Palm Oil Prices Back to the Range of 4700-5200 Again?Palm oil prices closed higher and back to the range of 4700-5200.
Several Factors that make the palm oil prices back to the range of 4700-5200 as below:
1. Weakness in soybean oil after US raised proposal to scale back biofuel blending mandates
2. Shortage of Workers due to coronavirus pandemic & higher cost of recruitment as palm oil producers make changes in response to accusations of forced labour
3. Record high fertilizer prices
4. MPOB showed higher inventories offset by lower production and higher exports
Technical view:
1. Doji formed after range trading between 4724-4949- signal market struggle for new direction
2. Harami indicates reversal signal
3. Stochastic level= remain bearish signs
Suggestion Trade:
Buying at support 4700; Stop Loss 4600; Target Profit 4950-5000
Selling at resistance 5000; Stop Loss 5200; Target Profit 4750-4800
Disclaimer: Trading Carries Risks.
Happy Trading!! Cheers.
** DISCLAIMER: FOR INFO ONLY. TRADING CARRIES RISK **
Fcpo
FCPO TRADING : 311) downtrend and review of the previous gartleythis is haidojo and the number is 311 ...
Today is 2nd Dec 2021 and fcpo-Feb22 is still the active third month. After bouncing on and off within the range till 19th Nov 21, the price has descended gradually by showing lower and lower highs. The new low was at 4636 yesterday and this was a lower-low than the previous one (4709). So, we have a continuation of downtrend.
As for the bearish gartley pattern in the precious episode, it missed the entry 5070 by juz 1 point, rollover frm 5069 and fell all the way to form lower-highs and lower-lows. It hits 1st tp at 4850 multiple times and 2nd tp at 4755 on 29th nov 2021. Next supports are at 4560-4480. Now, the price is hanging loosely ranging frm 4660-4680, slightly lower than the formation of leg A at 4708. Next resistance level to watch are 4755, and 4850.
*plan your trade and trade your plan... gud luck*
resistance : 4755, 4850
support : 4560, 4480
WARNING!
RISK DISCLAIMER : this is juz a trading idea...trading stocks, futures , cryptos, warrants, CFDs, spreads, options or forex might incur a huge risk to your account/funds… DON’T LOSE MONEY THAT YOU CANNOT AFFORD …any idea(s) of trading in this episode SHALL NOT be regarded as a hint of BUYING or SELLING . It is MERELY a trading journal and it has been used for educational purpose only… trade at your own risk!
Palm Oil Breaking Ranging level 4700-5220?Palm Oil market has been ranging for the past few weeks:
Reasons behind as below:
1. Rising in new COVID-19 cases in Europe (- export demand= price drop)
2. Weakness in Crude Oil and Soybean Oil (- demand= price drop)
3. Weather concerns (- supply = price up)
4. Labor shortage (- supply = price up)
5. RM weakening (+ demand = price up)
Technical View:
1. Strong resistance level at 5000
2. Stochastic at Overbought level, K% & D% line cross down (Sell sign)
Suggestion Trade:
Short
Stop Loss (Resistance level) 5220
Target Profit (Support level) 4650, 4500, 4385-4400
Happy Trading!! Cheers.
** DISCLAIMER: FOR INFO ONLY. TRADING CARRIES RISK
When will FCPO STOP Ranging 4750-5220?Palm oil markets has been ranging between 4750-5220 since Oct 2021, topics remained hot within the palm oil industry including
1. labor force shortage,
2. global supply and demand concerns amid resurgence in COVID-19 cases especially in Europe.
Uncertainty in
3. related edible oil due to weather concerns and
4. OPEC+ decisions to maintains its output
which continued to serve support in palm oil industry.
Furthermore,
5. dollar strengthened helped to made palm oil prices more attractive compare to other vegetables oils.
Palm oil market likely to continue maintain its ranging until weightage in issues mentioned above showed unbalance.
Trading Strategies remained neutral, or you may initiate ranging trading strategies.
Long when near support 4750-4850
Short when near resistance 5100- 5220
Good Luck & Happy Trading.
