 0.006650–0.006700.
A bullish engulfing candle or similar reversal pattern formed at this level — a classic retest entry.
📌 Trendline Respect:
A rising dotted trendline was drawn from the breakout low through higher lows.
This line acted as price memory and was respected multiple times, reinforcing the uptrend.
🔷 5. Trade Setup Breakdown
This is a swing trade setup based on pattern breakout, structural confluence, and trend continuation. Here's how it’s structured:
Component Details
Pattern Falling Wedge (Reversal)
Trade Bias Long (Buy)
Entry Price ~0.006700
Stop Loss 0.006614 (below trendline)
Target Price 0.007126 (measured wedge move)
R/R Ratio Approx. 3:1
Timeframe Daily (Medium-term swing)
🧠 6. Market Psychology & Behavior
Understanding the sentiment behind the candles is critical:
❗ Before the Breakout:
Sellers dominated but with weakening momentum.
Each push down was met with buying strength, seen in long wicks and smaller-bodied candles.
✅ At the Breakout:
Buyers overwhelmed sellers, often with a volume spike and wide-bodied green candle.
This is usually driven by institutional positioning and stop-loss triggering from short-sellers.
🔁 During the Retest:
Some retail traders exited prematurely, fearing a fakeout.
Smart money used the dip to accumulate positions, confirmed by the bounce from trendline.
🔼 Continuation Rally:
Strong continuation candle signals momentum traders entering.
Break above resistance signals a shift in sentiment and structure.
🛠️ 7. Strategy Notes & Professional Tips
📌 Risk Management:
Never risk more than 1–2% of capital.
Use dynamic trailing stop if price breaks above target zone.
📌 Trade Confirmation Ideas:
Look for volume spikes on breakout candles.
Use RSI or MACD divergence to confirm reversal (optional).
Look for candlestick patterns (engulfing, pin bar) on retests.
📌 Exit Plan:
Partial exit at key resistance.
Full exit at projected target or if price forms reversal signs (e.g., doji at resistance).
✅ Final Summary
This JPY/USD chart demonstrates an exemplary price action-based trading setup rooted in:
A well-formed falling wedge (bullish reversal).
Clean breakout + retest + continuation structure.
Multiple confluence factors: trendline, horizontal S/R, pattern projection.
Professional-grade risk/reward profile with a logical entry, stop, and target.
This kind of setup is highly favored among swing traders, price action purists, and institutional-level strategists due to its clarity and predictability.
Be careful with TRX !!!As you can see, the price has now formed an ascending wedge , which is promising. The price could rise to $0.27 after breaking this wedge...
Give me some energy !!
✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us.
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
_ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
EUR/USD: Bullish Falling Wedge Breakout Towards TargetLet’s analyze the 1-hour candlestick chart of EUR/USD (Euro / U.S. Dollar) on TradingView, published by GoldMasterTraders on April 2, 2025, at 19:04 UTC. The chart highlights a trading setup based on a Falling Wedge pattern, indicating a potential bullish breakout. I’ll describe the chart pattern and the trading setup in detail.
Chart Pattern: Falling Wedge
Pattern Description
Type: The chart identifies a Falling Wedge pattern, which is a bullish chart pattern that typically signals a reversal or continuation of an uptrend. A Falling Wedge forms when the price consolidates between two downward-sloping trendlines that converge over time, with the upper trendline (resistance) sloping more steeply than the lower trendline (support).
Appearance on the Chart:
The Falling Wedge is clearly marked with two converging trendlines:
Upper Trendline (Resistance): Connects the lower highs, sloping downward.
Lower Trendline (Support): Connects the lower lows, also sloping downward but at a less steep angle.
The pattern began forming around March 19, after a sharp decline from 1.9400 to 1.8700, and continued until the breakout on April 2, 2025.
Breakout Direction:
Falling Wedges are typically bullish, meaning the price is expected to break out to the upside. The chart shows the price breaking above the upper trendline of the wedge around April 2, 2025, with a strong bullish candle, confirming the breakout.
The breakout level is around 1.90840, and the price has moved slightly above this level, closing at 1.90864 at the time of the chart.
Key Levels and Trading Setup
1. Support Level
A horizontal support zone is marked around 1.90730 (approximately 1.9070–1.9080).
This level acted as a base during the wedge formation, with the price bouncing off this zone multiple times (e.g., on March 23 and March 30).
