21) FKLI : reverse to bullishresumes frm 18), fkli-feb dropped down to slightly lower than the expected 1575, reaching low at 1572(1571.5 precisely), THEN a rebound on FRiday! A classic false breakout to the downside. A reversal is said to be formed when the price broke abv the previous lower-high at 1583 (the red marker) and closed at 1589.5 on FRiday, 21st Feb25. Now, bull is in charge.
IF the market is aggressive to the upside, THEN it will retest 1595-1600. IF the market breaks above the strong resistance 1600, THEN it will go to the next level at 1613 and 1628.
IF the market is slow-ish, THEN fkli-feb will hover from 1584-1588 immediate support till 1595. Deeper consolidation will touch range from 1585-1572. Price below 1572 indicate another round of bearish market appears. Since next week is the last week of February month, I will bet on "end-of-month bull rally". End of the month typically is a bull rally for fkli on some special months but most of the time it is just the last-day-of-the-month rally!
PLS remember, I am not a guru and this is not a signal service provider. THIS is mere for fun.
#tradersupporttrader #FCPO #FKLI #futurestrader #cpop #malaysiatrader #bursa #BursaMalaysia
Disclaimer : "I am not a guru and I am working hard to make profit same as everyone else. This is not a recommendation of buy or sell, just a mere idea of trading and trading journal. Please consult your financial advisor for any thought of buying or selling. Trade at your own risk."
Fcpo
20) FCPO : Bull might come to an end...or juz correction?update frm 19), Fcpo-May will continue next MOnday, 24-28th Feb 2025, the last week in month of February. What happened last week was fcpo-May made what seemed like a false breakout, 4700-4720, then quickly went down. The range of 4634-4700 is important for bull to stay afloat. Price breaking below 4634 indicates the possible reversal of trend. Price within 4634-4700 is bull...IF bull is aggressive, THEN it may gap up abv 4720 and higher.
IF the market is mild drop, THEN it will range frm the 4555-4634 but it is still bearish. IF market falls below the 4500-4560, THEN the next level is pretty low at 4400-4300, THEN it is a strong bearish market.
PLS remember, I am not a guru and this is not a signal service provider. THIS is mere for fun.
#tradersupporttrader #FCPO #FKLI #futurestrader #cpop #malaysiatrader #bursa #BursaMalaysia
Disclaimer : "I am not a guru and I am working hard to make profit same as everyone else. This is not a recommendation of buy or sell, just a mere idea of trading and trading journal. Please consult your financial advisor for any thought of buying or selling. Trade at your own risk."
19) FCPO : uptrend resumes...???update frm 16), price frm fcpo-apr has come to an end. Fcpo-May will appear next MOnday, 17-21st Feb 2025. What happened last week was unpredicted. Price gapped up to 4640-4700 then sank lower to the 4630-4650 range. The next day, it gapped down 30pts to 4620 and fell to 4540, then rebound back to 4630...
IF the market is aggressive drop, THEN it will hit the 4540-4490. IF market falls below the critical 4490(4487 to be precise) which is also the previous higher-low, THEN market has probably reverses.
IF the market is slow-ish, THEN it will lower back to 4600-4540. IF the market continues bullish, price has to break abv 4600-4630, and retest the latest high at 4700.
PLS remember, I am not a guru and this is not a signal service provider. THIS is mere for fun.
#tradersupporttrader #FCPO #FKLI #futurestrader #cpop #malaysiatrader #bursa #BursaMalaysia
Disclaimer : "I am not a guru and I am working hard to make profit same as everyone else. This is not a recommendation of buy or sell, just a mere idea of trading and trading journal. Please consult your financial advisor for any thought of buying or selling. Trade at your own risk."
18) FKLI : bull and bear plays tug-of-warresumes frm 17), the latest high has broken above previous high of 1590 and creates higher-high at 1600-1605. Basically, bull is still IN CONTROL but a possible "head" has been formed. At the end of the week, price falls at 1592.5. Bull still maintains till 1575 closest higher-low is broken.