Cheers
FCPO TRADING : 308) a possible bearish gartley pattern this is haidojo and the number is 308 ...
Today is 18th Nov 2021 and fcpo-Feb22 is the active third month now. After bracketing the market, you probably find that the market price has broken below the perceived support level (4850) and reached a new low at 4709. Then, we got a problem. It is still between the bull and bear territory. The 2 monsters are having a tug-of-war and the market price refused to fall. Then it is the sideway market then. This is an absolute disadvantage to me.
As the saying goes, "consolidation breeds advanced patterns". SO, here we are now, with a possible bearish gartley pattern. Before the price could advance back into the selling zone of 5070-5085, SL can be make 10-20pts abv that, there is a wall of barrier that might kill the beast before it is reaching for the target. The resistance zone from 4970-5040. This trade if valid is very fruitful as the 1st tp could be seen at 4850 and 2nd tp at 4750. Advanced patterns traders could look out for this.
*plan your trade and trade your plan... gud luck*
bearish gartley resistance : 5070-5085 (kill zone)
resistance : 4970-5040
support : 4750-4850 (bull validity is here)
WARNING!
RISK DISCLAIMER : this is juz a trading idea...trading stocks, futures , cryptos, warrants, CFDs, spreads, options or forex might incur a huge risk to your account/funds… DON’T LOSE MONEY THAT YOU CANNOT AFFORD …any idea(s) of trading in this episode SHALL NOT be regarded as a hint of BUYING or SELLING . It is MERELY a trading journal and it has been used for educational purpose only… trade at your own risk!
Palm Oil Marching towards 5220 ???Palm oil bounced as bargain buying and persistent sentiment of tight supply moving into Nov and Dec.
Technical Views:
1. CPO prices landed at support level of 4500 and bounce
2. Uptrend Line Well holding
3. Stochastic maintain uptrend signal
In short, maintain ranging to uptrend view in coming week.
immediate support level 4500
immediate resistance level 5220
if unable to break resistance level, double top may form and led to another selling trend.
Good Luck and Happy Trading~
Cheers
FCPO TRADING : 306) bracketing the market and potential reversethis is haidojo and the number is 306 ...
Today is 8th Nov 2021 and fcpo-Jan22 is going to expire next week. Nov is a bit tricky with last Friday when suddenly fcpo-Jan22 gap down close to 100pts and went down...If you are holding long positions, then thr is really not much u can do...cutting loss is the most logical thing to do btw...
As for the previous trading day, we could see a false breakout formed on thursday and a huge gap down on friday...it is not looking gud for the bull but the resistance is still at 5040 while the support is at 4844 - 4750...IF the price moves abv the 5040 level, THEN we can look for long on the bullish ride. IF the price moves lower than the 4750, THEN we could short on the bear grip. what IF the price locks somewhere in between?
for me, I shall do absolutely nothg...well, that's my plan...bcox market is moving sideway...sideway is no gud for me...
ok, folks. that's all for tdy...I try to update more often but really, duty calls...and it sucks...
*plan your trade and trade your plan... gud luck*
resistance : 5040-5220
support : 4750-4840 (bull validity is here)
WARNING!
RISK DISCLAIMER : this is juz a trading idea...trading stocks, futures, cryptos, warrants, CFDs, spreads, options or forex might incur a huge risk to your account/funds… DON’T LOSE MONEY THAT YOU CANNOT AFFORD …any idea(s) of trading in this episode SHALL NOT be regarded as a hint of BUYING or SELLING . It is MERELY a trading journal and it has been used for educational purpose only… trade at your own risk!
FCPO Another Re-accumulation towards RM5480Happy Deepavali to all Hindu fellows...
This is UCL Posting :D
1. The last accumulation hit our conservative TP and currently making a new re-accumulation phase with a triangle pattern.
2. If the price can close above 5090 there is a chance the price will continue the uptrend
3. or else possible downwards movement to form spring formation.
