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Falsebreakout

GBPCHF Good Sell opportunity!Hey Guys, Based on the chart, there is a good sell opportunity on GBPCHF. But let check the chart and see what is happening right now: ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1. False Breakout happened on a uptrend channel -- Based on the candlesticks ( Bearish ) 2. Price is in a downtrend ( Bearish ) 3. Price reached a resistance area and rejected strongly ( Bearish ) 4. Hidden divergence on RSI(14) ( Bearish ) 5. Price reached to 0.5 Fibonacci ( Bearish ) 6. Small uptrend channel not broken yet! ( Bullish ) --------------------------------------------------------------------------- So Based on the top scenarios, I have bearish bias about the next movements of price which can also have a good risk reward raio. But considering risk management rules in a necessity and have not be ignored. But let's see what do you think about GBPCHF on H1 timeframe. Are you bullish or bearish? - Please write your ideas on the comments. Any idea is valuable for us! Thanks for being and supporting us. Good Luck!
Short
by Brian_Philips
AUDCHF🤑Head and shoulders 📉At this point, the price is finishing drawing the inverted head and shoulders pattern. It can be seen very well on the daily chart, it was expected that the price will reach the resistance level, but when the channel is broken through, the sellers pushed the price. So in connection with a false channel breakout, I expect a local fall right up to the center of the descending channel, but the general priority for now is to buy. Have a nice trade!
Short
by TradingAlchemist
4
TSLA: It just did what was expected. What to expect now?Hello traders and investors! Let’s see how TSLA is doing today! Since our previous analysis, last week, it did absolutely nothing surprising, as TSLA just hit our second target/resistance, and we already discussed a scenario where it would do a pullback in the daily chart: “Even if it does a pullback, it won’t ruin the bullish bias. We have too many supports to hold TSLA if it drops, like the $ 732, the $ 717, the 21 ema , and even the purple trendline.” The link to my previous analysis is below this post, as always. Today, the 21 ema is holding the price, and so far, we are trading above it, which is good news. What's more, we have a Dragonfly Doji in the daily chart. If we look into the 1h chart, we’ll find more clues: Yes, TSLA did a classic Exhaustion Bar , slightly below the previous support at $ 724, and it confirmed a false breakout when it reacted above this support level. The volume spiked as well, and now TSLA is prepared to do a real good bullish structure. So far, we only have good signs, but nothing concrete about a bullish reversal. Let’s wait for more information in the next few days. If you liked this post, remember to follow me to keep in touch with my daily updates, and please, support this idea if it helped. Have a good week!
NASDAQ:TSLA
by Nathan_The_Finance_Hydra
4
USDCAD | Perspective for the new weekMy last speculation saw the price move over 150pips in our direction before the bulls took over ( see link below for reference purposes). Since breaking above the $1.25000 level in July 2021, I am labelling this level to be a very strong demand zone for the Greenback considering that the obvious that it has held price "supported' in the last couple of months. Since the value of the Loonie is directly connected to the oil situation. It is important to take into consideration that oil inventories are currently down from what they used to be prior to the Covid-19 pandemic. Coupled with the Hurricane Ida situation, there is more supply than demand which could have a negative impact on the Loonie in the coming week(s). Tendency: Uptrend (Bullish) Structure: Supply & Demand | Trendline Observation: i. Since hitting a peak @ $1.29500 on the 20th of August 2021, the price of USD have tumbled drastically and it is finally at our Demand zone. ii. The visual representation of a line drawn under pivot lows reveals the prevailing direction of price since June 2021. However, a sudden Breakdown of this Trendline (whatever way you draw your line) during last week trading session cast some doubt on the Bullish tendency on this pair. iii. At this juncture it is indeed appropriate that we remain patient and observe how price reacts to the Major Demand zone @ $1.25000/1.24200 area for confirmations. iv. To support my Bullish expectation on this pair, I shall be looking for rejections or engulfing candles off of the Key level @ $1.25000 (above key level - safe haven) in the coming week(s). v. Should price drop below Key level, then this will make the Breakdown of Bullish Trendline valid. Hence, a retest shall give me no choice but to switch bias in support of the Bears... Trade consciously!😊 Trading plan: BUY confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 250 pips. Risk/Reward : 1:4 Potential Duration: 3 to 7days NB: This speculation might be considered to make individual decisions on the lower timeframe. Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored. Risk Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Long
by darcsherry
AAPL: Key Points and targets for the short/mid-term.Hello traders and investors! Let’s see how AAPL is doing today! First, the trend is bullish, and the 21 ema is going up along with the price, and everything seems fine with AAPL. But we must keep an eye on some important key points, as they will dictate how AAPL will behave in the next few days, if it’ll keep climbing or if it’ll drop. The support at $ 149.10 is the first key point here. This point is the previous bottom, and keep in mind that AAPL just did a lower high (red arrow), and if we do a lower low, then the bullish bias will get weaker. The 21 ema will point down, and this might be the beginning of a bearish movement. The 21 ema in the daily chart is a good support level for us to work with right now , as AAPL will probably retest it if the bullish bias gets weaker. What’s more, we’ll be back to the congestion area between the two black lines in the daily chart, indicating that AAPL made a false breakout from it recently. This is frustrating, but still not enough to reverse the trend, just to make it weaker and create a pullback. Let’s see how it’ll behave in the next few days. If you are still here, remember to follow me to keep in touch with my daily updates. Have a good day.
