Is AAPL Ready To Continue Higher?If you want to try AAPL Long right here, just use UT 2 (the green uptrend line) as your guide. It could be a short ride but you never know...
As long as AAPL is above UT 2, stay the course. But if AAPL closes below UT 2 before you have profits, get out of the trade. Once you have profits you have the ability to make "small adjustments" to trend lines. Just remember to never let a winning trade turn into a losing trade.
Today, in the last hour of trading, you will notice the first candle to close above the red downtrend (DT) line. This is your first hint that AAPL may be ready to continue even higher. The Trend Is Your Friend... Until Its Not.
I really like trade setups like this. The price moves above the DT line and that leads into a long trade. Nothing is a sure thing but this works many times. The key is to keep your stop tight so you don't lose too much money if the setup was a false breakout. You have to be willing to let the price close below the green DT line on an HOURLY chart if you are using this chart to enter the trade. When the market opens, DT 2 will be about 60 cents below today's closing price.
If you want to short AAPL, I would suggest waiting until we get a close below DT 2. At that point you could look for the price to get back to UT 1. If any of this happens, you will be able to draw another red downtrend line as your guide.
Trade What You See... Not What You Think, Or Feel, Or Hope, Or ...
The Trend Is Your Friend... Until It's Not. ~ Protect Profits & Limit Risk
Want to learn more? Check out the blog : trendlineinvestor.blogspot.com
Falsebreakout
GER30 : DAX recover to 8900 zone , dancing around resistance :)After breaking 8900 important resistance zone last week DAX recover compleet from the 8400 resistance.
The oversold RSI bring DAX up again.
DAX had a false breakout from 8900 , and DAX return back in 8900 supportzone.
The new earnings season bring good results mostly , and DAX will recover to make a positive balance for 2014.
We wait for second test from the 8900 resistance zone. If 8900 hold DAX have again a strong supportzone for jumping to 9600 zone. If 8900 break again we can confirm the bearisch outlook for DAX.
Pull back on USD/CHF?Price on USD/CHF has produced a high test bar ricocheting off the round 0.9500 level. RSI and Stochastic divergence support this short set up.
entry - below today's high test close
stop loss - above today's high test close
target - aiming for 0.9290, previous low, close to 50 ema (ignore support line on chart at 0.9250)
USDJPY Elliot Wave, false breakoutI don't regularly use Elliot wave theory in my ideas so I'm not 100% on this one, any advice is very welcome.
Things to note are that USDJPY is in a consolidation pattern on the daily. It tried to breakout a few days ago but failed. Going up for another test but is running into a lot of resistance.
Put in a long wick right along previous structure support, which lines up fairly closely with 382 fib confluence
I tried to add the elliot wave theory as an after thought but I'm not quite sure if this is valid. Leg 3 is nice and leg, leg 4 doesn't close above leg 1 lows. ABC pattern seems to be completing right around the beginning of leg 4 which is about right.
I'm expecting a move downwards about the length of leg 1, though it could reach all the way to the bottom of the consolidation pattern
Continue to Like Russia HereRussia is a market that I like as a standalone. I have already one phase in as I stated nearly a month ago. Here is why... "Russia is currently trading at .6 times book value. The reason for this is quite clear, if the US and Europe pose sanctions on Russia, the companies within will be harmed economically. The question for investors is by how much will sanction effect demand and therefore how much pressure will be put on earnings. Couple this with already poor economic conditions and high inflation in the region, there is no question why market participants hate this market. This is where I see opportunity. The book value of .6 is currently 26% of the 2.2 price to book value of the S&P 500. The only times this ratio was at this level was 2008 and 2001. On a price to cash flow basis, this is the lowest level since 2001. On a price to sales basis this is the lowest level since 2001. Now this may take some time to materialize, however I think the recent the market discounting future negative economic performance has provided an attractive entry point for investors in Russia. I am looking to implement this position in two phases, one sometime this week, and next level if we see 10% lower. That’s it."