FCPO TRADING : 298) bearish divergencethis is haidojo and the number is 298 ...
today is 16th Aug 2021 and it is the first day of the new exchange date. Now the third active month for fcpo falls on fcpo-Nov21.
so, nothing excited happens tdy...the recent high of 4560 is not broken...and if you scrutinize the daily chart properly, it actually reveals that the previous high formed in mid-May 2021 at 4525 is not even broken yet.
ps : WHy? I tot u said earlier that the new high is formed at 4560...?
my own ps answering the ps : yes, but thr is no higher-high, higher close which is formed abv the 4525 in daily chart.
ps : What? What the freak does that mean?
my own ps answering the ps : That means the daily candlestick/price needs to break abv 4525 (it is already done), and closed abv 4525 (not yet)
Another discovery is that the daily RSI is showing bearish divergence. It means the price continues to go up but the RSI is going down.
For me, I need another gap down go down to confirm a reversal. OR the price sticks at that level for another few days...(or few weeks/months, yesss, it has happened b4). IF the price keeps moving up and creates a New Structure High by closing abv 4525 in daily chart, then turn to long on retracement. (that means buy when it dips, and be super careful! if u have no trading plan and no Stop Loss, pliz dun do that!)
One more thingy, I started talking to my laptop nowadays. Whenever my gf found out that, she would ask me whom I am talking to?
I normally replied, " I am talking to my pets"
she would say "...but your pets are ...hamsters. They know how to read charts now? "
I kept fighting, " Well, they don't. That's WHY I am explaining to them..."
gf "... "
I hope that is not schizophrenia in the play. Social distancing and movement control thingy is still happening here in Malaysia. I have a fren who hasn't gone out to buy anything in 2 months. ...and I just hope that I can go out for my lunch and dinner soon.
that's all for tdy ...if u are frm Malaysia, be safe, stay at home...
*plan your trade and trade your plan... gud luck*
immediate resistance : 4476-4560(the record high)
immediate support : 4330
lower support : 4187-4190
WARNING!
RISK DISCLAIMER : this is juz a trading idea...trading stocks, futures, cryptos, warrants, CFDs, spreads, options, or forex might incur a huge risk to your account/funds… DON’T LOSE MONEY THAT YOU CANNOT AFFORD …any idea(s) of trading in this episode SHALL NOT be regarded as a hint of BUYING or SELLING . It is MERELY a trading journal and it has been used for educational purpose only… trade at your own risk!
Fcpo!
Recap FCPO 13 August 20211. The major trend market structure is an uptrend.
2. Early morning session continues from previous day give us short term trade for downtrend move.
3. Once the downtrend market structure is broken, prepare to find the long entry opportunity
4. There is 2 type of entry. Risky and safe entry.
5. Risky entry when EMA14 + EMA50 still below EMA200 while price successfully break EMA200
6. Safe entry when all EMA align for uptrend movement.
Time Cycle and Gann Box for FCPOTime cycle and Gann box to predict the market movement hence easy to make the decision.
We use 15min TF as our major time frame.
Time cycle draws by choosing double top/bottom.
Gann Box draw align with the time cycle for each level.
For current market trend, its follow the current cycle time. It might be changing in the future.
FCPO TRADING : 297) to the peak againthis is haidojo and the number is 297 ...
Yesterday, another test to the peak at 4476-4525 since the July trial. This level was seen in mid-May this year. IF this level is broken and new high is created, THEN this new high is unprecedented and it has never been reached b4. This is where I call it as the "no man land" region. \
Yesterday, new level is breached at 4548, but it closed slightly lower at 4505 bcox of profit taking. This formed an "inverted hammer" in hourly candlestick pattern. Unknown to what is going to happen today, I guess we have reached the top. Why?
Yesterday, fcpo-Oct gap up 100-pts and went up another 250pts! That is one of the sign that the momentum of the bull has reached its peak. It has already given out all its strength. So, look at what will happen today (12th Aug 2021).
2nd reason is, fcpo-aug is going to expire tomoro. Next Monday, on 16th Aug 2021, new active third month fcpo-Nov will emerge.
However, for the bull supporters, it is not all gloom and doom. RSI of the hourly and daily chart are not at "overbought" region yet. SO, there is still chance to create new structure high. See how it plays out today. I need to post now or else, ppl will claim me "cheating", for seeing the results first and typed this thing later. HahA.
that's all for tdy ...if u are frm malaysia, be safe, stay at home...