This could be a mere consolidation phase of a bull or a reversal...
IF the market is aggressive to the downside, THEN it will retest 1575-1585. IF the market breaks lower than the previous higher-low at 1575, THEN market has reversed into bear.
IF the market is slow-ish, THEN current point 1590 - 1595 is the range for possible continuation to higher price. Deeper consolidation will touch range from 1585-1590.
PLS remember, I am not a guru and this is not a signal service provider. THIS is mere for fun.
#tradersupporttrader #FCPO #FKLI #futurestrader #cpop #malaysiatrader #bursa #BursaMalaysia
Disclaimer : "I am not a guru and I am working hard to make profit same as everyone else. This is not a recommendation of buy or sell, just a mere idea of trading and trading journal. Please consult your financial advisor for any thought of buying or selling. Trade at your own risk."
17) FKLI : uptrend continues...resumes frm 14), the previous Lower-high 1564 has been broken. NOw, fkli-feb has been creating more and more higher-low and higher-high till now, reaching 1590.
IF the market is aggressive, THEN it will hit 1600-1613 and probably hit higher.
IF the market is slow-ish, THEN watch out 1583-1588 support, where it is playing tug-of-war with bear.
IF the market breaks lower than the previous higher-low at 1575, THEN market has reversed into bear.
PLS remember, I am not a guru and this is not a signal service provider. THIS is mere for fun.
#tradersupporttrader #FCPO #FKLI #futurestrader #cpop #malaysiatrader #bursa #BursaMalaysia
Disclaimer : "I am not a guru and I am working hard to make profit same as everyone else. This is not a recommendation of buy or sell, just a mere idea of trading and trading journal. Please consult your financial advisor for any thought of buying or selling. Trade at your own risk."
16) FCPO : uptrend resumes...update frm 15), price frm fcpo-apr has resumed to break to higher-high, above the previous 4400-4420, making the uptrend continues higher at 4600 now (close to). Previous resistance is now the support level, which is 4500-4540. The overhead resistance ranges frm 4630-4650.
IF the market is aggressive(since fcpo-apr ends this week), THEN it will hit the 4630-4650 immediately and go further up.
IF the market is slow-ish, THEN it will lower back to 4500-4540 and play some tug-of-war with bear but Bull is still the major preference. OR tangling between 4540 -4630 region.
IF market falls below the critical 4490(4487 to be precise) which is also the previous higher-low, THEN market has probably reverses.
That's all for tdy. Happy Thaipusam and hapi holiday. Happy hunting.
PLS remember, I am not a guru and this is not a signal service provider. THIS is mere for fun.
#tradersupporttrader #FCPO #FKLI #futurestrader #cpop #malaysiatrader #bursa #BursaMalaysia
Disclaimer : "I am not a guru and I am working hard to make profit same as everyone else. This is not a recommendation of buy or sell, just a mere idea of trading and trading journal. Please consult your financial advisor for any thought of buying or selling. Trade at your own risk."
15) FCPO : uptrend persists this week update frm 13), price frm fcpo-apr has broken abv the previous HL, 4280 on 28th and 31st Jan 2025. Again, I have missed some really exciting moves bcox of my absence in holiday. Price might move back to 4300-4330 or even 4280 IF it is a deep retracement, form some kinda base thr and rebound.
price could oso gap up further around 4420-4480 as bull pushes further, after testing 4400-4415 tdy. previous Higher-Low was at 4265-4255 and IF this level is broken, THEN the trend has reversed.
PLS remember, I am not a guru and this is not a signal service provider. THIS is mere for fun.
#tradersupporttrader #FCPO #FKLI #futurestrader #cpop #malaysiatrader #bursa #BursaMalaysia
Disclaimer : "I am not a guru and I am working hard to make profit same as everyone else. This is not a recommendation of buy or sell, just a mere idea of trading and trading journal. Please consult your financial advisor for any thought of buying or selling. Trade at your own risk."
