FCPO WEEK 4 2025: SHORT.Price moved to the targeted level as expected even though it took a while to reached it. As of last week, bearish is still in control. Price is expected to make a retracement to fill up the gap and then continue lower to the first TP (TP1) before eventually reached TP2.
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Fcpotrader
11) fcpo : play predict the market againinstead of super huge 4280 yesterday, I shall focus on what is happening now. price will fluctuate between 4170 -4200 and move higher to retest 4280 IF it is a real rebound.
...fcpo is a fast moving market, so before u know, it is ald testing higher and higher price at like 4400 and 4530...
IF it is not a real rebound, THEN u will see price descend lower to 4100 and 4000
PLS remember, I am not a guru and this is not a signal service provider. THIS is mere for fun.
#tradersupporttrader #FCPO #FKLI #futurestrader #cpop #malaysiatrader #bursa #BursaMalaysia
Disclaimer : "I am not a guru and I am working hard to make profit same as everyone else. This is not a recommendation of buy or sell, just a mere idea of trading and trading journal. Please consult your financial advisor for any thought of buying or selling. Trade at your own risk."
10) FKLI : another losing day, but wait for next roundit is very obvious! nothing is wrong with the strategy. it is me. ok. long story short, I short fkli at 1546, SL 1552...and yes...it was stopped out...bcox market is heading for rebound...so wait for price to break abv 1570, then retraces back...see how...
be patient...wait...
PLS remember, I am not a guru and this is not a signal service provider. THIS is mere for fun.
#tradersupporttrader #FCPO #FKLI #futurestrader #cpop #malaysiatrader #bursa #BursaMalaysia
Disclaimer : "I am not a guru and I am working hard to make profit same as everyone else. This is not a recommendation of buy or sell, just a mere idea of trading and trading journal. Please consult your financial advisor for any thought of buying or selling. Trade at your own risk."
9) FCPO : slipping down further by the time I am writing this, fcpo-apr has slipped down further to 4140...fcpo has gone tru a 100pts gap down on the exchange date and another two more gaps after that. My bias, fcpo-apr is oversold! of course, my bias, not the market. I tried to long the market three times and all losers. down 40pts++. maybe I should have stopped as my plan. when it hits 10% drawdowns. now it marks somewhere to 15%. maybe I should juz short the market when it looks like falling.
fcpo needs to challenge 4280++ to reverse the trend and now it is heading to 4000.
PLS remember, I am not a guru and this is not a signal service provider. THIS is mere for fun.
#tradersupporttrader #FCPO #FKLI #futurestrader #cpop #malaysiatrader #bursa #BursaMalaysia
Disclaimer : "I am not a guru and I am working hard to make profit same as everyone else. This is not a recommendation of buy or sell, just a mere idea of trading and trading journal. Please consult your financial advisor for any thought of buying or selling. Trade at your own risk."
8) FKLI : missing trades and repeating mistakeI don't know what is the news but the market has broken way lower than my expected 1580 and are now in the next range of 1530-1550 region. I really have my own bias and I thought the market is oversold. That is the "counter-trend's bug" in my head. When I tried to short the market, there will be a voice in my head saying "it will rebound!" and making it worse is my short-selling the market was right but I put trail-stop too soon and it was hit. Making a profitable trade becoming just a breakeven trade, yet again. short fkli at 1562, then took it out at 1660, whr it hit my tp at 1552...
3 fcpo trades and all losers, well done!
so i am paying attention to fkli for rebound. fkli has to break abv 1570 to reverse the condition. Further down, market will retest 1500-1510, the low since August 2024. Probably, the same bad news, end of January 2025, BOJ might raise interest rates again...who knows?
PLS remember, I am not a guru and this is not a signal service provider. THIS is mere for fun.
#tradersupporttrader #FCPO #FKLI #futurestrader #cpop #malaysiatrader #bursa #BursaMalaysia
Disclaimer : "I am not a guru and I am working hard to make profit same as everyone else. This is not a recommendation of buy or sell, just a mere idea of trading and trading journal. Please consult your financial advisor for any thought of buying or selling. Trade at your own risk."
