Can a Single Onion Slice Reshape the Future of Fast Food?In a dramatic turn of events that has sent ripples through the quick-service restaurant industry, McDonald's Corporation faces a watershed moment that transcends mere food safety concerns. The recent E. coli outbreak linked to Quarter Pounder burgers, resulting in 49 reported cases across 10 states, serves as a powerful reminder of how seemingly minor supply chain decisions can cascade into significant corporate challenges. With shares plummeting 7% in after-hours trading, this crisis presents a compelling case study in crisis management, operational resilience, and the delicate balance between efficiency and safety in modern food service operations.
The revelation that slivered onions from a single supplier could potentially trigger such widespread impact challenges conventional wisdom about supply chain diversification in the fast-food industry. McDonald's swift response - removing Quarter Pounders from menus across several Western states and implementing immediate supply chain modifications - demonstrates the complex interplay between brand protection and operational agility. This situation raises profound questions about the industry's approach to supplier relationships and the potential vulnerabilities created by centralized sourcing strategies in pursuit of consistency and cost efficiency.
Beyond the immediate health concerns and financial implications, this crisis illuminates a broader narrative about consumer trust and corporate responsibility in the modern food service landscape. As McDonald's navigates this challenge, their response may well set new standards for crisis management and transparency in the industry. The incident serves as a catalyst for reimagining food safety protocols and supply chain resilience, potentially ushering in a new era where consumer safety and operational efficiency are not just balanced but fundamentally integrated into the fabric of fast-food operations.
Fastfood
MCD is topped out the long fast food trend may be SHORTMCD lives on people liking what they eat and eating a lot of it. The Happy Meal is famous.
into the business model comes the new wave biologics for obesity and diabetes. the shots
that cut down the weight and the food addiction. Insurance companies are jumping on
the bandwagon. 1/3 of the people eat half the food. Increasingly, those people are seeking
treatment. The fastfood executives know this. Same for the sugar beverages.
Anyway, enough said. MC on the monthly chart is stuck at a double top even more obvious
on a weekly or daily chart. At present it is stuck in a symmetrical triangle compressing price.
The mathematical predictive algorithm forecasts price will move down the remainder of
this year. I respect the mathematics and understand the medical trend. LLY makes money
supplying insulin and now it makes money actually reversing diabetes and obesity. One way
or another it makes money and MCD is supplying the patient flow. In the meanwhile if
those patients are detoxified and lower their caloric intake, MCD is the one that suffers
a regression of the growth story. I am short MCD and add to my position whenever
there is a little upward price movement. Yeah, comarketing donuts with Krispy is an act of
desperation.
CMG to split price SHORTCMG has announced a split. Makes sense to make shares more affordable but fractionals are
widely available. CMG may be fundamentally challenged by the underpinnings of the fast food
markets. that is overeating and rising prices. In the meanwhile the anti-obesity and anti-
diabetes trends are pushing hard led by the bological injectable meds from LLY, NVO and
others. One third of the people eat one half of the food and now an effective treatment
for that addiction is becoming increasingly available. The writing is on the wall and food biz
executives can read that writing. Enough said.
I am going short on CMG. It's best days of growth may behind it. The company announced plans
for 4000 more stores nationwide. Really? Time will tell. I vote with my wallet. My position
will not be small. The predictive algo has its forecast. My education included both medicine
and engineering. I understand the power of biology and mathematics. I deeply respect
both.
CMG - it might be expensive but the value is there LONGCMG on the weekly chart has been uptrending for a year after being rangebound sideways for a
year. It has seen a volume spike and corresponding price action with the current earnings beat
Price rose 60% in the past year and 16% YTD. This is not linear and nor is it parabolic.
The MACD supports the bullish momentum observation in the price action while the RS indicator
shows good strength in both shorter and longer time frames. This is a blue chip megacap for
sure. While it is not technology like the MAg7, the food business is lucrative. the CEO in the
earnings call announced plans to expand to 7000 stores nationally. This is ambitious. Those who
are ambitious investors or traders and are well funded could consider adding some shares
or even a few options of CMG. I am going with a few options OTM at $3000 six months out.
I believe that I will be well rewarded for the risk taken especially given the expansion plans
and the historical track record here.
MCD, WILL EARNINGS INCLUDE A HAPPY MEAL?On quick glance, maybe a little bit of a happy meal, but they definitely gonna forget the toy.
Why does this chart look like a child drew it?
Well, it was drawn on my one of the streams I did back in oct and since the lines are still holding and trends are still holding, I figured I'd share it again.
my last post was deleted because I used a bad word. which is fair.
Price is sitting right under major rejection, if it breaks over, the rocket can continue, but if it can't, lookout.
I think it's getting close to the top and earnings takes it maybe up a little past 300, but more than likely, we start to see the downside take over for a bit.
Again, fully depends on the trend and what happens with earnings because things can change fast with these numbers but as of now. I'd say bears get favoring.
Restaurant Brands: Bearish Below The $62.50 Support LevelQSR has broken below a Monthly Trend Line and has begun to attempt a break down of the $62.50 Level of Interest. If this level breaks down, we could see QSR go for at least a 0.786-0.886 retrace, which is down at around $30, as it catches up to the downside we've seen on the other fast food chains.
Donut Time in America. Ditch the New Year's Diet ResolutionsIts usually time to fade the American urge to "Eat Healthy this Year" by the time the leaves start showing up on the trees again.
Add to Krispy Kreme between 12-13 dollars.
"As society becomes more and more complex, cheating will in many ways become progressively easier and easier to do and harder to police or even understand."
JUBLIANT FOODWORKSBUY
basic understanding:
Stock has seen high selling pressure due to management changes and below expectations financial results. They are short term in nature and company should able to resolve it in few months. Also JUBLIANT FOODWORKS is one of the best performing stocks in last 5 years.
Technical Analysis:
JUBLIANT FOODWORKS is around 40% down from its 52 week high. it is trading in strong support range from 2500-2600 levels and 200 week ema. RSi is also in over sold levels.
Trading Idea - #McDonaldsBUY:
ENTRY: 235.10 USD
TARGET: 260.00 USD (+10%)
STOP: 221.50 USD
1.) The former downward trend (Oct.2020 - Mar.2021) was ended by a strong upward movement, which broke through the resistance level at 230 USD. Technically speaking, this means an upward movement continuation.
2.) The business of the world's largest fast food group has recovered. The reason for this are the many drive-in restaurants especially in the US, as well as the delivery service and the digital offers.
3.) For 2021, McDonalds is considered a profiteer of the step-by-step reopening in the pandemic.
Malaise for > quarter: Telecoms, Fast food, and Consumer staplesThese important sectors have not been booming for over a quarter (no Robinhooders around these sectors, and not worth a Reddit meme) -
- Telecommunications: T, VZ, TMUS
- Quick service fast food restaurants: MCD, YUM, WEN
- Consumer Staples (ETF is XLP): household products PG, CL, CLX: food MDLZ, GIS
Sorry PapaPapa gonna take it in the shorts. I forgot about this guy and this company until I saw his recent interview.
-Good R:R
-At important fib levels and historical resistance
-I'm bearish on restaurants anyway due to slowing growth so this lines up with my forecast of this sector
-I don't see a lot of demand for Papa's and if it sells of I wouldn't expect a lot of support until major areas of value.
**Trade responsibly, manage risk, do your own research