FCPO 20 August 2021 : Rising Wedges1. Yesterday's price was able to break previous support.
2. Currently price will trade in the range. Testing previous SbR.
3. Rising wedge pattern indicates bearish continuation.
Fcpodaily
FCPO 18 August 202115min chart price break previous day low indicates a downtrend.
New day price is open inside the range.
FCPO (Nov 21 Contract)My view for Crude Palm oil as follows.
1) Price will make a decline towards $4336 to $4330 area, making a new support area.
2) Price shall then make a rally and heads to $4500 area (plus minus ish)
3) before making a big drop to $4000 area
In conclusion, will look to make a quick 45ticks by shorting. After the 1st session break, i will look for a long opportunity. If there is no buying pressure, then my we will look for other opportunity.
Good luck kawan!
FCPO Identify Fake Breakout and How to Trade it?When the price is near the SnR it is where get it will get tricky...either the price want to continue the trend or reverse?
The false breakout strategy :
1. Timeframe 15min
2. Identify strong valid SnR
3. Draw the zone by pick the wick and the neck.
4. If price breakout and 2nd CS close inside the zone, it is a false breakout and entry position after 2nd CS close.
5. TP for the false breakout can be the opposite SnR.
Valid breakout strategy: Trend continuation
1. Use 15min and 1min chart for confirmation.
FCPO 16 August 2021New contract..
Price seems like trade in the range.
Approaching Gann box cycle level 1.0.
Lets see if price able to break above resistance.
Recap FCPO 13 August 20211. The major trend market structure is an uptrend.
2. Early morning session continues from previous day give us short term trade for downtrend move.
3. Once the downtrend market structure is broken, prepare to find the long entry opportunity
4. There is 2 type of entry. Risky and safe entry.
5. Risky entry when EMA14 + EMA50 still below EMA200 while price successfully break EMA200
6. Safe entry when all EMA align for uptrend movement.
Time Cycle and Gann Box for FCPOTime cycle and Gann box to predict the market movement hence easy to make the decision.
We use 15min TF as our major time frame.
Time cycle draws by choosing double top/bottom.
Gann Box draw align with the time cycle for each level.
For current market trend, its follow the current cycle time. It might be changing in the future.
How to trade FCPO intraday?Setup for Intraday :
1. Price near/ cross EMA200
2. Understand market structure either uptrend/downtrend/consolidation to be able to determine the SnR for the breakout.
3. Market trending confirmation by EMA14, EMA50, and EMA200.
4. Wait for a pullback when stochastic oversold/bought.
5. Make sure price reverse at least 3 candlesticks.
6. Entry when price pullback again :
a) At previous support
b) At EMA
c) Stochastic oversold/bought again.
7. Exit
a) Stoploss at the beginning price before breakout
b) Target profit using Fibo Extension 1.618.
FCPO Crude Palm OilBullish is trying very hard to push against its 5 & 15 min resistance. Bullish volume in the 1HR chart seems to be working too hard with a little too less, or I can say a formation of Doji. However, the price just closed above the resistance, we will be looking closely at the next candle reaction, whether the bullish is getting weaker or stronger. Here some tip, if the bearish candle goes down easily closing below its support area + with little effort in the volume, then you know that bearish is stronger than the bullish.
Again, nothing is clear now, Price is tight right now between various numbers of EMA. Waiting for the "kettle" to reach its final temperature before bursting out to the upside or downside.
If it goes up, we can see it will go up to 4300 area or even better, closing the gap.
If it goes down, I believe that it will still not going too far, probably will retest again at 4080 area, but hey, money is money.
Good Luck.
May17: FCPO (Daily) - Bulls Likely Take a Breather...🐮📉CPO: Weekly & Daily Up-Channel top reached last week. 🚀✅
Coupled with slight momentum weakness on Hourly, suggesting an overdue retracement might finally take place.
In case of continued bullish momentum, mainly driven by macro reasons, look to R1: ~4.6k, R2: ~4.8k
Else, price may find support at S1, prev ATH, or UTL1.
❇️April11 Long Call hit R1, next will be R2...
❇️Midterm Bull Cycle: Strong Breakout from R2 marked below from Sept2020...
Happy Hunting! Stay Safe! ⭐️
-JK-
Feb18: FCPO (1D) - Sideways-Up btw 3.5-3.8k before breakout 📈🐮Sideways-Up bias before the eventual Longterm upside breakout to 4k & beyond, commodities are seeing across-the-board rise on hyper-inflationary risk, thanks to massive money printing.
CPO price bounced off major S @ ~3200, subsequently reach R1-R3 upside mentioned in previous post.
Expect further consolidation near wide range top (3500-3800) region, potential retest UTL, before the expected major breakout to 4k & beyond.
🔔Overhead Resistance: 3.6-3.7k, 3.8k
🔔Support Zone: 3.5k, 3.4k
❇️ All R reached on bounce off range low (check out post link below)
❇️❇️ Major Breakout in progress on Longterm chart, link below
Happy Hunting! 🥂🚀
-jk-
Dec02: FCPO (1D) - Bullish Flag Target Pointing to 3.6-3.7k 🐮CPO price consolidated past 1-2weeks, forming a nice launchpad towards higher price levels -- Bullish Flag pattern. 🚀🚀
Price still running in a mid-term up-channel, with an upside target zone: 3.5-3.6k & 3.7k ; similar to which suggested by the flag.
🔔 Overhead Resistance: 3.4k, 3.5k, 3.6k, 3.7-3.8k
❇️Prev idea still largely intact, only now with added bullishness from potential flag formation.
❇️❇️Longterm Outlook: R1 standing, Heading to R2
In long position for cpo, likely to be my closing trade for yr2020 local futures~ 😎⭐️
Happy Hunting! 🥂🚀
-jk-