7) FCPO : hit 10% drawdowns. what next?my earlier prediction that fcpo might go on strong bullish action has gone bad. three trades, two losses, one breakeven. now since I have hit the 10% drawdowns, I think I need to stop trading real ones and wait till Feb. let see how it goes. haiz. maybe I should set "stop-and-reverse" straight away. tmr is the last day of fcpo-march, at least break for one day first to cool things out.
PLS remember, I am not a guru and this is not a signal service provider. THIS is mere for fun.
#tradersupporttrader #FCPO #FKLI #futurestrader #cpop #malaysiatrader #bursa #BursaMalaysia
Disclaimer : "I am not a guru and I am working hard to make profit same as everyone else. This is not a recommendation of buy or sell, just a mere idea of trading and trading journal. Please consult your financial advisor for any thought of buying or selling. Trade at your own risk."
6) FKLI : I screw up the last time, what is next? - as a respond to the previous no 3), YES! I am reacting too fast and miss out on a big fall. That feeling was devastating. Just entering the second weeks of new year and I made a horrible mistake by cutting the profits short. These are indeed bad, winning trades. Repeat these actions more then I will end up "retiring" early this year.
- next week, IF bear continues to "kill" the market, THEN we will probably see price moves to 1580, a critical support. This level was hit several times last year in June, NOv and Dec 2024 and it will most likely hold unless there is more bad news from the market. THEN, we will see level like 1530-1550, or 1500-1510, which was tested during the early August fall 2024.
-IF the market is to rebound, THEN first it must get above the "overhead" resistance at 1605 and
test higher level at 1610-1615.
PS : there is a myth saying that if you want to know what will happen to the bursa malaysia for the rest of the year, you must first look at the first week in January of that year. Now, the first and second week fkli ald dropped frm high at 1640 to now below 1600, so the whole year is "roasted"? haha...kidding'.
PLS remember, I am not a guru and this is not a signal service provider. THIS is mere for fun.
#tradersupporttrader #FCPO #FKLI #futurestrader #cpop #malaysiatrader #bursa #BursaMalaysia
Disclaimer : "I am not a guru and I am working hard to make profit same as everyone else. This is not a recommendation of buy or sell, just a mere idea of trading and trading journal. Please consult your financial advisor for any thought of buying or selling. Trade at your own risk."
5) FCPO : let's play predict what will happen next weeknext week, 13-15th Jan 2025, is the last week of fcpo-march. fcpo-Apr will emerge on 16th Jan 2025.
-IF the price retraces back to 4350-4375 region OR lower at 4300-4320 region before bouncing higher. This will probably end up as tug-of-war between bull and bear. THEN, it will probably end up as a sideway pattern...
-OR a better bullish action is the price will move above 4400 -4425 immediate resistance, retraces back and bounces higher as a strong bull action.
-IF the price falls below 4330, the current support, THEN the price will move lower.
PLS remember, I am not a guru and this is not a signal service provider. THIS is mere for fun.
#tradersupporttrader #FCPO #FKLI #futurestrader #cpop #malaysiatrader #bursa #BursaMalaysia
Disclaimer : "I am not a guru and I am working hard to make profit same as everyone else. This is not a recommendation of buy or sell, just a mere idea of trading and trading journal. Please consult your financial advisor for any thought of buying or selling. Trade at your own risk."
Palm Oil Futures (FCPO) Technical Analysis: A Short-Term BearishThe analysis did not align with initial expectations. It was anticipated that the weekly chart of the FCPO1! continuous contract would stabilize around the 4500 support level, but this week it dropped to 4374. From the weekly chart perspective, while the 4500 level has been breached, the overall upward trend structure remains intact. The next support level will likely be around 4120. If this level is also breached, it will be necessary to reassess whether the major trend has shifted from bullish to bearish.
Looking at the FCPO1! daily chart, the overall trend leans bearish. A clear double top can be observed, along with a neckline breakout, a retest of the resistance line, and a distinct downward wave. Although there may be some support around the 4250 level, it is unlikely to be strong support, as both the weekly and daily charts of the March contract do not indicate any significant support at this level.
By referencing both the March contract and the continuous contract, the next strong support level should be around 4120–4150. As long as this support level holds, I consider the trend to be long-term bullish but short-term bearish.
Based on the daily chart trend of the March contract, it is likely that prices will decline in the short term to test the 4120–4150 support level. Therefore, I believe this is a good opportunity to enter a short position on the spread.
