FCPO1!
FCPO 23 Feb 2023 : Reaccumulate or Distribution?Yesterday :
1. As expected, price test nearest resistance before going down to test EMA50 30min.
2. Night session price back up again and we notice the volume is diminishing.
3. Notice BCX and AR before ST forming last night's session.
4. Trading in range before UT/UTAD or Spring appears.
5min :
1. MS : sideway structure
2. EMA : EMA12 above EMA50 = uptrend
3. Price above EMA50 = uptrend
4. MACD : Bearish divergence = Good tools to trade in the range.
FCPO 22 Feb 2023 : Gap up and UT?1. Yesterday price failed multiple times to break 236 fibo level. However price to able to reach down to 786 fibo level. Buyer and seller are still strong. We can expect price sideway.
2. 15min TF, price already breach EMA50. 30min TF, price still not test EMA50. We expect the price will test it sooner.
3. Channel uptrend is still holding up. Mid channel tested but not cross to the lower track.
4. Market structure: Yesterday's price played in the range. The uptrend is still valid unless the price breakdown and sustains below 4100.
5min :
1. MS : Sideway
2. EMA : Last night EMA12 crosses up EMA50
3. Price to EMA : Not respect either one of EMA = Sideway
What is trading plan today?
1. Gap up, price sustain above trading range = BUY
2. Gap up, price backdown into the trading range = SELL trading range
FCPO 21 Feb 2023 : Reaccumulate/Distribution?1. So far price still uptrend movement in the channel.
2. Price still test EMA50 15min.
Expect sideway movement to form reaccumulation or distribution pattern.
5min :
1. Price breakdown EMA50 multiple times but back up again = Strong buyer still have upperhand
2. EMA12 still above EMA50 = uptrend
FCPO 17 Feb 2023 : Continue uptrend or consolidate?Yesterday :
1. SnR : Price sustain above the RbS level.
2. Channel : Price respect uptrend channel
3. MS : Price make uptrend structure
Planning for Today?
1. SnR : Price may test nearest supply level around 4100~4120
2. Market Structure: For now BUY MS is still intact. Monitor if the price breach MS.
3. EMA: Price still not tested EMA50. Today's price may be consolidated to test EMA50
4. MACD : We see a possible bearish divergence. But it can be retracement only unless the price breakdown buy MS.
FCPO 16 Feb 2023 : High Demand?Yesterday :
1. Price able to break down uptrend channel. However, the support area is still holding up.
2. Maybe the price did reaccumulate again before the gap-up today.
Today :
1. Price gap up due to high demand following SBO demand.
2. Price so far sustain above the supply zone.
3. Price still not yet at the immediate resistance level. If breaks above, possible to reach the next resistance level around 4100.
5min :
1. SnR: Price break previous resistance level and sustain above it
2. Market structure: The morning session price is able to make an uptrend structure.
3. EMA12 is above EMA50 : Uptrend
4. Price respect EMA12: Uptrend. This is an entry opportunity today.
If price breakdown MS, the possible larger pullback to close gap. Monitor if price able to break EMA50
FCPO 15 Feb 2023 : Uptrend continuation?1. Price reject mid-channel and retest lower channel. If the channel is still intact, high chance to continue the uptrend.
2. Market structure: Buy market structure is still intact unless the price breaks the 3906 level.
3. Price still plays around supply zone
4. Price reject EMA50 at 30min TF.
New contract
15min :
5min :
Price in sideway mode but uptrend still intact
FCPO 14 Feb 2023 : Price breach downtrend channel?1. Channel/Trendline: Yesterday price retest and reject mid-channel before going up to test the upper channel. This indicates strong buyers in the market because not allow prices to go lower channel.
2. SnR: Price plays in the support zone area and is still not decided yet on the direction.
3. Fibo: Price rejects 236 fibo level indicates sideway market still in play. The price might go lower to the 786 level if not able to breach and sustain above the 236 level.
4. MACD: There is no interesting divergence yet. We only see green divergence indicating uptrend movement in play.
FCPO 13 Feb 2023 : Sideway/Continue downtrend30min view :
1. SnR: Price rejected the test support area and try to cross the resistance area. However not sustain above the zone.
2. Channel/TL: Price overshoot the TL but is not sustainable to go further.
3. MACD: still not shows an indication of bullish divergence even though green MACD already happening.
5min view in the comment
FCPO 10 Feb 2023 : Bearish divergence in progress?1. SnR: Price not able to sustain above resistance zone 3994. This indicates a strong seller
2. Channel/Trendline: Price break up trendline - Indicate sideway/change direction.
3. Oscillator: MACD from yesterday shows a bearish divergence
Expectation :
1. Price will continue bearish momentum until at least close the previous gap.
Trading plan as usual :
1. In Early morning, monitor the nearest possible SnR
2. Monitor EMA12 1min TF for entry
FCPO 9 Feb 2023 : Bearish Divergence?30min TF :
1. Price break resistance and test supply zone and push back below the resistance.
2. Price break uptrend channel. Indicate SW for 30min or change the trend.
3. MACD shows bearish divergence.
If the price goes for bearish divergence, possible to close the gap and target to be around 3860.
