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Falsebreakout

GOLD → The price will break 1914 and start another decline OANDA:XAUUSD is declining amid the strengthening of the dollar. TVC:DXY finally consolidates above the key support of 103 and starts upwards to 105-107, which gives a new kick to gold for the fall On the chart we see the price stopping in the area of 1914-1918 and the price forms a retest of 1914 after a false breakout - a strong enough syschgnal that prepares us for a possible fall in the value of the metal. If the price breaks 1914 and forms a consolidation below the level, it will give us a strong signal that the price will continue its fall to 1900-1885 after a shakeout in the form of a rally to 1918. A stronger dollar means that no one will cut rates anytime soon as the market still sees strong inflation. Moving averages are acting as support but MA-50 may be broken soon which would open a new corridor for price Support levels: MA-50, 1914, 1911 Resistance levels: 1918 I expect a short setup and the development of the situation in the format of price decline to 1900, but something against the scenario can always happen. If the price breaks 1918, it will start to rise to 1925. Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
15
🥇GOLD - Price is hitting a strong resistance area Gold stops falling and forms a range of 1902 - 1885. A resistance retest and false breakout is forming TA on the high timeframe: 1) False breakout and fall to 1884, after which the price forms a retest of previously broken support 1902 2) From this level the price may continue its decline TA on the low timeframe: 1) With the probability of 70-80% the price will not be able to pass through the indicated resistance because of the trend, because of the volume density and because of the liquidity zone 2) False breakout with the top of 1908-1910 is possible 3) The trend is downward and most likely the price may go down to 1893 and 1885. Key resistance📈: 1902.7 Key support📉: 1893.8
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AndeWave
16
🥇GOLD - Support Retest. Price is looking for a bottom Gold forms a false breakdown of 1937.58 and forms the strongest impulse in the last few weeks (chart on the left). At the same time, local and global trends coincide and the price retests the support. The prerequisites are obvious TA on the high timeframe: 1) False breakout forms a downward impulse. Price falls to 1885, having previously broken support at 1909 2) The only key liquidity area the market is interested in is below 1807 TA on the low timeframe: 1) A bearish channel forms, price bounces off resistance and we see momentum 2) A retest of 1885 is formed, price may test trend resistance before further breakout. 3) The only scenario at the moment is to sell. Key resistance📈: 1891 Key support📉: 1885
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AndeWave
11
GOLD → Bearish trend resistance breakout. realistic? OANDA:XAUUSD makes a false breakout amid the news. The price is testing the 1900 liquidity area. The chart set-up and pin-bar form a bullish potential On the chart we also see the strengthening of the price. Gold makes an attempt to break the bearish resistance and for a few hours the price forms a consolidation above the previously broken line. On the chart I have indicated the upper boundary at 1912.7. I think there is a chance that after a strong fall, the price may go into a consolidation or flat format. 1912 is a strong and liquid resistance and is likely to push the price back to the support, which will only confirm the flat. Our task after the breakout of trend resistance is to pay attention to strong levels to open positions for breakout, rebound or false breakout. It is too early to talk about the trend change. We are watching the price. The price is testing MA-50 for a breakout. If it happens, gold will strengthen to MA-200. Support levels: 1902, 1900 Resistance levels: 1906.5, 1911.5, 1912.7 I expect a correction to the resistance. From 1912 a pullback and retest of support is possible. Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by RLinda
22
🥇GOLD - The price is getting ready to drop. False breakout Gold is testing trend resistance again, Price is forming a strong consolidation and there is a noticeable lull in the market, most likely before the storm TA on the high Timeframe: 1) Local support is forming at 1912, and consolidation near the level 2) There is still a potential for a decline to 1902. TA on the low timeframe: 1) Price is forming a bounce from trend resistance after a false breakdown 2) If the price can break the support of 1912, 1910 then it will head down to 1900. 3) The trend is bearish and I expect the price to decline in priority. Key resistance📈: 1915 Key support📉: 1912, 1910
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AndeWave
13
NZDUSD → A bearish wedge could lead to a rebound FX:NZDUSD is declining in the format of a bearish wedge. Within the pattern, the price may test the key support, but what to expect from the price further? The support level of 0.59939 is the lower boundary of the global flat. There are no signals to break the support now, a retest of the level is formed after 2 months, the liquidity area will not allow to break this level. After the breakout of the support of the wedge will be followed by a retest of the indicated support level 0.59939, but I do not expect a breakout of this support. With high probability a rebound from the support may follow and the price may form a bullish momentum to the 0.61330 area. The moving averages formed a bearish signal earlier, which has already worked out, at the moment the lines indicate a bearish trend. Support levels: 0.59939 Resistance levels: 0.60692 I expect a retest of the support followed by a bounce up to 0.60692 or 0.61330. Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