Currently, the support level for MAR25-JUN25 is around 240 points, with the next support level at 190–200 points if 240 is breached. If an entry can be made above 250 points on Monday, each contract is expected to yield a 50-point profit, amounting to RM2,500 in total.
possible "head-and-shoulder" pattern in fkli janthis is possibly a "head-and-shoulder" pattern formed in fkli-Jan. The neckline is around 1627-1634...daily and hourly charts are all UT. This is an early entry. See what happens next.
*this is just a trading journal, not a suggestion to buy nor sell. For more information, please consult your financial advisor.
FCPO WEEK 51 2024: BULLISH.A retracement followed by a bullish key reversal and an inside bar candle usually a good indication that price would continue higher. Thus next week I'm expecting a higher price for FCPO and TP should be around 5200. However if price failed to move forward beyond the area of 5065 then there is a possibility that price might go lower. For now it is bullish.
FCPO WEEK 50 2024: BULLISH.It is still bullish. It is expected that the price will continue higher or at least tested the 5200 price level. There are 2 options. It will either go ahead bullish on opening next week (OPTION1) or making a retracement to fill in the 4hr GAP and then continue higher (OPTION2). OPTION 2 is the preferred price action.
FCPO WEEK 48 2024: STILL BULLISH.FCPO is having a good retracement last week. Overall the trend is still bullish until proven otherwise. However I'm still expecting a bit more downwards before price settling to start a move a higher. A move below 4600 is a possibility next week. From there, depending on price action, the price might consolidate a bit before starting to move higher.
FCPO WEEK 45 2024: BULLISH.FCPO is bullish. However it starts to look heavy and overbought. Waiting for a retracement lower might be a good idea before committing. If the retracement holds and creates a support area then there is good probability that FCPO will move higher and possibly creating a new higher high above 5000.
FCPO WEEK 43 2024: Bullish retracement.Price has been moving higher after penetrating the neckline of the rounded bottom. Price stays above the neckline for the passed 2 weeks and it should be the indication that momentum is building for a move higher. However expect that price will make a retracement lower to the support area. If this area holds then price should continue higher and possibly making a new higher high.
Happy trading week.
FCPO Week 37 2024: BULLISH.The 4-hour chart indicates a strong upward price movement. An inverted head and shoulders pattern has emerged, with the price breaking above the neckline, marking the first wave of the move. This was followed by a brief consolidation phase, representing the second wave. Now, the price appears ready to resume its upward momentum, potentially forming the third wave. Watch for a breakout as this wave could push prices higher. A buy position may be considered, with a target price of 4018 for potential profit.
FCPO Week 31 2024: Waiting for break thorugh.Last week, prices moved within a narrow range between 3900 and 4000. Unless there is a significant move that breaks through this range, either higher or lower, the market will likely remain neutral. This week, pay special attention to this range, particularly the levels closer to 4000, as a breakout in this area could signal a strong market move.
FCPO Week 30 2024: Slight bullish potential.Last week, it was anticipated that the price would retrace higher before moving lower. However, this did not materialize. The 3900 to 4000 range remains a critical area, with the price continuing to move within this band. Currently, forecasting the outlook is challenging, but based on recent price reactions, the market appears to favor the bulls. Next week, we will be looking for opportunities to buy, anticipating that the price will move higher.
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FCPO Week 29 2024: Bearish in motion.Based on last week's price action, FCPO appears to be trending lower. Pay close attention to the price movements between 3955 and 4000. If bearish price action is observed within this range, it could present a good opportunity to enter a short position.
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FCPO Week 28 2024: Support retest and then higher.Last week, the price broke through the 4,000 resistance area and closed above it. However, it hasn't moved significantly higher and is currently consolidating. It's expected that the price might retest the 4,000 area before moving higher towards the 4,200 level. If the price drops significantly, the outlook could change, potentially reversing the trend. Given the short trading week, adopting a wait-and-see strategy to observe the next price action might be wise.
FCPO Week 27 2024: still in range. Neutral.There was a slight upward movement last week, likely due to the price reacting to the support area. However, strong resistance remains at the 4,000 level. The recent bounce from support might reach this resistance and result in continued consolidation. Range traders can benefit from this environment while it persists. Trend traders, on the other hand, may prefer to wait for a significant breakthrough above the resistance or below the support levels to confirm a new trend.