Falling Wedge
Solana - Exponential growth, right now!
Solana looks extremely strong at this moment, and it looks like we will have an explosive pump! But it has already begun.
From a technical perspective, we need to retest the previous blue trendline, which is at 29.8 USDT. It's also the point of control for the previous price action. This is the first profit target, and I recommend selling SOL here.
The second profit target is more advanced. There are a lot of stop losses above the wave (4), so the market might find enough strength to get there. It's at 48 USDT.
In my previous analysis on Solana, I recommended buying SOL at 8.6 USD, so check out my previous idea in the related section down below for more details.
The chart is printing a broadening falling wedge on the weekly chart, and there is definitely the possibility to touch the top of the wedge in the immediate short term!
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I post trade setups privately.
As per my Elliott Wave analysis, the major impulse wave from the previous all-time high has been completed successfully, and at this point we should look for an ABC retracement to the upside.
I see a lot of signs that Solana has temporarily bottomed out on lower timeframes. The strength is currently incredible.
Counter-trends tend to be steeper, so there is a possibility of hitting my price target at warp speed.
If you want to trade Solana intraday, it's definitely a good opportunity because the volatility on this coin should be insane. I recommend only longs.
Thank you, and for more ideas, hit "Like" and "Follow"!
📈 4 Common Bullish Patterns🟢 RISING THREE
"Rising three methods" is a bullish continuation candlestick pattern that occurs in an uptrend and whose conclusion sees a resumption of that trend.
This can be contrasted with a falling three method. The first bar of the pattern is a bullish candlestick with a large real body within a well-defined uptrend.
🟢 FALLING WEDGE
The falling wedge pattern occurs when the asset’s price is moving in an overall bullish trend before the price action corrects lower.
Within this pull back, two converging trend lines are drawn. The consolidation part ends when the price action bursts through the upper trend line, or wedge’s resistance.
🟢 BULL PENNANT
A pennant is a type of continuation pattern formed when there is a large movement in a security, known as the flagpole, followed by a consolidation period with converging trend line.
Pennants, which are similar to flags in terms of structure, have converging trend lines during their consolidation period and last from one to three weeks.
🟢 ASCENDING TRIANGLE
An ascending triangle is a chart pattern used in technical analysis. It is created by price moves that allow for a horizontal line
to be drawn along the swing highs and a rising trendline to be drawn along the swing lows. The two lines form a triangle.
Traders often watch for breakouts from triangle patterns. The breakout can occur to the upside or downside
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📅 Daily Ideas about market update, psychology & indicators
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DOT/USDT Good days are comingAs you see in this analysis, Polkadot will be one of the best profitable coins in the coming days.
The reasons are:
We have reached the monthly demand in control zone and we have pulled back to it for the first time (FTB).
We have reached the bottom of the downtrend weekly channel.
We saw the falling wedge pattern in the daily timeframe and its break out is imminent.
#AMC Falling wedge on the WeekLooking for a breakout in the next 3 weeks- we have dropped down to the original 3 dolla and 50 cent price from the original run to the 8.01 #Maxpain- gang! /Holla
Mondays have been red all year and tues i hope will be green but fed Powell gives a little chit-chat and the market will do what it is programmed to do.
We may dip further below the wedge line just to fill any gaps (crosses fingers)
Weekly view is a long big projection any thing can happen out there.
Share the wealth! Happy New Year!
#retailrulez
USDCHF - Bullish Falling Wedge Idea
As we can see in USDCHF we have an impulse to the upside with a break in a falling wedge pattern which indicates a bullish sentiment.
We can also see a double bottom formed in the 4H time frame in confluence to the end of the Elliott Wave with the 5th and final movement.
All of these indications align with a possible push to the upside. I see resistance to this move when price hits around 0.95500, 0.97000, and invalidation to the move at 0.92000.
If you would like to see updates on this idea and many more please follow and hit the like button for more!
XMRUSD: Continuation and Potential Exttension of Bullish TargetA couple weeks ago XMR showed potential to continue a Bullish ABCD BAMM as seen in the related idea below and so far things have gone well and is about halfway to hitting the target; but in doing so it's also breaking out and confirming above a more macro structure and confirming the validity of a Bullish Butterfly. If this Continues we could see targets much higher than the original ABCD BAMM and perhaps see upto a 61.8%-88.6% Retrace to the upside as a result of breaking above this Wedge and Channel.