8
🥇GOLD - The market is preparing for a recoveryGold is forming a false breakdown of a strong support line. The support and liquidity area formed forms a bullish rally. TA on the high timeframe: 1) False breakout. Price closes above the 1938 support line, gold may rise to 1950-1960 at the beginning of the trading week 2) Price is testing the liquidity area of 1942.8, the market may open with a gap or continue its growth if this resistance is broken. TA on the low timeframe: 1) A candle with a large shadow is forming on H4, the price closes close to the 1942 level after a false breakdown 2) The market is forming a potential to continue rising 3) Waiting for the trend resistance to be reached before considering any further setups. Key support📉: 1933 Key resistance📈: 1942
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AndeWave
10
🥇 GOLD - Price is breaking support but not falling yetGold is breaking a new milestone and breaking the support of the descending price channel. Price is consolidating between the downtrend line and 1933.9 support, pre-breakdown consolidation may break the support and price will fly downwards TA on the high timeframe: 1) Break of support at 1938 (lower boundary of the global range 2) Consolidation below the support is forming 3) Negative fundamental background for gold TA on the low timeframe: 1)Trend support is broken, price is consolidating lower 2)If 1933.9 is not broken, then there will be a false break of support and price will head towards 1950 Key support📉: 1933.9 Key resistance📈: 1938.7
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AndeWave
14
A Trade Example in The Nasdaq Futures Using a Simple TA ConceptThis was a really clean example of a really basic price action based set-up. On the short-lived Holy Grail trade(See my most recent live stream for a walkthrough of the holy grail trade set-up) that resulted in a false breakout, price begins to reverse and want to cross back through the established range on the 5 minute chart, as we begin tending back towards the middle of the range, we want to enter a trade, playing short term, attempting to take out the range high. I am currently working on getting my profits off the table much earlier and not being a "dick for a tick" so any time I get a trade between 2-4 R in my favor, I am taking my profits and running. I narrate all of this in this video CME_MINI:MNQ1!
CME_MINI:MNQ1!
by outlier1500
GOLD → Buyer weakness leads to a retest of support OANDA:XAUUSD is forming a false break of support after which a bullish impulse is developing, which is predictable, but within the framework of the local rally the price cannot update the local maximum, which may indicate buyer weakness A fall is formed after the establishment of LH 1972. The price breaks the 1959 level and forms a consolidation below the level. A consolidation in this area may form a potential for further decline, which may form another retest of 1948 support, and this movement will already form a potential for a possible breakout of this area with a further decline to 1933. After the breakout of the uptrend, a flat is formed and the price can stay within these limits for quite a long time, but there are no preconditions for breaking through the flat resistance or flat support. We are waiting for the price to approach the boundary and will follow the reaction. Support levels: 1953, 1948 Resistance levels: 1959, 1972. I expect the price to decline to the flat support. Further reaction to the level of 1948 will show the medium-term potential (rebound or breakout to 1933 is possible). Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
25
🥇GOLD - A flat is formed. Probable rebound from resistanceGold tends to rise as high as possible. But! Data will be published soon, most likely the market may be preparing for a rate hike. TA on a high timeframe: 1) A surge in volumes may force the price to test the resistance of 1984. A false breakdown is possible even when bad news is published 2) The area of liquidity that the market is primarily interested in is around 1978-1985, and then the one around 1950 TA on a low timeframe: 1) A retest of 1973 can lead to an impulse to 1983. 2) It is difficult to say what the result will be in terms of the rate and inflation, so the market may shake up a lot tonight. 3) In priority, since the situation is worse than neutral, the price may weaken against the background of a rate hike and a strengthening dollar. Key Resistance📈: 1973, 1983 Key Support📉: 1963
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AndeWave
9
GBPAUD → False breakdown and upward movement to retestFX:GBPAUD continues to form a bullish trend, as the high timeframe tells us. The price makes a false breakdown of the moving average and returns to the range. The price has returned to the ascending price channel and may form a retest or consolidation above the support level in the nearest future. At the moment the price is squeezed within the flat 1.9184 and 1.9035. Most likely the price has the upper boundary of the range as a target. An intraday retest of resistance may follow for a breakout. Since we have an uptrend, a false breakout of support and MA-200, the market is ready to continue rising. Another breakout attempt at 1.9184 may be successful and the price may show active growth. Support levels: 1.9035, trend support Resistance levels: 1.9184 I expect a retest of resistance with a subsequent breakout. Medium-term target: 1.9393. Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