The support level aligns with the lower boundary of the wedge, reinforcing its significance as a key area of buying interest.
2. Resistance Level
A resistance zone is marked around 1.92000 (approximately 1.9190–1.9210).
This level corresponds to a previous high reached on March 19, before the wedge formation began. It represents a significant barrier where selling pressure previously emerged.
After the breakout, the price is expected to test this resistance as part of the bullish move.
3. Target
The target for the breakout is projected at 1.92110.
This target is likely calculated by measuring the height of the wedge at its widest point (from the highest high to the lowest low within the pattern) and projecting that distance upward from the breakout point.
The chart indicates a potential move of 0.00435 (0.40%), which aligns with the distance from the breakout level (around 1.90840) to the target (1.92110).
4. Stop Loss
A stop loss is suggested below the support level at 1.90730.
This placement ensures that if the breakout fails and the price falls back into the wedge, the trade is exited with a manageable loss.
The stop loss is just below the breakout level (1.90840), with a distance of approximately 0.00110, representing the risk on the trade.
Trading Setup Summary
Entry:
The setup suggests entering a long (buy) position after the price breaks out above the upper trendline of the Falling Wedge, which occurred around April 2, 2025. The breakout is confirmed by a strong bullish candle closing above the trendline at approximately 1.90840.
Stop Loss:
Place a stop loss below the support level at 1.90730 to protect against a false breakout or reversal. The distance from the breakout level (1.90840) to the stop loss (1.90730) is 0.00110, or about 0.06% of the entry price.
Take Profit/Target:
Aim for the target at 1.92110, which is near the next significant resistance level. The distance from the breakout level to the target is 0.01270, or a 0.40% move.
Risk-Reward Ratio:
The risk is 0.00110 (from 1.90840 to 1.90730), and the reward is 0.01270 (from 1.90840 to 1.92110), giving a risk-reward ratio of approximately 11.55:1 (0.01270 / 0.00110). This is an exceptionally high risk-reward ratio, making the setup very attractive, though traders should ensure the breakout is well-confirmed due to the tight stop loss.
Additional Observations
Price Action Context:
Before the wedge formed, the price experienced a sharp decline from 1.9400 (March 13) to 1.8700 (March 19), indicating a strong bearish trend.
The Falling Wedge represents a consolidation phase within this downtrend, and the upside breakout suggests a potential reversal or at least a corrective move higher.
Volume and Momentum:
The chart doesn’t display volume or momentum indicators (e.g., RSI, MACD). However, a typical confirmation of a Falling Wedge breakout would include:
An increase in volume on the breakout candle, indicating strong buying interest.
Bullish momentum signals, such as an RSI above 50 or a bullish MACD crossover.
Traders might want to check these indicators for additional confirmation of the breakout’s strength.
Timeframe:
This is a 1-hour chart, so the setup is intended for short-term trading, with the target potentially being reached within a few hours to a day.
Market Context:
EUR/USD is influenced by factors like U.S. dollar strength, Eurozone economic data, and interest rate differentials. A bullish move in EUR/USD could be driven by a weaker dollar (e.g., due to dovish U.S. economic data) or positive Eurozone developments.
Conclusion
The TradingView idea presents a bullish setup for EUR/USD based on a Falling Wedge pattern on the 1-hour chart. The price has broken above the wedge’s upper trendline, confirming a bullish move with a target of 1.92110. The setup includes a stop loss at 1.90730 to manage risk, offering an impressive risk-reward ratio of 11.55:1. Key levels to watch include the support at 1.90730 and the resistance at 1.92000. Traders should consider additional confirmation from volume and momentum indicators, as well as broader market conditions, before executing the trade. Since this chart is from April 2, 2025, market conditions may have evolved, and I can assist with searching for more recent data if needed!
XAG/USD Bullish Setup - Falling Wedge Breakout Towards TargetChart Overview
Asset: Silver / U.S. Dollar (XAG/USD)
Timeframe: 1-hour (1H)
Date and Time: Published on April 2, 2025, at 11:17 UTC
Publisher: GoldMasterTraders on TradingView
Current Price (at the time of the chart):
Open: 33.82300
High: 33.89005
Low: 33.79435
Close: 33.88880
Change: -0.05780 (-0.20%)
Price on the Right Axis: The price scale ranges from approximately 32.80000 to 35.25000, with the current price around 33.88880.