BTCUSDT - Monthly & Daily View Macro Outlook Still looking at a falling wedge seems most volume traded above the Weekly and Daily support levels which are now resistance.
I'm particularly interested in the fib 0.618 as shown drawn from the low to high which seems a reasonable retracement level to reset all the selling. Nice monthly that corresponds to this level. The VRVP showing no volume at the moment however this could and will change as price moves, should it move to the downside.
Overall an overview of current support and resistance levels both on a monthly and daily view. We clearly are lacking volume. No volume, no trading, no trading, no movement. Be nice to see some action from the big players to kick of the month of January.
TBNI: BANKS INDEX
Banks Has good weightage in TASI and thus following the similar behavior as TASI
Beautifully following Falling Wedge Pattern.
Bearish Until End of Nov
Short Bullish retracement within Falling wedge is expected by End of November Until top of falling wedge.
Watch individiual stocks
Trade with Stop Loss
TASI Tadawul All Shares IndexTASI is beautifully following Falling Wedge Pattern.
Bearish Until End of Nov
Short Bullish retracement within Falling wedge is expected by End of November Until top of falling wedge (in further 4 weeks).
Trade individual stocks with proper stop loss
Expected Bearish until Watchout level at strong support
Forget about chart patterns! Hello, my dear friends and happy New Year!
I wish you to be healthy and reach all your goals in trading and not only! Never give up on this difficult way which we are going to overcome together!
Today we have a very important topic. How to use Elliott waves instead of classical chart patterns. This is the natural exposure why the chart patterns are garbage. I remember my third year at university when we have the trading lessons. Our teacher gave us a lot of useless knowledges about support, resistance and chart patterns. I have not understood why it should working and it was not soo intereting subject for me. That’s why I returned back to trading much later using self-education. Now I have the clear understanding why Elliott waves is the best tool and why it’s working. Most of traders even don’t understand that chart patterns is just the special case of Elliott waves. That’s why today I decided to explain you how you can change the first one to the second one. Let’s go!
Double Top(Bottom)
On the chart above I drew the different types of double tops. Generally we have 3 types of this pattern
Double top with the second top higher than the first one. In this case we can interpret it in two ways. It could be the classical waves 3, 4, 5 and the corrective wave A at the ending stage. In this case we can anticipate waves B and C. Also it could be the irregular correcton ABC inside wave 4 (rarely in wave 2). In this case we should wait for the wave 5 after that. Traders usually execute short position on the neckline breakdown and suffer when the wave 5 smashed their stop-loss. They are wondering why double top does not working.
Double top with the equal highs has the same possible outcomes. The only one difference that correction called flat instead of irregular.
Double top with the second top lower than the first one. Here is the most common variant is the end of the ABC correction. In this case we have the low potential for shorting the market becuase the new impulsive wave to the upside can hit all stop losses.
Head & Shoulders
This is the easiest pattern for analysis. The right sholder usually is the wave 4, the head, obviously is the wave 5 and the right shoulder is the wave B. On the neckline breakdown we have the shorting potential only in the rest part of the wave C. You could correctly count waves and short that the bearish reversal bar of the wave 5 or, as a last resort, at wave B potential top. Shorting at the neckline has sence only if you are sure that the wave B was the the wave 1 of the impulsive wave to the downside if higher degree and now the market is in wave 3. We have to learn how to count waves in a correct way. I would recommend you to read the Trading Chaos book by Bill Williams because it has the best explanation how do waves work.
Triangles and Wedges
This part is common for all types of triangles (ascending, descending, symmetrical) and wedges (falling and rising). This patterns have the similar structure. If we faced with one of these patterns we have 4 possible scenarios.
Triangle in the downtrend after the wave 3. In this case triangle is the wave 4, which is represented as the triangle correction. This correction type consists of 5 waves A, B, C, D and E. When the wave E is finished market will continue it’s move in the direction of a trend, printing the wave 5.
The same, but in the uptrend.
When the market showed us the 5 waves cycle to the upside and the correction is in progress. Triangle can appears in the wave B. In this case the price will continue the corrective move in the wave C after it’s finished.
The same with the downtrend.
Guys, of course there are much more types of chart patterns. For example, tripple tops and bottoms and so on. The purpose of this article is giving you another view of the market structure and to motivate you studying the Elliott waves theory. Believe me, it has much more potential than it seems on the first glimplse.
Best regards, Ivan
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Binance 80% CRASH! Black swan crypto event.
Fundamentals first. Binance Exchange is losing customers; that is a fact that everyone knows. The huge scandal occurred just before Christmas, but it looks like people have already forgotten what happened.