13
GBPUSD → A FB and a retest of 0.618 could send the price to 1.26FX:GBPUSD forms a false breakdown of a strong resistance area. A downward correction is formed against the background of local strengthening of the dollar index On the chart, the currency pair retests the key support line at 1.2848. A pre-breakdown consolidation is formed against the background of correction. The price overcomes the area of 0.5 Fibo and is directed to test 0.618. If the currency pair breaks 1.28000, the correction format will turn into a change of trend and the price may fall to 1.26000 within the upward price range. Regarding 1.2848 there are two possible scenarios, a false breakout with subsequent growth to 1.3000. Or breakout and price entry to 1.2848-1.26800. In this case our target will be the support. MA-50 acts as resistance, while MA-200 is preparing to take a retest from the price Resistance levels: 0.5 fibo, 1.2965 Support levels: 1.2848, 0.618 fibo. I expect the formation of pre-breakdown consolidation and possible breakout with further price decline to 1.26800. Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
9
💱GBPAUD - False breakdown and reversal setups GBPAUD is forming a false breakout and a global reversal pattern that could send the price 400 pips down. TA on the high timeframe: 1) False breakout of the resistance zone: 1.9183 - 1.9035 2) Price breaks the base of the reversal pattern and forms an impulse. TA on the low timeframe: 1) The H&S reversal pattern starts the realization phase 2) As the price is in a global flat, we have the potential for a decline to 1.86000 3) Price breaks 1.889, most likely a retest or bounce to 1.8988 before further decline. Key support📉: 1.8894, 1.8782 Key resistance📈: 1.8988
Short
by AndeWave
5
🥇GOLD - Resistance Retest. Correction to 1972-1963Gold is testing a strong resistance area that could push the price back quite a bit. If the price shows strength against the bears and signals further upside, we will take advantage of it TA on the high timeframe: 1) Price is testing the global flat resistance. A rebound from the resistance is possible 2) The bullish trend is resuming 3) At the same time candlestick analysis suggests the continuation of growth TA on the low timeframe: 1) Price forms a retest of the uptrend resistance. 2) After a false breakdown, consolidation under the level is formed. 3) The closest support that price can aim for is 1972. This could then be trend support 4) Price returning to trend resistance or to 1984 for a retest will signal a breakout and a continuation up to 1999. Key support📉: 1972, 1963 Key resistance📈: 1980, 1984
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AndeWave
13
NZDUSD → Long retest. High chance of a false breakdown FX:NZDUSD is forming a retest of the resistance at 0.63809. We seem to have a bullish trend after breaking the downtrend, but there is a high probability of a false breakdown and correction. On the daily timeframe the price approached a strong resistance area. A retest of the 0.63800 level, formed in early May, is being formed after quite a lot of time and a large pool of liquidity has been formed above this area, which can prevent the price from going up from the first time. The scenario is as follows: from the resistance 0.63800 may be followed by a decline either to 0.63050, or a pullback less and a quick retest of the resistance, which will form a pre-breakdown consolidation and break the level. Countertrend trades should be opened with reduced risk. In the medium term, the price may continue to strengthen on the background of a weak dollar. Support levels: 0.6305 Resistance levels: 0.63800, 0.6515. I expect a correction in the near future and a slight decline to 0.236 or 0.382 fibo followed by a retest of resistance and an attempt to breakout. Regards R. Linda!
by RLinda
13
💱NZDUSD - Complex situation on a simple chart NZDUSD is forming a false breakout that could potentially send the price to the bottom. Price is testing key fibo areas and could give a bounce. TA on the high timeframe: 1) False break of 0.6305 forms bearish momentum 2) Price is aiming for the liquidity area of 0.62000 TA on the low timeframe: 1) A retest of 0.382 fibo is formed, which may form a correction to 0.6305, after which the price may again continue its fall 2) At the moment, 0.63328 may be an important target in terms of downward movement. 3) The trend is changing, but there has been no confirmation yet, a false breakout may be false Key resistance📈: 0.6305 Key support📉: 0.6232
Short
by AndeWave
6
💱USDCAD - False breakdown and flat formation is possibleUSDCAD formed a head and shoulders after a false breakdown of key resistance. It was at this point that the dollar began to weaken and led the currency pair to test the local bottom at 1.30900 TA on the high timeframe: 1) A false break of resistance sends the price to support at 1.3138 2) Since the forex market is flat more than 70% of the time, the price is likely to form a false break of support and start to strengthen TA on the low timeframe: 1) A false breakout is forming against the local support at 1.31179. A rebound to the resistance is possible 2) Fibo levels can also serve as a magnet for correction. 3) There are high chances of flat formation, the price may form a rebound before further fall. Key support📉: 1.31179 Key resistance📈: 1.31776
Long
by AndeWave
8