Chart Elements and Technical Analysis
1. Candlestick Price Action
The chart displays a 1-hour candlestick representation of XAG/USD, showing price movements from late March to early April 2025.
Trend Context:
Prior to the formation of the pattern, the price experienced a sharp rally from around 32.80000 (March 21) to a high near 34.60000 (March 27). This indicates a strong bullish trend.
Following this rally, the price entered a consolidation phase, forming lower highs and lower lows, which is characteristic of the Falling Wedge pattern.
Recent Price Action:
On April 2, the price appears to have broken out of the wedge pattern, closing above the upper trendline with a strong bullish candle. The current price of 33.88880 is above the breakout level, suggesting a potential continuation of the uptrend.
2. Chart Pattern: Falling Wedge
Pattern Identification:
The chart highlights a Falling Wedge pattern, a bullish chart pattern that can act as either a reversal or continuation pattern. In this case, given the preceding uptrend, it’s likely a continuation pattern.
A Falling Wedge is characterized by two converging trendlines:
Upper Trendline (Resistance): Connects the lower highs, sloping downward.
Lower Trendline (Support): Connects the lower lows, also sloping downward but at a less steep angle than the upper trendline.
The wedge started forming around March 27, after the price peaked near 34.60000, and continued until the breakout on April 2.
Pattern Dynamics:
The narrowing range between the trendlines indicates decreasing selling pressure and a potential buildup of buying interest.
Falling Wedges typically resolve with a breakout to the upside, as the price breaks above the upper trendline, signaling a resumption of the prior trend (bullish in this case).
Breakout Confirmation:
The price broke above the upper trendline of the wedge on April 2, with a strong bullish candle closing at 33.88880. This breakout is a key signal for a potential upward move.
The breakout level appears to be around 33.85000–33.90000, and the price is currently holding above this level, which is a positive sign for bulls.
3. Key Support and Resistance Levels
Support Level:
A horizontal support zone is marked around 33.58553 (approximately 33.58–33.60).
This level acted as a significant support during the wedge formation, with the price bouncing off this zone multiple times (e.g., on March 28 and March 31).
The support level aligns with the lower boundary of the wedge, reinforcing its importance as a key area of buying interest.
Resistance Level:
A resistance zone is marked around 34.60000 (approximately 34.60–34.80).
This level corresponds to the high reached on March 27, before the wedge formation began. It represents a significant barrier where selling pressure previously emerged.
After the breakout, the price is expected to test this resistance as part of the bullish move.
Target Level:
The target for the breakout is projected at 34.82470 (approximately 34.82).
This target is likely calculated using the standard method for wedge patterns: measuring the height of the wedge at its widest point (from the highest high to the lowest low within the pattern) and projecting that distance upward from the breakout point.
The target of 34.82470 is just above the resistance zone, suggesting that a break above 34.60000 could lead to further upside toward this level.
4. Stop Loss and Risk Management
Stop Loss:
The stop loss is suggested below the support level at 33.58553.
Placing the stop loss below this level ensures that if the breakout fails and the price falls back into the wedge, the trade is exited with a controlled loss.
The distance from the breakout level (around 33.90000) to the stop loss (33.58553) is approximately 0.31447, which represents the risk on the trade.
Risk-Reward Ratio:
The chart indicates a risk-reward ratio of 0.9467 (2.80% / 9,469.7).
The potential reward is the distance from the breakout level (33.90000) to the target (34.82470), which is approximately 0.92470, or a 2.80% gain.
The risk is the distance to the stop loss (0.31447), making the risk-reward ratio approximately 2.94:1 (0.92470 / 0.31447), which is favorable for a trading setup.
5. Additional Annotations
Arrows and Labels:
A blue arrow labeled “Falling Wedge” points to the pattern, clearly identifying it for viewers.
A green arrow labeled “Support Level” points to the 33.58553 zone, indicating where buyers have stepped in.
A red arrow labeled “Resistance Level” points to the 34.60000 zone, highlighting the next significant barrier.
A blue arrow labeled “Target” points to 34.82470, showing the projected price objective.
A blue arrow labeled “Stop Loss” points to 33.58553, indicating the risk management level.