14) FKLI : possible reversal
Fkli-feb has shown a possible reversal, creating a higher-low tdy. price to watch out is at 1564, the previous Lower-High, before descending further into the previous support level...1540...that was the lowest point set (around that level) on 17th Jan 2025, forming double bottom in daily chart. IF this price 1564 is broken to the upside, THEN we have a confirmation shift of trend and uptrend has come back.
tug-of-war between bull and bear happens between 1540-1560 level...
IF price breaks below 1540 support level (lowest point 1536?), THEN bear continues...
PLS remember, I am not a guru and this is not a signal service provider. THIS is mere for fun.
#tradersupporttrader #FCPO #FKLI #futurestrader #cpop #malaysiatrader #bursa #BursaMalaysia
Disclaimer : "I am not a guru and I am working hard to make profit same as everyone else. This is not a recommendation of buy or sell, just a mere idea of trading and trading journal. Please consult your financial advisor for any thought of buying or selling. Trade at your own risk."
13) FCPO : bull and bear are playing tug-of-warAs I continue frm the previous 11), I quoted that fcpo might test the 4280 soon. Well, this wasn't the case for last week, 20-24th Jan 2025. fcpo was trading within the range frm 4135 - 4280. Although price had fallen frm 21-23rd Jan, market has rebounded in the last minute, which was on the Friday, 24th...so it is possible that a reversal has happened.
Price moving above 4280 will confirm a bullish comeback while price below 4135 indicates a bearish move that eventually hits 4100 and 4000.
PLS remember, I am not a guru and this is not a signal service provider. THIS is mere for fun.
#tradersupporttrader #FCPO #FKLI #futurestrader #cpop #malaysiatrader #bursa #BursaMalaysia
Disclaimer : "I am not a guru and I am working hard to make profit same as everyone else. This is not a recommendation of buy or sell, just a mere idea of trading and trading journal. Please consult your financial advisor for any thought of buying or selling. Trade at your own risk."
12) FKLI : bad news breaking out? Thing is not looking gud for my last week paper trading in fkli as a "downtrend channel" is formed (red color "bridge" heading downside). The immediate support is at right now, 1560. Price needs to test immediate resistance at 1570, and if it is successful, then it will go back to the recent high at 1585. Further above 1585 signals the recent uptrend continues or IF it falls below 1540-1538, THEN the strong bear continues.
I am still of the opinion that somethg bad is going to break out frm the end of January 2025 either frm US or Japan based on recent market performance. However, not all going doom and gloom. Happy Chinese New Year and Gong XI Fa Cai!
PLS remember, I am not a guru and this is not a signal service provider. THIS is mere for fun.
#tradersupporttrader #FCPO #FKLI #futurestrader #cpop #malaysiatrader #bursa #BursaMalaysia
Disclaimer : "I am not a guru and I am working hard to make profit same as everyone else. This is not a recommendation of buy or sell, just a mere idea of trading and trading journal. Please consult your financial advisor for any thought of buying or selling. Trade at your own risk."
FCPO Outlook: Key Levels and Strategies for the Week AheadRecent Market Overview
MYX:FCPOJ2025 MYX:FCPOK2025 MYX:FCPO1!
The market, both for outright contracts and spread contracts, has shown significant signs of consolidation recently. As such, I believe a comprehensive analysis is necessary to identify contracts worth monitoring, key price levels to watch, and whether the market leans bullish or bearish in the near term.
April Contract
From Friday’s daily chart closing price, it seems that the price has found support around 4,130 points. However, the overall trend remains bearish, as evidenced by a clear double-top pattern, a break below the neckline, and two retests of the neckline on the daily chart.
I foresee two possible scenarios for the upcoming price action: consolidation or continued decline. If the market consolidates, the range will likely be between 4,120 and 4,500 points. If the market continues to decline next week, I expect resistance around the 4,000-point level, which is approximately 300 points below the current price.
May Contract
Friday’s closing price on the daily chart suggests that the May contract has also found support around 4,100 points. The recent price action mirrors that of the April contract, showing a double-top pattern, a break below the neckline, and two retests of the neckline.