5min TF :
1. Price crosses EMA50 : Sideway/Change trend
2. EMA12 crosses below EMA50 : Downtrend.
Expect price sideway before continue direction.
FCPO TRADING : 333) bracketing market (II)this is haidojo and the number is 333...
"why reality in trading is much harder than those you see in advertisements? ".
"Those ads which showed you it is very simple. JUz try these 3 simple steps and u can make millions."
"made your setup, went shopping, then when u came home, you ald made some profits."
"...and dun forget those who showed you lamboghini, bikinis, lavish life-styles or traveling around the world with juz internet connections and your device to connect to internet".
"Well, the answer is simple."
"They forget to tell u that there are drawdowns. They forget to tell u that part of the trades are losers. Sometimes, market doesn't behave like what u expect it to. Actually, market always does whatever it wants whenever it wants."\
SO, back to reality. In August, fcpo-OCt/nov hit the highest point on 12th Aug. When everything seemed like it was going to move higher, then it reversed and went down. The "orange" circle that u see was a false breakout. After that, we had several attempts to retest 4330 resistance but it failed and rollover all the way down. Till now. Today is 9th Sept 2022 and we anticipate the price to break lower to the downside, exiting below 3500 and testing 3350-3300...and of course, see if market got throw tantrums and behaves oddly. Fingers cross.
**plan your trade and trade your plan... gud luck**
resistance : 4180-4340
current support : 3500-3600
WARNING!
RISK DISCLAIMER : this is juz a trading idea...trading stocks, futures , cryptos, warrants, CFDs, spreads, options or forex might incur a huge risk to your account/funds… DON’T LOSE MONEY THAT YOU CANNOT AFFORD …any idea(s) of trading in this episode SHALL NOT be regarded as a hint of BUYING or SELLING. It is MERELY a trading journal and it has been used for educational purpose only… this is not a signal service channel and DON'T TREAT IT LIKE ONE!
TRADE AT YOUR OWN RISK!
FCPO - Bearish flag pattern breakoutComment :
1) FCPO is forming a bearish flag pattern in a downtrend since the peak in May 2022. This pattern is expecting a further movement down at the end of the flag.
2) The condition of a bearish flag including associate with descending trading volume during flag is forming. Eventually, FCPO has breakout below the low of the lower channel on 1st Sept.
Support & Resistance:
R : Resistance A
S : Supporting B & 2125
DISCLAIMER :
Analysis above SOLELY for case study purpose, not a PROFESSIONAL ADVISE. This analysis does not provide any trading advise and buy or sell. Trade at your own risk. Trade only after you have acknowledged and accepted the risks involved.
Direction of FCPO #5As you guys can see, it is what we predict from previous our chart analysis. It is following the direction that I have been showed. So now lets see either the market can rebound and go up towards the strong resistance ( yellow box ) or it will continue downwards. Besides that, do not neglect that we can see there is a form of pattern have shown which is Head And Shoulder ( HNS ), same goes to this concept, have to break the neckline, and then we can make decision where is the direction of the market. We will see tomorrow to see what market brings to us.
FCPO TRADING : 330) bracketing market this is haidojo and the number is 330...
First half of July month, it was a downtrend. Frm the low of 3500, it rebounded to the 1st high at 4080, then another round of selling to hit 3636-3700, another rebound came and hit higher at 4310 at the end of JUly, which is exactly the same high as the previous high at 4300...now, we wait for breakout of either side to confirm the trend...IF it breaks abv the high of 4300 and creates higher-high, THEN new uptrend has emerged. IF it falls below the current support of 3600-3700, THEN the price will fall further and recent rebound is a false alarm.
**plan your trade and trade your plan... gud luck**
resistance : 4240-4340
current support : 3500-3600
WARNING!
RISK DISCLAIMER : this is juz a trading idea...trading stocks, futures , cryptos, warrants, CFDs, spreads, options or forex might incur a huge risk to your account/funds… DON’T LOSE MONEY THAT YOU CANNOT AFFORD …any idea(s) of trading in this episode SHALL NOT be regarded as a hint of BUYING or SELLING. It is MERELY a trading journal and it has been used for educational purpose only …this is not a signal service channel and DON'T TREAT IT LIKE ONE!
TRADE AT YOUR OWN RISK!