Price Labels on the Right Axis:
The right axis shows key price levels, with the current ask price at 33.89900 (red) and bid price at 33.88558 (black), reflecting the live market spread.
Trading Setup Breakdown
Based on the chart, here’s the detailed trading setup:
Entry:
Position: Long (buy) XAG/USD.
Entry Point: The setup suggests entering after the price breaks out above the upper trendline of the Falling Wedge, which occurred around 33.85000–33.90000 on April 2.
Confirmation: The breakout is confirmed by a strong bullish candle closing above the trendline, with the current price at 33.88880, slightly below the high of 33.89005 but still above the breakout level.
Traders might wait for a retest of the breakout level (now acting as support) for a safer entry, though this isn’t explicitly suggested in the chart.
Stop Loss:
Level: Place the stop loss below the support level at 33.58553.
Rationale: This placement protects against a false breakout. If the price falls back below the wedge’s upper trendline and breaches the support, the bullish thesis is invalidated, and the trade should be exited.
Risk: The distance from the entry (33.90000) to the stop loss (33.58553) is 0.31447, or approximately 0.93% of the entry price.
Take Profit/Target:
Level: The target is set at 34.82470.
Rationale: This target is derived from the height of the wedge projected upward from the breakout point. It also aligns with a logical extension beyond the resistance at 34.60000.
Reward: The distance from the entry (33.90000) to the target (34.82470) is 0.92470, or approximately 2.80% of the entry price.
Risk-Reward Ratio:
The risk-reward ratio is approximately 2.94:1, which is attractive for a trading setup. For every unit of risk (0.31447), the potential reward is nearly 3 units (0.92470).
Trade Management:
Trailing Stop: Once the price approaches the resistance at 34.60000, traders might consider trailing the stop loss to lock in profits, especially if the price shows signs of stalling.
Partial Profit Taking: Some traders might take partial profits at the resistance level (34.60000) and let the remaining position run toward the target.
Broader Market Context
Trend Analysis:
The broader trend before the wedge was bullish, as evidenced by the rally from 32.80000 to 34.60000. The Falling Wedge, therefore, acts as a consolidation within this uptrend, and the breakout suggests a continuation of the bullish trend.
The price action after the breakout will be critical. A strong move toward 34.60000 with high volume would confirm the bullish momentum.
Volume and Momentum:
The chart doesn’t display volume or momentum indicators (e.g., RSI, MACD). However, a typical confirmation of a Falling Wedge breakout includes:
Volume: An increase in volume on the breakout candle, indicating strong buying interest.
Momentum: A bullish signal from indicators like RSI (e.g., moving above 50 or 70) or MACD (e.g., a bullish crossover).
Traders should check these indicators to validate the breakout’s strength.
Market Factors:
Silver prices are influenced by factors like U.S. dollar strength, interest rates, inflation expectations, and geopolitical events. On April 2, 2025, traders should consider:
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY): A weakening dollar typically supports higher silver prices.
Economic Data: Key releases like U.S. non-farm payrolls, inflation data, or Federal Reserve statements around this time could impact silver.
Geopolitical Events: Any risk-off sentiment (e.g., due to global tensions) could drive safe-haven demand for silver.
Potential Risks and Considerations
False Breakout:
If the price fails to hold above the breakout level (33.85000–33.90000) and falls back into the wedge, the setup is invalidated. The stop loss at 33.58553 mitigates this risk.
Resistance at 34.60000:
The resistance level has previously capped the price, and there’s a risk of rejection at this level. Traders should watch for bearish price action (e.g., a shooting star or bearish engulfing candle) near 34.60000.
Market Volatility:
Silver can be volatile, especially on a 1-hour timeframe. Unexpected news or economic data could lead to sharp price swings, potentially triggering the stop loss prematurely.
Timeframe Limitations:
This is a short-term setup on a 1-hour chart, so the target might be reached within hours to a couple of days. However, intraday noise could lead to choppy price action, requiring active trade management.
Conclusion
The TradingView chart by GoldMasterTraders presents a well-structured bullish trading setup for XAG/USD based on a Falling Wedge pattern. The price has broken out above the wedge’s upper trendline on April 2, 2025, signaling a potential move toward the target of 34.82470. Key levels include support at 33.58553 (where the stop loss is placed) and resistance at 34.60000, which the price must overcome to reach the target. The setup offers a favorable risk-reward ratio of approximately 2.94:1, making it an attractive trade for short-term traders.