What is causing Binance Exchange to lose customers? First of all, Binance Exchange itself is banning users all around the world for no reason. My friend got banned before Christmas, 1 day after he opened a short position on BNBUSDTPERP futures. I received a lot of messages from people all around the world saying they received an email with a permanent account suspension. Half of them could withdraw their funds; the other half could not. So if you received this email and you don't know why, Binance Exchange can ban you without any reason, just if they want to.
There is a conspiracy theory (not verified) that Binance cannot have a monopoly on crypto; bigger players refuse to accept this fact, so they need to reduce it by force.
I think Binance is a great exchange, the most liquid exchange. But these are facts that everyone can verify.
BNB coin is currently worth 245 USDT. In my opinion, the price is very expensive at this moment, due to recent scandals and lost customers. 50 - 100 USDT is a fair price to me; I am not willing to pay more for the coin.
If something is too big, it will destroy itself, so there needs to be competition. Monopoly is not a good thing.
I want to give you some tips: do not short BNB directly on the Binance exchange if you don't want to get permanently banned like my friend.
The best option is to store your cryptocurrency in a hardware wallet such as Trezor. And use only a portion of your funds on exchanges to trade spot or futures. Leverage is good because you don't need all your funds and will transfer the risk to the exchange. Together with "stop limit" orders, you can trade very effectively even with a small amount of your funds on exchanges.
Binance CEO Changpeng Zhao (CZ) said on Twitter that "for most people, for 99% of people today, asking them to hold crypto on their own, they will end up losing it." In other words, if you hold crypto on your own, you will lose your funds, so you should hold all your funds on exchanges. I was shocked when I saw this. He made this statement during the massive bank run on his exchange, giving the impression to others that he was threatening people and convincing them that their funds are safe only in his exchange.
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Now let's take a look at the technical analysis, which is the main reason why I am bearish on BNB. Both the technical and fundamental analyses are bearish.
The uptrend from June 13, 2022, to November 7, 2022, is clearly weak. It's an ABC corrective pattern, which is usually followed by a massive crash.
80% crash to 48 USDT is, in my opinion, very possible. Everything is going down, including META stocks, TSLA, etc. So if you believe in the future of Binance, 48 USDT is your desired price.
You have no idea how much BNB people accumulated in previous years or how many leveraged long positions on futures are open. The market usually wants liquidity.
The price has been moving in the descending parallel channel, and we can retest the channel from the downside.
As per my Elliott Wave analysis, the whole structure looks very weak. The first impulse wave appears to be an ending diagonal wedge. The bulls are not interested in this coin.
48 USDT is a very strong support because it marks the beginning of the massive gap from 2021 as well as the breakout level of the previous structure from 2020.
I am very bearish on the crypto space, not just the BNB coin, as you may have seen from my previous posts.
Binance is the most liquid exchange and CZ Binance did a great job bulding it.
Thank you, and happy New Year!
BTC/USD - is BTC still in a downtrend?Let’s have a look at the BTC/USD 1 week chart and see what this chart and indicators are telling us.
BTC is still in a massive Falling Wedge Pattern.
BTC is also still in a massive Ichimoku Y-Wave pattern.
Note that the 50MA is still traveling DOWNWARDS towards the 200MA so we still might see a Death Cross on this 1 week timeframe.
At the moment of typing this, BTC has crossed back under its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) on this 1 week timeframe. A successful close below the LSMA and successful re-test as resistance will indicate that the direction of travel will most likely continue downwards.
BTC is still way under its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA on this 1 week timeframe.
Looking at the Descending Pitchfork Pattern, we can see the Support and Resistance levels that BTC has been hitting on this indicator.
Here is a closer look at this 1 week chart:
BTC is still in the Bearish Zone of all 3 of its major Ichimoku Clouds.
Looking at BTC’s most important Ichimoku Cloud:
The Conversion Line (Tenkan Sen) is indicating that mid-point the short-term momentum is downwards at the moment.
The Base Line (Kijun Sen) is indicating that the mid-point of the mid-term momentum is sideways at the moment.
The Lagging Span (Chikou Span) is indicating that momentum, at the moment is starting to slope downwards.
Using the Negative V Calculation from the 1 Month Chart, and using the Ichimoku Timespan Numbers of 65-Bars and 76-Bars starting from the ATH at $68,789.63 back in Nov 2021, we have 2 potential timeframes for the price target $9,916.