NASDAQ:AAPL
by Nathan_The_Finance_Hydra
5
FCPO Trading Strategy for False Breakout and Valid BreakoutPrice downtrend continuation when new day price open inside the previous trading range. Valid breakout = trend continuation Therefore, we use 1min TF to look for entry. 1. Break market structure. 2. EMA 14,50,200 trend. 3. Stochastic 4. Reverse-retest 5. Stoploss 6. TP False breakout = reversal/rejection Use 15min to find entry 1. Entry after 2nd CS close back inside the zone 2. Stoploss 2xATR @1min chart. 3. TP opposite Support / Resistance.
MYX:FCPO1!Education
by ArifHasbollah
NIO: What it needs to fly again?Hello traders and investors! Let’s take a look at NIO today! Since it reported earnings, NIO has been in a bearish momentum, and it seems nothing will reverse it. The last support was at $ 38.66, and NIO lost it, but what does this means? We are still far from May’s bottom at $ 30, and since it dropped that sharply, it has good chances of bouncing back up, but so far, we have no bullish structure in the 1h chart. On the bright side, we are near the support level, and it seems NIO didn’t lost it completely, as we see early signs of reaction. Let’s see the daily chart for more clues: We have a bullish candlestick pattern today, which is a start for a possible reversal, and since we are near the previous support level, now is the best time for NIO react. If we close above the $ 38.66 again, it will be a false breakout from the support level, and this will be very frustrating for the bears, as they will be stopped out. Since we hit the support, the volume increased, and if we see a reaction, the 21 ema will be the target for us. Then we’ll see if it’ll be a Dead Cat Bounce or the beginning of a true reversal. But I agree that today’s reaction is not the best so far, and we must wait for more information. The situation is very delicate, and how NIO will react in this support will dictate the next big movement. If you liked this analysis, remember to follow me to keep in touch with my daily updates. Have a good day.
NYSE:NIO
by Nathan_The_Finance_Hydra
6
FCPO Identify Fake Breakout and How to Trade it?When the price is near the SnR it is where get it will get tricky...either the price want to continue the trend or reverse? The false breakout strategy : 1. Timeframe 15min 2. Identify strong valid SnR 3. Draw the zone by pick the wick and the neck. 4. If price breakout and 2nd CS close inside the zone, it is a false breakout and entry position after 2nd CS close. 5. TP for the false breakout can be the opposite SnR. Valid breakout strategy: Trend continuation 1. Use 15min and 1min chart for confirmation.
MYX:FCPO1!Education
by ArifHasbollah
What Is a Failed Break?A failed break (false breakout) occurs when a price moves through an identified level of support or resistance but does not have enough momentum to maintain its direction. Failed breaks may also signal traders to enter a trade in the opposite direction of the attempted breakout. Since the breakout attempt failed, the price could head the other direction. A throwback is when the price retraces back toward the resistance or support level just broken. A throwback is not a failed breakout. How to detect failed breaks? A failed breakout reveals that there was not enough buying interest to keep pushing the price above resistance or below support. If a security does not see strong volume and substantial price moves supporting the breakout direction, the chance of a false breakout increases. Take a look at the chart and see how the uptrend line is broken with unexpected low trading volume. If there is significantly increased volume on a breakout, the likelihood of a false breakout developing decreases (but is not eliminated). However, a throwback may still occur.
Education
by BobRivera990
61
DXY will fall from Potential Reversal zone ?DXY will fall from Potential Reversal zone ? #DXY (Dollar Index): Important Decision Ahead Many dollar pairs are standing on key levels today. With a coming CPI report, the market participants are waiting for the trigger to either push the Greenback higher or to finally start shorting it. ⚠️DXY is testing a historical resistance at the moment. Bearish movement will initiate only fasle bull breakout of Potential Reversal zone. That will be a decent confirmation. target will be 92.5 firstly For bullish scenario, consider a daily candle close above the underlined daily resistance as the confirmation for a further bullish continuation.
TVC:DXYShort
by locphatfunds
Let the bitcoin ride!Hey there, crypto lovers! As we see on the BTC/USDT chart, There's been two false breakouts so far. (eg. price breaking out out of a trend and going back inside the trend.) While false breakouts are many traders' nightmares, yet no fear, my dear! because the good news is, that the more a trend's limit is tested and penetrated by the price, the weaker it gets. Yet it's early to call it an start of another bull run, in my opinion we are at the edge of the market deciding it's path. TLDR: If the price breaks the trendline again, this time it's more likely to be an start of an uptrend. For confirmation you can wait for a pull back to see how the price behaves after a breakout. Blessed be the bitcoin! ;)
Long
by Blockchainophil