However, traders should confirm the breakout with additional indicators (e.g., volume, RSI) and monitor broader market conditions, as this chart is a snapshot from April 2, 2025, and market dynamics may have evolved since then. If you’d like to search for more recent data on XAG/USD or check the outcome of this setup, I can assist with that!
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) 1-Hour Chart Analysis – Professional BreakdownThis BTC/USD 1-hour chart showcases a falling wedge breakout, indicating a potential bullish reversal after a downtrend. The analysis suggests that Bitcoin could move toward its next resistance target of $87,550, offering a profitable long setup for traders. Let's analyze the chart in detail.
1️⃣ Market Context: Understanding the Trend
📉 Previous Downtrend
Before the wedge formation, Bitcoin was in a strong downtrend after reaching a resistance level near $87,000–$88,000.
Sellers took control, creating lower highs and lower lows, forming a descending wedge pattern.
The price declined sharply, reflecting profit-taking, increased supply, and weak demand.
📊 Current Market Setup
Bitcoin found strong support around $81,412, a level where buyers have stepped in multiple times.
The price action compressed into a falling wedge, a classic bullish reversal pattern, indicating that bearish momentum was weakening.
The breakout from the wedge suggests that bulls are regaining control, signaling a potential uptrend.
2️⃣ Key Technical Levels & Market Structure
🔹 Resistance Level ($87,000–$88,000)
This zone has acted as a strong supply area where Bitcoin previously struggled to break through.
If Bitcoin approaches this level again, a break and retest scenario would be ideal for further continuation.
🔹 Support Level ($81,412)
This area has provided multiple bounces, confirming it as a demand zone where buyers are actively defending.
A break below this support would invalidate the bullish setup and could lead to a downward move.
📍 Breakout Confirmation
The falling wedge breakout is confirmed by bullish price action and strong buying pressure.
Bitcoin is now forming higher lows, indicating a potential trend reversal.
3️⃣ Technical Chart Pattern: The Falling Wedge
📌 What is a Falling Wedge?
A falling wedge is a bullish pattern that forms when price consolidates between two converging downward-sloping trendlines before breaking out upward.
✅ Characteristics of a Falling Wedge in This Chart
Series of lower highs and lower lows, forming a contracting price range.
Decreasing bearish momentum, seen by smaller candles near the support zone.
Bullish breakout with strong momentum, signaling a reversal.
💡 Implication:
A breakout from a falling wedge often leads to a strong upward move, especially if volume supports the breakout.
4️⃣ Trading Setup & Strategy
📍 Entry Strategy
A confirmed breakout above the wedge with a strong bullish candle.
A pullback and retest of the breakout level can provide a high-probability entry point.
🎯 Target Levels
Primary Target: $87,550 (Projected based on wedge height).
Extended Target: Above $88,000 if momentum continues.
🛑 Stop-Loss Placement
Below the support zone at $81,412 to minimize risk.
If Bitcoin falls below this level, it invalidates the bullish setup.
5️⃣ Risk & Considerations
⚠️ Potential Risks to Watch
Fake Breakouts: If BTC fails to hold above the breakout level, it could result in a bull trap, causing a price reversal.
Market Volatility: Crypto markets are highly volatile, and external factors (such as macroeconomic news or regulatory updates) could impact price movements.
Resistance Pressure: The $87,000–$88,000 zone could act as a strong resistance, leading to possible consolidation before a decisive move.
✅ Risk Management Tips:
Keep a tight stop-loss below key support.
Adjust position size based on volatility.
Wait for confirmation before entering trades to avoid false breakouts.
6️⃣ Conclusion: Bullish Bias but Caution Advised
📈 Bitcoin is showing signs of a potential uptrend after breaking out from the falling wedge pattern. However, traders should watch for a confirmation of strength before entering long positions.
Key Points to Watch:
BTC needs to hold above $83,500 to sustain bullish momentum.
A strong candle close above $85,000 will further confirm bullish control.
The $87,550–$88,000 resistance zone will be a crucial test for the next move.
🚀 Bullish outlook remains valid unless BTC drops below $81,412.
Hashtags for TradingView Idea
#Bitcoin #BTCUSD #CryptoTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #FallingWedge #CryptoSignals #TradeSetup #TradingStrategy