However, the 4,000-point support level for the May contract appears stronger than that of the April contract. Currently, the benchmark contract is the April contract. Does this imply that when the May contract becomes the benchmark (on February 17), the price will find support at 4,000 points and then reverse into an uptrend?
If my hypothesis is correct, the upcoming price action will likely involve a third test of the neckline and consolidation, as we await the May contract to become the benchmark.
Summary of Outright Contracts
Based on the April and May contracts, I anticipate a relatively stronger market next week, with a potential third test of the neckline around 4,500 points for the April contract.
Additionally, Chicago soybean oil futures showed no significant decline this week, closing at 45.72 points. The price still has approximately 3.30 points of room before hitting resistance at 49.00–50.00 points. If prices fail to rise and instead decline on Monday, a reassessment will be necessary.
APR25 - JUL25 Spread Contract
The daily chart for the APR25 - JUL25 spread contract shows a clear ongoing downtrend. The observed price range is roughly between 100 and 200 points, with Friday’s closing price at 122 points.
I do not find this contract appealing for entry. If outright contract resistance is at 4,000 points, the support level for this spread contract is likely around 100 points. With only 22 points of downside room to that support level, the risk-reward ratio is unfavorable for short positions. For long positions, the price must first test 100 points and show signs of reversal before considering an entry.
MAY25 - AUG25 Spread Contract
The daily chart for the MAY25 - AUG25 spread contract also shows a downtrend, though the pattern is less well-defined compared to the APR25 - JUL25 spread contract. Key support and resistance levels are estimated at 50, 100, 150, and 200 points. Friday’s closing price was 122 points.
Compared to the APR25 - JUL25 spread, I find this contract less favorable for trading due to its less distinct overall pattern.
JUN25 - SEP25 Spread Contract
The daily chart for the JUN25 - SEP25 spread contract also indicates a downtrend, with prices having tested the final support zone of 0–20 points. Friday’s closing price was 37 points, showing signs of a rebound.
The overall pattern appears relatively well-formed, and there is sufficient upside potential, with resistance levels at 80 and 150 points. If the outright contract price action aligns with my forecast for a rebound to the neckline, this spread contract could rise to 150 points.
Summary of Spread Contracts
After analyzing these three spread contracts, I believe the JUN25 - SEP25 spread contract is the most reasonable for a long position next week, followed by the APR25 - JUL25 spread contract.
If Monday’s price action does not align with expectations and declines instead, a reassessment will be necessary. I plan to enter a long position in the JUN25 - SEP25 spread contract on Monday. If prices reverse downward after entry, I will implement a stop-loss at 17 points. If outright contracts trend downward on Monday, I will refrain from entering the market.
FCPO WEEK 4 2025: SHORT.Price moved to the targeted level as expected even though it took a while to reached it. As of last week, bearish is still in control. Price is expected to make a retracement to fill up the gap and then continue lower to the first TP (TP1) before eventually reached TP2.
If you like or agree to this idea please give it a "Like" or a "Boost".
Cheers.
11) fcpo : play predict the market againinstead of super huge 4280 yesterday, I shall focus on what is happening now. price will fluctuate between 4170 -4200 and move higher to retest 4280 IF it is a real rebound.
...fcpo is a fast moving market, so before u know, it is ald testing higher and higher price at like 4400 and 4530...
IF it is not a real rebound, THEN u will see price descend lower to 4100 and 4000
PLS remember, I am not a guru and this is not a signal service provider. THIS is mere for fun.
#tradersupporttrader #FCPO #FKLI #futurestrader #cpop #malaysiatrader #bursa #BursaMalaysia
Disclaimer : "I am not a guru and I am working hard to make profit same as everyone else. This is not a recommendation of buy or sell, just a mere idea of trading and trading journal. Please consult your financial advisor for any thought of buying or selling. Trade at your own risk."