*plan your trade and trade your plan... gud luck*
immediate resistance : 4476-4525(the record high)
immediate support : 4400-4300
lower support : 4187-4190
WARNING!
RISK DISCLAIMER : this is juz a trading idea...trading stocks, futures or forex might incur a huge risk to your account/funds… DON’T LOSE MONEY THAT YOU CANNOT AFFORD …any idea(s) of trading in this episode SHALL NOT be regarded as a hint of BUYING or SELLING . It is MERELY a trading journal and it has been used for educational purpose only… trade at your own risk!
How to trade FCPO intraday?Setup for Intraday :
1. Price near/ cross EMA200
2. Understand market structure either uptrend/downtrend/consolidation to be able to determine the SnR for the breakout.
3. Market trending confirmation by EMA14, EMA50, and EMA200.
4. Wait for a pullback when stochastic oversold/bought.
5. Make sure price reverse at least 3 candlesticks.
6. Entry when price pullback again :
a) At previous support
b) At EMA
c) Stochastic oversold/bought again.
7. Exit
a) Stoploss at the beginning price before breakout
b) Target profit using Fibo Extension 1.618.
FCPO TRADING : 295) uptrend still intactthis is haidojo and the number is 295 ...
after a retest of the historical high 4430-4525 which was failed at the end of July, yesterday we could see that the bull has not given up yet...
close to 170-180 pts rally up yesterday shows that bull still wants its share in the fcpo market. However, whether the uptrend momentum will continue or not is still a questionable quote. As the momentum of uptrend has a powerful swing yesterday, a few scenario might appear today. Either continuation of the momentum or the exhaustion and reverse.
that's all for tdy ...if u are frm malaysia, be safe, stay at home...
*plan your trade and trade your plan... gud luck*
higher resistance : 4476-4525(the record high)
immediate support : 4080-4190
lower support : 4050
WARNING!
RISK DISCLAIMER : this is juz a trading idea...trading stocks, futures or forex might incur a huge risk to your account/funds… DON’T LOSE MONEY THAT YOU CANNOT AFFORD …any idea(s) of trading in this episode SHALL NOT be regarded as a hint of BUYING or SELLING. It is MERELY a trading journal and it has been used for educational purpose only… trade at your own risk!
02/08/2021 FCPO ELLIOTT WAVE ANALYSISAssalamualaikum and Hi traders!
I'm still on the idea of wave 5 extension.
Quick knowledge sharing on Elliott Wave Principle.
The reference for this idea is based on EW guidelines on impulse wave.
Motive Wave Multiples
-----------------------------
(Impulse Wave Guidelines)
When wave 5 is extended, expect wave 5, in price terms, to travel 1.618 times the net distance traveled of waves 1 through 3.
Happy Trading!
03/08/2021 FCPO ELLIOTT WAVE ANALYSISAssalamualaikum and hi Traders!
As for now, there is no sign of bottom for the downward movement on yesterday session.
I'll stick with the bear for now until the end when it bends.
Retracement or a beginning of a new trend?
I don't know. Let the market decide.
Embrace the probability
Trading is a business based on probability.
Never certainty.
Happy Trading
pengiran-
FCPO Crude Palm OilBullish is trying very hard to push against its 5 & 15 min resistance. Bullish volume in the 1HR chart seems to be working too hard with a little too less, or I can say a formation of Doji. However, the price just closed above the resistance, we will be looking closely at the next candle reaction, whether the bullish is getting weaker or stronger. Here some tip, if the bearish candle goes down easily closing below its support area + with little effort in the volume, then you know that bearish is stronger than the bullish.
Again, nothing is clear now, Price is tight right now between various numbers of EMA. Waiting for the "kettle" to reach its final temperature before bursting out to the upside or downside.
If it goes up, we can see it will go up to 4300 area or even better, closing the gap.
If it goes down, I believe that it will still not going too far, probably will retest again at 4080 area, but hey, money is money.
Good Luck.
FCPO Crude Palm Oil FuturesMy view on FCPO;
1) Price is to rally higher to the next Resistance level
2) Price is expecting to do a bullish reversal at the 0.5 fibo level which also respecting the previous resistance turn support level
Will enter into a position when price reaching 0.5 fibo and make a higher high. Targetting 170 to 175 ticks.