V Calculation Negative (from 1 month chart)
V = B - (C-B) = D
C $25,160 - B $17,538 = $7,622
B $17,538 - (C-B) $7,1622 = $9,916
D1 = $9,916 The week of 6th Feb 2023
D2 = $9,916 The week 24th April 2023
Note that this is NOT a bottom for BTC but is a PRICE TARGET using the Ichimoku V Calculation (Negative).
Looking at the Up/Down Volume, we can see that the Volume Traded since around June 2021 has been nothing when compared to what has been previously traded in the past.
Looking at the Relative Strength Index (RSI) we can see that the RSI is pointing downwards and still has plenty of room to move downwards before becoming Oversold on this 1 week timeframe. Note that the RSI is getting very close to crossing under is 9 Period EMA.
From my opinion, before anyone can start talking or preaching about bottoms, reversals and bull-runs, we need to talk about fundamentals and what is happening to the world economy. We also now know that the Crypto world isn’t yet a hedge against inflation and we also need to accept the fact that the world is already in a recession and possibly heading into a depression in 2023.
From my opinion BTC is still in a mid to longterm downtrend. That is NOT going to change unless BTC crosses back ABOVE and more importantly CLOSES ABOVE its 200MA on the 1 Day Chart for Mid-Term and 1 Week Chart for Long-Term. If/when this happens, be on the lookout for any successful re-test as support on these timeframes.
Once this world wide recession fully bottoms out be it in 6 months, 1 year, 2 years, 5 years or 10 years and when the powers that be have had their fill of transferring wealth from the Middle Class and the Poor to the elites, then true opportunities WILL ARISE for those who are ready.
Again this is all my opinion so I hope this post is helpful.
BITCOIN 2023 Bullrun!?Is the sell momentum in the crypto space slowing down? There is a falling pattern developing on the weekly time frame and a bullish divergence, indicating a potential reversal in the market is on the way. The retest of previous broken levels seems to be almost over. Will Bitcoin make an astonishing come back and go on a strong bull run some time in 2023? My bias says YES!
Bitcoin - The bottom will be here (89% chance)
I am telling you that the bottom on Bitcoin will be between 9600 - 10300 USD and I expect Bitcoin to reach this reversal zone in summer 2023!
You can place your buy orders here because the reaction on this level will be extremely high, so you can also buy/long BTC for a 50% profit.
The worst-case scenario for Bitcoin is to hit the bottom of the huge channel on the LOG weekly chart, which is unfortunately between 5200 - 5800 USD. But I think it's not going to happen.
If bitcoin falls below 5k, a lot of exchanges will be out of business because customers will leave the crypto space. 99% of people will be out of crypto, and it doesn't make too much sense. In crypto, there is a lot of money to be made for big players. They want crypto to rise as well.
On the weekly chart, Bitcoin has been moving in this massive ascending parallel channel with 5 touches. It's a valid channel on the LOG scale.
Volatility on Bitcoin is at an all-time low, and this should last until we find the bottom.
9600 - 10300 USD is a very strong zone because it is the 0.618 FIB of the previous impulse wave and also because there is an unfilled GAP.
As per my Elliott Wave analysis, the downtrend that started in November 2021 looks impulsive, so there is a high chance to go lower to complete the ABC retracement.
ETH could reach 250 USD and BNB could reach 48 USD. It's a very strong level for these coins that you will see in my next ideas, so follow me and hit the like!
Thank you, and happy trading!
COIN-New 52 Week Low!COIN recently made a new 52 week low!
A descending triangle pattern was identified on the daily chart. Price broke below the lower trendline of the pattern.
Also, a falling wedge pattern was identified on the one hour chart. COIN traded in a tight range Friday and closed in the supply zone .
MrALtrades00
BTCUSDT - Basics - Falling WedgesBTCUSDT - Falling Wedges
A falling wedge occurs between two downwardly sloping levels. In this case the line of resistance is steeper than the support. A falling wedge is usually indicative that an asset’s price will rise and break through the level of resistance.
Interesting the 1st wedge target price was hit recently. We're currently in a breakout of another falling wedge .
Zoom out, one can take it that were in one massive falling wedge .
S&P to 3000?Due to inflation and rate hikes we might see new lows in near future. As you can see breaking below 3900 is confirmation of trend will continue to go down. If S&P able to retest 3900 area we can enter short position. Our target will be 3500, 3400, 3200, 3000. And remember we are in huge Falling Wedge pattern.