10) FKLI : another losing day, but wait for next roundit is very obvious! nothing is wrong with the strategy. it is me. ok. long story short, I short fkli at 1546, SL 1552...and yes...it was stopped out...bcox market is heading for rebound...so wait for price to break abv 1570, then retraces back...see how...
be patient...wait...
PLS remember, I am not a guru and this is not a signal service provider. THIS is mere for fun.
#tradersupporttrader #FCPO #FKLI #futurestrader #cpop #malaysiatrader #bursa #BursaMalaysia
Disclaimer : "I am not a guru and I am working hard to make profit same as everyone else. This is not a recommendation of buy or sell, just a mere idea of trading and trading journal. Please consult your financial advisor for any thought of buying or selling. Trade at your own risk."
9) FCPO : slipping down further by the time I am writing this, fcpo-apr has slipped down further to 4140...fcpo has gone tru a 100pts gap down on the exchange date and another two more gaps after that. My bias, fcpo-apr is oversold! of course, my bias, not the market. I tried to long the market three times and all losers. down 40pts++. maybe I should have stopped as my plan. when it hits 10% drawdowns. now it marks somewhere to 15%. maybe I should juz short the market when it looks like falling.
fcpo needs to challenge 4280++ to reverse the trend and now it is heading to 4000.
PLS remember, I am not a guru and this is not a signal service provider. THIS is mere for fun.
#tradersupporttrader #FCPO #FKLI #futurestrader #cpop #malaysiatrader #bursa #BursaMalaysia
Disclaimer : "I am not a guru and I am working hard to make profit same as everyone else. This is not a recommendation of buy or sell, just a mere idea of trading and trading journal. Please consult your financial advisor for any thought of buying or selling. Trade at your own risk."
8) FKLI : missing trades and repeating mistakeI don't know what is the news but the market has broken way lower than my expected 1580 and are now in the next range of 1530-1550 region. I really have my own bias and I thought the market is oversold. That is the "counter-trend's bug" in my head. When I tried to short the market, there will be a voice in my head saying "it will rebound!" and making it worse is my short-selling the market was right but I put trail-stop too soon and it was hit. Making a profitable trade becoming just a breakeven trade, yet again. short fkli at 1562, then took it out at 1660, whr it hit my tp at 1552...
3 fcpo trades and all losers, well done!
so i am paying attention to fkli for rebound. fkli has to break abv 1570 to reverse the condition. Further down, market will retest 1500-1510, the low since August 2024. Probably, the same bad news, end of January 2025, BOJ might raise interest rates again...who knows?
PLS remember, I am not a guru and this is not a signal service provider. THIS is mere for fun.
#tradersupporttrader #FCPO #FKLI #futurestrader #cpop #malaysiatrader #bursa #BursaMalaysia
Disclaimer : "I am not a guru and I am working hard to make profit same as everyone else. This is not a recommendation of buy or sell, just a mere idea of trading and trading journal. Please consult your financial advisor for any thought of buying or selling. Trade at your own risk."
7) FCPO : hit 10% drawdowns. what next?my earlier prediction that fcpo might go on strong bullish action has gone bad. three trades, two losses, one breakeven. now since I have hit the 10% drawdowns, I think I need to stop trading real ones and wait till Feb. let see how it goes. haiz. maybe I should set "stop-and-reverse" straight away. tmr is the last day of fcpo-march, at least break for one day first to cool things out.
PLS remember, I am not a guru and this is not a signal service provider. THIS is mere for fun.
#tradersupporttrader #FCPO #FKLI #futurestrader #cpop #malaysiatrader #bursa #BursaMalaysia
Disclaimer : "I am not a guru and I am working hard to make profit same as everyone else. This is not a recommendation of buy or sell, just a mere idea of trading and trading journal. Please consult your financial advisor for any thought of buying or selling. Trade at your own risk."
Bullish Signals and FCPO Entry Opportunities ? MYX:FCPO1!
