FCPO. COMPLEX CORRECTIONKey level = 2038
Updated wave interpretation based on market fact; it seems like wave ((2)) is developing into a complex correction. Our first assumption for this complex wave ((2)) is a double three correction pattern. Looking for wave ((2)) termination in the near future. Our key level must hold for this wave analysis.
Fcpo
FCPO. TRADING PSYCHOLOGYKey level = 2139
Critical level = 2095
Yesterday price open with down gap and tested our key level @ 2139. Price re-bounce just 1 tick above our key level. We are still with the idea of wave ((3)) as long as our critical level of 2095 hold. Breaking below our key level 2139 will trigger alternate count that still valid for wave ((3)) development.
**((x)) denote wave label in circle.
FCPO. HIGHERKey level = 2139
Critical level = 2095
Expectation: Still with the idea of wave (3) of ((3)) in play, downward movement today we see as a corrective pullback marked as wave 2. Looking at a lower timeframe, we label the sub structure as a motive wave with an extended wave 5. Key level 2139 must hold for this wave analysis.
Reality: Let the market decide.
Hanya Allah yang memberi.
Happy trading.
FCPO. WE GOT AN IMPULSIVE MOVEMENT!Key level = 2184
Critical level = 2095
Expectation: Working on the idea of wave (3) of ((3)) for FCPO market, we are hoping to see price rally toward 2235-2260 area to complete the first sequence of motive wave before entering corrective pullback.
As for now, on one significant timeframe lower, we can only see a three-structure development.
By using the Elliott Wave Rule # 3, “WAVE 4 CAN NEVER ENTER THE PRICE TERRITORY OF WAVE 1 AND 2” , our key level is set at 2184 for the sub-wave development.
Reality: Let the market decide.
Hanya Allah yang memberi.
Happy trading.
FCPO. WAVE (2) BOTTOMED?Key level = 2193
Critical level = 2095
A very sharp movement today on afternoon trading session toward 2177 area is a good sign that wave (2) already in place. Looking for an impulsive 5 structure movement toward 2235-2260 area to strengthen the idea that wave (3) is unfold. If wave (3) already started, price has no business under 2193 area.
By following Elliott Wave rule #1 “Wave 2 cannot retrace more than 100% of wave 1”, our key level for this analysis is at 2193 and critical level is set at 2095. Key level must hold for this intermediate wave forecast and critical level must hold for a higher degree validity.
Breaking below critical level @ 2095 will cancel this wave analysis.
Brace yourself and keep focus, wave 3 is coming!
Let’s hope for the best!. Hanya Allah yang memberi.
Happy trading.
FCPO. WAITING FOR WAVE (2) BOTTOMED.Key level = 2095
Yesterday price movement breaking below 2147 clearly telling us that wave (2) still not in place yet.
Working on one wave at a time, I’m going to wait and see the development for this downward movement and adjust my plan accordingly to the market tune.
Happy trading
FCPO. WAVE 2 RETRACEMENT.Key level = 2095
Price already reach target retracement area 50-61.8%.
In my own personal opinion, there is still some room left for wave (2) retracement. Waiting for a clear evidence before too see if wave (2) have bottomed.
Key level must hold for this wave idea.
Let's see what the market will offer us.
Happy Trading
Want What The Market Want.
FCPO WAVE 2 CORRECTION PROGRESSKey Level = 1940
From our previous analysis:
“Expecting a 3-structure movement in corrective fashion to complete correction wave (ii)
from my personal opinion, I would like to see the end of wave (ii) at the area of 2093 – 2026”
Wave (ii) unfold into zig-zag pattern and we can see a clear 5-structure movement for wave C toward our target area.
With the idea of diagonal triangle wave (5) to end wave C and (ii), there are still left some room for throw-over below 2100 area. Expecting a sharp movement toward 2217 if everything goes according to plan.
Our key level is set at 1940, which is the starting point of wave 1 and as per Elliott rules “Wave 2 never retrace more than 100% of wave 1”. This wave analysis remains valid as long as our key level hold.
Let’s see what the market will offer us this week.
Happy Trading.
4 MARCH 2019: FCPO Daily Chart AnalysisFCPO Daily Chart
Key Level : 2344, 1940
Price rising from 1940 - 2344 in motive 5 wave structure add support to the idea of wave C of E in weekly chart triangle is completed
(Scenario #1)
Expecting a 3 structure movement in corrective fashion to complete correction wave (ii)
from my personal opinion, i would like to see the end of wave (ii) at the area of 2093 - 2026
(Scenario #2)
Most probably wave (ii) is already in place if price move upward and break above 2344 key level
Lets see what the market will offer us today
Happy trading
FCPO: Hourly EW Count - Dec 12th 2018Recent bullish momentum was short lived after FCPO failed to break the 2055 - 2060 zone. As of now, FCPO seems to trade within a contracting triangle. Our primary projection of an expanded triangle looks bleak, but valid nonetheless. With no fundamental element to entice market to climb higher, the last bullish leg (wave c of (e)) of the expanding triangle is likely to develop under the pretext of contract roll over. It holds true, if and only if, FCPO is traded until the end of this week within the range, bound by the upper and lower lines of the converging triangle.
That being said, it is essentially important to note that a symmetrical contracting triangle is a continuation pattern, so a strong bearish momentum can fully develop right off the bat.
We will take a closer look at the following area as market unfolds.
1965 - 1970
#analysis #12Dec18
FCPO: Hourly EW Count - Nov 30th 2018An expanding triangle is anticipated. Price needs to travel beyond the 2078 price level to ascertain triangle formation. Wave c of (e) is likely to terminate between 2110 - 2125. Any strong violation of EW invalidation level @ 2137 could suggest the next major downtrend may be limited to a certain extent.
Market is then expected to embark on another (probably final) journey further down south.
With the burgeoning stockpile and lack of demand, it is interesting to see how market reacts at the weekly demand zone between 1863 - 1943. #analysis #30Nov18