4. Notice massive selling volume on 2 Nov might indicate seller close all their position to enter buy.
5. Price do make higher high.
FCPO Weekly View: maintain ranging between 4750-5250Palm oil prices remains at 5,000 last week. As market remained concerns over low production and inventories due to labor shortage. However, reducing in export demand capped gains.
Market likely to move within the range of 4750-5250 in near term, until market break from the price range and sustain above 5250 or below 4750, then follow by new direction.
While Stochastic shows signs of uptrend reversed, as well as a shooting star candle formed at the resistance threshold at 5300.
High Prices Capped Upside, Lower Stock Limited Downside FCPOPalm oil prices remained strong due to rising in export demand while labor shortage, lower productions and inventories issues remained.
Palm oil market major trend remained UP.
However, near term likely to move within the range of 4950 (support) -5250 (resistance).
Strategies to apply:
Long when near Support level
Short when near Resistance level
With smallest stop loss apply until market break the ranging box.
FCPO 18 Oct 2021 : Re-entry EMA14 & Bullish pennant1. Setup : EMA14>EMA50 = Uptrend
2. Signal: Re-test EMA14
3. Confirmation : 5min bullish engulfing + Bullish pennant pattern
4. Entry : at the low side of pennant triangle
5. SL : 10 tick below signal CS
6. TP : fibo extension 100% / until reversal CS
Price near resistance but not retest yet the highest level.
Risky setup possible price go down.
FCPO 14 Oct 2021 : Break EMA50 and price sideway1. Yesterday price able to make a new ATH with a valid breakout
Trading Plan :
1. Setup : Price cross EMA50 indicates price might be downtrend or sideway.
2. Signal : Rejection @ 15min
3. Confirmation: Bullish engulfing
4. Entry: 50% of bullish engulfing
6. SL: 10tick below recent rejection
7. TP is subjective
FCPO JAN2022 Contract outlookAs we generally know that CPO products usually have a bullish trend towards the end of the year due to short supply for any reason.
Therefore, if the price is still in bullish momentum, there are multiple possibilities.
New contract price range (FCPOF2022)
Possibilities :
1)If the uptrend is still strong, the JAN2022 contract will try to break higher and close beyond the trendline.
2)If today's price is still sideways, we are looking for a possible fake breakout/rejection for an uptrend.
3)If price valid breakout support, possible downtrend or retracement
FCPO TRADING : 304) RM5k here we come! this is haidojo and the number is 304 ...
Today is 13th Oct 2021 and fcpo-dec21 is going to expire in 2 days or less. October has been blessed with the continuation of aggressive bull which resumes the rally frm last month. Still, the momentum of the long-run bull persists and there is no sign of slowing down. If you are trading some kinda trend-following/continuation trades, this could be your month.
As for today, the fcpo-dec has broken abv and closed abv RM5k. A historical benchmark and also an important milestone in the history of the fcpo price. So how far it could go? that is a million dollar question. U can projectile it using whatever indicator/method you like, but my conclusion is simple. I shall continue trading "long" as long as it is an uptrend. IF it reverses, THEN stick to the downtrend. Follow the trend. As simple as that. IF it consolidates, THEN it is not gud for me. haha. I dun have strategy for sideway yet. There is idea, but not yet tested.
One more precaution we might want to take heed is the tide might change after the exchange date of 16th Oct 21- which will fall upon us in no less than 3 days. SO, till then...stick to "long on retracement", with effective stop-loss. THEN wait for the new trend OR continuation of uptrend on 28th Oct 21 with new active third month, fcpo-Jan 22.
*plan your trade and trade your plan... gud luck*
resistance : 5040-???
support : 4930-4980
critical support : 4753-4820 (bull is valid till here)
WARNING!
RISK DISCLAIMER : this is juz a trading idea...trading stocks, futures , cryptos, warrants, CFDs, spreads, options or forex might incur a huge risk to your account/funds… DON’T LOSE MONEY THAT YOU CANNOT AFFORD …any idea(s) of trading in this episode SHALL NOT be regarded as a hint of BUYING or SELLING . It is MERELY a trading journal and it has been used for educational purpose only… trade at your own risk!