MYX:FCPOH2025
MYX:FCPOJ2025
The March contract and the APR25-JUL25 spread contract both closed higher on Friday, at 4,391 points and 142 points, respectively. Based on the following analysis, I believe this is an opportune moment to enter a long position:
1. Strong Performance of Chicago Soybean Oil
Chicago soybean oil experienced a significant two-day rally, with a cumulative gain of 7.8%. Although the second session had not yet closed, this substantial increase—if not a sign of a sustained bullish reversal—will likely provide short-term support for the upward movement of FCPO.
2. Reversal Signals in the Spread Contract
The MAR25-JUN25 spread contract showed early signs of a reversal on Thursday. From past experience, spread contracts often reverse ahead of outright contracts. While this pattern is not guaranteed every time, when it does occur, outright contracts typically follow suit within one or two trading days.
3. Support Observed for the March Contract
Although the March contract did not reverse on Thursday, there was clear evidence of support around the 4,250-point level, which led to a closing price of 4,295 points. This suggests that bullish sentiment is beginning to emerge in the market.
Outlook and Strategy
Based on the daily charts of the March and April contracts, there appears to be approximately 150 points of upside potential to the next resistance levels—4,550 points for March and 4,450 points for April. Additionally, Chicago soybean oil closed with a strong 7.9% gain on Friday, contributing to an impressive 14.6% weekly increase. As a result, the March FCPO is expected to open at least 50 points higher tomorrow.
From a technical perspective, it remains unclear whether the market has entered a full bullish trend. Therefore, it will be crucial to closely monitor the chart patterns of the March and April contracts. Should the weekly charts close higher next week, it would strongly confirm the establishment of a bullish trend.
6) FKLI : I screw up the last time, what is next? - as a respond to the previous no 3), YES! I am reacting too fast and miss out on a big fall. That feeling was devastating. Just entering the second weeks of new year and I made a horrible mistake by cutting the profits short. These are indeed bad, winning trades. Repeat these actions more then I will end up "retiring" early this year.
- next week, IF bear continues to "kill" the market, THEN we will probably see price moves to 1580, a critical support. This level was hit several times last year in June, NOv and Dec 2024 and it will most likely hold unless there is more bad news from the market. THEN, we will see level like 1530-1550, or 1500-1510, which was tested during the early August fall 2024.
-IF the market is to rebound, THEN first it must get above the "overhead" resistance at 1605 and
test higher level at 1610-1615.
PS : there is a myth saying that if you want to know what will happen to the bursa malaysia for the rest of the year, you must first look at the first week in January of that year. Now, the first and second week fkli ald dropped frm high at 1640 to now below 1600, so the whole year is "roasted"? haha...kidding'.
PLS remember, I am not a guru and this is not a signal service provider. THIS is mere for fun.
#tradersupporttrader #FCPO #FKLI #futurestrader #cpop #malaysiatrader #bursa #BursaMalaysia
Disclaimer : "I am not a guru and I am working hard to make profit same as everyone else. This is not a recommendation of buy or sell, just a mere idea of trading and trading journal. Please consult your financial advisor for any thought of buying or selling. Trade at your own risk."
5) FCPO : let's play predict what will happen next weeknext week, 13-15th Jan 2025, is the last week of fcpo-march. fcpo-Apr will emerge on 16th Jan 2025.
-IF the price retraces back to 4350-4375 region OR lower at 4300-4320 region before bouncing higher. This will probably end up as tug-of-war between bull and bear. THEN, it will probably end up as a sideway pattern...
-OR a better bullish action is the price will move above 4400 -4425 immediate resistance, retraces back and bounces higher as a strong bull action.
-IF the price falls below 4330, the current support, THEN the price will move lower.
PLS remember, I am not a guru and this is not a signal service provider. THIS is mere for fun.
#tradersupporttrader #FCPO #FKLI #futurestrader #cpop #malaysiatrader #bursa #BursaMalaysia
Disclaimer : "I am not a guru and I am working hard to make profit same as everyone else. This is not a recommendation of buy or sell, just a mere idea of trading and trading journal. Please consult your financial advisor for any thought of buying or selling. Trade at your own risk."